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UNLV

UNLV 33 at Nevada 30

NEV
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Mackay Stadium
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Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:09 · Hayes Hicken punt for 45 yds , Ben Putman returns for 12 yds to the Nevad 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 57Home team on offense−5.0Pregame prior+11.9Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:58: Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 75 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +13.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 6:47: Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 24 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +18.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:32: Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +34.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Brandon Talton 42 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +14.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 19 yds for a TD — UNLV win probability +60.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00NEV 4th & 19 at NEV 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:19UNLV 4th & 4 at NEV 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:53NEV 4th & 5 at UNLV 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:43NEV 4th & 16 at NEV 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:38NEV 4th & 1 at midfield, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.8%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:09UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:02NEV 4th & 6 at UNLV 9, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    48.6%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:02UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−1.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:10NEV 4th & 10 at UNLV 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−6.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:58NEV 4th & 17 at NEV 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UNLV 4th & 3 at NEV 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%−1.0
    56% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:05NEV 4th & 6 at UNLV 39, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    35.7%−1.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:36UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 37, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−1.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:08UNLV 4th & 7 at NEV 32, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:47UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:32UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−11.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:30NEV 4th & 15 at NEV 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−6.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:43UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:38UNLV Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:09NEV Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:58UNLV Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:47NEV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−1.8
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:32NEV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−2.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
66.6%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
66.6%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside (Kolo Uasike) to the Nevad 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 30
-15
66.6%
STRONG, Carson pass complete to PUTMAN, Ben for 45 yards to the UNLV25 (WHITE, Javin), PENALTY NEV personal foul (TAUA, Toa) 15 yards to the NEV15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 15
-3
66.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 12
+1
66.6%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 13Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 13
0
66.6%
Quinton Conaway punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:1934% → 34%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
66.2%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
66.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 8 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+16
66.1%
Courtney Reese run for 16 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
66.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
66.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jamaal Neal for 2 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+4
66.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Chad Magyar for 4 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
65.6%
Daniel Gutierrez 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:2066% → 64%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
65.8%
Devonte Lee run for 6 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
66.0%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
65.9%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
65.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 7 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+2
66.2%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+14
66.0%
Devonte Lee run for 14 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
66.3%
Ben Putman run for 4 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+19
66.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 19 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
66.4%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the UNLV 17Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
66.4%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
66.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
64.2%
Brandon Talton 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
60.7%
Charles Williams run for 80 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.4%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange, broken up by Aaron LewisSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-9
60.1%
Carson Strong sacked by Evan Austrie for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 19Similar
Q1 4:43
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
59.9%
Quinton Conaway punt for 34 yds, downed at the UNLV 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:4541% → 50%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
58.9%
Charles Williams run for 10 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
58.8%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+7
58.7%
Chad Magyar run for 7 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
49.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 32 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 3:2952% → 57%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
51.8%
UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Jamaal Neal) to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
52.7%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside (Kolo Uasike) to the Nevad 46Similar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 5
OWN 46
0
52.7%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
52.7%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 46Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+4
52.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 1
50
+2
52.7%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
51.1%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
50
+14
50.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 14 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
51.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Ben PutmanSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+15
51.0%
Toa Taua run for 15 yds to the UNLV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+19
51.4%
Kelton Moore run for 16 yds to the UNLV 5 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Kolo Uasike) to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
57.2%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds for a TD (Spencer Pettit KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
55.7%
Kenyon Oblad run for 4 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
55.3%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+1
55.6%
Chad Magyar run for 1 yd to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+12
56.2%
Hayes Hicken punt for 45 yds , Ben Putman returns for 12 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9FG
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:5253% → 54%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
53.0%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
52.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 11 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
53.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 9 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+43
54.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 43 yds to the UNLV 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
55.7%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the UNLV 12Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
55.7%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+3
54.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 3 yds to the UNLV 9Similar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
54.4%
Brandon Talton 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
53.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jacob Gasser for 8 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
52.1%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.4%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-7
52.8%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Dom Peterson for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+2
54.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Charles Williams for 2 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+22
54.9%
Hayes Hicken punt for 34 yds , Ben Putman returns for 22 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:5154% → 58%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
54.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 14 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
55.3%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 13
OPP 31
0
54.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Brendan O'Leary-OrangeSimilar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+17
52.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 17 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
55.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
55.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan Stovall NEVADA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
53.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Dominic ChristianSimilar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
57.6%
Brandon Talton 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
44.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 75 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
43.5%
NEVADA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 20Similar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
43.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 10 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
44.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 7 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
44.4%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Aaron Frost) to the Nevad 32Similar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 15
OWN 32
-5
43.4%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Gray Davis) to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 20
OWN 27
-8
43.4%
Carson Strong sacked by Montrice Johns for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 19Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 28
OWN 19
+13
43.2%
Toa Taua run for 13 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 15
OWN 32
-4
42.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Nevad Carson StrongSimilar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
42.2%
Quinton Conaway punt for 67 yds, downed at the UNLV 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0759% → 59%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
41.5%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 3Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+11
41.1%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 46 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.2%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
40.6%
Kenyon Oblad run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
40.5%
WILLIAMS, C. rush for 28 yards to the NEV35, out-of-bounds (ARNOLD, Austin), PENALTY UNLV holding (BEAN, Noah) 6 yards to the UNLV31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 16
OWN 31
+8
41.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jacob Gasser for 8 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
39.8%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
40.3%
Courtney Reese run for 5 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
39.7%
Courtney Reese run for 8 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+6
39.5%
Courtney Reese run for 6 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
39.7%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+8
39.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 8 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+1
39.8%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+1
41.4%
Kenyon Oblad run for 1 yd to the Nevad 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
34.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 14 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
35.8%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 46Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
36.2%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside (Kolo Uasike) to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+6
37.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 6 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
37.2%
Carson Strong run for 4 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
37.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
36.7%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
34.7%
Carson Strong punt for 35 yds, downed at the UNLV 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
32.2%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+4
32.4%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+9
33.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 9 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
31.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 6 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
31.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 10 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
30.6%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Chris Green for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 16
OWN 30
0
31.8%
Courtney Reese run for no gain to the UNLV 30 UNLV Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+7
32.6%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+1
32.3%
Hayes Hicken punt for 42 yds , Ben Putman returns for 1 yd to the Nevad 38 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding (Cole Turner) to the Nevad 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 55 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
27.2%
TAUA, Toa rush for 3 yards to the NEV15 (WHITE, Javin), PENALTY UNLV offside (WHITE, Javin) 5 yards to the NEV17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 5
OWN 17
+6
27.5%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
27.5%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-5
27.5%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Miles Beach) to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+7
27.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 7 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19FG
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:3383% → 92%
Q4 11:41
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+2
16.8%
Courtney Reese run for 2 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
18.7%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+32
18.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 32 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
16.8%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the Nevad 34Similar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
17.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Jacob Gasser, broken up by Austin ArnoldSimilar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
8.3%
Daniel Gutierrez 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:1510% → 32%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
10.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 7 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+6
10.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 6 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
10.9%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin LockhartSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
10.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 5 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+6
11.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 6 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+22
11.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 22 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
13.0%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Ben PutmanSimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
31.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 24 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.4%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
20.0%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
21.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Malik WesleySimilar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
22.5%
Hayes Hicken punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4523% → 69%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
22.7%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 23Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
22.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 7 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
22.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 5 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
23.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 12 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
26.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 7
50
+1
27.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 1 yd to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+35
26.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 35 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
30.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Brendan O'Leary-Orange for 12 yds to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
30.8%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the UNLV 1Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.5%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 44%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr., broken up by Tyson WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
51.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson, broken up by Daniel BrownSimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
53.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by Tyson WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+13
55.7%
Hayes Hicken punt for 50 yds , Ben Putman returns for 13 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:3861% → 52%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
61.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 2 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
62.1%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan StovallSimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+12
58.6%
Carson Strong run for 12 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
65.0%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the UNLV 47Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
62.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 9
OPP 47
-6
60.0%
Carson Strong sacked by Javin White for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 47Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 15
OWN 47
0
52.2%
Quinton Conaway punt for 42 yds, downed at the UNLV 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
48.8%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 26FG
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
78.6%
Brandon Talton 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for no gain to the Nevad 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
72.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jacob Gasser for 6 yds to the Nevad 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
12.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 19 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 19 yds for a TD
-60.7
TD · Q4 1:32
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
+34
TD · Q4 6:47
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 24 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)
+18.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com