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HOU

Houston 31 at Tulane 38

TULN
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 19, 2019 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:30 · D'Eriq King run for 12 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 180Home team on offense+3.4Pregame prior+0.5Score differential+0.9Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:53: Darnell Mooney 48 Yd pass from Justin McMillan (Merek Glover Kick) — TULN win probability +13.4 pts (now 46%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:22: Justin McMillan 15 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick) — TULN win probability +22.9 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 6:10: Merek Glover 44 Yd Field Goal — TULN win probability +12.3 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 0:21: Dalton Witherspoon 24 Yd Field Goal — HOU win probability +24.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:03: Jalen McCleskey 53 Yd pass from Justin McMillan (Merek Glover Kick) — TULN win probability +40.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8HOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:14TULN 4th & 14 at TULN 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:00TULN 4th & 2 at HOU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:29TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:41HOU 4th & 12 at HOU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:15TULN 4th & 18 at TULN 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:40HOU 4th & 4 at TULN 14, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%−0.5
    84% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−7.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:43TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:13HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:30TULN 4th & 1 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.1%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:07HOU 4th & 10 at TULN 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:05TULN 4th & 20 at HOU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−2.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:41HOU 4th & 8 at HOU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:32HOU 4th & 12 at TULN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−3.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:10TULN 4th & 9 at HOU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−2.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−18.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:30HOU 4th & 9 at TULN 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.0%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:21HOU 4th & 6 at TULN 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−21.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−30.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:46HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:24TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:25HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:35HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:16HOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:11TULN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:53TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:22TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:03TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
59.0%
Marquez Stevenson 75 Yd pass from D'Eriq King (Dalton Witherspoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2659% → 58%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-4
58.9%
Justin McMillan sacked by Payton Turner for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 14
OWN 24
0
58.7%
Amare Jones run for no gain to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 14
OWN 24
0
58.5%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
58.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3INT
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:3842% → 44%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
58.5%
D'Eriq King run for 1 yd to the Houst 16Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+9
58.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 9 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
58.1%
King, D'Eriq pass incomplete, PENALTY HOUSTON ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the HOUSTON20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
58.0%
Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Houst 25Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
57.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Kyle Porter for 11 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
57.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-15
57.4%
Carr, Patrick rush for 1 yard to the HOUSTON37, PENALTY HOUSTON face mask 15 yards to the HOUSTON21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 25
OWN 21
+7
57.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 7 yds to the Houst 28Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 18
OWN 28
+22
57.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
50
0
56.4%
D'Eriq King pass intercepted Jaylon Monroe return for no gain to the Houst 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:5158% → 60%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
57.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 9 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-1
57.3%
Justin McMillan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 40Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
57.2%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Houst 40Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+2
56.7%
Amare Jones run for 2 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
59.8%
Jalen McCleskey 38 Yd pass from Justin McMillan (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5541% → 47%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
58.8%
D'Eriq King sacked by Cameron Sample and Lawrence Graham for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 24Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
58.8%
Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the Houst 25Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.2%
TULANE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Houst 30Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
58.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Bryson Smith for 6 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
58.4%
Patrick Carr run for 13 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
57.8%
Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
57.7%
D'Eriq King run for 6 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+7
57.6%
Kyle Porter run for 7 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
57.2%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+34
57.2%
Marquez Stevenson run for 34 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.0%
Kyle Porter 1 Yd Run (Dalton Witherspoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4654% → 53%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
54.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
53.5%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
52.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 57 yds , Bryson Smith returns for no gain to the Houst 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4146% → 46%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
53.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
53.9%
Patrick Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 15Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 12
OWN 15
0
54.3%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q1 1:41
4TH & 12
OWN 15
+11
54.4%
Dane Roy punt for 41 yds , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for 11 yds to the Houst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:2555% → 52%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
54.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Stephon HudersonSimilar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
54.5%
Corey Dauphine run for no gain to the Houst 45Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-5
53.7%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Joey Claybrook) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 15
50
-3
52.9%
Justin McMillan sacked by Derek Parish for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 0:15
4TH & 18
OWN 47
0
52.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2648% → 55%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
52.5%
Kyle Porter run for 17 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+30
51.4%
Kyle Porter run for 30 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
44.7%
Keith Corbin 28 Yd pass from D'Eriq King (Dalton Witherspoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:3846% → 45%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
46.0%
Justin McMillan run for 16 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
46.3%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
45.2%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+2
45.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 2 yds Jalen McCleskey fumbled, forced by Deontay Anderson, recovered by Houst Zamar KirvenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:1456% → 55%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
43.6%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
43.6%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+35
44.6%
D'Eriq King 35 Yd Run (Dalton Witherspoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:5443% → 48%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
43.5%
Justin McMillan run for 10 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
43.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 7 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+5
44.3%
Corey Dauphine run for 5 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
43.8%
Corey Dauphine run for 6 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+14
43.9%
Justin McMillan run for 14 yds to the Houst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
45.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 25 yds to the Houst 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
42.6%
Justin McMillan sacked by David Anenih for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 9Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
47.9%
Stephon Huderson 9 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:2050% → 59%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
50.5%
Patrick Carr run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 24Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
50.3%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Patrick CarrSimilar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+18
50.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 18 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
48.9%
D'Eriq King run for 7 yds to the Houst 49Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+4
47.5%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
46.7%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+9
45.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Christian Trahan for 9 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
45.0%
D'Eriq King run for 6 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+8
44.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cole McGowan for 8 yds to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
43.9%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
44.0%
Patrick Carr run for 6 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
39.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q2 4:40
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
41.5%
Dalton Witherspoon 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:4938% → 36%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
38.1%
Corey Dauphine run for 11 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
38.1%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Ben Knutson) to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+6
37.7%
Justin McMillan run for 6 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
37.6%
Justin McMillan run for 3 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
36.6%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+12
36.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 42 yds , Bryson Smith returns for 12 yds to the Houst 35 Bryson Smith fumbled, recovered by HoustSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2260% → 67%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
40.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 2 yds to the Houst 37Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
34.2%
D'Eriq King run for 2 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
32.1%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+3
32.9%
Dane Roy punt for 50 yds , Amare Jones returns for 3 yds to the Tulan 42 TULANE Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the Tulan 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:5033% → 32%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
33.1%
Justin McMillan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+5
32.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 12Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+1
32.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:5734% → 46%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
33.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
33.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
33.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 1
50
+2
32.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
46.1%
Darnell Mooney 48 Yd pass from Justin McMillan (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:3360% → 61%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
40.5%
D'Eriq King run for 9 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+20
39.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 20 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
37.3%
D'Eriq King run for 10 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
37.2%
Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
36.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
37.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Terry Mark for no gain to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
38.8%
Dane Roy punt for 33 yds, downed at the Tulan 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
14 plays · 57 yds · 3:5540% → 38%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
40.3%
Amare Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+11
39.9%
Justin McMillan run for 11 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
40.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
40.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 7 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
40.3%
Justin McMillan run for 26 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
44.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 6 yds to the Houst 39Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
44.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jaetavian TolesSimilar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+9
43.6%
Corey Dauphine run for 9 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
45.4%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 35Similar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 15
OPP 35
-5
43.2%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 40Similar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 20
OPP 40
0
41.7%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Will WallaceSimilar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 20
OPP 40
0
41.2%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 20
OPP 40
0
39.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
37.6%
Ryan Wright punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:1464% → 65%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
36.0%
Mulbah Car run for 14 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
34.4%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Houst 35Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+7
33.8%
Patrick Carr run for 7 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-6
32.6%
D'Eriq King sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 36Similar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
35.0%
Dane Roy punt for 57 yds, downed at the Tulan 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 4:1336% → 63%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
36.4%
Justin McMillan run for 7 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 3
OWN 14
-3
36.5%
Justin McMillan sacked by David Anenih for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 11Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 6
OWN 11
-5
34.6%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Ben Knutson) to the Tulan 6Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 11
OWN 6
-3
34.2%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Keyshawn McLeod) to the Tulan 3Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 14
OWN 3
+27
33.9%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 27 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
36.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
37.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 7 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
38.7%
Justin McMillan run for no gain to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+35
34.7%
Corey Dauphine run for 35 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
39.8%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Houst 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+5
39.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Houst 15Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
62.7%
Justin McMillan 15 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 22MISSED FG
15 plays · 44 yds · 3:3846% → 48%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
53.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 11 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
52.1%
Patrick Carr run for 11 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
49.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Shane Creamer for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 46Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+4
51.0%
Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 7
50
+8
48.3%
Patrick Carr run for 8 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
46.3%
Mulbah Car run for 7 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
43.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Bryson SmithSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
45.8%
Mulbah Car run for 6 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
43.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Cole McGowanSimilar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
44.3%
Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-2
46.3%
D'Eriq King sacked by Nick Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 10:32
4TH & 12
OPP 31
+48
52.0%
Dalton Witherspoon 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:1557% → 74%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
57.4%
Amare Jones run for 17 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
61.4%
Jones, Amare rush for 32 yards to the HOUSTON20, PENALTY TULANE holding (Dublin, Corey) 10 yards to the TULANE38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+12
57.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 8
50
0
61.7%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 8
50
+11
59.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 11 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
62.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 9 yds to the Houst 30Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+2
63.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Houst 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
63.6%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the Houst 27Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
63.6%
Amare Jones run for no gain to the Houst 27Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
61.5%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+44
73.8%
Merek Glover 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 24FG
20 plays · 68 yds · 5:3434% → 58%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
66.3%
D'Eriq King run for 9 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
62.0%
Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
64.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Christian Trahan for 4 yds to the Houst 41Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+10
61.2%
D'Eriq King run for 10 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
59.1%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
60.7%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
61.9%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Keith Corbin, broken up by Larry BrooksSimilar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 9
OPP 48
+12
65.9%
D'Eriq King run for 12 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
59.0%
Patrick Carr run for 5 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+11
58.0%
D'Eriq King run for 11 yds to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
60.5%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
59.9%
D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-5
66.3%
HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 23Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+12
71.2%
TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
65.1%
D'Eriq King run for 7 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 3
OPP 4
-3
63.0%
Patrick Carr run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 7Similar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
66.6%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Keith CorbinSimilar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
42.5%
Dalton Witherspoon 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:1256% → 96%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
55.7%
Amare Jones run for 18 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
96.4%
Jalen McCleskey 53 Yd pass from Justin McMillan (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:03
Jalen McCleskey 53 Yd pass from Justin McMillan (Merek Glover Kick)
+40.8
FG · Q4 0:21
Dalton Witherspoon 24 Yd Field Goal
-24.1
TD · Q4 14:22
Justin McMillan 15 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)
+22.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com