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NEV

Nevada 3 at Wyoming 31

WYO
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:33 · Quinton Conaway punt for 43 yds , Austin Conway returns for 5 yds to the Wyom 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense+28.5Pregame prior+13.4Score differential+25.7Blowout margin+12.5Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:49: Sean Chambers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +1.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:28: Sean Chambers pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +5.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:50: Xazavian Valladay run for 53 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down — WYO win probability +2.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Cooper Rothe 20 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +6.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:54: Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Jackson Marcotte for 25 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +3.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NEV made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00NEV 4th & 18 at NEV 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:04NEV 4th & 4 at NEV 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:49NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:34WYO 4th & 18 at WYO 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:21NEV 4th & 5 at WYO 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:17NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:18WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 48, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:11NEV 4th & 16 at WYO 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:02WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 23, up 28
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:33NEV 4th & 18 at NEV 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:52WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 32, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:06NEV 4th & 10 at WYO 13, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:06WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:27NEV 4th & 5 at WYO 5, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:01WYO 4th & 4 at NEV 33, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:14WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:49WYO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:28WYO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:54WYO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.6%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
80.6%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-3
80.6%
Carson Strong sacked by Solomon Byrd and Mario Mora for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 17Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+7
80.6%
Quinton Conaway punt for 43 yds , Austin Conway returns for 7 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2TD
1 play · 53 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
80.7%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 53 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1019% → 19%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 3 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
80.5%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 31Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
80.6%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:04
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+16
80.6%
Quinton Conaway punt for 37 yds , Austin Conway returns for 16 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:0381% → 83%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
80.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+16
80.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 16 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
80.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 12 yds to the Nevad 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
80.9%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Austin Conway for 22 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
80.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 2 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wyom Xazavian ValladaySimilar
Q1 11:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
80.9%
Jeff Burroughs run for no gain to the Nevad 2Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.5%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.0%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
82.0%
Cristian Solano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
82.0%
Cristian Solano run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 26Similar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+13
82.1%
Quinton Conaway punt for 37 yds , Austin Conway returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
50
+1
83.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
83.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-9
83.0%
Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Hausia Sekona for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 42Similar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 18
OWN 42
0
82.8%
Ryan Galovich punt for 40 yds, downed at the Nevad 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:4117% → 19%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
82.9%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+10
82.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Henry Ikahihifo for 10 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
82.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 23 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
82.5%
Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+25
82.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 25 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
82.1%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Wyom 15Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
82.1%
Cristian Solano run for no gain to the Wyom 15Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+4
82.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 4 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
81.2%
Brandon Talton 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8INT
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:2182% → 83%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+26
81.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 26 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
82.0%
Raghib Ismail Jr. run for 9 yds to the Nevad 40Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+2
82.1%
Brett Brenton run for 2 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
82.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 21 yds to the Nevad 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
82.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Nevad 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
82.5%
Sean Chambers pass intercepted Berdale Robins return for no gain to the Nevad 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
82.3%
Carson Strong run for 3 yds to the Nevad 9Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+2
82.3%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 11Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 5
OWN 11
0
82.3%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 5
OWN 11
+16
82.5%
Quinton Conaway punt for 47 yds , Austin Conway returns for 16 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:1884% → 89%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
83.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Nevad 42Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
83.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Nevad 41Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-5
83.2%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 46Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+18
82.8%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 18 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
83.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Nevad 27Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-10
83.6%
CHAMBERS, Sean rush for 1 yard to the NEV26 (MIRANDA, G.;WILLIAMS, Tyson), PENALTY WYO holding 10 yards to the NEV37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 19
OPP 37
+37
89.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
88.7%
WYOMING Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Raghib Ismail Jr.) to the Wyom 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
87.7%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
87.8%
Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+15
87.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 15 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
87.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 3 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+12
87.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 12 yds Kaleb Fossum fumbled, forced by Logan Wilson, recovered by Wyom Garrett CrallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
89.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 36Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
89.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Josh Harshman for 7 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+3
89.0%
Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
89.2%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
88.9%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr.Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
88.6%
Ryan Galovich punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
88.7%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 21Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
88.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 9 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+31
88.3%
Devonte Lee run for 31 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-2
87.7%
Carson Strong run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 12
OPP 41
-4
88.4%
Carson Strong sacked by Solomon Byrd for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 45 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
88.9%
Carson Strong punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wyom 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14FG
8 plays · 92 yds · 0:5091% → 95%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+53
91.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 53 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
91.1%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 21 yds to the Nevad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
90.3%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr.Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+17
90.5%
Sean Chambers run for 12 yds to the Nevad 9 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (5 Yards) to the Nevad 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
90.3%
Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the Nevad 3Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
95.1%
Cooper Rothe 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0695% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+17
95.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 17 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
95.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
95.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+11
95.2%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 11 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
95.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Nevad 25Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+25
99.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Jackson Marcotte for 25 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Ben Putman, broken up by Rome WeberSimilar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
WYOMING Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
98.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 16 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
98.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 3 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
98.9%
Carson Strong pass intercepted Alijah Halliburton return for no gain to the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
99.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
99.1%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+5
99.2%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 5 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
99.0%
Ryan Galovich punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.2%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
99.1%
Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+7
99.2%
Cristian Solano pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 7 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
99.2%
Cristian Solano run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 43Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+12
99.2%
Cristian Solano run for 12 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.2%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Cristian Solano pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by Jordan MurrySimilar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-9
99.2%
Cristian Solano sacked by Alijah Halliburton for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 47Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 18
OWN 47
+5
99.2%
Quinton Conaway punt for 43 yds , Austin Conway returns for 5 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
99.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 13 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+4
99.6%
Ryan Galovich punt for 49 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for 4 yds to the Nevad 36 NEVADA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Nevad 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:100% → 0%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.6%
Carson Strong run for 2 yds to the Nevad 15Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+6
99.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 6 yds to the Nevad 21Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+3
99.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Henry Ikahihifo for 3 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+18
99.6%
Carson Strong run for 18 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 5 yds to the Nevad 47Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+6
99.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 6 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+34
99.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 34 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 3 yds to the Wyom 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
99.8%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 8
-5
99.7%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 13Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
99.8%
Brandon Talton 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Ryan Galovich punt for 49 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for no gain to the Nevad 24 Romeo Doubs fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22DOWNS
17 plays · 65 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 5 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
99.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 3 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+5
99.8%
Cristian Solano run for 5 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 7 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 5 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
99.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 9 yds to the WYOMING 42 NEVADA Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Nevad 48Similar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 11
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 15 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Kaleb FossumSimilar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
99.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 8 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+10
99.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 10 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole Turner, broken up by Azizi HearnSimilar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+8
99.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 8 yds to the Wyom 11Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+3
99.8%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Wyom 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.8%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Dominic ChristianSimilar
Q4 12:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Kaleb FossumSimilar
Q4 12:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
-8
99.8%
Carson Strong sacked by Solomon Byrd for a loss of 8 yards to the Wyom 11 Carson Strong fumbled, recovered by Nevad Carson Strong , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 59 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
99.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
99.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+19
99.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Brett Brenton run for 5 yds to the Nevad 45Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Brett Brenton run for 1 yd to the Nevad 44Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Brett Brenton run for 1 yd to the Nevad 38Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+1
99.9%
Brett Brenton run for 1 yd to the Nevad 37Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Brett Brenton run for 4 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Brett Brenton run for 3 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
100.0%
Roger Neal run for 8 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:00
Cooper Rothe 20 yd FG GOOD
+6.1
TD · Q2 9:28
Sean Chambers pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q3 11:54
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Jackson Marcotte for 25 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com