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TEM

Temple 22 at Buffalo 38

BUF
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · UB Stadium
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Win probability · BUF
modelBUF aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playBUF scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:07 · Matt Myers run for 6 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior−29.7Home team on offense−2.2Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:32: Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK) — BUF win probability +4.0 pts (now 29%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:02: Matt Myers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK) — BUF win probability +9.1 pts (now 40%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:22: Kevin Marks 2 Yd Run (Jackson Baltar Kick) — BUF win probability +12.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:46: Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK) — BUF win probability +9.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:43: Anthony Russo pass intercepted for a TD Joey Banks return for 46 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK) — BUF win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BUF made the numbers' call on 4 of 8TEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 11:57TEM 4th & 1 at BUF 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:57TEM 4th & 1 at BUF 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:07BUF 4th & 2 at TEM 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:12BUF 4th & 11 at TEM 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:12TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:32TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:07BUF 4th & 11 at BUF 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:02TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:08BUF 4th & 2 at BUF 11, up 17
    Close callPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:13TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−2.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:59BUF 4th & 10 at TEM 40, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    71.7%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:46TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.7%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:26BUF 4th & 12 at TEM 36, up 24
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:35TEM 4th & 15 at BUF 17, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−3.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:26BUF 4th & 7 at TEM 31, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:29TEM 4th & 11 at BUF 19, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−1.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:03BUF 4th & 2 at BUF 27, up 22
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:51TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 49, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:01TEM 4th & 3 at BUF 18, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:00TEM 4th & 10 at BUF 33, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BUF made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:19TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:32BUF Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:02BUF Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:22BUF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:46BUF Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:43BUF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:30TEM Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:00TEM Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUFDrive 1INT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
15.7%
Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
15.7%
Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
15.7%
Matt Myers run for 1 yd to the Buff 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
15.7%
Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the Buff 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-8
15.7%
Matt Myers sacked by Daniel Archibong for a loss of 8 yards to the Buff 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
15.7%
Matt Myers pass intercepted Christian Braswell return for no gain to the Buff 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2TD
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:3883% → 83%
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
17.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 5 yds to the Buff 40Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
17.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 3 yds to the Buff 37Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
17.0%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the Buff 36Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+4
17.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 4 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
16.9%
Jager Gardner run for 14 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
16.9%
[SGUN], PENALTY TEM false start (MARTIN-ROBINSON) 5 yards to the UB23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 15
OPP 23
0
16.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+12
17.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 12 yds to the Buff 11Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+2
17.0%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Buff 9Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+5
17.1%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Buff 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
16.9%
Jager Gardner run for 2 yds to the Buff 2Similar
Q1 11:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
16.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Buff 2Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
17.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Mobley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 3FG
16 plays · 40 yds · 7:0718% → 22%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.0%
Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
18.1%
Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 6 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
18.1%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 39Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
18.3%
Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Buff 39Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+13
18.0%
Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 13 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
18.6%
Matt Myers pass complete to Kevin Marks for 5 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
18.6%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 6:19
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
18.6%
Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+6
19.0%
Matt Myers run for 6 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
19.9%
Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-5
19.9%
[SGUN], PENALTY UB false start (JOHNSON, Marlyn) 5 yards to the TEM38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+4
19.1%
Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-1
19.9%
Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+52
21.6%
Jackson Baltar 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · -18 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.6%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
21.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 16 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
20.8%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 8 yds to the Buff 48Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
20.5%
Anthony Russo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-5
20.8%
Anthony Russo sacked by Matt Otwinowski and DeShondrick Foxworth for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
21.8%
TEAM punt Team fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 5TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3825% → 29%
Q2 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
24.9%
Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Temp 4Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
28.9%
Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
27.1%
Shaun Bradley run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
26.8%
Anthony Russo run for 1 yd to the Temp 29Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
27.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-5
28.1%
BARRY,Adam punt 43 yards to the UB28, fair catch by COOK, Ron, PENALTY TEM illegal formation 5 yards to the TEM24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
28.3%
Adam Barry punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
28.1%
Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio NunnSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-1
27.9%
Kevin Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 32Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
27.1%
Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn, broken up by Christian BraswellSimilar
Q2 10:07
4TH & 11
OWN 32
0
26.7%
Kyle Vantrease punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
28.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
28.4%
Jager Gardner run for 4 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
28.0%
Anthony Russo sacked by Ledarius Mack for a loss of 8 yards to the Temp 19 Anthony Russo fumbled, recovered by Buff Eric Black , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the Temp 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 9TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:2432% → 40%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
31.8%
Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+4
31.8%
Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+7
31.1%
[SGUN], MYERS, Matt pass incomplete to MCDUFFIE, Dylan, PENALTY TEM roughing passer (BRADLEY,Shaun) 7 yards to the TEM7, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
40.2%
Matt Myers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
38.6%
RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to MACK,Branden, PENALTY UB pass interference (RUSSELL, Devon) 15 yards to the TEM40, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
37.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
37.6%
Isaiah Wright run for 4 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
37.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jager Gardner, broken up by Tyrece Woods Jr.Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
38.6%
Adam Barry punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 5:4339% → 63%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
39.2%
Matt Myers pass complete to Antonio Nunn for 4 yds to the Buff 20Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+2
38.9%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 22Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+7
38.2%
Matt Myers pass complete to Carlton Todd for 7 yds to the Buff 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
39.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 26 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
41.4%
Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+8
41.2%
Jaret Patterson run for 8 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
41.5%
Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+4
41.5%
Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
41.5%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+7
41.5%
Jaret Patterson run for 7 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+4
40.6%
Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Temp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
41.5%
Matt Myers pass incomplete to Antonio NunnSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+9
41.5%
Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the Temp 2Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
62.8%
Kevin Marks 2 Yd Run (Jackson Baltar Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
61.7%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13INT
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:0036% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
64.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 43 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
60.1%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Buff 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
59.6%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Aapri Washington return for no gain to the Buff 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
66.0%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 5Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 5
-2
65.8%
Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 3Similar
Q3 14:08
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+8
64.9%
Kevin Marks run for 8 yds to the Buff 11Similar
Q3 14:08
4TH & 2
OWN 11
0
63.9%
Kyle Vantrease punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
68.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
69.5%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan Blue, broken up by Tyrone HillSimilar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
70.8%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
71.1%
Adam Barry punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
71.8%
Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Buff 41Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+6
72.5%
Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
72.6%
Matt Myers pass complete to Kevin Marks for 4 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+9
72.6%
Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
72.8%
Matt Myers pass complete to Kevin Marks for no gain to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
72.7%
Matt Myers pass incomplete to Dominic JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
71.8%
Matt Myers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
70.6%
Jackson Baltar punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.6%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted Devon Russell return for no gain to the Temp 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 18TD
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:3482% → 92%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
82.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+4
82.3%
Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+15
82.0%
Matt Myers pass complete to Carlton Todd for 15 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.7%
Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Re'Mahn Davis, broken up by Tim Terry Jr.Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.7%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 7 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
90.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 2 yds to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
90.3%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
93.7%
Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+5
93.7%
[SGUN], PENALTY TEM offside (DIOUBATE,Karamo) 5 yards to the TEM25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-3
93.7%
Kevin Marks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 28Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-3
93.5%
Matt Myers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 31 BUFFALO Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 7
OPP 31
-5
92.9%
BUFFALO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 12
OPP 36
0
92.8%
Jackson Baltar punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 1:406% → 5%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
94.2%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 13 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
93.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+10
94.0%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for 10 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+45
93.9%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 45 yds to the Buff 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
93.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
93.1%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-5
93.9%
[SGUN], PENALTY TEM delay of game 5 yards to the UB17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
93.9%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+34
95.0%
Will Mobley 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 22MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 6:0996% → 98%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.8%
Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 29Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
95.9%
Jaret Patterson run for 6 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
95.9%
Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the Buff 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
96.8%
Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
96.8%
Jaret Patterson run for 6 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+14
96.8%
Jaret Patterson run for 14 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
96.9%
Matt Myers pass complete to Dylan McDuffie for 8 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 26
-5
96.9%
[SGUN], PENALTY UB false start (AWOSIKA, Kayode) 5 yards to the TEM31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+2
96.9%
Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-2
96.8%
Kevin Marks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 31Similar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
98.0%
Jackson Baltar 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:432% → 0%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.0%
Anthony Russo run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
98.0%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+46
99.8%
Anthony Russo pass intercepted for a TD Joey Banks return for 46 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:020% → 2%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.8%
Jager Gardner run for 5 yds to the Buff 35Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+8
99.8%
Re'Mahn Davis run for 8 yds to the Buff 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
98.1%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 27 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
98.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 5 yds to the Buff 46Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
98.3%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 2 yds to the Buff 44Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+6
98.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jose Barbon for 6 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+20
98.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 20 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-6
98.1%
Anthony Russo sacked by Tim Terry Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 24Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 16
OPP 24
0
98.2%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan BlueSimilar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 16
OPP 24
+5
98.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 5 yds to the Buff 19Similar
Q4 8:29
4TH & 11
OPP 19
0
98.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:2199% → 99%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
98.9%
Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Buff 24Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
99.1%
Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 27Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 2
OWN 27
-5
99.2%
BUFFALO Penalty, false start (Antonio Nunn) to the Buff 22Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+5
99.2%
Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the Buff 27Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+7
99.2%
Kyle Vantrease punt for 39 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 7 yds to the Temp 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:501% → 0%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jadan Blue for 3 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
99.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for 4 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+1
99.5%
Jager Gardner run for 1 yd to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+8
99.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 8 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
99.5%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for 18 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.4%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 2 yds to the Buff 23Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
99.4%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Jager Gardner for no gain to the Buff 23Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+5
99.7%
[SGUN], RUSSO,Anthony pass incomplete to BARBON,Jose (WASHINGTON, Aap), PENALTY UB substitution infraction 5 yards to the UB18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 3
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 28FUMBLE
1 play · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.7%
Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the Buff 33 Dylan McDuffie fumbled, forced by Keyvone Bruton, recovered by Temp Isaiah Graham-MobleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:330% → 1%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Buff 33Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Kenny Yeboah, broken up by Roy BakerSimilar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Anthony Russo pass incomplete to Jadan Blue, broken up by Tyrone HillSimilar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+33
98.6%
Anthony Russo pass complete to Branden Mack for 33 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
98.9%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 39Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-2
98.9%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 37Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 14
OWN 37
-2
98.8%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:22
Kevin Marks 2 Yd Run (Jackson Baltar Kick)
+12.4
TD · Q3 6:46
Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q2 7:02
Matt Myers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jackson Baltar KICK)
+9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com