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CONN

UConn 21 at UCF 56

UCF
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:10 · Andrew Osteen punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+46.4Home team on offense+4.3Score differential+2.1Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:21: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 73 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK) — UCF win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:17: Steven Krajewski pass intercepted for a TD Nevelle Clarke return for 48 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK) — UCF win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:06: Adrian Killins Jr. run for 75 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK) — UCF win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:04: Gabriel Davis 16 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Dylan Barnas Kick) — CONN win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 10:06: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 13 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK) — UCF win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 10:06UCF 4th & 6 at CONN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:33CONN 4th & 3 at UCF 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:09CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:10UCF 4th & 9 at UCF 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:17CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:30CONN 4th & 8 at UCF 42, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:05CONN 4th & 5 at UCF 22, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:56UCF 4th & 4 at CONN 4, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00CONN 4th & 6 at UCF 34, down 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:14CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 47, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:21UCF 4th & 12 at UCF 37, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:58CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 46, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:03UCF 4th & 9 at CONN 30, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:19CONN 4th & 8 at UCF 15, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 8 of 8CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:44UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:21UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:17UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:06UCF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:04UCF Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:06UCF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:37UCF Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:48UCF Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:30CONN Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:36CONN Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:19CONN Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.3%
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted Antwan Collier return for 19 yds to the UConn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:3699% → 99%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
99.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Otis Anderson for 25 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+9
99.3%
Greg McCrae run for 9 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) ( Yards) to the UConn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Greg McCrae run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
99.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
99.2%
Jack Zergiotis sacked by Brendon Hayes for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 35 Jack Zergiotis fumbled, recovered by UCFSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:0199% → 99%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
99.2%
Otis Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+4
99.2%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+2
99.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 2 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 6
OPP 31
-14
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Kevon Jones for a loss of 14 yards to the UConn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:231% → 1%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-10
99.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UConn 37Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 18
OWN 37
+7
99.1%
Jack Zergiotis run for 7 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+8
99.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 8 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q1 7:33
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
99.0%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 73 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:001% → 1%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Art ThompkinsSimilar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 3
OWN 38
-8
99.1%
Jack Zergiotis run for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 30 Jack Zergiotis fumbled, recovered by UConnSimilar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:4199% → 99%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
99.1%
UCF Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UCF 22Similar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+12
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Otis Anderson for 12 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-15
99.1%
UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the UCF 19Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 18
OWN 19
+14
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Greg McCrae for 14 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-5
99.0%
UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Otis AndersonSimilar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Andrew Osteen punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9INT TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:531% → 1%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
99.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Matt Peart) to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+4
98.9%
Steven Krajewski run for 4 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+48
99.2%
Steven Krajewski pass intercepted for a TD Nevelle Clarke return for 48 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:491% → 1%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
99.2%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Ardell Brown for 8 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 31 Kevin Mensah fumbled, recovered by UConnSimilar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.5%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 75 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:281% → 0%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 14 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Cameron HairstonSimilar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+17
99.5%
Steven Krajewski run for 17 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Jay RoseSimilar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13TD
8 plays · 97 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+20
99.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 5 yds to the UCF 8 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+32
99.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 32 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
99.6%
Greg McCrae run for 6 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+9
99.6%
Greg McCrae run for 9 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
99.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 11 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
99.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 6 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-3
99.6%
Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
99.5%
Gabriel Davis 16 Yd pass from Dillon Gabriel (Dylan Barnas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · -19 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
99.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 20
OWN 23
-9
99.7%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Kalia Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the UConn 14 Steven Krajewski fumbled, recovered by UCFSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.5%
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
99.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 13 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16MISSED FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:410% → 0%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.7%
UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+17
99.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jayce Medlock for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+15
99.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 15 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-6
99.7%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Art Thompkins for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 33Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 16
OPP 33
-5
99.8%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 38Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 21
OPP 38
+6
99.8%
Steven Krajewski run for 6 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 15
OPP 32
+10
99.8%
Steven Krajewski run for 10 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
99.7%
Clayton Harris 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Otis AndersonSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+74
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jacob Harris for 74 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for no gain to the UConn 4Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q2 3:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 2:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 2Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+18
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 18 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
99.8%
Steven Krajewski run for 4 yds to the UConn 24 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jay Rose for 6 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+17
99.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Cameron Ross for 17 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
99.8%
Steven Krajewski sacked by Mason Cholewa for a loss of 7 yards to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 17
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+11
99.8%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Art Thompkins for 11 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+52
99.8%
Clayton Harris 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.8%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Bentavious Thompson for 9 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+5
99.8%
Bentavious Thompson run for 5 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.8%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Marlon Williams for 9 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Bentavious Thompson run for 5 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
99.8%
Bentavious Thompson run for 8 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+9
99.8%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Alex Harris for 9 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Trilion Coles run for 6 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Alex Harris for 4 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Marlon Williams for 21 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 5:130% → 0%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+12
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 12 yds to the UConn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
99.9%
Steven Krajewski run for 1 yd to the UConn 15Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+5
99.9%
UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Art Thompkins run for 6 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Art Thompkins for 13 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Art Thompkins for 7 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 17 yds to the UConn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Alex Harris for 5 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+7
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 7 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:490% → 0%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 17 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Cameron Ross for no gain to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jay Rose for 7 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
99.9%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+22
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Ardell Brown for 22 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 11 yds to the UCF 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Cameron Ross for 16 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 1 yd to the UCF 26Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 6 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q3 0:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 7 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q4 14:58
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-1
99.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 42Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:28
4TH & 7
OWN 42
-5
99.9%
UCF Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UCF 37Similar
Q4 14:21
4TH & 12
OWN 37
+25
99.9%
Andrew Osteen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UCONN 23 UCF Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+13
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 13 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Matt Drayton for 18 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Cameron Ross for 18 yds to the UCF 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
100.0%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 12Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Ardell Brown for 12 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 57 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 15 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 11 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 11 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 13 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 7 yds to the UConn 21 Bentavious Thompson fumbled, recovered by UConnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+21
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Jay Rose for 21 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Elijah JeffreysSimilar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+64
99.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 54 yds for a touchback UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 27DOWNS
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:39100% → 100%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCF 14Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+31
99.9%
Trilion Coles run for 16 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Trilion Coles run for 6 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
UCF Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the UCF 46Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Trilion Coles run for 6 yds to the UConn 48Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Trilion Coles run for 3 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for no gain to the UConn 45Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Trilion Coles run for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+10
100.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Jarrad Baker for 10 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
100.0%
UCF Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+6
100.0%
Trilion Coles run for 6 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Jarrad BakerSimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 9
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Amari JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 9
OPP 30
-8
100.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. sacked by Omar Fortt for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 28TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+32
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Cameron Ross for 32 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+13
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Ardell Brown for 13 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass incomplete to Jay RoseSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+2
100.0%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Art Thompkins for 2 yds to the UCF 15Similar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Steven Krajewski pass complete to Matt Drayton for 15 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 3:17
Steven Krajewski pass intercepted for a TD Nevelle Clarke return for 48 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 1:06
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 75 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 10:06
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 13 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com