Try the model
WYO

Wyoming 21 at Utah State 26

USU
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Maverik Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:58 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:35: Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 80 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +7.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:32: Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 35 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +7.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:34: Tyler Vander Waal run for 11 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +10.8 pts (now 44%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:11: Dominik Eberle 23 yd FG GOOD — USU win probability +7.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:52: Tyler Vander Waal run for 5 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +22.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:10USU 4th & 18 at USU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:42WYO 4th & 6 at USU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:57USU 4th & 2 at USU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:37WYO 4th & 1 at USU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.9%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    37.4%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48USU 4th & 6 at USU 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:59WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:35WYO 4th & 15 at WYO 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:04USU 4th & 17 at WYO 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:09USU 4th & 6 at WYO 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−3.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 25 at USU 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−2.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:09USU 4th & 1 at WYO 3, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−3.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−11.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:33WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 2, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−4.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:44USU 4th & 5 at WYO 9, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−10.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:44WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 48, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:04USU 4th & 4 at WYO 33, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:11USU 4th & 6 at WYO 6, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    78.2%−6.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:46USU 4th & 14 at USU 49, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−3.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:47WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 23, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%−1.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:18USU 4th & 13 at USU 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−3.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 14:54WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:35USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:32USU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:34WYO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:52WYO Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USUDrive 1INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+21
63.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Taylor Compton for 21 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
63.9%
Deven Thompkins run for 1 yd to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
63.9%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-5
63.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Deven Thompkins) to the UthSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 36
0
63.9%
Jordan Love pass intercepted Javaree Jackson return for no gain to the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
63.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 9 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
63.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
63.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
63.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the UthSt 11Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-3
63.7%
Brett Brenton run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 14Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 12
OPP 14
-16
63.8%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Troy Lefeged Jr. for a loss of 16 yards to the UthSt 34 Tyler Vander Waal fumbled, recovered by UthSt Troy Lefeged Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
63.8%
Gerold Bright run for 3 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-5
63.9%
Jordan Love run for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 32Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 12
OWN 32
-1
63.6%
Jordan Love sacked by Javaree Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 13
OWN 31
-5
63.5%
BARTOLIC, C. punt 46 yards to the WYO23, downed, PENALTY USU illegal formation 5 yards to the USU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 18
OWN 26
+3
63.5%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 44 yds , Austin Conway returns for 3 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
63.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
63.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+3
63.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Jackson Marcotte for 3 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
63.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+9
63.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Jackson Marcotte for 9 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
63.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
63.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the UthSt 42Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
63.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
63.4%
Ryan Galovich punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
63.2%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
63.2%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the UthSt 21Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+7
62.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 7 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+4
62.8%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 40 yds , Austin Conway returns for 4 yds to the Wyom 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 61 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
62.7%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 31Similar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+11
63.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
62.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+4
62.3%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 4 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
62.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+9
62.2%
Austin Conway run for 9 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+31
62.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Josh Harshman for 31 yds to the UthSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
61.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the UthSt 7Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
61.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the UthSt 7Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+5
62.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Josh Harshman for 5 yds to the UthSt 2Similar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-1
62.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:4863% → 57%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
62.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the UthSt 6Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+10
56.5%
Jordan Love pass intercepted for a TD Logan Wilson return for 10 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
56.6%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+6
56.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 6 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
56.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Jordan Nathan) to the UthSt 28Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+8
56.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 8 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
57.4%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the UthSt 37Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
56.6%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+22
56.1%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 51 yds , Austin Conway returns for 22 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
54.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
54.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
54.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Xazavian ValladaySimilar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
55.4%
Ryan Galovich punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 84 yds · 0:2955% → 63%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
55.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Caleb Repp for 4 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+80
62.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 80 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
61.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 16 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
60.2%
VANDER WAAL, T. pass complete to OKWOLI, John for 2 yards to the WYO43 (HANEY, Cameron), PENALTY WYO holding 10 yards to the WYO31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+4
61.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 16
OWN 35
0
61.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for no gain to the Wyom 35 WYOMING Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+1
62.2%
Jahmari Moore run for 1 yd to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
62.5%
Ryan Galovich punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Deven Thompkins at the UthSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 1:2863% → 72%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
62.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 16 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
63.6%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the UthSt 39Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
63.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 9 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
63.9%
Jordan Love run for 3 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
64.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 12 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
64.8%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+35
72.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 35 yds for a TD (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 1:5131% → 44%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
68.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Josh Harshman for 7 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+6
68.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
67.8%
Raghib Ismail Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+18
67.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Kevin Meitzenheimer) to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
66.5%
VANDER WAAL, T. pass incomplete to SMITH, Braden (WILLIAMS, DJ), PENALTY USU pass interference (WILLIAMS, DJ) 15 yards to the USU11, 1ST DOWN WYO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
55.7%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 11 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 3:2862% → 63%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+28
62.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Caleb Repp for 28 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
64.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 11 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
65.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 3 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+8
65.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 8 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
65.3%
WARREN, Jaylen rush for 3 yards to the WYO20 (WILSON, Logan), PENALTY USU holding (SHAW, Karter) 10 yards to the WYO33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+2
64.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 18
OPP 31
-10
64.0%
LOVE, Jordan pass complete to REPP, Caleb for 7 yards to the WYO24 (HALLIBURTON, A.), PENALTY USU holding (EDWARDS, Alfred) 10 yards to the WYO41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 28
OPP 41
+1
63.5%
Jordan Love run for 1 yd to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 27
OPP 40
+10
61.6%
Jordan Love run for 10 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 17
OPP 30
+47
63.2%
Dominik Eberle 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15INT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
64.5%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
63.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Josh Harshman for 9 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
62.8%
VANDER WAAL, T. pass complete to VALLADAY, X. for 1 yard to the WYO40 (LEFEGED JR, T.), PENALTY WYO illegal formation 5 yards to the WYO34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 15
OWN 34
0
64.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass intercepted Shaq Bond return for no gain to the UthSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 1:0667% → 71%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
66.5%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 2 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+6
66.6%
Jordan Love run for 6 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-5
67.0%
LOVE, Jordan pass complete to THOMPKINS, D. for 49 yards to the WYO0, clock 00:37, PENALTY USU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the USU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+23
66.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 23 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
68.6%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
68.5%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Caleb ReppSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+4
67.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 4 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
71.0%
Dominik Eberle 44 yd FG GOOD WYOMING Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
70.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 9 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
66.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
67.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+25
68.4%
Brett Brenton run for 25 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
65.9%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 9 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
64.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
64.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin Conway, broken up by Nick HeningerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-5
64.8%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (Rudy Stofer) to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 32
0
66.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Brett BrentonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 32
-10
68.2%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Tipa Galeai for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 25
OPP 42
0
69.9%
Ryan Galovich punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 19DOWNS
17 plays · 83 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
71.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the UthSt 16Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+6
71.6%
Jordan Love run for 6 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+3
71.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.9%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the UthSt 25Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
71.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete, broken up by Logan WilsonSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
70.7%
LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete to MARINER, Siaosi (HALL, Tyler), PENALTY WYO pass interference (HALL, Tyler) 15 yards to the USU40, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
73.7%
Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 12 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
74.3%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+12
74.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 12 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
74.7%
Jordan Love run for 6 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
74.7%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins, broken up by Tyler HallSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
73.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 5 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
74.7%
LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete to REPP, Caleb, PENALTY WYO roughing passer (BYRD, Solomon) 12 yards to the WYO12, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
74.7%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
74.7%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Siaosi MarinerSimilar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+7
73.8%
Jordan Love run for 7 yds to the Wyom 3 Jordan Love fumbled, forced by Keyon Blankenbaker, recovered by UthSt Alfred EdwardsSimilar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
72.5%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the Wyom 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
70.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+2
71.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 7 WYOMING Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 6
OWN 7
-5
72.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 2Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 11
OWN 2
+15
73.0%
Ryan Galovich punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 14 , Jordan Nathan returns for 15 yds to the Wyom 17 WYOMING Penalty, personal foul (Esaias Gandy) to the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 21FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5476% → 81%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
76.3%
Gerold Bright run for 3 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
76.3%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
75.3%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Siaosi MarinerSimilar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
81.2%
Dominik Eberle 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
80.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Josh Harshman for 15 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
79.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 1
OWN 49
-1
78.0%
Brett Brenton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 48Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
79.1%
Tyler Vander Waal run for no gain to the Wyom 48Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
80.3%
Ryan Galovich punt for 34 yds, downed at the UthSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:1683% → 83%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
82.5%
Henry Colombi run for 9 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+4
83.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
82.8%
Gerold Bright run for 11 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
83.9%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the UthSt 42Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+19
83.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Taylor Compton for 19 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
84.2%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the Wyom 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
84.9%
Henry Colombi run for 4 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
84.4%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Caleb ReppSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+50
83.1%
Dominik Eberle 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
82.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 13 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
80.9%
Brett Brenton run for 1 yd to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+51
81.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass intercepted Eric Munoz return for 51 yds to the Wyom 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3786% → 92%
Q4 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-23
85.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 23 yards to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 25
+1
85.5%
Henry Colombi run for 1 yd to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 24
+18
84.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 18 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
92.0%
Dominik Eberle 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1910% → 35%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.1%
Raghib Ismail Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
89.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Brett Brenton for 5 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+15
88.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 15 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
88.5%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 19 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
87.4%
Austin Conway run for 3 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+9
87.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Josh Harshman for 9 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
87.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the UthSt 19Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+14
87.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 14 yds to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
64.6%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 5 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:0083% → 81%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
82.7%
Gerold Bright run for 12 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
83.9%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
84.0%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Caleb ReppSimilar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+15
82.7%
COLOMBI, Henry pass incomplete to MARINER, Siaosi, PENALTY WYO pass interference (HALL, Tyler) 15 yards to the WYO47, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
85.7%
Gerold Bright run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-5
85.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-2
84.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Taylor Compton for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 49Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 14
OWN 49
0
82.3%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete, broken up by Cassh MaluiaSimilar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
81.4%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
76.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 10 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
76.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
76.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to John Okwoli, broken up by Cameron HaneySimilar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
77.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Josh Harshman, broken up by Troy Lefeged Jr.Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
78.9%
Ryan Galovich punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Deven Thompkins at the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:1689% → 90%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
88.7%
Gerold Bright run for 7 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
90.6%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-11
90.6%
Henry Colombi sacked by Rome Weber for a loss of 11 yards to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+20
89.5%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 47 yds , Austin Conway returns for 20 yds to the UTAHST 47 WYOMING Penalty, H0 (10 Yards) to the Wyom 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 30INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:009% → 12%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
90.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
91.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete, broken up by Andre GraysonSimilar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+12
92.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Austin Conway for 12 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
90.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 5 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
89.3%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Gunner Gentry for 9 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
88.7%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Gunner Gentry for 5 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+5
87.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass intercepted Eric Munoz return for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
93.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 28Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 12
OWN 28
-1
93.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:52
Tyler Vander Waal run for 5 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-22.6
TD · Q2 5:34
Tyler Vander Waal run for 11 yds for a TD (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-10.8
FG · Q4 11:11
Dominik Eberle 23 yd FG GOOD
+7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com