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SDSU

San Diego State 20 at UNLV 17

UNLV
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:48 · Brandon Heicklen punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jacob Gasser at the UNLV 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior−20.6Home team on offense−9.2Score differential−4.2Garbage-time factor−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:26: Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 58 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +5.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:34: Daniel Gutierrez 22 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +4.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:57: Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +24.8 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. MISSED FG · Q4 0:37: Daniel Gutierrez 42 yd FG MISSED — SDSU win probability +13.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:37: Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 24 — SDSU win probability +17.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 11SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00SDSU 4th & 13 at SDSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:02UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:23UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:18SDSU 4th & 4 at UNLV 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:52UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UNLV 4th & 6 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:48SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:32UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:01SDSU 4th & 6 at UNLV 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:39SDSU 4th & 13 at SDSU 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:34UNLV 4th & 4 at SDSU 5, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.0%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−6.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:29SDSU 4th & 10 at UNLV 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    74.1%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:01UNLV 4th & 15 at UNLV 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−3.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:00SDSU 4th & 11 at UNLV 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−7.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 43, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:31UNLV 4th & 1 at SDSU 4, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−2.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−10.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:57SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 34, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%−2.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:44UNLV 4th & 24 at UNLV 20, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 3.9 ptsWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%−3.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:37UNLV 4th & 9 at SDSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−15.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−26.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 2SDSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:23SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:26UNLV Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:57UNLV Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.5 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.2%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
23.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 6 yds to the SDSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+4
23.2%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
23.2%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+8
23.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 8 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-9
23.2%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Rayshad Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 26
+6
23.2%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 53 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for 6 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
24.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 2 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
24.7%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
24.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+6
24.6%
Hayes Hicken punt for 52 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 6 yds to the SDSt 40 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SDSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 3:0675% → 76%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
25.4%
Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the SDSt 18Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 2
OWN 18
-1
25.4%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 17Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+20
25.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 20 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
25.3%
Chase Jasmin run for 6 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+4
25.1%
Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
25.1%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Daniel BellingerSimilar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
25.1%
Chase Jasmin run for 4 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+49
24.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 49 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
24.7%
Tyleek Collins run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
24.8%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-7
24.6%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Keshawn Banks and Myles Cheatum for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 7:23
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+2
24.3%
Hayes Hicken punt for 44 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
24.6%
Chase Jasmin run for 5 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
24.4%
Chase Jasmin run for 6 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
24.3%
Ryan Agnew run for 1 yd to the SDSt 48Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+5
24.4%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the UNLV 47Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
24.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith, broken up by Myles PlummerSimilar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
24.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jacob Gasser at the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6PUNT TD
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:0626% → 21%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
25.5%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 5Similar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 15
OWN 5
-4
25.5%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 6 Charles Williams fumbled, recovered by UNLV Charles WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+5
25.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 5 yds to the UNLV 11Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 9
OWN 11
-4
25.1%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Keshawn Banks for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 7Similar
Q1 0:52
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
21.4%
Hayes Hicken punt blocked by Trenton Thompson blocked by Trenton Thompson Caden McDonald return for no gain for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:5222% → 22%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
21.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 19 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
22.5%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+2
22.7%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
22.6%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the SDSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-5
22.5%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
50
0
22.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
20.5%
Kaegun Williams run for 11 yds to the SDSt 28 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-14 Yards) to the SDSt 14Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
20.6%
Kaegun Williams run for 11 yds to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Daniel BellingerSimilar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
20.5%
Kaegun Williams run for 14 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
19.9%
Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 35Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+2
20.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Chance Bell for 2 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 12
OWN 37
-5
20.6%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 32Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+11
20.8%
Ryan Agnew run for 11 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
20.5%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jacob Gasser at the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
20.0%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+11
20.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 11 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
20.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
20.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
19.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+25
19.7%
Hayes Hicken punt for 52 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 25 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:2082% → 85%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
18.3%
Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+9
18.3%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 9 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
18.3%
Ethan Dedeaux run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 42Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+4
18.3%
Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+26
18.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 26 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
18.2%
Chance Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+6
18.3%
Chance Bell run for 6 yds to the UNLV 8Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
18.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Parker HoustonSimilar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
14.7%
Matt Araiza 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3517% → 23%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
16.6%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
16.7%
OBLAD, Kenyon pass complete to FAUOLO SR., Gio for 12 yards to the UNLV41 (MCDONALD, Caden), PENALTY UNLV holding (WILLIAMS, C.) 10 yards to the UNLV19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-5
16.4%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Luq Barcoo and Jonah Tavai for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+28
16.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 28 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
17.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Noah BeanSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+58
23.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 58 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:4177% → 76%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
23.5%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to BJ Busbee for 12 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
22.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 10 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
22.3%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 3 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
22.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to BJ BusbeeSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-6
22.8%
Ryan Agnew sacked by Gabe McCoy for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 45Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
23.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 45 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for no gain to the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
21.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:2622% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.2%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
22.5%
Tyleek Collins run for 15 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
23.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 1 yd to the UNLV 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 0
0
21.7%
OBLAD, Kenyon pass incomplete to JENKINS, Steve, PENALTY UNLV ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY SDSU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+9
23.3%
Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
24.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by Luq BarcooSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+22
24.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Courtney Reese for 7 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (Trenton Thompson) to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
25.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Courtney Reese for 1 yd to the SDSt 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+1
25.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 1 yd to the SDSt 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+11
24.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 11 yds to the SDSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
25.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
25.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 8 yds to the SDSt 3Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 3
-2
24.1%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 5Similar
Q3 8:34
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
28.2%
Daniel Gutierrez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
25.8%
Juwan Washington run for 16 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+30
24.9%
Juwan Washington run for 30 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
22.9%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
22.9%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Daniel BellingerSimilar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
23.3%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe SmithSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
24.9%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jacob Gasser at the UNLV 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 29 yds · 1:4026% → 24%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
26.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-4
26.2%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Jericho Flowers) to the UNLV 3Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 14
OWN 3
-1
26.2%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Justice Oluwaseun) to the UNLV 2Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 15
OWN 2
+28
24.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 28 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
26.0%
Chad Magyar run for 6 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
27.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jacob Gasser for 5 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
28.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
26.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by Darren HallSimilar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
25.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 10
OWN 41
-5
24.0%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 15
OWN 36
+15
23.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 49 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 15 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:3978% → 82%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
22.1%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 19 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
20.5%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 9
50
+10
20.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 10 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
20.1%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+6
20.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 6 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+5
20.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 5 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
19.5%
AGNEW, Ryan pass incomplete to HOUSTON, Parker, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (JACKSON, R.) 12 yards to the UNLV16, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
19.5%
Kaegun Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-1
19.5%
Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 17Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 11
OPP 17
0
20.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews, broken up by Aaron LewisSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+34
17.9%
Matt Araiza 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.7%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
17.0%
Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
17.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by Caden McDonaldSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
17.4%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
17.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson, broken up by Dwayne Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
16.5%
Kyle Beaudry run for no gain to the UNLV 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0084% → 85%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
15.6%
Juwan Washington run for 12 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
15.3%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+2
15.1%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+13
15.5%
Ryan Agnew pass intercepted Jericho Flowers return for 13 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 5:3415% → 42%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
14.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+5
14.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jacob Gasser for 5 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+4
14.5%
Kenyon Oblad run for 4 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 1
OWN 0
+2
13.2%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+42
15.1%
Charles Williams run for 42 yds to the SDSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
19.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Jacob GasserSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
18.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 11 yds to the SDSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
19.0%
Chad Magyar run for 4 yds to the SDSt 9Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
19.0%
Tyleek Collins run for 3 yds to the SDSt 6Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+2
17.8%
Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the SDSt 4Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+2
16.9%
Kenyon Oblad run for 2 yds to the SDSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
41.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
24.3%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
23.3%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 31Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
24.1%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
24.9%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 47 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for 4 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22MISSED FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 3:0732% → 25%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
32.0%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-14
32.8%
Kenyon Oblad run for a loss of 14 yards to the UNLV 20 Kenyon Oblad fumbled, recovered by UNLV Kenyon ObladSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 24
OWN 20
0
30.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal Grimes, broken up by Darren HallSimilar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 24
OWN 20
0
29.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Noah Bean, broken up by Dwayne Johnson Jr.Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 24
OWN 20
+42
27.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 42 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
39.2%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+9
41.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 9 yds to the SDSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
41.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
41.2%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the SDSt 25Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
38.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Courtney ReeseSimilar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
24.8%
Daniel Gutierrez 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
7.5%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:57
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)
+24.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:37
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 24
-17.3
MISSED FG · Q4 0:37
Daniel Gutierrez 42 yd FG MISSED
-13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com