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UNM

New Mexico 9 at Boise State 42

BOIS
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLETDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Tyson Dyer punt for 37 yds, downed at the BoiSt 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+37.1Home team on offense+13.3Score differential+11.4Blowout margin+3.9Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:53: Octavius Evans run for 17 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:24: Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 18 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:07: Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 51 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 9:17: Andrew Shelley 40 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:03: Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 8 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:47UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:53UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:30UNM 4th & 1 at BOIS 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:16UNM 4th & 6 at BOIS 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:24BOIS 4th & 18 at BOIS 29, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:54BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 31, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:17UNM 4th & 9 at BOIS 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:03BOIS 4th & 2 at UNM 8, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:56UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 36, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 38, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:30BOIS 4th & 4 at UNM 33, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:53BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:24BOIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:07BOIS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:03BOIS Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:00BOIS Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:53UNM Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+24
94.2%
Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 6 yards Tevaka Tuioti fumbled, forced by Chase Hatada, recovered by BoiSt Sonatane Lui , return for 24 yds (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
94.1%
Ahmari Davis run for 3 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
94.1%
Ahmari Davis run for 6 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
94.1%
Bryson Carroll run for 2 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
94.1%
Bryson Carroll run for 4 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
94.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 5 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
94.1%
Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the NMex 38Similar
Q1 14:47
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
94.1%
Tyson Dyer punt for 59 yds, downed at the BoiSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
9 plays · 97 yds · 3:4294% → 94%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+16
93.7%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 16 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
93.7%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+47
93.7%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 47 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
93.8%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (George Holani) to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
93.8%
Jaylon Henderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+7
93.8%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 7 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+11
93.8%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 11 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
93.8%
Khalil Shakir run for 2 yds to the NMex 17Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
94.1%
Octavius Evans run for 17 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
93.8%
Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 22Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
93.9%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 17Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+5
93.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, delay of game (Sonatane Lui) to the NMex 22Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+2
93.9%
Bryson Carroll run for 2 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
93.9%
Kentrail Moran run for 9 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+3
93.8%
Tyson Dyer punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 18 , Khalil Shakir returns for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5TD
5 plays · 82 yds · 2:1594% → 95%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
94.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+50
93.9%
George Holani run for 50 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
94.1%
Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+7
94.1%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Octavius Evans for 7 yds to the NMex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
95.2%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 18 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:495% → 5%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
95.2%
Daevon Vigilant run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 18Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
95.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson IIISimilar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+24
95.2%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 24 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
95.1%
Bryson Carroll run for 6 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+2
95.0%
Emmanuel Logan-Greene run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 2
50
+1
95.0%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
95.2%
Kentrail Moran run for no gain to the BoiSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:1696% → 97%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.7%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
97.3%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 51 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:073% → 3%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
97.2%
Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+10
97.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 10 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
97.1%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for no gain to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
97.1%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (Cedric Patterson III) to the NMex 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.3%
Tyson Dyer punt for 37 yds, downed at the BoiSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
97.5%
George Holani run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+3
97.5%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
97.6%
Jaylon Henderson pass intercepted Alex Hart return for 19 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:523% → 3%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
97.3%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
97.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
97.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem UmehSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11FUMBLE
13 plays · 37 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.8%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to CT Thomas for no gain to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
97.8%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to John Hightower, broken up by Jacobi HearnSimilar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-10
97.7%
Jaylon Henderson sacked by Alex Hart for a loss of 10 yards to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q2 11:01
4TH & 20
OWN 24
+15
97.6%
VELAZQUEZ, Joel punt 46 yards to the NM30, ROGERS, De'John return to the NM30 (CANTRELL, D.), PENALTY NM roughing the kicker (VIEIRA, Thomas) 15 yards to the BSU39, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
97.8%
George Holani run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
97.8%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
97.8%
Jaylon Henderson run for 3 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
97.9%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+17
97.8%
John Hightower run for 17 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
97.9%
HENDERSON, J. pass incomplete to PISTONE, Matt, PENALTY BSU pass interference (PISTONE, Matt) 15 yards to the NM45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 25
OPP 45
0
97.9%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 25
OPP 45
+10
97.8%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 10 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+6
97.8%
Jaylon Henderson run for 6 yds to the NMex 29 Jaylon Henderson fumbled, forced by Jacobi Hearn, recovered by NMex Devin SandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12FUMBLE
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 4 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-1
98.8%
Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+35
98.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Marcus Williams for 35 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
98.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 9 yds to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
98.6%
Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
98.7%
Kentrail Moran run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
98.7%
Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 37 Tevaka Tuioti fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Sonatane Lui , return for 9 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:3199% → 99%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.0%
Robert Mahone run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
99.0%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-12
99.0%
Jaylon Henderson sacked by Alexander Vainikolo for a loss of 12 yards to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 18
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Joel Velazquez punt for 41 yds , De'John Rogers returns for no gain to the NMex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.3%
Bryson Carroll run for 4 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+11
99.3%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 11 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.3%
TUIOTI, Tevaka pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Marcu (WALKER, Jalen), PENALTY BSU pass interference (WALKER, Jalen) 4 yards to the NM49, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-6
99.3%
Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Chase Hatada for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 43Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 16
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+26
99.4%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 26 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+48
99.2%
Andrew Shelley 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Matt PistoneSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Octavius EvansSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Matt PistoneSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.3%
Joel Velazquez punt for 48 yds , De'John Rogers returns for 1 yd to the NMex 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 16FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 5:214% → 2%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
95.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 9 yds to the NMex 31Similar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+17
94.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 17 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
95.3%
Kentrail Moran run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
93.9%
Kentrail Moran run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q3 14:38
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
93.9%
Kentrail Moran run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Anselem UmehSimilar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
94.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 11 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
94.3%
Kentrail Moran run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+16
94.2%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 16 yds to the BoiSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
95.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Kyle Jarvis) to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
94.2%
Kentrail Moran run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
94.1%
Kentrail Moran run for no gain to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q3 14:38
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
94.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+40
98.4%
Andrew Shelley 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17TD
16 plays · 74 yds · 6:0899% → 100%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
99.0%
Robert Mahone run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
99.0%
VAN BUREN, A. rush over left guard for 61 yards to the NM0, clock 08:40, PENALTY BSU holding (QUEVEDO, Eric) 10 yards to the BSU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 20
OWN 29
-1
98.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 21
OWN 28
+19
98.9%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 19 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+5
99.0%
Jaylon Henderson run for 5 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+13
99.1%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Octavius Evans for 13 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
99.1%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+10
99.0%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 10 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
99.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the NMex 12Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+4
99.0%
Jaylon Henderson run for 4 yds to the NMex 8Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 8 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.8%
Kentrail Moran run for 2 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
99.8%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 5 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-7
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Benton Wickersham and Demitri Washington for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 36Similar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+23
99.8%
Tyson Dyer punt for 39 yds , Avery Williams returns for 23 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+50
99.8%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 50 yds to the NMex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Khalil Shakir pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 2 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 13 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
Daevon Vigilant run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Matt Locher and Demitri Washington for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+41
99.9%
Tyson Dyer punt for 46 yds, downed at the BOISEST 16 NEW MEXICO Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+15
99.9%
Akilian Butler run for 15 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+12
99.9%
Jaylon Henderson run for 12 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Jaylon Henderson pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir, broken up by Jacobi HearnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:200% → 0%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.9%
Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+13
99.9%
Bobby Cole run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
50
-1
99.9%
Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Dylan Herberg for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 49Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+8
99.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Thomas Vieira for 8 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Daevon Vigilant run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+13
99.9%
Micah Gray run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
99.9%
Micah Gray run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+1
99.9%
Micah Gray run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+14
99.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 14 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Micah Gray run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Shelley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 68 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Danny Smith run for no gain to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.9%
Akilian Butler run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+40
99.9%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Akilian Butler for 25 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Danny Smith run for 2 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
Danny Smith run for 2 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+16
99.9%
Danny Smith run for 16 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Danny Smith run for 4 yds to the NMex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q3 9:17
Andrew Shelley 40 yd FG GOOD
+3.7
TD · Q1 0:07
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to John Hightower for 51 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q1 3:24
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 18 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com