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SOU

Southern 24 at Memphis 55

MEM
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadSOU aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreSOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:59 · Timothy Taylor run for 9 yds to the Sthrn 5 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:22: Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Jeremias Houston for 4 yds for a TD, (Martel Fontenot KICK) — SOU win probability +1.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:46: Kenneth Gainwell run for 46 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:03: Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:31: Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:36: Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 21 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +1.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:29MEM 4th & 5 at SOU 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:29SOU 4th & 6 at SOU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:38SOU 4th & 13 at SOU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:59MEM 4th & 5 at MEM 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:30SOU 4th & 11 at SOU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:07SOU 4th & 10 at MEM 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:02MEM 4th & 8 at SOU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:56MEM 4th & 5 at SOU 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:03SOU 4th & 9 at SOU 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:31SOU 4th & 16 at SOU 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00SOU 4th & 6 at SOU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:38SOU 4th & 9 at SOU 16, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:59MEM 4th & 4 at SOU 30, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:59MEM 4th & 5 at SOU 14, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:28SOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:38MEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:22SOU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:46MEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:03MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:31MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:36MEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:46MEM Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SOUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Ladarius Skelton pass incomplete to Jamar WashingtonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
99.1%
Devon Benn run for 29 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.1%
Skelton, L. pass incomplete to Bedford,T., PENALTY MEM offside defense (HUFF, Bryce) 5 yards to the MEM41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+29
99.1%
Ladarius Skelton run for 29 yds to the Memph 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.1%
Jamar Washington run for 5 yds to the Memph 7Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
98.9%
Jamar Washington run for 7 yds for a TD, (Martel Fontenot KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:5599% → 99%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
98.9%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 11 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+52
98.9%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 52 yds to the Sthrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Jordan EastlingSimilar
Q1 13:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
99.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 10Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
99.0%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 5 yds to the Sthrn 5Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
98.8%
Riley Patterson 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Ladarius Skelton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.8%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Jeremiah Abby) to the Sthrn 20Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Ladarius Skelton pass incomplete to Jamar Washington, broken up by John Tate IVSimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
98.8%
Ladarius Skelton run for 9 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.8%
Taylor Merritt punt for 26 yds, downed at the Memph 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:4899% → 99%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for no gain to the Memph 45Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
98.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by O TuckerSimilar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+55
98.7%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 55 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.7%
Ladarius Skelton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 23Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
98.7%
Ladarius Skelton pass incomplete to Devon Benn, broken up by Austin HallSimilar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-1
98.7%
Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Christopher Chaney for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 22Similar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
98.7%
Taylor Merritt punt for 45 yds, downed at the Memph 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
98.5%
WHITE, Brady pass complete to COXIE, Damonte for 12 yards to the MEM45 (Cotton, D.), PENALTY MEM holding (ELLIS, Isaac) 10 yards to the MEM23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:59
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+5
98.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 5 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+2
98.5%
Traveon Samuel run for 2 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+8
98.5%
Brady White run for 8 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q1 7:59
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
98.5%
Adam Williams punt for 54 yds, downed at the Sthrn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 7PUNT TD
10 plays · 29 yds · 5:222% → 2%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
98.3%
Skelton, L. rush for 4 yards to the SUBR12 (CARTER, TJ), PENALTY SUBR illegal formation 4 yards to the SUBR4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+8
98.3%
Craig Nelson run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 12Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+14
98.3%
Ladarius Skelton pass complete to T Bedford for 14 yds to the Sthrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
98.3%
Craig Nelson run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
98.3%
Ladarius Skelton run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 35Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
98.3%
Craig Nelson run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.3%
Christopher Chaney run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
98.3%
Christopher Chaney run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 45Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-8
98.3%
Ladarius Skelton sacked by Tim Hart for a loss of 8 yards to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+27
98.1%
Taylor Merritt punt blocked by Austin Hall. Keith Brown Jr. return for 27 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 8TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 10:082% → 5%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.0%
Ladarius Skelton run for 12 yds to the Sthrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
97.9%
Ladarius Skelton run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-6
97.9%
Skelton, L. pass complete to Washington, J. for 7 yards to the SUBR47 (HALL, Austin), PENALTY SUBR illegal touching (Washington, J.) 6 yards to the SUBR34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+16
98.0%
Ladarius Skelton run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
97.8%
Darbbeon Profit run for 2 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
97.8%
Ladarius Skelton run for 7 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
97.8%
Craig Nelson run for 3 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
97.8%
Cameron Mackey run for 6 yds to the Memph 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+7
97.8%
Christopher Chaney run for 7 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.8%
Christopher Chaney run for no gain to the Memph 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
97.8%
Ladarius Skelton pass incomplete to T Bedford, broken up by Jacobi FrancisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+12
97.9%
Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Hunter Register for 12 yds to the Memph 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.8%
Cameron Mackey run for no gain to the Memph 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-2
97.8%
Christopher Chaney run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+12
97.9%
Ladarius Skelton pass complete to T Bedford for 8 yds to the Memph 7 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (JJ Russell) to the Memph 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
96.4%
Ladarius Skelton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 5Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
96.4%
Ladarius Skelton run for 1 yd to the Memph 4Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.6%
Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Jeremias Houston for 4 yds for a TD, (Martel Fontenot KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:3196% → 97%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
95.6%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-4
95.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 37Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+17
95.1%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 17 yds to the Sthrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
96.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 46 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 10FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 2:394% → 5%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.5%
Ladarius Skelton run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
96.4%
Devon Benn run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 32Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
96.2%
Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Cameron Mackey for 13 yds to the Sthrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
96.0%
Devon Benn run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+36
95.9%
Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Hunter Register for 36 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
95.6%
Ladarius Skelton pass incomplete to Hunter RegisterSimilar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
95.6%
Ladarius Skelton pass incomplete to T Bedford SOUTHERN Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
95.7%
Ladarius Skelton run for no gain to the Memph 17Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
95.3%
Martel Fontenot 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 1:0596% → 96%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.9%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 4 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+14
96.2%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 14 yds to the Sthrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
96.3%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 14 yds to the Sthrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
96.4%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 4 yds to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-2
96.3%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
96.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Antonio Gibson, broken up by Benjamin HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
96.3%
Riley Patterson 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:5396% → 98%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
96.3%
Brady White pass complete to John Williams for 9 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
96.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for no gain to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
96.2%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
96.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 18 yds to the Sthrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
96.5%
Kenneth Gainwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 35Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+2
96.4%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 33Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+5
96.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+11
96.1%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 11 yds to the Sthrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
96.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 9 yds to the Sthrn 8Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 1
OPP 8
-1
96.5%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 9Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+3
96.3%
Kylan Watkins run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.1%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.6%
Jamar Washington run for 10 yds to the Sthrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
97.5%
Devon Benn run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 36Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
97.5%
Glendon McDaniel pass incomplete to Jamar WashingtonSimilar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
97.6%
Glendon McDaniel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:03
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
97.7%
Cesar Barajas punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15FUMBLE TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 3:4198% → 95%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+5
98.1%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 5 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.1%
WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to GIBSON, Antonio, PENALTY MEM illegal formation 5 yards to the MEM20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
98.0%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 4 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
98.1%
Traveon Samuel run for 5 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
98.0%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 5 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
98.0%
SOUTHERN Penalty, offside defense (Dakavion Champion) to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+45
98.3%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 45 yds to the MEMPHIS 15 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 9Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-10
98.3%
GAINWELL, K rush for 4 yards to the SUBR5, PENALTY MEM holding (PARHAM, Dylan) 10 yards to the SUBR19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+74
95.2%
Brady White sacked by Jordan Lewis for a loss of 8 yards Brady White fumbled, recovered by Sthrn Jordan Lewis , return for 0 yards , return for 74 yds, (Martel Fontenot KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:1695% → 98%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
95.1%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 32Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+65
95.0%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 65 yds to the Sthrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
95.7%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 4Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
95.7%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 1Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.7%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Cameron Mackey) to the Sthrn 20Similar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
97.8%
Christopher Chaney run for no gain to the Sthrn 20Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
97.8%
Glendon McDaniel pass complete to Christopher Chaney for 4 yds to the Sthrn 24Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
97.8%
Glendon McDaniel sacked by JJ Russell for a loss of 5 yards to the Sthrn 19Similar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
97.8%
Cesar Barajas punt, downed at the Sthrn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18TD
1 play · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kenneth Gainwell for 21 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:361% → 1%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Craig Nelson run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
99.3%
Craig Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Ladarius Skelton pass incomplete to Jamar WashingtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.4%
Cesar Barajas punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 25 , John Williams returns for 2 yds to the Memph 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:19100% → 100%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Connor Adair pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 2 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 1 yd to the Memph 28Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.5%
Connor Adair pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 10 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 9 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
99.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.5%
Connor Adair pass complete to Tahj Washington for 3 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Connor Adair pass incomplete to Javon IvorySimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+25
99.5%
Connor Adair pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 25 yds to the Sthrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.5%
Kylan Watkins run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 15Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+5
99.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
100.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 10 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
100.0%
Ladarius Skelton run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 21Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-5
100.0%
Ladarius Skelton run for a loss of 5 yards to the Sthrn 16Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Glendon McDaniel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:38
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+3
100.0%
Cesar Barajas punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 47 , John Williams returns for 3 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22END OF GAME
12 plays · 42 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
100.0%
Timothy Taylor run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
100.0%
Timothy Taylor run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 38Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
100.0%
Timothy Taylor run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
100.0%
WEAVER, M rush for 3 yards to the SUBR33 (Farmer, T.), PENALTY MEM holding (JONES, Titus) 10 yards to the SUBR46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+1
100.0%
Marquavius Weaver run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 45Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 19
OPP 45
+5
100.0%
Marquavius Weaver run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+10
100.0%
Connor Adair pass complete to Timothy Taylor for 10 yds to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+11
100.0%
Connor Adair pass complete to Coye' Fairman for 11 yds to the Sthrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
100.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 15Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
100.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 12Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-2
100.0%
Timothy Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 14Similar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+9
100.0%
Timothy Taylor run for 9 yds to the Sthrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:31
Kenneth Gainwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q3 10:03
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 5:22
Ladarius Skelton pass complete to Jeremias Houston for 4 yds for a TD, (Martel Fontenot KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com