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UNLV

UNLV 17 at Colorado State 37

CSU
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Canvas Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:21 · Hayes Hicken punt for 45 yds , Dante Wright returns for 27 yds to the COLOST 40 UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Evan Austrie) to the UNLV 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Home team on offense+2.5Score differential+0.8Pregame prior+14.0Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:48: Marcus McElroy run for 18 yds for a TD (Max Poduska KICK) — CSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:11: Jaylen Thomas run for 11 yds for a TD (Max Poduska KICK) — CSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:13: Max Poduska 23 yd FG GOOD — CSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:08: Max Poduska 24 yd FG GOOD — CSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:08: Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 14 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +1.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 14:46UNLV 4th & 19 at UNLV 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12UNLV 4th & 2 at UNLV 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:24CSU 4th & 4 at UNLV 48, up 14
    Close callPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:21UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:17CSU 4th & 13 at UNLV 39, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.1%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    76.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    76.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:58CSU 4th & 17 at UNLV 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:58UNLV 4th & 3 at CSU 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:20CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 44, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:07UNLV 4th & 10 at CSU 33, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:39UNLV 4th & 15 at CSU 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:13CSU 4th & 5 at UNLV 5, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:07UNLV 4th & 6 at CSU 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:08CSU 4th & 5 at UNLV 5, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:39UNLV 4th & 8 at CSU 15, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNLV made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 10:48CSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:11CSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:08UNLV Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:24CSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:39UNLV Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
66.1%
Charles Williams run for 16 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
66.1%
Chad Magyar run for no gain to the UNLV 41Similar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
66.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-9
66.1%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Logan Stewart for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 14:46
4TH & 19
OWN 32
+14
66.2%
Hayes Hicken punt for 36 yds , Dante Wright returns for 14 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:4367% → 69%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
66.9%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 13 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
66.9%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Nate Craig-Myers for 10 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
67.0%
Marcus McElroy run for 13 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
67.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
68.8%
Marcus McElroy run for 18 yds for a TD (Max Poduska KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:3632% → 32%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.3%
Kenyon Oblad run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
68.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
68.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 4 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
68.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 39 yds , Dante Wright returns for 8 yds to the ColSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
69.4%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 10 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
69.6%
Anthony Hawkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 47Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
69.6%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Nate Craig-MyersSimilar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+5
69.4%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 5 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 9:24
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+4
69.3%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 40 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for 4 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
70.3%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+10
70.4%
Charles Williams run for 10 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
70.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 8 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+3
69.9%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
70.0%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Damion Dickens for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 32Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+1
70.3%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
70.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+27
70.5%
Hayes Hicken punt for 45 yds , Dante Wright returns for 27 yds to the COLOST 40 UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Evan Austrie) to the UNLV 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 3:0674% → 82%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
73.5%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-15
73.4%
THOMAS, Jaylen rush for 3 yards to the UNLV31 (WHITE, Javin;JACKSON, R.), PENALTY CSU personal foul (WILLIAMS, Keith) 15 yards to the UNLV49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 23
OPP 49
+1
73.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 22
OPP 48
+9
72.7%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 9 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 13
OPP 39
+28
72.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 28 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
82.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for 11 yds for a TD (Max Poduska KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:1119% → 19%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.1%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
80.9%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
80.8%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
81.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+3
81.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 3 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+12
81.0%
Hayes Hicken punt for 47 yds , Dante Wright returns for 12 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 5:0984% → 89%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.2%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren JacksonSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
84.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 17 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
84.8%
Patrick O'Brien run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 2
50
+3
84.8%
Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
84.9%
Marcus McElroy run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-2
84.7%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 13
50
+14
84.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 14 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
89.3%
O'BRIEN, Patrick pass incomplete to CRAIG-MYERS, Nate, QB hurry by DEHDASHTIAN, N., PENALTY UNLV holding (WHITE, Javin) 11 yards to the UNLV25, 1ST DOWN CSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
89.3%
Patrick O'Brien run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 15
OPP 30
-2
89.2%
Marcus McElroy run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 17
OPP 32
0
89.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Jaylen ThomasSimilar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 17
OPP 32
+50
89.4%
Cayden Camper 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
86.8%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
86.7%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+19
86.4%
Chad Magyar run for 19 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
86.1%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Devin Phillips for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 39Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+3
86.5%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the ColSt 36Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+7
86.6%
Chad Magyar run for 7 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & 3
OPP 29
0
86.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1292% → 94%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
92.0%
Dante Wright run for 9 yds to the ColSt 38Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
92.2%
Patrick O'Brien run for 2 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
92.2%
Marcus McElroy run for 2 yds to the ColSt 42Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+2
92.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Marcus McElroy for 2 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
93.4%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for no gain to the ColSt 44Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+8
93.6%
Ryan Stonehouse punt for 53 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for 8 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12KICKOFF
12 plays · 87 yds · 1:008% → 6%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
91.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Noah BeanSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+9
91.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Chad Magyar for 9 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+3
91.6%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
91.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 17 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
91.0%
COLORADO ST Penalty, offside defense (Jalen Bates) to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 5
OWN 45
0
90.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+22
90.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 22 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
89.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
89.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
90.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+31
94.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 31 yds to the ColSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:219% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
91.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 9 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
91.1%
Chad Magyar run for 5 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
91.4%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+9
91.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 9 yds to the ColSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
91.1%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+6
91.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Christian Minor for 6 yds to the ColSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+21
90.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Chad Magyar for 7 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
90.4%
Tyleek Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+1
90.7%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the ColSt 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
91.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Noah Bean, broken up by Jamal HicksSimilar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 10
OPP 13
-10
94.8%
GUTIERREZ, D. field goal attempt from 32 GOOD, clock 09:48, PENALTY UNLV holding (BRAYTON, Matt) 10 yards to the CSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 20
OPP 23
+5
95.0%
GUTIERREZ, D. field goal attempt from 42 MISSED - wide right,, clock 09:43, PENALTY CSU offside defense (JACKSON, Dequan) 5 yards to the CSU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+37
94.3%
Daniel Gutierrez 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 6:2695% → 97%
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.1%
Marcus McElroy run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 23Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
95.0%
Dante Wright run for 5 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
95.0%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Trey McBride for 11 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Nate Craig-Myers, broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
95.3%
Patrick O'Brien run for 1 yd to the ColSt 40Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+25
95.2%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to EJ Scott for 40 yds to the COLOST 20 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (EJ Scott) to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-12
95.4%
Marcus McElroy run for 3 yds to the UNLV 32 COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UNLV 47Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 22
OPP 47
+4
95.3%
Jaylen Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+20
95.1%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 20 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
95.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+9
95.4%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Dante Wright for 9 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
95.4%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren Jackson, broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.4%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.3%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren JacksonSimilar
Q3 3:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
97.5%
Max Poduska 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-15
97.0%
COLORADO ST Penalty, personal foul (T.J. Storment) to the ColSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Noah BeanSimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+18
97.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jacob Gasser for 18 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
97.0%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+1
96.8%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the ColSt 43Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
96.8%
Noah Bean run for 4 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
96.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 4 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
96.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Jacob Gasser, broken up by Jamal HicksSimilar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
96.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q3 3:07
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
97.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr., broken up by Tron FolsomSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:1698% → 100%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.2%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Nate Craig-MyersSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.7%
Christian Hunter run for 5 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+7
98.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 7 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.9%
Christian Hunter run for no gain to the ColSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-10
98.8%
O'BRIEN, Patrick rush for 6 yards to the UNLV47, out-of-bounds (JACKSON, R.), PENALTY CSU holding (WILLIAMS, Keith) 10 yards to the CSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+41
98.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass complete to Warren Jackson for 41 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
98.8%
Christian Hunter run for 2 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+7
98.8%
Dante Wright run for 7 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+3
98.8%
Patrick O'Brien run for 3 yds to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
98.8%
Christian Hunter run for 5 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Warren Jackson, broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.8%
Patrick O'Brien pass incomplete to Trey McBride, broken up by Evan AustrieSimilar
Q4 10:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+24
99.8%
Max Poduska 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:000% → 2%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.9%
WILLIAMS, C. rush for 6 yards to the UNLV31 (McDONALD, Max), PENALTY UNLV holding (POLU, Justin) 10 yards to the UNLV15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 6 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-4
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Jalen Bates for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 17Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+15
99.9%
OBLAD, Kenyon pass incomplete to FAUOLO SR., Gio, QB hurry by BATES, Jalen, PENALTY CSU pass interference (FOLSOM, Tron) 15 yards to the UNLV32, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete, broken up by Ellison HubbardSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 3 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+18
99.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 18 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 8 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+10
99.8%
Charles Williams run for 10 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.8%
OBLAD, Kenyon pass incomplete to GRIMES, Randal, PENALTY CSU pass interference (OWENS, Dajon) 15 yards to the CSU14, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 14 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:4299% → 100%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.0%
Justice McCoy pass complete to Dante Wright for 2 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-2
99.0%
Christian Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+18
99.2%
Justice McCoy pass complete to Trey McBride for 18 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.2%
Christian Hunter run for 3 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+17
99.2%
Christian Hunter run for 17 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.2%
Brenden Fulton run for 3 yds to the UNLV 5Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Christian Hunter run for 5 yds for a TD (Max Poduska KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:450% → 1%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 29 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+29
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 29 yds to the ColSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-6
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Ellison Hubbard for a loss of 6 yards to the ColSt 23 Kenyon Oblad fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 16
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Charles WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 16
OPP 23
+8
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad run for 8 yds to the ColSt 15Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+15
99.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 15 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+34
99.7%
Christian Hunter run for 34 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
99.7%
Christian Hunter run for 8 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 2
OPP 4
-2
99.7%
Christian Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 6Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+4
99.7%
Christian Hunter run for 4 yds to the UNLV 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:11
Jaylen Thomas run for 11 yds for a TD (Max Poduska KICK)
+9.8
FG · Q3 3:13
Max Poduska 23 yd FG GOOD
+2.2
TD · Q1 10:48
Marcus McElroy run for 18 yds for a TD (Max Poduska KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com