Try the model
GWEB

Gardner-Webb 9 at East Carolina 48

ECU
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadGWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreGWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.3ECU 96.8%Jake Verity 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 10 · Q1 7:04
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:04 · Jake Verity 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior+44.8Home team on offense+2.1Score differential+0.2Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:09: Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:23: A.J. Moses run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kurt Everett KICK) — GWEB win probability +1.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:22: Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:58: Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:37: Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4GWEB made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:40GWEB 4th & 23 at GWEB 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:04ECU 4th & 6 at GWEB 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:04GWEB 4th & 15 at GWEB 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:22GWEB 4th & 17 at GWEB 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:19ECU 4th & 20 at GWEB 36, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:37GWEB 4th & 9 at ECU 42, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:14GWEB 4th & 19 at GWEB 34, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:48ECU 4th & 4 at GWEB 37, up 29
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:25GWEB 4th & 17 at GWEB 8, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:48GWEB 4th & 5 at GWEB 19, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:57ECU 4th & 11 at GWEB 11, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:57GWEB 4th & 7 at GWEB 28, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:33GWEB 4th & 8 at GWEB 43, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6GWEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:40ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:09ECU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:23GWEB Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:22ECU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:58ECU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:37ECU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:33ECU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:2098% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
97.6%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 9 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+1
97.6%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+24
97.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Darius Pinnix Jr. for 24 yds to the GrdWb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
97.6%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 40Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+4
97.6%
Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-5
97.6%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Anthony Watley) to the GrdWb 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+8
97.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Darius Pinnix Jr. for 8 yds to the GrdWb 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+12
97.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 12 yds to the GrdWb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
97.6%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 14 yds to the GrdWb 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.2%
Holton Ahlers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Jayln Cagle run for 10 yds to the GrdWb 35 GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, Offensive holding (Chuma Awanna) to the GrdWb 25Similar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
97.1%
Jordan Smith sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 13 yards to the GrdWb 12Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 23
OWN 12
0
97.1%
Jordan Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 23
OWN 12
0
97.2%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Jameson Turner, broken up by Xavier SmithSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 23
OWN 12
-5
97.2%
Jack Pawloski punt for 35 yds , Tyler Snead returns for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:3297% → 97%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+27
97.1%
Holton Ahlers run for 27 yds to the GrdWb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler SneadSimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
97.1%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 24Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+13
97.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 13 yds to the GrdWb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson, broken up by Cameron McCutcheonSimilar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
97.1%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 7Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
97.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Blake Proehl, broken up by A.J. KeeneSimilar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
96.8%
Jake Verity 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.7%
Jayln Cagle run for a loss of 5 yards to the GrdWb 20Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
96.7%
Jordan Smith run for no gain to the GrdWb 20Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
96.8%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Chuma Awanna, broken up by Ja'Quan McMillianSimilar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
96.8%
Jack Pawloski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 4:3397% → 97%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
96.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 11 yds to the GrdWb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
96.7%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 46Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+10
96.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 10 yds to the GrdWb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
96.7%
Jsi Hatfield run for 15 yds to the GrdWb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
96.7%
Holton Ahlers run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 16Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+2
96.7%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 14Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+3
96.7%
Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
96.7%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 6Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
96.7%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 3Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
97.3%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:463% → 5%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.0%
Jayln Cagle run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 30Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
97.0%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 9 yds to the GrdWb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
97.0%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
97.0%
Jayln Cagle run for 8 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+2
96.9%
Jordan Smith run for 2 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
97.0%
Jordan Smith pass complete to A.J. Alexander for 9 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 0
0
96.9%
SMITH, J. deep pass incomplete to GATHINGS, I., PENALTY GWU ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY ECU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
96.9%
Jayln Cagle run for no gain to the ECaro 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
96.9%
Jayln Cagle run for 4 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
96.9%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 25 yds to the ECaro 2 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Davondre Robinson) to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.0%
A.J. Moses run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kurt Everett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 4:0195% → 98%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
95.4%
Hussein Howe run for 1 yd to the ECaro 14Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+5
95.4%
Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the ECaro 19Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+6
95.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 6 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 8 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+22
95.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 22 yds to the GrdWb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+21
95.6%
Holton Ahlers run for 21 yds to the GrdWb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
95.7%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 8 yds to the GrdWb 16Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+3
95.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.9%
Jordan Smith pass complete to A.J. Alexander for 1 yd to the GrdWb 26Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.9%
A.J. Moses run for no gain to the GrdWb 26Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-8
96.9%
Jordan Smith sacked by Bruce Bivens for a loss of 8 yards to the GrdWb 18Similar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 17
OWN 18
-3
97.0%
Jack Pawloski punt for 58 yds , Tyler Snead returns for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
97.2%
Jsi Hatfield run for 12 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
97.2%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+23
97.2%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 23 yds to the GrdWb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
97.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 15 yds to the GrdWb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
97.3%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 31Similar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 15
OPP 31
0
97.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Mydreon VinesSimilar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 15
OPP 31
-5
97.3%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 36Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 20
OPP 36
0
97.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Demetrius Mauney for no gain to the GrdWb 36Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 20
OPP 36
0
97.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Mydreon Vines, broken up by Kobe RodgersSimilar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 20
OPP 36
0
97.1%
Jonn Young punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 10INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
96.7%
A.J. Moses run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 7Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+22
96.7%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 22 yds to the GrdWb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-10
96.4%
SMITH, J. deep out pass complete to GATHINGS, I. for 36 yards to the ECU35 (McMILLIAN, Ja'Q), PENALTY GWU holding (CLARK, D.) 10 yards to the GWU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 20
OWN 19
+32
96.6%
Jordan Smith pass intercepted Ja'Quan McMillian return for 32 yds to the GrdWb 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3297% → 99%
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
97.4%
Hussein Howe run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 2Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.7%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.1%
Jayln Cagle run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 27Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
98.1%
Jayln Cagle run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 13INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
98.1%
Jayln Cagle run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+11
98.1%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 11 yds to the GrdWb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
98.0%
Jordan Smith run for 8 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (14 Yards) to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
97.9%
Jordan Smith pass intercepted Gerard Stringer return for 41 yds to the GrdWb 7 GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, personal foul (Darius Clark) to the GrdWb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:3499% → 100%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for no gain to the GrdWb 20Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Jayln Cagle run for no gain to the GrdWb 19Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.7%
Jayln Cagle run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 20Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+37
99.7%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 37 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
99.7%
GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, false start (Izaiah Gathings) to the ECaro 48Similar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+6
99.7%
Jordan Smith run for 6 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Izaiah GathingsSimilar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Jayln CagleSimilar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Jack Pawloski punt for 41 yds, downed at the ECaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:13100% → 100%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
99.7%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.7%
Dexter Brown run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 44Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Chuma AwannaSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-10
99.7%
Jordan Smith sacked by Alex Turner for a loss of 10 yards to the GrdWb 34Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 19
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Jack Pawloski punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 6 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+26
99.8%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 26 yds to the GrdWb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
99.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for a loss of 3 yards to the GrdWb 46Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+9
99.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 9 yds to the GrdWb 37Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Mydreon Vines, broken up by Cameron McCutcheonSimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Jonn Young punt for 35 yds, downed at the GrdWb 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
99.8%
Dexter Brown run for no gain to the GrdWb 2Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+6
99.8%
Dexter Brown run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 8Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+7
99.8%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Devron Harper for 7 yds to the GrdWb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Dexter Brown run for no gain to the GrdWb 15Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-7
99.8%
Jordan Smith sacked by Alex Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the GrdWb 8Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 17
OWN 8
0
99.8%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Izaiah Gathings, broken up by Xavier SmithSimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 17
OWN 8
+5
99.8%
Jack Pawloski punt for 45 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 5 yds to the GrdWb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
99.9%
Holton Ahlers run for 18 yds to the GrdWb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Zech Byrd for 3 yds to the GrdWb 27Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 22Similar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+3
99.8%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
99.9%
AHLERS, Holton crossing pass complete to JOHNSON, C.J. for 19 yards to the GWU0, clock 00:51, PENALTY ECU ineligible downfield on pass (HERRIN, Cortez) 5 yards to the GWU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 15
OPP 24
-1
99.9%
Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 25Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 16
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Darius Pinnix Jr. for 6 yds to the GrdWb 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Deonte Grier return for 2 yds to the GrdWb 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+12
99.9%
Jayln Cagle run for 12 yds to the GrdWb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Devron HarperSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Jordan Smith run for no gain to the GrdWb 14Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
Jordan Smith pass complete to A.J. Alexander for 5 yds to the GrdWb 19Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Jack Pawloski punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:06100% → 100%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.9%
Demetrius Mauney run for 8 yds to the GrdWb 49Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Demetrius Mauney run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Jeremy LewisSimilar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+13
99.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 13 yds to the GrdWb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Mydreon VinesSimilar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
Demetrius Mauney run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 27Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+18
99.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Demetrius Mauney for 18 yds to the GrdWb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 7Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Demetrius Mauney run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 5Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
99.9%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Jameson Turner and Quinton Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the GrdWb 11Similar
Q4 8:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
99.9%
Jake Verity 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Narii Gaither run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 29Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
Narii Gaither run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 28Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Chuma AwannaSimilar
Q4 8:57
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Jack Pawloski punt for 48 yds, downed at the ECaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Demetrius Mauney run for no gain to the ECaro 24Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+14
99.9%
Demetrius Mauney run for 14 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Demetrius Mauney run for 5 yds to the ECaro 43Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Demetrius Mauney run for 6 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
99.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 14 yds to the GrdWb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+27
99.9%
Demetrius Mauney run for 27 yds to the GrdWb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
100.0%
Reid Herring run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Devron Harper, broken up by Warren SabaSimilar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Jordan Smith run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 31Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
100.0%
Jordan Smith pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 10 yds to the GrdWb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Jordan Smith run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 45Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Narii Gaither run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 47Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-4
100.0%
Jordan Smith sacked by Aaron Ramseur for a loss of 4 yards to the GrdWb 43Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Jack Pawloski punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Demetrius Mauney run for 4 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+23
100.0%
Demetrius Mauney run for 23 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
Demetrius Mauney run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 48Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Demetrius Mauney run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:22
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 12:23
A.J. Moses run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kurt Everett KICK)
-1.9
TD · Q2 0:58
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com