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BOIS

Boise State 52 at San José State 42

SJSU
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:15 · Alex Galland punt for 49 yds , Avery Williams returns for 66 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior−30.2Home team on offense+2.4Garbage-time factor+1.0Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:13: George Holani run for 6 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +15.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 3:28: Chase Cord run for 8 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start ( Yards) declined — BOIS win probability +21.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:53: DeJon Packer run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +22.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:31: George Holani run for 6 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — BOIS win probability +24.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:56: Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 9 yds for a TD — SJSU win probability +19.8 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:58BOIS 4th & 12 at SJSU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    81.6%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:22BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:15SJSU 4th & 8 at SJSU 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:01SJSU 4th & 5 at BOIS 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    27.6%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:58BOIS 4th & 1 at SJSU 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    60.3%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−8.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:52SJSU 4th & 3 at SJSU 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:24BOIS 4th & 6 at SJSU 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−6.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:59BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 38, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:27SJSU 4th & 2 at BOIS 17, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%−1.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−9.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:50SJSU 4th & 4 at SJSU 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:36SJSU 4th & 25 at SJSU 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−4.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:58SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:26SJSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:58BOIS Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:13SJSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:13BOIS Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:28BOIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:53SJSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:31BOIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:24BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 4:0215% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
14.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 7 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+12
14.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 12 yds to the SJSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
14.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
14.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 9 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+9
14.5%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
14.5%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
14.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah Hamilton, broken up by Kekaula KanihoSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+36
14.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 36 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.3%
DeJon Packer run for no gain to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.5%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
17.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 7 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
17.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+22
17.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 22 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-13
16.9%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 13 yards to the SJSU 45 BOISE ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Hank Bachmeier) to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 23
OWN 45
+16
17.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 16 yds to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-5
16.9%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Kyle Harmon for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
17.2%
Joel Velazquez punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3TD
16 plays · 76 yds · 5:0519% → 28%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
19.1%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
19.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah Hamilton, broken up by Kekaula Kaniho SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+15
18.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 15 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
19.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr.Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-4
19.3%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 39Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+19
20.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 19 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
20.8%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 15
OPP 47
0
21.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Chase HatadaSimilar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 15
OPP 47
0
21.3%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 15
OPP 47
+21
20.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 21 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
21.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for no gain to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+9
21.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 9 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
21.4%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
23.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to DeJon PackerSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+11
23.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 11 yds to the BoiSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
27.8%
Josh Love run for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
26.2%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
26.2%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-4
25.9%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Ethan Aguayo for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
26.5%
Joel Velazquez punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0829% → 25%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
29.4%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
29.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 17Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
29.1%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:15
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+66
25.0%
Alex Galland punt for 49 yds , Avery Williams returns for 66 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:0726% → 30%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
26.1%
Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+13
26.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 13 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
26.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 27 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
28.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by DeAndre PierceSimilar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
28.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Kairee RobinsonSimilar
Q2 13:57
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+16
27.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 16 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
29.3%
Isaiah Hamilton run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 14
OPP 26
0
28.8%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 14
OPP 26
+9
28.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 9 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
30.2%
Matt Mercurio 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 4:0070% → 73%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
30.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
30.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+23
31.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 23 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+41
28.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 41 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
28.0%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
28.0%
George Holani run for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 7 George Holani fumbled, recovered by BoiSt George Holani , return for 5 yds to the SJSt 7Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
28.7%
Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the SJSt 1Similar
Q2 7:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.2%
George Holani run for 1 yd for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
29.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 7 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
30.1%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
29.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Andre CrumpSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
28.3%
Alex Galland punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:1472% → 72%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
28.0%
Hank Bachmeier run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+8
28.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+7
28.4%
Andrew Van Buren run for 7 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
28.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
28.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
28.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Brandon Ezell return for no gain to the SJSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 2:3832% → 49%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+23
32.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 23 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
34.1%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
33.3%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+21
33.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 21 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
37.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 21 yds to the BoiSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
49.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 16 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:4255% → 58%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+36
45.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 36 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
41.1%
BACHMEIER, Hank I pass incomplete to THOMAS, CT, PENALTY SJSU roughing passer (HALL, Cade) 15 yards to the SJSU17, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
40.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
41.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 5 yds to the SJSt 12Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+4
42.5%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 1
OPP 8
-5
46.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 13Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
42.1%
Eric Sachse 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
43.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
43.4%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
41.8%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+1
42.9%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q3 14:59
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
44.2%
Joel Velazquez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 2:3948% → 58%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr.Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
47.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 9 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+15
47.8%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to GAITHER, Bailey, PENALTY BSU pass interference (WILLIAMS, Avery) 15 yards to the SJSU49, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
50.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 11 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
51.1%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to GAITHER, Bailey, PENALTY BSU pass interference (WALKER, Jalen) 15 yards to the BSU25, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
52.8%
Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
52.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Avery WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+5
52.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 5 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+35
57.5%
Matt Mercurio 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:0546% → 64%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+34
53.7%
George Holani run for 19 yds to the SJSt 26 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Jesse Osuna) to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
51.7%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the SJSt 6Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
36.2%
George Holani run for 6 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:1743% → 41%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
43.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah Holiness, broken up by Curtis WeaverSimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
43.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 6 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
42.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+5
41.4%
Alex Galland punt for 43 yds , Khalil Shakir returns for 5 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:5859% → 78%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
41.0%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
39.1%
John Hightower run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
38.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 18 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
38.5%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+10
38.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for 10 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
38.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-10
39.2%
BACHMEIER, Hank rush right for 16 yards to the SJSU0, clock 04:52, PENALTY BSU holding (QUEVEDO, Eric) 10 yards to the SJSU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 15
OPP 26
0
41.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for no gain to the SJSt 26Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 15
OPP 26
+18
43.4%
Hank Bachmeier run for 18 yds to the SJSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
22.3%
Chase Cord run for 8 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3528% → 58%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
28.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 40 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
33.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr.Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+12
34.1%
DeJon Packer run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+19
34.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 19 yds to the BoiSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
34.2%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Derrick Deese Jr.) to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q3 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
34.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 6 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
57.5%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:1749% → 78%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
51.5%
George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+14
52.0%
Khalil Shakir run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
51.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to George Holani for 17 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
46.9%
George Holani run for 9 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+22
46.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 22 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
44.9%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the SJSt 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
44.9%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the SJSt 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+3
46.7%
Hank Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the SJSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
22.0%
George Holani run for 6 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:5532% → 29%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
31.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 19 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
36.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-7
36.0%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the SJSt 43 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Bailey Gaither) to the SJSt 47Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 17
OWN 47
0
32.5%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Jermaine BraddockSimilar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 17
OWN 47
-8
30.9%
Josh Love sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 39Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 25
OWN 39
0
28.8%
Alex Galland punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 3:2974% → 92%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
25.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 7 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+11
24.2%
George Holani run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 41 George Holani fumbled, forced by Nehemiah Shelton, recovered by BoiSt Garrett Collingham for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
23.2%
Andrew Van Buren run for 16 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
22.5%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
22.6%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
22.5%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
7.6%
Andrew Van Buren run for 32 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:289% → 33%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
9.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 6 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
10.1%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
9.8%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the SJSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+23
11.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 23 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
13.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 8 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
0
13.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+9
11.7%
DeJon Packer run for no gain to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, personal foul (Riley Whimpey) to the BoiSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
13.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by DJ SchrammSimilar
Q4 3:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
32.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 9 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-32.9
TD · Q4 11:31
George Holani run for 6 yds for a TD (Eric Sachse KICK) SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
-24.7
TD · Q3 0:53
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)
+22.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com