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CSU

Colorado State 7 at Wyoming 17

WYO
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2019 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:09 · Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren Jackson, broken up by Rome Weber
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Home team on offense+8.2Pregame prior+2.4Garbage-time factor+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Score differential+2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:52: Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 4 yds for a TD (Braxton Davis KICK) — CSU win probability +10.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:45: Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ColSt 41 — WYO win probability +7.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:04: Levi Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +14.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:42: Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35 — WYO win probability +6.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:17: Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44 — WYO win probability +8.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7CSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:45CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:28WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:02CSU 4th & 13 at WYO 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:25WYO 4th & 6 at CSU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−0.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:18CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−2.6
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 13 at WYO 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−3.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:05CSU 4th & 1 at CSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.5%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:57CSU 4th & 3 at CSU 48, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:21WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 29, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:42CSU 4th & 2 at WYO 31, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%−2.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:42WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−2.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:09CSU 4th & 6 at WYO 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%−1.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:33WYO 4th & 21 at CSU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−1.9
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.9%
    54% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:35WYO 4th & 2 at CSU 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:52WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:52CSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:04WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:1537% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
63.2%
Marcus McElroy run for 1 yd to the ColSt 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+2
63.2%
Marcus McElroy run for 2 yds to the ColSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+17
63.2%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 17 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
63.2%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 7 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-3
63.2%
Marcus McElroy run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 41Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
63.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren JacksonSimilar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 6
OWN 41
-3
63.2%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 49 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+14
63.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 14 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
63.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-4
63.2%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Emmanuel Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+10
63.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 10 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
63.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
63.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
63.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
63.0%
Ryan Galovich punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.9%
Jaylen Thomas run for 6 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
62.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
62.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
62.7%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
62.5%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren JacksonSimilar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+17
62.7%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 17 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
62.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+4
62.2%
Marcus McElroy run for 4 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-10
62.3%
Patrick O'Brien sacked by Josiah Hall and Javaree Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the Wyom 47Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
63.1%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4TD
15 plays · 93 yds · 5:3063% → 71%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
62.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+2
62.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+7
62.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 7 yds to the Wyom 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
63.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 13 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-15
63.3%
WYOMING Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 16Similar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
63.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 18 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
63.3%
Levi Williams run for 5 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+29
64.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 29 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
65.1%
Levi Williams run for 4 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+14
65.1%
COLORADO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (14 Yards) to the ColSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
65.1%
COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (7 Yards) to the ColSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
65.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ColSt 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
65.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the ColSt 1Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.5%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 1 yd for a TD WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 8 (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:0030% → 44%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
69.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 16 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
69.0%
Marcus McElroy run for 1 yd to the ColSt 42Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+18
69.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 18 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
67.9%
Patrick O'Brien run for 4 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
67.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for no gain to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+17
68.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 17 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
67.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+18
67.2%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 18 yds to the Wyom 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-16
67.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 2 COLORADO ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+10
67.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 10 yds to the Wyom 7Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
67.0%
Patrick O'Brien run for no gain to the Wyom 7Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
67.8%
WYOMING Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (4 Yards) to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
67.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 4Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 4 yds for a TD (Braxton Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 3:2763% → 64%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
63.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 4:52
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
63.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Josh Harshman for 8 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
63.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 4 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
63.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 12 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
65.5%
Levi Williams run for 5 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+5
65.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
66.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
65.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
65.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
63.5%
Ryan Galovich punt for 36 yds, downed at the ColSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5040% → 39%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
60.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the ColSt 4Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+2
60.6%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the ColSt 6Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+3
61.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the ColSt 9Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 4
OWN 9
+7
61.2%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 51 yds , Austin Conway returns for 7 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
63.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt, broken up by Logan StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
61.0%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Emmanuel Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-1
59.5%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Emmanuel Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 22 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
58.8%
Ryan Galovich punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the ColSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.4%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Marcus McElroySimilar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
56.8%
Patrick O'Brien run for 9 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
54.7%
Patrick O'Brien run for no gain to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
56.1%
Patrick O'Brien run for no gain to the ColSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11TD
10 plays · 44 yds · 5:4164% → 79%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
64.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
64.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+6
63.5%
Levi Williams run for 6 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-8
64.9%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Jamal Hicks for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 41Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 18
OPP 41
+23
62.2%
Brett Brenton run for 8 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
64.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ColSt 16Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+12
64.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 12 yds to the ColSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ColSt 4Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
64.9%
Levi Williams run for 3 yds to the ColSt 1Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.3%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
73.5%
Christian Hunter run for no gain to the ColSt 23Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+18
73.7%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 18 yds to the ColSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
71.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 7 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
70.5%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 1
50
-2
70.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 48Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
73.0%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3278% → 77%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
78.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
78.2%
Levi Williams run for no gain to the Wyom 22Similar
Q3 2:21
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+7
77.3%
Levi Williams pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 7 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 2:21
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
76.9%
Ryan Galovich punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the ColSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14MISSED FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 3:5924% → 23%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Dante WrightSimilar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
76.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 15 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
73.7%
Patrick O'Brien run for 4 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-5
72.6%
O'BRIEN, P. pass complete to McBRIDE, Tr. for 37 yards to the WYO19 (HEARN, Azizi), PENALTY CSU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the CSU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+9
74.7%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 9 yds to the ColSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+2
73.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
72.2%
Christian Hunter run for 1 yd to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
72.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Dante WrightSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+10
74.0%
O'BRIEN, P. pass incomplete to WRIGHT, D. (HEARN, Azizi), PENALTY WYO holding 10 yards to the WYO39, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
72.2%
Marcus McElroy run for 8 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 31
0
69.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren JacksonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
0
71.7%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren JacksonSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+50
77.1%
Braxton Davis 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0084% → 82%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
83.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-2
84.0%
Levi Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
82.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr., broken up by Brandon CrossleySimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
81.7%
Ryan Galovich punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dante Wright at the ColSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0020% → 22%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
80.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Trey McBrideSimilar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+12
80.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 12 yds to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
79.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 21 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
76.1%
Patrick O'Brien run for 4 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
75.4%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Dante WrightSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
76.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren JacksonSimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
78.2%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren Jackson, broken up by Rome WeberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17FG
12 plays · 28 yds · 5:4487% → 92%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
86.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
86.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 1
50
+2
86.1%
Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
87.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
86.9%
Levi Williams run for 3 yds to the ColSt 45Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+18
86.3%
Levi Williams pass complete to Austin Conway for 18 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
87.4%
WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the ColSt 42Similar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
87.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 22 yds to the ColSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
87.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 23Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+2
87.1%
Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the ColSt 21Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 11
OPP 21
-10
86.5%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Ellison Hubbard for a loss of 10 yards to the ColSt 31Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 21
OPP 31
+48
92.1%
Cooper Rothe 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 11 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass intercepted Logan Wilson return for no gain to the Wyom 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19END OF GAME
12 plays · 45 yds · 1:3594% → 97%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
94.3%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+5
94.7%
Austin Conway run for 5 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+13
95.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 13 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
96.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+2
96.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+1
97.3%
Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the ColSt 28Similar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+19
97.1%
Levi Williams run for 19 yds to the ColSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:04
Levi Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+14.4
TD · Q2 4:52
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 4 yds for a TD (Braxton Davis KICK)
-10.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:17
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44
+8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com