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USF

South Florida 48 at UConn 22

CONN
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadUSF aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreUSF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:31 · Mike Beaudry run for 4 yds to the UConn 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:14: Elijah Jeffreys 25 Yd pass from Mike Beaudry (Clayton Harris Kick) — CONN win probability +6.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:39: Randall St. Felix 13 Yd pass from Jordan McCloud (Coby Weiss PAT blocked) — USF win probability +4.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:45: Kevin Mensah 18 Yd Run (Clayton Harris Kick) — CONN win probability +10.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q2 1:47: Jordan McCloud run for 26 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +7.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:01: Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Miller for 12 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK) — USF win probability +10.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 6 of 10USF made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00CONN 4th & 11 at USF 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:56USF 4th & 5 at USF 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:23CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00CONN 4th & 11 at USF 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    26.9%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00USF 4th & 18 at USF 17, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−2.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:13CONN 4th & 12 at USF 37, down 13
    Close callPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    21.0%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:01CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:11USF 4th & 5 at USF 23, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:46CONN 4th & 14 at CONN 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00CONN 4th & 5 at USF 11, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -1.5%−5.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:07USF 4th & 18 at CONN 22, up 20
    Close callWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%−0.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:07CONN 4th & 1 at USF 43, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:07CONN 4th & 7 at USF 38, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:59CONN 4th & 3 at USF 3, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3USF made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 3:22USF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:46USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:14CONN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:39USF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:45CONN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:47USF Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:01USF Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:07USF Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:59CONN Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:31USF Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
18.0%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Jay Rose for 16 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
18.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-2
18.0%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+12
18.0%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cameron Ross for 12 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
18.0%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 43
0
18.0%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cameron Ross for no gain to the SFla 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
18.0%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Matt Drayton, broken up by KJ SailsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
18.0%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
20.0%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Travis Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 19Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
20.0%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the SFla 25Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
20.1%
Jordan McCloud pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+17
20.2%
Trent Schneider punt for 51 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 17 yds to the UConn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
21.1%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-7
21.0%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Greg Reaves for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 17
OWN 34
+10
20.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 10 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
20.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 44 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 4TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 4:0278% → 80%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
21.7%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 8 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 2
OWN 20
0
21.6%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 20Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+5
21.9%
Jordan McCloud run for 5 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
21.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 17 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
21.3%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Frederick Lloyd, broken up by Omar ForttSimilar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
21.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 15 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
21.2%
Trevon Sands run for 5 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+23
21.1%
Trevon Sands run for 23 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
21.0%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
19.9%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Miller for 12 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:1721% → 21%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
21.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+14
21.4%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cameron Ross for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
50
+11
21.8%
Art Thompkins run for 11 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
21.9%
Mike Beaudry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
21.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the SFla 36Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-4
21.8%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
21.4%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 6TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 3:0779% → 84%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
21.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 18Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
21.3%
Jordan McCloud run for 5 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+4
21.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
21.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 27Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+31
21.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 31 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+37
20.3%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jacob Mathis for 37 yds to the UConn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
16.0%
Trevon Sands 5 Yd Run (Coby Weiss Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:3217% → 25%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
17.3%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cameron Ross for 7 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+4
17.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
18.0%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 9 yds to the SFla 48Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+1
18.2%
Mike Beaudry run for 1 yd to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
18.2%
Art Thompkins run for 9 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
18.2%
Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
18.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the SFla 33Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
18.5%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+9
18.1%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cameron Ross for 9 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
18.5%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 25Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+25
25.4%
Elijah Jeffreys 25 Yd pass from Mike Beaudry (Clayton Harris Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 8TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:3580% → 83%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
20.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
20.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+12
20.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Miller for 12 yds to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-34
22.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, sideline interference (-34 Yards) to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
17.5%
Randall St. Felix 13 Yd pass from Jordan McCloud (Coby Weiss PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:5418% → 28%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
18.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 15 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
19.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+33
19.2%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Art Thompkins for 33 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
18.3%
SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, sideline interference (5 Yards) to the UConn 31Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
28.4%
Kevin Mensah 18 Yd Run (Clayton Harris Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 10TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 0:5877% → 84%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
23.0%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 13 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
21.8%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jernard Phillips for 18 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
21.5%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Dillon Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+21
22.9%
Jordan McCloud run for 21 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
15.8%
Jordan McCloud run for 26 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
18.9%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-5
19.4%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Matt Peart) to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
18.8%
Mike Beaudry run for no gain to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-4
18.0%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Antonio Grier for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 24 Mike Beaudry fumbled, recovered by SFla Kirk Livingstone , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
15.9%
Jordan McCloud pass intercepted Abiola Olaniyan return for 2 yds to the UConn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
18.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, UR (Caleb Thomas) to the UConn 3Similar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 13
OWN 3
+5
18.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UConn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.4%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
16.3%
McCLOUD, Jordan rush for 4 yards to the USF31 (JONES, Travis), PENALTY USF holding 10 yards to the USF17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
16.5%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for no gain to the SFla 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
16.8%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
17.2%
Trent Schneider punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
19.0%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+18
18.8%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cameron Ross for 18 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.1%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the SFla 35Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-2
20.1%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 37Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 12
OPP 37
0
18.3%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Ardell BrownSimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
17.8%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 16TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:1985% → 97%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
15.1%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 12 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
14.9%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 6 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+9
14.0%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 9 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
13.8%
Trevon Sands run for 6 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+11
13.6%
Trevon Sands run for 11 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
13.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jacob Mathis for 6 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
13.4%
JOINER, Kelley rush for 28 yards to the UCONN2 (HARRELL, Diamon), PENALTY USF holding (REAVES, Greg) 0 yards to the UCONN30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-6
13.4%
Jordan McCloud sacked by Ryan Gilmartin for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 36Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+19
13.6%
Jordan McCloud run for 19 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
13.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce MillerSimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+5
13.9%
Jordan McCloud run for no gain to the UConn 36 CONNECTICUT Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UConn 31Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
3.1%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Miller for 12 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
6.5%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Cameron Ross, broken up by Mike HamptonSimilar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
6.3%
Cameron Ross run for 4 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+4
6.7%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Elijah Jeffreys for 4 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 2
OWN 44
-5
6.8%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 7
OWN 39
-2
6.3%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 41 yds , KJ Sails returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
3.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 20Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+3
3.3%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 23Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
3.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Mitchell WilcoxSimilar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+54
3.4%
Trent Schneider punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UCONN 38 CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UConn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
4.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 24Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-5
4.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 19Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 14
OWN 19
0
4.0%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Matt Drayton, broken up by Mike HamptonSimilar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 14
OWN 19
0
4.0%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 14
OWN 19
0
4.0%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 44 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+50
2.7%
Jordan McCloud pass intercepted Diamond Harrell return for 50 yds to the SFla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:185% → 4%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
4.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the SFla 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
4.3%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+3
4.2%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Ardell Brown for 3 yds to the SFla 11Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 11
0
4.1%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 22TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 5:0497% → 100%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
2.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 12Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+18
2.8%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 18 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
2.7%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the SFla 35Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
2.7%
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 3 yds to the SFla 38Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+11
2.6%
Trevon Sands run for 11 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
2.5%
Trevon Sands run for 3 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
2.4%
Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+28
2.5%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 28 yds to the UConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
2.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Eddie McDoomSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
2.4%
Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce Miller, broken up by Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 10
OPP 14
-8
2.4%
Jordan McCloud sacked by D.J. Morgan and Travis Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 22Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 18
OPP 22
+22
0.4%
Spencer Shrader run for 22 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK) CONNECTICUT Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23TD
16 plays · 70 yds · 7:080% → 2%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.3%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Ardell BrownSimilar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+18
0.3%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Jay Rose for 18 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
0.4%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Kelvin Pinkney for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-7
0.3%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Patrick Macon for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 19
OWN 39
+18
0.3%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Matt Drayton for 18 yds to the SFla 43Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
0.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
0.4%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Ardell Brown for 9 yds to the SFla 32Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 1
OPP 32
-6
0.4%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Dwayne Boyles for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 38Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
0.4%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+9
0.3%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Ardell Brown for 9 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
0.4%
Art Thompkins run for 10 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Kirk Livingstone) to the SFla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
0.5%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Jay Rose for 4 yds Jay Rose fumbled, forced by Demaurez Bellamy,Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+8
0.4%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cameron Ross for 8 yds to the SFla 4Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
0.4%
Mike Beaudry run for 1 yd to the SFla 3Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
2.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds for a TD, (M. Beaudry Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USFDrive 24TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:2899% → 100%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
50
+8
0.9%
Jordan Cronkrite run for 8 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+8
0.8%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 8 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
0.8%
Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 1 yd to the UConn 33Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+33
0.1%
Kirk Rygol pass complete to DeVontres Dukes for 33 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.1%
Mike Beaudry run for 4 yds to the UConn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:01
Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Miller for 12 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)
-10.8
TD · Q2 2:45
Kevin Mensah 18 Yd Run (Clayton Harris Kick)
+10.1
TD · Q2 1:47
Jordan McCloud run for 26 yds for a TD, (Coby Weiss KICK)
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com