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WAG

Wagner 21 at UConn 24

CONN
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2019 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreWAG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:05 · Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds, downed at the Wagn 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+12.5Home team on offense+16.8Garbage-time factor+9.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Score differential+2.1Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:29: Mike Beaudry pass intercepted for a TD Myron Morris return for 71 yds for a TD — WAG win probability +10.3 pts (now 20%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:29: Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +7.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:29: Dymitri McKenzie run for 55 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK) — WAG win probability +15.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 4:29: Art Thompkins run for 5 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +13.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:29: Dymitri McKenzie run for 7 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK) — WAG win probability +21.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: WAG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WAG made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00WAG 4th & 8 at WAG 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:07CONN 4th & 3 at CONN 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:56WAG 4th & 10 at WAG 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:29WAG 4th & 10 at WAG 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:21CONN 4th & 15 at CONN 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00WAG 4th & 6 at WAG 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:30CONN 4th & 5 at WAG 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.9%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:30WAG 4th & 10 at WAG 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:24CONN 4th & 22 at CONN 9, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:23WAG 4th & 5 at CONN 44, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:17CONN 4th & 1 at WAG 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:06WAG 4th & 28 at WAG 4, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−2.0
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:29CONN 4th & 3 at WAG 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−4.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00WAG 4th & 18 at WAG 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−2.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:05CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:37WAG 4th & 1 at CONN 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−2.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WAG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:29CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:29WAG Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:29CONN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:29WAG Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:29CONN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:29WAG Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAGDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.8%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambre, broken up by Tahj Herring-WilsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
92.8%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 1 yd to the Wagn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+6
92.8%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Adam Giordano for 6 yds to the Wagn 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 48
-5
92.8%
WAGNER Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
92.8%
Eric Silvester punt for 44 yds, downed at the UConn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
92.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 8Similar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+6
92.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
92.3%
Mike Beaudry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+6
92.3%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Matt Drayton for 6 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+15
92.3%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 52 yds , Jeremiah Lorick returns for 15 yds to the Wagn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:438% → 8%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
91.8%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 3 yds to the Wagn 46Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
91.8%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Adam GiordanoSimilar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-3
91.7%
Christian Alexander-Stevens run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wagn 43Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+6
91.8%
Eric Silvester punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 20 , Quayvon Skanes returns for 6 yds to the UConn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:4592% → 92%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
91.6%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
91.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
91.6%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Matt Drayton for 7 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+3
91.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
91.7%
Mike Beaudry run for 10 yds to the Wagn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
91.8%
Art Thompkins run for 7 yds to the Wagn 41Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
91.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Wagn 39Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
91.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Wagn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
91.8%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 30 yds to the Wagn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
91.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Wagn 3Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Wagn 2Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.8%
Mike Beaudry run for 2 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.8%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
91.8%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Ike Ikechukwu for no gain to the Wagn 21Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
91.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Jeremiah LorickSimilar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
91.9%
Eric Silvester punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.7%
Mike Beaudry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
91.6%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-9
91.5%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Tevaughn Grant and Santoni Graham for a loss of 9 yards to the UConn 35Similar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 20
OWN 35
+5
91.2%
WAGNER Penalty, offside defense (Titus Leo) to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+5
91.2%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 54 yds , Jeremiah Lorick returns for 5 yds to the Wagn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:399% → 9%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
91.1%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 1 yd to the Wagn 12Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+4
91.2%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 4 yds to the Wagn 16Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+10
91.2%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 10 yds to the Wagn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
90.8%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 9 yds to the Wagn 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 35
-5
90.4%
ALEXANDER-STEVE rush for 1 yard to the WAGNER36 (MORGAN, D.J.;PAUL, Keyshawn), PENALTY WAGNER false start (SANTIAGO,Xavier) 5 yards to the WAGNER30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
90.7%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Adam GiordanoSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
90.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Noah EllisonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+6
91.1%
Eric Silvester punt for 39 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 6 yds to the UConn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 5:0191% → 90%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
90.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+14
90.8%
Art Thompkins run for 14 yds to the Wagn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
90.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Wagn 42Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+2
91.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Wagn 40Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-10
90.8%
THOMPKINS, Art rush for 17 yards to the WAGNER23 (LYONS, Ahmad), PENALTY UCONN holding (PEART, Matt) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 13
50
+21
90.4%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Matt Drayton for 21 yds to the Wagn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
91.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Wagn 24Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+7
91.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the Wagn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
91.1%
BEAUDRY, Mike pass complete to THOMPKINS, Art for 2 yards to the WAGNER15 (GRAHAM, Santoni;LEO, Titus), PENALTY UCONN holding (HAIRSTON, Camer) 10 yards to the WAGNER27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+3
91.0%
Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the Wagn 24Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 17
OPP 24
+12
90.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Art Thompkins for 12 yds to the Wagn 12Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
90.9%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Quayvon SkanesSimilar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
90.4%
Clayton Harris 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
91.1%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 5 yds to the Wagn 32Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
90.8%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Jeremiah LorickSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-5
91.1%
WAGNER Penalty, false start (Tyler Piekarz) to the Wagn 27Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
91.3%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Jeremiah Lorick, broken up by Kyle WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
91.5%
Eric Silvester punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
90.6%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 20Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-7
90.5%
Mike Beaudry sacked by Macai Bruce for a loss of 7 yards to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 18
OWN 13
-4
90.3%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 9Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 22
OWN 9
+2
89.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 42 yds , Jeremiah Lorick returns for 2 yds to the UConn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
89.9%
Ike Ikechukwu run for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+3
89.8%
Ike Ikechukwu run for 3 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
89.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
90.4%
Eric Silvester punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 61 yds · 2:2690% → 91%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
90.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+24
90.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 24 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
90.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
90.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+6
90.5%
Art Thompkins run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
50
+9
90.8%
Art Thompkins run for 9 yds to the Wagn 41Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+2
91.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Wagn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.9%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Matt Drayton, broken up by Myron MorrisSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
90.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Wagn 36Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
90.7%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 6 yds to the Wagn 30Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
90.5%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Wagn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
90.2%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 12 yds to the Wagn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14FUMBLE
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
89.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+9
89.5%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Matt Drayton for 9 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
89.9%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Art Thompkins for 2 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
90.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+13
89.5%
BEAUDRY, Mike pass incomplete to DRAYTON, Matt, PENALTY WAGNER pass interference (DANIEL, Drew) 13 yards to the WAGNER48, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.3%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Matt DraytonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
90.3%
Art Thompkins run for 10 yds to the Wagn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
90.4%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 13 yds to the Wagn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
90.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Wagn 22 Kevin Mensah fumbled, forced by Christopher Williams, recovered by Wagn Macai BruceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -18 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
89.2%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Justice Stewart for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 20Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 12
OWN 20
-10
89.5%
McKENZIE, D rush for 4 yards to the WAGNER24 (JONES, Kevon;UGUAK, Lwal), PENALTY WAGNER holding (GANGAROSSA, C) 10 yards to the WAGNER10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 22
OWN 10
+5
89.5%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 5 yds to the Wagn 15Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 17
OWN 15
-11
89.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens sacked by Lwal Uguak for a loss of 11 yards to the Wagn 4Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 28
OWN 4
+19
90.3%
Eric Silvester punt for 51 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 19 yds to the Wagn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16INT TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 4:5590% → 80%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
90.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Wagn 32Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 6
OPP 32
-2
90.5%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 34Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+5
89.9%
Mike Beaudry run for 5 yds to the Wagn 29Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+71
79.6%
Mike Beaudry pass intercepted for a TD Myron Morris return for 71 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:1082% → 91%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
81.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
82.1%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+21
81.8%
Art Thompkins run for 21 yds to the Wagn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
83.7%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 6 yds to the Wagn 29Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
83.6%
MENSAH, Kevin rush for 4 yards to the WAGNER25 (LEO, Titus;PORTER, Jordan), PENALTY WAGNER offside defense (GRANT, Tevaughn) 5 yards to the WAGNER24, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
83.6%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Matt Drayton for 8 yds to the Wagn 16 for a 1ST down WAGNER Penalty, face mask (8 yards) (Darrell Malone) to the Wagn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
83.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Wagn 4Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 18TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 0:0925% → 23%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
74.9%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 55 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK)Similar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
78.1%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Noah Ellison for 15 yds to the Wagn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
77.4%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Adam Giordano for 12 yds to the Wagn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 2:4891% → 92%
Q3 4:29
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
90.7%
Art Thompkins run for 5 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
89.6%
Art Thompkins run for 6 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+22
90.3%
Art Thompkins run for 7 yds to the Wagn 48 for a 1ST down WAGNER Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Christopher Williams) to the Wagn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
90.5%
Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the Wagn 34Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+12
91.8%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 12 yds to the Wagn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
91.8%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for 9 yds to the Wagn 13Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
91.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Wagn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
91.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the Wagn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
91.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Lorick for a loss of 3 yards to the Wagn 27 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Omar Fortt) to the Wagn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
91.5%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Adam Giordano, broken up by Omar ForttSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
91.7%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Justice Stewart for 1 yd to the Wagn 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-9
91.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens sacked by Lwal Uguak for a loss of 9 yards to the Wagn 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 34
0
93.0%
Eric Silvester punt for 40 yds, downed at the UConn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
91.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+17
91.3%
Mike Beaudry pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 17 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
91.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 5
50
+2
92.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Wagn 48Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 3
OPP 48
-5
91.6%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Christian Haynes) to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
91.3%
Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Matt Drayton, broken up by Darrell MaloneSimilar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
91.0%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds, downed at the Wagn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 22TD
13 plays · 92 yds · 6:086% → 31%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+17
93.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Justice Stewart for 17 yds to the Wagn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
93.4%
ALEXANDER-STEVE pass incomplete to STEWART,Justice, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (HERRING-WILSON) 15 yards to the WAGNER40, 1ST DOWN WAGNER, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
92.6%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 9 yds to the Wagn 49Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+6
91.9%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 6 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
91.9%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Adam Giordano for 6 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
91.8%
Dymitri McKenzie run for no gain to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+3
92.2%
Ike Ikechukwu run for 3 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+15
92.6%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass complete to Ben Sieczkowski for 15 yds to the UConn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
91.2%
Christian Alexander-Stevens pass incomplete to Justice StewartSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+11
91.4%
Jeremiah Lorick run for 11 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
91.2%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 3 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
91.2%
Christian Alexander-Stevens sacked by Pierce DeVaughn for a loss of 8 yards to the UConn 15 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Eric Watts) to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
69.4%
Dymitri McKenzie run for 7 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23END OF GAME
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:0484% → 91%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
83.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 26Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+2
83.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+19
82.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST down WAGNER Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Santoni Graham) to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
85.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the Wagn 45Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+3
91.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Wagn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
91.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 43Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 11
OPP 43
-1
90.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:29
Dymitri McKenzie run for 7 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK)
-21.8
TD · Q3 4:29
Dymitri McKenzie run for 55 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK)
-15.8
TD · Q3 4:29
Art Thompkins run for 5 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)
+13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com