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MEM

Memphis 42 at South Alabama 6

USA
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:21 · Jack Brooks punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 31 , John Williams returns for 5 yds to the Memph 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior−41.1Home team on offense−1.5Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:21: Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +0.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:18: Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 18 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +1.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:26: Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MEM win probability +3.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:39: Riley Patterson 36 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +0.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:50: Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 4 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 9MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00USA 4th & 12 at USA 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:00MEM 4th & 2 at MEM 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:38USA 4th & 6 at USA 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:21USA 4th & 13 at USA 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:23MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:51USA 4th & 7 at USA 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:18USA 4th & 16 at USA 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:25USA 4th & 1 at USA 27, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:26MEM 4th & 2 at USA 2, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−4.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:39MEM 4th & 13 at USA 18, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:50USA 4th & 3 at USA 40, down 30
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:52MEM 4th & 16 at MEM 45, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:45USA 4th & 7 at MEM 27, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:10MEM 4th & 4 at USA 5, up 30
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:18MEM 4th & 9 at USA 44, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:49USA 4th & 11 at MEM 34, down 36
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:21MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:18MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:26MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:50MEM Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
7.3%
Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 12 yards to the SAlab 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+2
7.3%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+8
7.3%
Cephus Johnson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
7.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
8.0%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
8.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 6 yds to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
8.0%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 2 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
8.0%
Adam Williams punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
8.6%
Cephus Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
8.6%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
8.5%
Jared Wilson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
8.6%
Jared Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 35Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
8.6%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 35Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+5
8.5%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Davyn Flenord for 5 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
8.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:5090% → 91%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+71
9.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 71 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
9.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 6 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
8.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
9.2%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 16 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
9.4%
Cephus Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-5
9.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
9.3%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for no gain to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
9.2%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+5
9.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 31 , John Williams returns for 5 yds to the Memph 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
9.6%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
9.7%
Kylan Watkins run for 9 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-4
9.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 5
OWN 36
-5
9.8%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 31Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+3
9.9%
Adam Williams punt for 47 yds , Tra Minter returns for 3 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
10.2%
Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
10.5%
Jared Wilson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
10.4%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
10.3%
Cephus Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
10.3%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+7
10.2%
Jack Brooks punt for 41 yds , John Williams returns for 7 yds to the Memph 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:4590% → 91%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
10.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 6 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+23
10.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 23 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
10.1%
Kylan Watkins run for 1 yd to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+22
10.2%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 22 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
10.1%
Kylan Watkins run for 5 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-1
10.5%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 18Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+18
8.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 18 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.4%
Cephus Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
9.4%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
9.3%
Cephus Johnson run for 20 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
9.8%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker, broken up by Jacobi FrancisSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
9.8%
Jared Wilson run for no gain to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-6
9.6%
Cephus Johnson sacked by Everitt Cunningham for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 39Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
9.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10INT
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
8.9%
Traveon Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 18Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+32
9.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
50
0
8.6%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
50
+18
8.6%
Traveon Samuel run for 18 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
8.6%
Brady White pass intercepted Keith Gallmon return for no gain to the SAlab 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
9.4%
John Tank Miller run for 3 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
9.4%
Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+3
9.4%
Cephus Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
9.4%
Jack Brooks punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:4891% → 94%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+72
9.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 72 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
8.9%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 5Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
8.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
9.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q2 6:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.1%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13FUMBLE
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.3%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
7.3%
Cephus Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
7.2%
Cephus Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (Everitt Cunningham) to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
7.7%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 17 yds to the SOUTHALA 43 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
7.9%
Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
7.9%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 8
OPP 41
-5
7.8%
Cephus Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 44 Cephus Johnson fumbled, recovered by Memph Austin HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 3:3194% → 95%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
5.6%
GAINWELL, K rush for loss of 2 yards to the MEM42 (Johnson, Kelvin;McWilliams, Rcl), PENALTY USA face mask 15 yards to the USA41, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
5.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 9 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+3
5.4%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
5.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-5
5.5%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+15
5.7%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 15 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
5.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
5.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 1 yd to the SAlab 8Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-5
5.7%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Traveon Samuel) to the SAlab 13Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
4.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Devin RocketteSimilar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 8
OPP 13
-5
5.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 18Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 13
OPP 18
+36
5.4%
Riley Patterson 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
6.3%
Cephus Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:1095% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
4.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Memph 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
4.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+58
4.7%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 58 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.5%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 4 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
3.2%
Cephus Johnson sacked by Jonathan Wilson for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 14Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+4
3.0%
Cephus Johnson pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 4 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+15
3.0%
Johnson, Cephus pass incomplete to Flenord, Davyn, PENALTY MEM pass interference (FRANCIS, Jacobi) 15 yards to the USA33, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
3.2%
Cephus Johnson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
3.2%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Austin HallSimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
3.2%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jared WilsonSimilar
Q3 13:50
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+43
3.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 43 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
2.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kedarian JonesSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
2.2%
Traveon Samuel run for 9 yds to the Memph 25Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+6
1.9%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
2.1%
Brady White pass complete to Traveon Samuel for no gain to the Memph 31Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+20
2.1%
Kylan Watkins run for 20 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
2.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the SAlab 48Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-2
2.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 11
50
-5
2.0%
Brady White sacked by Gi'Narious Johnson and Jeffery Whatley for a loss of 5 yards to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 11:52
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
2.3%
Adam Williams punt for 52 yds, downed at the SAlab 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 70 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
2.5%
Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+3
2.4%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 12Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+16
2.6%
Tylan Morton run for 1 yd to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (Everitt Cunningham) to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
2.6%
Tylan Morton pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
2.4%
Tylan Morton run for 3 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+15
2.5%
Tylan Morton pass complete to John Tank Miller for 15 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
2.7%
John Tank Miller run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+21
2.7%
Tylan Morton pass complete to Tre'Veon Hamilton for 6 yds to the SOUTHALA 45 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (T.J. Carter) to the Memph 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
3.0%
John Tank Miller run for 4 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
3.0%
Jared Wilson run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-1
2.9%
Terrion Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 27Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 7
OPP 27
0
2.7%
Tylan Morton pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker, broken up by Quindell JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:5899% → 100%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
0.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for no gain to the Memph 27Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
0.8%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+17
0.8%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 17 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+41
0.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 41 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
0.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the SAlab 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-2
0.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+7
0.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 7 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
0.5%
Riley Patterson 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.3%
Tylan Morton run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
0.3%
Tylan Morton pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
0.3%
Tylan Morton pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 10 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+48
0.2%
Tylan Morton run for 7 yds Tylan Morton fumbled, forced by Joey Bryant, recovered by Memph Austin Hall , return for 48 yds, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.2%
Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Jacobi Francis Defensive PAT Conversion Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
0.3%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
0.3%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+6
0.3%
Connor Adair pass complete to Kameron Wilson for 6 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
0.3%
Timothy Taylor run for 3 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
0.3%
Timothy Taylor run for 5 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-5
0.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+3
0.3%
Connor Adair pass complete to Timothy Taylor for 3 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 4
OPP 39
-5
0.3%
MEMPHIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 11:18
4TH & 9
OPP 44
+25
0.3%
Adam Williams punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 4 MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (Joseph Dorceus) to the SAlab 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
0.1%
Tylan Morton pass intercepted Xavier Cullens return for no gain to the SAlab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
0.2%
Markevion Quinn run for 4 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+5
0.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+30
0.2%
Markevion Quinn run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 45 Markevion Quinn fumbled, recovered by SAlab A.J. DeShazor , return for 30 yds to the Memph 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.1%
Tylan Morton pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+12
0.1%
Jared Wilson run for 12 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
0.2%
Jared Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 34Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
0.2%
Tylan Morton pass incomplete to John Tank MillerSimilar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Tylan Morton pass incomplete to Cade SutherlandSimilar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 11
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Tylan Morton pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.1%
Marquavius Weaver run for 2 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
0.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+6
0.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for 6 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
0.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+5
0.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the Memph 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:26
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-3
TD · Q3 13:50
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 4 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
-2.2
TD · Q2 14:18
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 18 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com