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MOST

Missouri State 6 at Tulane 58

TULN
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadMOST aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreMOST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:58 · Brendan Withrow punt for 46 yds , Amare Jones returns for 19 yds to the Tulan 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior+37.4Home team on offense+16.2Score differential+1.2Blowout margin+2.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:42: Amare Jones run for 57 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:49: Peyton Huslig pass intercepted for a TD P.J. Hall return for 30 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:51: Peyton Huslig pass complete to D.J. Frost for 11 yds for a TD, (Parker Lacina PAT BLOCKED) — MOST win probability +1.3 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:58: Justin McMillan run for 4 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:02: Justin McMillan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MOST made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 11:37TULN 4th & 4 at MOST 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:37MOST 4th & 6 at MOST 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:16TULN 4th & 1 at MOST 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:42TULN 4th & 1 at MOST 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:58MOST 4th & 11 at MOST 24, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:38MOST 4th & 7 at MOST 28, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00MOST 4th & 10 at MOST 37, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:05TULN 4th & 26 at TULN 40, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:40MOST 4th & 1 at MOST 34, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00MOST 4th & 16 at TULN 40, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:50TULN 4th & 3 at MOST 45, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:54MOST 4th & 8 at MOST 34, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:09MOST 4th & 6 at MOST 25, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MOST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:37TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:42TULN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:49TULN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:51MOST Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    3.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:58TULN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:02TULN Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:58TULN Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:21TULN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:15TULN Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:2398% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
97.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 11 yds to the MoSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
97.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 2 yds to the MoSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+4
97.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 4 yds to the MoSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+9
97.5%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 9 yds to the MoSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.5%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the MoSt 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
97.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the MoSt 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+2
97.5%
Justin McMillan run for 2 yds to the MoSt 6Similar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
97.1%
Merek Glover 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.1%
Donovan Daniels run for 3 yds to the MoSt 28Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
97.1%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Armand Baker for 1 yd to the MoSt 29Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.1%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Tyler Currie, broken up by Willie LanghamSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
97.1%
Brendan Withrow punt for 37 yds , Amare Jones returns for 2 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:2897% → 97%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
96.9%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 16 yds to the MoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
96.9%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 49Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+4
96.9%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the MoSt 45Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+19
96.9%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 19 yds to the MoSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
96.9%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the MoSt 25Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+7
96.9%
Justin McMillan run for 7 yds to the MoSt 18Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 2
OPP 18
-5
96.9%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Tyrick James) to the MoSt 23Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+5
96.9%
Justin McMillan run for 5 yds to the MoSt 18Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+5
96.9%
MISSOURI ST Penalty, offside defense (McNeece Egbim) to the MoSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
96.9%
Amare Jones run for 8 yds to the MoSt 5Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+3
96.9%
Amare Jones run for 3 yds to the MoSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
96.9%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 3Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.6%
Amare Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 4INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
96.3%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Tyler Currie for 13 yds to the MoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
96.2%
Donovan Daniels run for 1 yd to the MoSt 39Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
96.2%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Lorenzo Thomas for 10 yds to the MoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
96.2%
D.J. Frost run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+7
96.2%
Peyton Huslig pass intercepted Larry Brooks return for 7 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:3496% → 97%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
96.2%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 8 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
96.2%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
96.1%
Justin McMillan run for 2 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
96.2%
Cameron Sample run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 8
50
+5
96.2%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 5 yds to the MoSt 45Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+2
96.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the MoSt 43Similar
Q1 2:16
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+1
96.1%
Justin McMillan run for 1 yd to the MoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
95.9%
[Shotgun], McMILLAN, J. deep pass incomplete to MCCLESKEY, J. (Darius Joseph), PENALTY TLN personal foul (MCCLESKEY, J.) 15 yards to the TLN43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 25
OWN 43
+57
97.2%
Amare Jones run for 57 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
97.2%
Cameron Sample run for 2 yds to the MoSt 37Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+5
97.2%
Cameron Sample run for 5 yds to the MoSt 32Similar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
97.2%
Amare Jones run for 2 yds to the MoSt 30Similar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+9
97.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 9 yds to the MoSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
97.2%
Justin McMillan pass intercepted Tyler Lovelace return for 8 yds to the MoSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 7INT TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:543% → 2%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
96.9%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Lorenzo Thomas, broken up by Willie LanghamSimilar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
97.0%
Donovan Daniels run for no gain to the MoSt 19Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+30
97.9%
Peyton Huslig pass intercepted for a TD P.J. Hall return for 30 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:582% → 4%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
97.9%
Damoriea Vick run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
50
0
97.8%
Peyton Huslig pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
50
+2
97.8%
Myron Mason run for 2 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+37
97.8%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Donovan Daniels for 37 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.5%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to D.J. Frost for 11 yds for a TD, (Parker Lacina PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 2:4797% → 98%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
97.0%
Justin McMillan run for 12 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
97.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 11 yds to the MoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
97.1%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the MoSt 42Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+12
97.1%
Corey Dauphine run for 12 yds to the MoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
97.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Will Wallace for 7 yds to the MoSt 23Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+19
97.1%
Corey Dauphine run for 19 yds to the MoSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q2 6:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.6%
Justin McMillan run for 4 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Peyton Huslig run for no gain to the MoSt 25Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.8%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Damoriea Vick for a loss of 1 yard Peyton Huslig fumbled,Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
96.9%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Lorenzo ThomasSimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+19
96.9%
Brendan Withrow punt for 46 yds , Amare Jones returns for 19 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:2499% → 100%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
98.6%
Justin McMillan run for 15 yds to the MoSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.6%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the MoSt 36Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
98.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the MoSt 31Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+12
98.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 12 yds to the MoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
98.6%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Kevin LeDee for 17 yds to the MoSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the MoSt 1Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Justin McMillan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.6%
Peyton Huslig run for a loss of 4 yards to the MoSt 21Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+7
99.6%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Lorenzo Thomas for 7 yds to the MoSt 28Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Armand BakerSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Brendan Withrow punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Armand Baker for 3 yds to the MoSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.4%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Donovan Daniels for 9 yds to the MoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.4%
Donovan Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+1
99.4%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Mauricio Chio for 1 yd to the MoSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
99.4%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Tyler CurrieSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
99.4%
Brendan Withrow punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
99.6%
Keon Howard pass complete to Will Wallace for 15 yds Keon Howard fumbled, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Keon Howard pass incomplete to Kevin LeDeeSimilar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+18
99.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 18 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
99.6%
Keon Howard pass complete to Jorien Vallien for 10 yds to the MoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.6%
Keon Howard pass complete to Jorien Vallien for 7 yds to the MoSt 37Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
99.6%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the MoSt 37Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-5
99.6%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MoSt 42Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 8
OPP 42
-18
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 12:05
4TH & 26
OWN 40
+47
99.6%
Ryan Wright punt for 47 yds , Zack Sanders returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
99.6%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Armand Baker for 13 yds to the MoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Donovan Daniels run for 3 yds to the MoSt 28Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.6%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 6 yds to the MoSt 34Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Donovan Daniels run for no gain to the MoSt 34Similar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Brendan Withrow punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
1 play · 88 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+88
99.8%
Keon Howard pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 88 yds for a TD, (Randy Harvey PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 18INT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Lorenzo Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 23Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Lorenzo Thomas, broken up by Juan MonjarresSimilar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+20
99.8%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Tyler Currie for 20 yds to the MoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
99.8%
Peyton Huslig sacked by Malik Lawal for a loss of 8 yards to the MoSt 35Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 18
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Isaiah Allred, broken up by Larry BryantSimilar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+15
99.8%
Peyton Huslig pass intercepted Larry Brooks return for 28 yds to the TULANE 37 MISSOURI ST Penalty, personal foul (Casey O'Brien) to the MoSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 9 yds to the MoSt 4Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the MoSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Ygenio Booker run for 3 yds for a TD, (Randy Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 2:210% → 0%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.9%
Donovan Daniels run for 14 yds to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Donovan Daniels run for 5 yds to the MoSt 44Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
D.J. Frost run for 2 yds to the MoSt 46Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
[Shotgun], Dalton Hill rush quarterback draw for 3 yards to the MSU49 (WILLIAMS, D.), PENALTY MSU illegal formation 5 yards to the MSU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
[Shotgun], Peyton Huslig slant pass incomplete to Tyler Currie, PENALTY TLN pass interference (HARRISON, K.) 15 yards to the TLN44, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
D.J. Frost run for 6 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
D.J. Frost run for 4 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
99.9%
Dalton Hill sacked by KJ Vault for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Dalton Hill pass incomplete to Myron MasonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Donovan Daniels run for no gain to the Tulan 40Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Brendan Withrow punt for 38 yds, downed at the Tulan 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
13 plays · 53 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+9
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 9 yds to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
99.9%
Ygenio Booker run for 7 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 3
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Keon Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Keon Howard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
99.9%
Keon Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+22
99.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 22 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the MoSt 45Similar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 8
50
+5
99.9%
MISSOURI ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the MoSt 45Similar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MoSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Dalton Hill pass incomplete to Isaiah AllredSimilar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Myron Mason run for 1 yd to the MoSt 33Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
Dalton Hill run for 1 yd to the MoSt 34Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Brendan Withrow punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Christian Daniels run for 1 yd to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+52
100.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 52 yds for a TD, (Randy Harvey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
100.0%
Donovan Daniels run for 1 yd to the MoSt 22Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+3
100.0%
Donovan Daniels run for 3 yds to the MoSt 25Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Dalton Hill pass incomplete to Isaac Smith, broken up by Jacquez NormanSimilar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+17
100.0%
Brendan Withrow punt for 32 yds, downed at the TULANE 43 MISSOURI ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the MoSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
100.0%
Andrew Zuckerman run for a loss of 3 yards to the MoSt 45Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
P.J. Hurst run for 4 yds to the MoSt 41Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-2
100.0%
Logan Ammons run for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:02
Justin McMillan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 9:51
Peyton Huslig pass complete to D.J. Frost for 11 yds for a TD, (Parker Lacina PAT BLOCKED)
-1.3
TD · Q2 14:42
Amare Jones run for 57 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com