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MEM

Memphis 52 at UL Monroe 33

ULM
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:25 · Adam Williams punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 24 , Xavier Brown returns for 3 yds to the LaMon 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior−33.4Home team on offense−0.9Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:01: Kylan Watkins run for 14 yds for a TD, (P. Brady Run For Two-point Conversion) — MEM win probability +7.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:11: Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 50 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +8.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:11: Caleb Evans run for 45 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — ULM win probability +6.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:31: Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 36 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK) — ULM win probability +18.9 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 6:16: Kenneth Gainwell 68 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MEM win probability +18.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 10MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:18ULM 4th & 1 at MEM 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:25ULM 4th & 11 at MEM 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:25MEM 4th & 8 at MEM 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:20ULM 4th & 6 at ULM 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:57MEM 4th & 21 at ULM 32, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−2.3
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:41ULM 4th & 6 at MEM 12, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:11MEM 4th & 12 at MEM 23, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−2.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00ULM 4th & 1 at MEM 45, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−2.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00ULM 4th & 8 at MEM 32, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:32ULM 4th & 8 at MEM 13, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:24MEM 4th & 7 at MEM 16, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:07ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 31, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:07ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 37, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:17MEM 4th & 3 at ULM 3, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 4MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:18MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:46MEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:12ULM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:30MEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:01MEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    86.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:40ULM Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:11MEM Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:11ULM Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:31ULM Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.5%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:16MEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.7%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.1%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:07MEM Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
13.6%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
13.6%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
13.6%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
13.6%
Jared Porter punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5586% → 86%
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
13.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 10 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+39
13.9%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 24 yds to the ULMONROE 41 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
13.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 8 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+7
13.8%
Antonio Gibson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
13.8%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
14.1%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 5 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3FG
17 plays · 74 yds · 6:5314% → 17%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
14.3%
Josh Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 13Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+10
14.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 10 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
14.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+31
14.3%
Josh Johnson run for 31 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
14.5%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+3
14.5%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+12
14.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 12 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
14.5%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-1
14.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+7
14.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 7 yds to the Memph 19Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+2
14.4%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
14.5%
Josh Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 19Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 12
OPP 19
-5
14.5%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the Memph 14 UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Memph 24Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 17
OPP 24
+6
14.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 6 yds to the Memph 18Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 11
OPP 18
0
14.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+35
17.4%
Jared Porter 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
17.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for no gain to the Memph 17Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+15
17.4%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 15 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
17.2%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-10
17.0%
Gainwell, K rush for loss of 3 yards to the MEM33 (Sisco, Cortez), PENALTY MEM holding (Woodard, Dustin) 10 yards to the MEM26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 16
OWN 26
+3
17.4%
Brady White run for 3 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+5
17.5%
UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
17.4%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+3
17.6%
Adam Williams punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 24 , Xavier Brown returns for 3 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
18.5%
Josh Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+11
18.7%
Caleb Evans run for 11 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
19.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
18.8%
Josh Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
18.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Josh Pederson, broken up by Carlito GonzalezSimilar
Q1 2:20
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
18.3%
Jared Porter punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Traveon Samuel at the Memph 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 1:4881% → 84%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
19.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+7
19.4%
Traveon Samuel run for 7 yds to the Memph 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+31
19.6%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 31 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
18.8%
Kylan Watkins run for 4 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
18.8%
Kylan Watkins run for 5 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+40
15.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 40 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3416% → 23%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
16.1%
Josh Johnson run for 12 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
16.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 32 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
17.3%
Josh Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+10
17.2%
Evans, Caleb pass incomplete (Russell, Jj), PENALTY MEM holding (Pickens, Thomas) 10 yards to the MEM23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+10
17.3%
Caleb Evans run for 10 yds to the Memph 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
17.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Johnson for 6 yds to the Memph 7Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
23.4%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4279% → 85%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
21.1%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (Brady White) to the Memph 20Similar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
21.1%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Antonio Gibson) to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+15
21.1%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 15 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
20.7%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
20.6%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 3 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-10
20.2%
Watkins, Kylan rush for 1 yard to the MEM40 (Shaw, Larance;Harding, Rashaa), PENALTY MEM holding (Eze, Obinna) 10 yards to the MEM29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+40
21.2%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 40 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
19.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+17
19.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 27 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive holding (Damonte Coxie) to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
19.5%
Antonio Gibson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
19.5%
White, Brady pass incomplete to Jones, K, PENALTY ULM pass interference (Ingram, Nick) 7 yards to the ULM2, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kameron Wilson for 2 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 2:2984% → 92%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
15.6%
Traveon Samuel run for 14 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
15.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
15.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for 10 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
15.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+13
15.6%
White, Brady pass incomplete to Magnifico, Joey, PENALTY ULM pass interference (Harding, Rashaa) 13 yards to the ULM17, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
15.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 3 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
8.0%
Kylan Watkins run for 14 yds for a TD, (P. Brady Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 3:2111% → 20%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
11.1%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan Hodoh, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+19
11.1%
Caleb Evans run for 19 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
11.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 16 yds Xavier Brown fumbled, forced by La'Andre Thomas, recovered by LaMon Xavier Brown for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-9
12.1%
Caleb Evans sacked by Joseph Dorceus for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 44Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 19
OWN 44
-15
11.4%
Evans, Caleb pass complete to Brown, Xavier for 8 yards to the MEM48 (Russell, Jj;Carter, Tj), PENALTY ULM personal foul (Reynolds, Bobby) 15 yards to the ULM29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 34
OWN 29
+31
11.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 31 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+18
12.2%
Josh Johnson run for 18 yds to the Memph 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
12.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 13 yds to the Memph 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
12.7%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
19.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 6 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 41 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
15.2%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 7 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+17
15.1%
Brady White run for 2 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul (Donald Louis Jr.) to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
14.6%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 17 yds Joey Magnifico fumbled, forced by Cortez Sisco Jr., recovered by LaMon Traveion WebsterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 33 yds · 0:5117% → 18%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
16.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
16.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Johnson for 7 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
17.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 5 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
17.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCray, broken up by Sanchez Blake Jr.Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
17.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 11 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
17.2%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
17.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 10 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
18.3%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the Memph 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+50
17.7%
Jared Porter 50 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:0384% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
15.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 28 yds to the ULMONROE 47 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul (Nick Ingram) to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
14.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey Magnifico, broken up by Cortez Sisco Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
14.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+8
15.2%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 8 yds to the LaMon 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
14.8%
Kedarian Jones pass incomplete to Antonio Gibson, broken up by Keilos SwinneySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-4
14.9%
Traveon Samuel run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 25
-7
15.3%
Brady White sacked by Donald Louis Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 32 Brady White fumbled, recovered by Memph Obinna Eze , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 11:57
4TH & 21
OPP 32
+50
11.1%
Riley Patterson 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:1612% → 16%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
11.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 13 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
12.8%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+13
13.0%
Josh Johnson run for 13 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
13.4%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
13.3%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+25
13.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 25 yds to the Memph 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
14.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+6
14.0%
Isaiah Phillips run for 6 yds to the Memph 10Similar
Q3 11:57
3RD & 4
OPP 10
-2
13.5%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 12Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
16.3%
Jared Porter 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:3086% → 95%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
14.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Joey MagnificoSimilar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+18
14.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 18 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
13.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 5
50
+50
4.7%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 50 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:008% → 16%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
8.4%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 19Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+9
8.4%
Isaiah Phillips run for 9 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
8.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 9 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+1
8.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
9.1%
Isaiah Phillips run for 7 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+10
9.3%
Evans, Caleb pass incomplete to Bloomfield, Jah, dropped pass, PENALTY MEM holding (Pickens, Thomas) 10 yards to the MEM45, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
15.8%
Caleb Evans run for 45 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.3%
Kylan Watkins run for 4 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
10.2%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Dustin Woodard) to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
10.3%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 2 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-3
10.5%
Brady White sacked by Donald Louis Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 23Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
10.7%
Adam Williams punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:5014% → 14%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
13.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 11 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
14.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier Brown, broken up by Everitt CunninghamSimilar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
13.8%
Josh Johnson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
50
+5
14.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 5 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+11
14.4%
Josh Johnson run for 11 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
16.2%
Isaiah Phillips run for 2 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
16.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
14.9%
Kayin White run for no gain to the Memph 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 32
0
13.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
8.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kenneth Gainwell, broken up by Rashaad HardingSimilar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
8.2%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Memph 33Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+35
8.5%
Brady White pass intercepted Austin Hawley return for 35 yds to the Memph 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
16.1%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
16.1%
Josh Johnson run for 5 yds to the Memph 8Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
15.1%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the Memph 8Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 3
OPP 8
-5
14.3%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 13Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & 8
OPP 13
0
13.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
6.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kenneth GainwellSimilar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
6.4%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
7.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
6.8%
Adam Williams punt for 77 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22TD
6 plays · 93 yds · 1:569% → 30%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
8.8%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
9.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+10
8.5%
Caleb Evans run for 10 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
9.2%
Josh Pederson pass complete to Zach Jackson for 33 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
11.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 11 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
30.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 36 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
6.8%
Kenneth Gainwell 68 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
2.8%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted for a TD La'Andre Thomas return for 33 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
2.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, delay of game (Caleb Evans) to the LaMon 20Similar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
2.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Perry Carter Jr.Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
2.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Zach Jackson for 5 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
2.8%
Caleb Evans run for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+6
2.9%
Caleb Evans run for 6 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
2.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
2.9%
Perry Carter Jr. run for no gain to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
2.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Zach Jackson, broken up by Joey BryantSimilar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 10
OWN 37
-12
2.8%
Caleb Evans sacked by Austin Hall and Joseph Dorceus for a loss of 12 yards to the LaMon 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
1.1%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 16 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
1.1%
Kylan Watkins run for 5 yds to the LaMon 4Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
1.1%
Kylan Watkins run for 1 yd to the LaMon 3Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
1.1%
Kylan Watkins run for no gain to the LaMon 3Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
1.2%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:31
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 36 yds for a TD, (Jared Porter KICK)
+18.9
TD · Q4 6:16
Kenneth Gainwell 68 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-18
TD · Q3 6:11
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 50 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
-8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com