Try the model
SJSU

San José State 35 at UNLV 38

UNLV
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Sam Boyd Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:06 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingBlowout margin
+15.5+7.80−7.8−15.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:02: Charles Williams run for 12 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +1.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:05: Daniel Gutierrez 45 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:00: Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 26 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 15:00: UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SJSt 40 — UNLV win probability +6.3 pts (now 48%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:09: Charles Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +4.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 9SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:54SJSU 4th & 10 at UNLV 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:50UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:10UNLV 4th & 13 at SJSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:55SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:00UNLV 4th & 2 at SJSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:55SJSU 4th & 10 at SJSU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:54UNLV 4th & 17 at SJSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:05UNLV 4th & 10 at SJSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−8.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:05SJSU 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.5%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:05SJSU 4th & 4 at UNLV 41, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    53.7%−2.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:04UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−2.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:53UNLV 4th & 5 at SJSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    52.7%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    50.6%−3.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:00SJSU 4th & 3 at UNLV 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−4.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−6.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:17UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.2
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:56SJSU 4th & 11 at SJSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−8.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SJSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:02UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:51SJSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:0665% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
34.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 7 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
34.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 5 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
34.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+13
34.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 13 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
34.8%
Isaiah Holiness run for 7 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+4
34.8%
Isaiah Holiness run for 4 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
34.8%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
34.8%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
34.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Greg FrancisSimilar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
36.0%
Matt Mercurio 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:5236% → 39%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+51
36.1%
Charles Williams run for 51 yds to the SJSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
36.6%
Chad Magyar run for 9 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+12
36.6%
Kenyon Oblad run for 12 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
37.5%
WILLIAMS, C. rush for 2 yards to the SJSU0, clock 10:06, PENALTY UNLV holding (POLU, Justin) 10 yards to the SJSU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
39.2%
Charles Williams run for 12 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:1162% → 63%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.4%
Isaiah Holiness run for 3 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
38.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 6 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+13
38.3%
DeJon Packer run for 13 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
38.1%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
38.2%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 11 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
38.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 8 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+2
37.7%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
37.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+16
38.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 16 yds to the UNLV 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
37.7%
Isaiah Holiness run for 3 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
37.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 4 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+11
38.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 11 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
37.7%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.4%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Mercurio PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
39.1%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
39.3%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
39.4%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+1
39.6%
Chad Magyar run for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
39.1%
Hayes Hicken punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:0061% → 62%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
39.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 15 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
39.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 12 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
38.2%
Josh Love pass intercepted Jalen Graves return for 7 yds to the SJSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 1:0543% → 43%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+20
42.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 20 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
42.9%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
43.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 7 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
39.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 14 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
39.0%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to GAITHER, Bailey (AUSTRIE, Evan), PENALTY UNLV offside (MCCOY, Gabe) 5 yards to the SJSU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 5
OWN 47
0
38.6%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-1
38.7%
DeJon Packer run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 46Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-1
39.1%
Josh Love pass intercepted Javin White return for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:1143% → 46%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
42.6%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+15
42.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 15 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
43.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 8 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
43.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+4
43.3%
Kenyon Oblad run for 4 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
44.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Chad Magyar for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+35
45.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 35 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
41.4%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to WALKER, Tre, PENALTY SJSU ineligible downfield on pass (KOWALSKI, Troy) 5 yards to the SJSU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+16
41.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 16 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
40.9%
DeJon Packer run for no gain to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-3
41.2%
Josh Love pass intercepted Jericho Flowers return for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:1546% → 44%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
45.7%
Charles Williams run for 13 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
46.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 2 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
46.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-5
47.2%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 13
OPP 43
0
45.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
44.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 40 yds, downed at the SJSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+17
42.7%
DeJon Packer run for 17 yds to the SJSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
42.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 4 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
41.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 7 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
41.5%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+6
41.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 6 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
40.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
42.2%
Alex Galland punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:1546% → 47%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
46.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Chad Magyar for 6 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
46.7%
Chad Magyar run for 1 yd to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+26
45.8%
Chad Magyar run for 26 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
49.2%
Kenyon Oblad run for 7 yds to the SJSt 40 Kenyon Oblad fumbled, forced by Jesse Osuna, recovered by UNLV Kenyon ObladSimilar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
49.3%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
49.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 1 yd to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
50.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+7
48.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 7 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+1
47.2%
Chad Magyar run for 1 yd to the SJSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
41.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
42.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 5 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-5
42.1%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Bailey Gaither) to the SJSt 37Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
42.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah Hamilton, broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
43.9%
Alex Galland punt for 41 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for no gain to the UNLV 26 Jacob Gasser fumbled, recovered by UNLV Tyree JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
46.1%
Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
46.8%
Charles Williams run for 13 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
47.3%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
48.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 3 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+15
48.0%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Jesse Osuna) to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
50.3%
OBLAD, Kenyon pass incomplete to JENKINS, Steve, PENALTY SJSU pass interference (SHELTON, Nehemi) 15 yards to the SJSU31, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
51.0%
OBLAD, Kenyon rush for 5 yards to the SJSU26 (AGUAYO, Ethan), PENALTY UNLV illegal motion 5 yards to the SJSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+3
49.0%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 12
OPP 33
-5
50.4%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 17
OPP 38
0
48.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 17
OPP 38
0
47.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Chad MagyarSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 17
OPP 38
0
45.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3856% → 55%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
44.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 9 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-5
42.6%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Kyle Hoppe) to the SJSt 24Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
44.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Aaron LewisSimilar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+11
45.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 11 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
45.0%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 65 yds for a TD Timeout SAN JOSÉ ST, clock 10:07 (Josh Love pass to Isaiah Holiness for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:0250% → 52%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
49.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 29 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
53.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 5 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-2
53.8%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 43Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+15
52.9%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Jesse Osuna) to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
55.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 3 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
55.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-3
53.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Chad Magyar for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 28Similar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+45
51.9%
Daniel Gutierrez 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 0:0053% → 55%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
47.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 16 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
44.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Evan AustrieSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
44.8%
DeJon Packer run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 1
50
0
43.2%
DeJon Packer run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 1
50
+3
45.0%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
42.7%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Jack Snyder) to the SJSt 48Similar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+3
45.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 3 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+7
44.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 7 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+1
43.3%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 1 yd to the UNLV 41Similar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
45.1%
Alex Galland punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jacob Gasser at the UNLV 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
51.6%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Randal Grimes) to the UNLV 3Similar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 14
OWN 3
+5
51.6%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
51.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass intercepted Tre Webb return for no gain to the UNLV 8 UNLV Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:5658% → 58%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
41.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 9 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+10
41.7%
DeJon Packer run for 10 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
41.9%
Jack Snyder run for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
52.3%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 6
OWN 7
-1
52.1%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 6 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
50.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+10
49.5%
Hayes Hicken punt for 35 yds , Bailey Gaither returns for 10 yds to the UNLV 16 UNLV Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:0058% → 52%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
42.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 26 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+5
48.4%
UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SJSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0054% → 51%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.3%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
52.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
50.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q4 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
47.3%
DeJon Packer run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line DeJon Packer fumbled, forced by Evan Austrie, recovered by UNLV Jericho Flowers , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:4460% → 65%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
50
+12
59.8%
Charles Williams run for 12 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
60.2%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
60.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+3
59.4%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+9
57.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 9 yds to the SJSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
62.4%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
62.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Shelton Zeon IIISimilar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+17
60.3%
Charles Williams run for 17 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
64.5%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:4355% → 58%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
45.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 7 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+3
44.9%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
45.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 5 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
43.2%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
45.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+5
48.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Andre Crump for 5 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
43.2%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 3 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
42.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 25 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0058% → 56%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.7%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
58.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
55.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 6 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
56.3%
Hayes Hicken punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1848% → 44%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
51.7%
PACKER, DeJon rush for 9 yards to the SJSU29 (AUSTRIE, Evan), PENALTY SJSU holding 1 yards to the SJSU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 11
OWN 19
+2
52.0%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
51.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr., broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-2
53.7%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
56.3%
Alex Galland punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jacob Gasser at the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 29TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 1:3460% → 68%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
59.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
58.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 8 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
61.8%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
62.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 7 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
64.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Noah BeanSimilar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+7
63.1%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+38
65.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 38 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
67.7%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.2%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 30INT
8 plays · 87 yds · 0:0047% → 59%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+65
53.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 80 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tre Walker) to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
38.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 9 yds to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
38.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Brett FoleySimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+10
40.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 10 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
38.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 3 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
38.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
40.8%
Josh Love pass intercepted Kolo Uasike return for no gain to the UNLV 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 31Uncategorized
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
57.1%
UNLV Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-2 Yards) to the UNLV 2Similar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
57.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+42.9
TD · Q3 0:00
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 26 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)
-7.5
TD · Q4 15:00
UNLV Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SJSt 40
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com