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FAMU

Florida A&M 0 at UCF 62

UCF
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2019 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadFAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreFAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:58 · Chris Faddoul punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior+33.1Home team on offense+33.4Score differential+26.7Blowout margin+15.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.4Garbage-time factor+6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:22: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Otis Anderson for 24 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK) — UCF win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 13:14: Dylan Barnas 23 yd FG GOOD — UCF win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:16: Gabriel Davis 12 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Dylan Barnas Kick) — UCF win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 8 of 9FAMU made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 14:37FAMU 4th & 10 at FAMU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:25FAMU 4th & 1 at FAMU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:09UCF 4th & 2 at UCF 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:37FAMU 4th & 9 at FAMU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:36UCF 4th & 11 at FAMU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:20FAMU 4th & 1 at FAMU 15, down 10
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:54FAMU 4th & 10 at FAMU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:01UCF 4th & 2 at FAMU 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:14UCF 4th & 6 at FAMU 6, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:18FAMU 4th & 14 at FAMU 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:17FAMU 4th & 12 at FAMU 22, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:25FAMU 4th & 5 at FAMU 30, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:53UCF 4th & 14 at UCF 34, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  14. Q2 4:22FAMU 4th & 10 at FAMU 22, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q2 2:26FAMU 4th & 15 at FAMU 17, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q2 0:00UCF 4th & 1 at FAMU 1, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:58FAMU 4th & 14 at UCF 44, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:25UCF 4th & 11 at UCF 49, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:15FAMU 4th & 3 at UCF 20, down 55
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:22UCF 4th & 2 at UCF 44, up 55
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:22FAMU 4th & 6 at FAMU 24, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:19FAMU 4th & 9 at FAMU 9, down 62
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:55UCF 4th & 1 at FAMU 44, up 62
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:33UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:22UCF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:16UCF Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:02UCF Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:37UCF Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:00UCF Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:32UCF Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:31UCF Touchdown, up 61 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:181% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Ryan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Ryan Stanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:48
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Chad HunterSimilar
Q1 14:37
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.4%
Chris Faddoul punt for 32 yds , Otis Anderson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 32 UCF Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UCF 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+31
99.4%
Otis Anderson run for 31 yds to the FlaAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.3%
Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
99.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+9
99.3%
Brandon Wimbush run for 9 yds to the FlaAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 37 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:041% → 1%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Xavier SmithSimilar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.3%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to George Webb for 9 yds to the FlaAM 34Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Kamari YoungSimilar
Q1 12:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Chris Faddoul punt for 63 yds, downed at the UCF 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:1199% → 99%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.3%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the UCF 7Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 7
-1
99.3%
Greg McCrae run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 6Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+5
99.2%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keenen Anderson) to the UCF 11Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+4
99.2%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Greg McCrae for 7 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
99.2%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+1
99.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCF 23Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 2
OWN 23
+32
99.2%
Andrew Osteen punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 40 FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the FlaAM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Xavier Smith for no gain to the FlaAM 45Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.1%
Terrell Jennings run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
99.1%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Xavier SmithSimilar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
99.1%
Chris Faddoul punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 2:5799% → 99%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
99.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+7
99.1%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 7 yds to the UCF 12Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+8
99.1%
Brandon Wimbush run for 8 yds to the UCF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Tre Nixon for 9 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
99.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Tre Nixon for 7 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
99.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Tre Nixon for 30 yds to the FlaAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
99.0%
Brandon Wimbush run for 11 yds to the FlaAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
99.0%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+1
99.0%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 24Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
99.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+42
99.0%
Dylan Barnas 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:051% → 1%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
99.0%
Deshawn Smith run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 10Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+4
99.0%
Deshawn Smith run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 14Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+1
98.9%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Xavier Smith for 1 yd to the FlaAM 15Similar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 1
OWN 15
+15
98.9%
Chris Faddoul punt for 53 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 15 yds to the FlaAM 30 FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the FlaAM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 0:5399% → 99%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
98.9%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 34Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
98.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 5 yds to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
98.9%
Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Otis Anderson for 24 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:251% → 1%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Chad HunterSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to David ManigoSimilar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to David ManigoSimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Chris Faddoul punt for 56 yds, downed at the UCF 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:2899% → 99%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+24
99.1%
Bentavious Thompson run for 24 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.1%
Wimbush, Brandon pass incomplete to Harris, Jacob, PENALTY FLORIDAAM roughing passer (Green, Mack) 15 yards to the FLORIDAAM42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF.Similar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
99.1%
Brandon Wimbush run for 10 yds to the FlaAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.1%
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 31Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+4
99.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Otis Anderson for 4 yds to the FlaAM 27Similar
Q1 0:11
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+3
99.1%
Otis Anderson run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 24Similar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+4
99.0%
Brandon Wimbush run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.1%
Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 17Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+10
99.1%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 13 for a 1ST down FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (6 Yards) to the FlaAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.1%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.1%
Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 2Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
99.1%
Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 6Similar
Q2 13:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
99.2%
Dylan Barnas 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.2%
Ricky Henrilus run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 21Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.2%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Ricky HenrilusSimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
99.2%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Chad HunterSimilar
Q2 12:18
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.2%
Chris Faddoul punt for 40 yds , Otis Anderson returns for no gain to the UCF 21 UCF Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UCF 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 1:5499% → 100%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+17
99.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Jacob Harris for 17 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+31
99.3%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 31 yds to the FlaAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.3%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Tre Nixon for 4 yds to the FlaAM 19Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
99.3%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for no gain to the FlaAM 19Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+7
99.3%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.6%
Gabriel Davis 12 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Dylan Barnas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
99.6%
Deshawn Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaAM 9Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+15
99.7%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to David Manigo for 15 yds to the FlaAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.6%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Chad HunterSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 22Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 12
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Deshawn SmithSimilar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 12
OWN 22
+49
99.7%
Chris Faddoul punt for 52 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 49 yds to the FlaAM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:08100% → 100%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.7%
Greg McCrae run for 25 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.8%
Azende Rey run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 21Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Azende ReySimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+9
99.8%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Kamari Young for 9 yds to the FlaAM 30Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Chris Faddoul punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Otis Anderson run for 2 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
99.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Marlon Williams for 11 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-14
99.7%
Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 14 yards to the UCF 24 Brandon Wimbush fumbled, recovered by UCFSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 24
OWN 24
+10
99.7%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 10 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 14
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Andrew Osteen punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Azende Rey at the FlaAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:260% → 0%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Xavier SmithSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Xavier SmithSimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Ryan Stanley pass incomplete to Terrell JenningsSimilar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+18
99.8%
Chris Faddoul punt for 55 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 18 yds to the UCF 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 0:28100% → 100%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 12 yds to the FLORIDAAM 47 for a 1ST down FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the FlaAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
99.8%
Bentavious Thompson run for 11 yds to the FlaAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
99.8%
Gabriel, Dillon pass incomplete to Davis, Gabriel, PENALTY FLORIDAAM pass interference 15 yards to the FLORIDAAM6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF.Similar
Q2 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 6 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.8%
Terrell Jennings run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Terrell Jennings run for no gain to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-8
99.9%
Ryan Stanley sacked by Brendon Hayes for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaAM 17Similar
Q2 2:26
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Chris Faddoul punt for 54 yds , Otis Anderson returns for no gain to the UCF 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20END OF HALF
12 plays · 71 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
99.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 26 yds to the FlaAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 41Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+13
99.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 13 yds to the FlaAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
99.8%
Brandon Wimbush run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 32 Brandon Wimbush fumbled, recovered by UCFSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+19
99.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 19 yds to the FlaAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
99.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Otis Anderson for 11 yds to the FlaAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
Wimbush, Brandon rush for no gain to the FLORIDAAM2, PENALTY FLORIDAAM unsportsmanlike conduct 1 yards to the FLORIDAAM1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF.Similar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for no gain to the FlaAM 1Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Brett BellSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
99.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 11 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Amari Johnson for 18 yds to the FlaAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 35Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 9 yds to the FlaAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Alex Harris for 26 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 22PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 5:290% → 0%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Ricky Henrilus run for no gain to the FlaAM 35Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Ryan Stanley run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 38Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+9
99.9%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Azende Rey for 9 yds to the FlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Ricky Henrilus run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 49Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Ricky Henrilus run for 2 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+9
99.9%
Ryan Stanley pass complete to Azende Rey for 9 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Ricky Henrilus run for 2 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
Ricky Henrilus run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 39Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-5
99.9%
Cortez Reid run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 44Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Chris Faddoul punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 15 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Amari JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Bentavious Thompson for 10 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ke'von Ahmad for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
50
-1
99.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Amari JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Andrew Osteen punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 24MISSED FG
18 plays · 60 yds · 8:050% → 0%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.9%
Deshawn Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 18Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-3
99.9%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Kaloeb Parker for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaAM 15Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 15
OWN 8
+8
99.9%
Rasean McKay sacked by Tre'Mon Morris-Brash for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaAM 8 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the FlaAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
99.9%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Andrew Davis for 17 yds to the FlaAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Rasean McKay pass incomplete to Xavier SmithSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Eddie Tillman III run for 9 yds to the FlaAM 49Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-5
99.9%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 44Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 2 yds to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
100.0%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Rasean McKay pass incomplete to Andrew DavisSimilar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+11
100.0%
Rasean McKay pass complete to David Manigo for 11 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+6
100.0%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 6 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
100.0%
Xavier Smith run for 10 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Rasean McKay pass incomplete to David ManigoSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
100.0%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Kaloeb Parker for 6 yds to the UCF 21Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+1
100.0%
Rasean McKay pass complete to Xavier Smith for 1 yd Xavier Smith fumbled, recovered by FlaAMSimilar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
99.9%
Yahia Aly 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Chris DeLoachSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
99.9%
Trilion Coles run for 16 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Trilion Coles run for 7 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-1
99.9%
Trilion Coles run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 42Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Trilion Coles run for 2 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Andrew Osteen punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Rasean McKay pass incomplete to Terrell JenningsSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Terrell Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 19Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Rasean McKay pass incomplete to David ManigoSimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
UCF Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the FlaAM 24Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Julius Duarte punt for 41 yds, downed at the UCF 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 27TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Quadry Jones run for 6 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+12
100.0%
Quadry Jones pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 12 yds to the FlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
100.0%
Trilion Coles run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 49Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Trilion Coles run for no gain to the FlaAM 49Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+49
100.0%
Quadry Jones pass complete to Amari Johnson for 49 yds for a TD, (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
100.0%
Terrell Jennings run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 11Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 7
OWN 11
-1
100.0%
Terrell Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 10Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 8
OWN 10
-1
100.0%
Cameron Sapp run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 9Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
100.0%
Julius Duarte punt for 44 yds , Marlon Williams returns for no gain to the UCF 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 29END OF 4TH QUARTER
9 plays · 28 yds · 5:59100% → 100%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Bentavious Thompson run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 47Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
Trilion Coles run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Trilion Coles run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 44Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
100.0%
Quadry Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
100.0%
UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 47Similar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
Trilion Coles run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+12
100.0%
Trilion Coles run for 12 yds to the FlaAM 34Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+2
100.0%
Trilion Coles run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
100.0%
Trilion Coles run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:22
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Otis Anderson for 24 yds for a TD, (Dylan Barnas KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 10:16
Gabriel Davis 12 Yd pass from Brandon Wimbush (Dylan Barnas Kick)
+0.3
FG · Q2 13:14
Dylan Barnas 23 yd FG GOOD
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com