Try the model
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · TDECU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · HOU
modelHOU aheadPV aheadconfidence bandkey playHOU scorePV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—HOU 99.2%Dalton Witherspoon 22 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 34 · Q2 6:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:19 · Dalton Witherspoon 22 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior+38.6Home team on offense+20.8Score differential+16.6Blowout margin+5.0Garbage-time factor+5.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:28: Dalton Witherspoon 46 yd FG GOOD — PV win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:19: D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 21 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:25: D'Eriq King run for 18 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK) — HOU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:20: Trazon Connley pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 16 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK) — PV win probability +1.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: PV has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 10:06: Dalton Witherspoon 29 yd FG GOOD — HOU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7PV made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:28HOU 4th & 4 at PV 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:28PV 4th & 19 at PV 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:46PV 4th & 6 at HOU 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:27PV 4th & 10 at PV 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00PV 4th & 9 at PV 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:25PV 4th & 2 at PV 33, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:19HOU 4th & 1 at PV 5, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:20PV 4th & 11 at HOU 16, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00PV 4th & 11 at PV 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:06HOU 4th & 12 at PV 12, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:49HOU 4th & 5 at HOU 35, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:52PV 4th & 15 at HOU 40, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:48HOU 4th & 22 at HOU 28, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00PV 4th & 2 at PV 43, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:38PV 4th & 15 at PV 27, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:35HOU 4th & 2 at HOU 21, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:54HOU 4th & 1 at HOU 29, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:35PV 4th & 12 at PV 49, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
HOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PV made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:19HOU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:27HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:19HOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:25HOU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:20PV Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:04PV Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:3298% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.3%
Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Houst 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+13
98.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 13 yds to the PraVw 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
98.3%
Kyle Porter run for 14 yds to the PraVw 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
98.3%
D'Eriq King sacked by DePriest Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the PraVw 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-9
98.3%
Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the PraVw 35 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the PraVw 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 45
-1
98.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for a loss of 1 yard to the PraVw 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 46
+17
98.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 17 yds to the PraVw 29Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+46
97.9%
Dalton Witherspoon 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
97.9%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete, broken up by Gervarrius OwensSimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-4
97.9%
Dawonya Tucker run for a loss of 4 yards to the PraVw 6Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 14
OWN 6
-5
97.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the PraVw 1Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 19
OWN 1
0
97.9%
Caleb Darbone punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PraVw 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:3698% → 98%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
97.8%
Kyle Porter run for 8 yds to the PraVw 20Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+20
97.8%
Kyle Porter run for 20 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 4FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:332% → 3%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
97.8%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Klyde Chriss for 10 yds to the PraVw 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
97.7%
Jalen Morton run for 14 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
97.7%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Jose Medrano for 9 yds to the Houst 32Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+27
97.7%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 27 yds to the Houst 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.7%
Jalen Morton run for 1 yd to the Houst 4Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
97.7%
Caleb Broach run for 1 yd to the Houst 3Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
97.7%
Dawonya Tucker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 6Similar
Q1 5:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
97.3%
Zach Elder 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:1997% → 98%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
97.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 20 yds to the PraVw 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
97.5%
Kyle Porter run for 24 yds to the PraVw 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
97.5%
Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the PraVw 16Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+7
97.5%
Kyle Porter run for 7 yds to the PraVw 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
97.5%
Chandler Smith run for 8 yds to the PraVw 1Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.5%
Chandler Smith run for no gain to the PraVw 1Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
D'Eriq King run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Klyde ChrissSimilar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Klyde ChrissSimilar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Dawonya TuckerSimilar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.5%
Caleb Darbone punt, downed at the HOUSTON 45 PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, personal foul (Ronald Collins) to the PraVw 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:3998% → 98%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
97.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 3 yds to the PraVw 37Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+14
97.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 14 yds to the PraVw 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
97.7%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the PraVw 21Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
97.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+21
98.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 21 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:192% → 2%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.2%
Dawonya Tucker run for 1 yd to the PraVw 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.2%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Tristen WallaceSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.3%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Tristen WallaceSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+13
98.3%
Caleb Darbone punt for 40 yds , Bryson Smith returns for 13 yds to the Houst 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:1498% → 99%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.3%
PORTER, Kyle rush up middle for 1 yard to the HOU48 (Joahua Williams), PENALTY PVAM offside (Ronald Collins) 5 yards to the PVAM48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 5
OPP 48
0
98.3%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+6
98.3%
Kyle Porter run for 6 yds to the PraVw 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.3%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+11
98.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 11 yds to the PraVw 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.3%
Kyle Porter run for no gain to the PraVw 31Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
98.3%
Chandler Smith run for 10 yds to the PraVw 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
98.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Bryson Smith for 8 yds to the PraVw 13Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 2
OPP 13
-5
98.3%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 5 yards to the PraVw 18Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
99.2%
D'Eriq King run for 18 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Jalen Morton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Tony MullinsSimilar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.1%
Jalen Morton run for 8 yds to the PraVw 33Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Caleb Darbone punt blocked by Keith Corbin blocked by Keith CorbinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 11FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:0299% → 99%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.2%
Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the PraVw 23Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
99.2%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-5
99.2%
D'Eriq King sacked by Storey Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the PraVw 28 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+14
99.3%
WITHERSPOON, Da field goal attempt from 45 GOOD, clock 08:10, PENALTY PVAM personal foul (Storey Jackson) 14 yards to the PVAM14, 1ST DOWN HOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
99.3%
Kyle Porter run for 9 yds to the PraVw 5Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 1
OPP 5
-1
99.2%
Kyle Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the PraVw 6Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
99.2%
Chandler Smith run for 1 yd to the PraVw 5Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+22
99.2%
Dalton Witherspoon 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 12TD
20 plays · 85 yds · 5:591% → 2%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.1%
Dawonya Tucker run for 3 yds to the PraVw 18Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+7
99.1%
Dawonya Tucker run for 7 yds to the PraVw 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Trazon Connley run for 2 yds to the PraVw 27Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.1%
Trazon Connley run for 7 yds to the PraVw 34Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.0%
Trazon Connley run for 2 yds to the PraVw 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Trazon Connley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Jared Scott for no gain to the PraVw 36Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.1%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 10 yds to the PraVw 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.1%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PraVw 41Similar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 15
OWN 41
-10
99.1%
Trazon Connley sideline left pass incomplete to Travis O'Connor, PENALTY PVAM holding (Damerion Ward) 10 yards to the PVAM31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+7
99.6%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Tony Mullins for 7 yds to the PraVw 38Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+19
99.6%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Chris Johnson for 19 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.6%
Trazon Connley pass incomplete to Tristen WallaceSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+28
99.6%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Travis O'Connor for 28 yds to the Houst 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
99.5%
Kristian Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 16Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
99.5%
Trazon Connley pass incomplete to Tony MullinsSimilar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
99.6%
Trazon Connley pass incomplete to Tristen Wallace, broken up by Damarion WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+16
98.3%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 16 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.8%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.4%
Dawonya Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the PraVw 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
98.4%
Trazon Connley pass incomplete to Kalen Riles, broken up by Gervarrius OwensSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
98.4%
Trazon Connley pass incomplete to Tristen WallaceSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
98.4%
Amaury Martinez punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:0599% → 100%
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
98.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Christian Trahan for 12 yds to the PraVw 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
98.7%
Kyle Porter run for 9 yds to the PraVw 39Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+12
98.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 12 yds to the PraVw 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
98.7%
Kyle Porter run for 10 yds to the PraVw 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
98.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 6 yds to the PraVw 11Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+6
98.7%
Kyle Porter run for 6 yds to the PraVw 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-7
98.7%
D'Eriq King sacked by Jason Dumas for a loss of 7 yards to the PraVw 12Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
98.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez StevensonSimilar
Q3 14:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
98.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson, broken up by Ronald CollinsSimilar
Q3 10:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
99.7%
Dalton Witherspoon 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+25
99.7%
Dawonya Tucker run for 25 yds to the PraVw 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Klyde Chriss for 7 yds to the PraVw 32Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Trazon Connley pass incomplete to Tony Mullins, broken up by Gervarrius OwensSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Amaury Martinez punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.7%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PraVw 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 29Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+6
99.8%
Chandler Smith run for 6 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
99.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Dane Roy punt for 47 yds , Tony Mullins returns for no gain to the PraVw 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.8%
Dawonya Tucker run for 3 yds to the PraVw 21Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
99.8%
Trazon Connley run for 2 yds to the PraVw 23Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+27
99.8%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Jordan Jones for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
50
+15
99.7%
Trazon Connley pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 15 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
99.7%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, false start (Danny Garza) to the Houst 40Similar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+7
99.8%
Trazon Connley run for 7 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-10
99.7%
Dawonya Tucker rush right for 2 yards to the HOU31 (SMITH, Ka.), PENALTY PVAM holding (Eric Dunn) 10 yards to the HOU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 18
OPP 43
-10
99.8%
Trazon Connley sacked by Grant Stuard for a loss of 10 yards to the PraVw 47Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 28
OWN 47
+13
99.8%
Dawonya Tucker run for 13 yds to the Houst 40Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Trazon Connley pass incomplete to Klyde Chriss, broken up by Shaun LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Kyle Porter run for no gain to the Houst 40Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for 5 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-7
99.9%
D'Eriq King sacked by Jason Dumas and Desmond Obi for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 38Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 12
OWN 38
-10
99.9%
ROY, Dane punt 60 yards to the PVAM2, Tony Mullins return to the PVAM3 (McGOWAN, Cole), PENALTY HOU holding 10 yards to the HOU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 22
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Dane Roy punt for 37 yds, downed at the PraVw 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.9%
Dawonya Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the PraVw 33Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Tyriek Starks run for 2 yds to the PraVw 35Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Tyriek Starks run for 8 yds to the PraVw 43Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Tyriek Starks run for 1 yd to the PraVw 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for 13 yds to the PraVw 31 for a 1ST down PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for 4 yds to the PraVw 27Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+7
99.9%
D'Eriq King pass intercepted Logan Jackson return for 7 yds to the PraVw 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 22INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Tyriek Starks pass incomplete to Jared ScottSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Tyriek Starks pass incomplete to Klyde ChrissSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 8
-4
99.9%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, false start (Damerion Ward) to the PraVw 4Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 14
OWN 4
+15
99.9%
HOUSTON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the PraVw 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Caleb Broach run for no gain to the PraVw 19Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+12
99.9%
Tyriek Starks run for 12 yds to the PraVw 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Tyriek Starks pass intercepted Shaun Lewis return for no gain to the Houst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for 9 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+34
99.9%
Chandler Smith run for 34 yds to the PraVw 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Chandler Smith for 1 yd Chandler Smith fumbled, forced by Logan Jackson, recovered by PraVw Drake CheatumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
Tyriek Starks sacked by Payton Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the PraVw 27Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Tyriek Starks pass incomplete to Travis O'ConnorSimilar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 15
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Tyriek Starks pass incomplete to Chris JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Amaury Martinez punt for 60 yds, downed at the Houst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Kelan Walker run for 4 yds to the Houst 17Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
99.9%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Cole McGowanSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Kelan Walker for 4 yds to the Houst 21Similar
Q4 10:35
4TH & 2
OWN 21
+25
99.9%
Dane Roy punt for 56 yds , Dawonya Tucker returns for 25 yds to the PraVw 46 PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the PraVw 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Kelan Walker run for 2 yds to the Houst 22Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
99.9%
Logan Holgorsen pass complete to Shane Creamer for 5 yds to the Houst 27Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Kelan Walker run for 2 yds to the Houst 29 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Dane Roy punt for 40 yds, downed at the PraVw 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 27TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:480% → 1%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Tyriek Starks run for 1 yd to the PraVw 32Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Tyriek Starks run for 2 yds to the PraVw 34Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+10
100.0%
Tyriek Starks pass complete to Chris Johnson for 10 yds to the PraVw 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
Kristian Mosley run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 4
50
-4
99.9%
Tyriek Starks sacked by Isaiah Chambers for a loss of 4 yards to the PraVw 46Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+54
99.5%
Tyriek Starks pass complete to Kristian Mosley for 54 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Kelan Walker run for 9 yds to the Houst 34Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.6%
Kelan Walker run for 4 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.6%
Kelan Walker run for 8 yds to the Houst 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.3%
Tyriek Starks pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 9 yds to the PraVw 47Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+4
99.2%
Kristian Mosley run for 4 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
99.2%
Kristian Mosley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PraVw 49Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
99.2%
Tyriek Starks pass incomplete to Klyde ChrissSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Tyriek Starks pass incomplete to Klyde ChrissSimilar
Q4 10:35
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Amaury Martinez punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:20
Trazon Connley pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 16 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK)
-1.3
FG · Q3 10:06
Dalton Witherspoon 29 yd FG GOOD
+1
TD · Q2 10:25
D'Eriq King run for 18 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com