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UNLV

UNLV 27 at Fresno State 56

FRES
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2019 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFUMBLETDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:21 · Jericho Flowers run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:19: Josh Hokit run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +4.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:33: Ronnie Rivers 11 Yd Run (Cesar Silva Kick) — FRES win probability +6.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:44: Noah Bean 60 Yd pass from Kenyon Oblad (Daniel Gutierrez Kick) — UNLV win probability +7.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:41: Jorge Reyna 3 Yd Run (Cesar Silva Kick) — FRES win probability +7.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q3 3:49: Charles Williams run for a loss of 4 yards Charles Williams fumbled, forced by Keiti Iakopo, recovered by FrsSt Justin Rice , return for 18 yds, (Cesar Silva KICK) — FRES win probability +4.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 3 of 6UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 11:17UNLV 4th & 2 at FRES 5, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:10FRES 4th & 5 at FRES 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:21FRES 4th & 7 at UNLV 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:12UNLV 4th & 1 at FRES 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:19UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:34FRES 4th & 4 at UNLV 33, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:34UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:19UNLV 4th & 7 at FRES 40, down 11
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:53FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:03UNLV 4th & 4 at FRES 4, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−5.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:58FRES 4th & 3 at UNLV 3, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.6%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−9.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:42UNLV 4th & 6 at FRES 36, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    8.1%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 15 at FRES 33, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:58UNLV 4th & 1 at FRES 14, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:16FRES 4th & 7 at UNLV 15, up 29
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:19FRES Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:51UNLV Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:19FRES Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:33FRES Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:44UNLV Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:41FRES Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:19FRES Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:50FRES Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:58FRES Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:16UNLV Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:4317% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
82.7%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+12
82.7%
Charles Williams run for 12 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+45
82.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 45 yds to the FrsSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
82.7%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
82.7%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
82.7%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+22
81.4%
Daniel Gutierrez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
81.4%
Jorge Reyna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
81.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the FrsSt 22Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+5
81.3%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 5 yds to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
81.2%
Blake Cusick punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
80.8%
Chad Magyar run for no gain to the UNLV 32 Chad Magyar fumbled, forced by Justin Rice, recovered by FrsSt Levelle BaileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0981% → 81%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
81.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
81.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
81.2%
Jorge Reyna pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
80.5%
Cesar Silva 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
80.3%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
80.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+9
80.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass intercepted Levelle Bailey return for 9 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 6TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:2781% → 82%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
80.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
80.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-5
80.6%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+14
80.6%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 14 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
80.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
81.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7TD
15 plays · 72 yds · 6:2119% → 26%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
80.7%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+11
80.5%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
80.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 9 yds to the FrsSt 47Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
80.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+5
80.1%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
80.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+23
80.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 23 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
79.8%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+7
79.8%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
80.0%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+2
80.4%
Kenyon Oblad run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
77.7%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
77.7%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Noah Bean) to the FrsSt 12Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
74.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 12 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 8TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 0:2676% → 80%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+82
75.8%
Jalen Cropper run for 82 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.2%
Josh Hokit run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.8%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
78.6%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
79.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete, broken up by Ricky McCoySimilar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
79.6%
Hayes Hicken punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:3578% → 78%
Q2 12:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
78.4%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 7 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
78.6%
FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+11
78.5%
Josh Hokit run for 11 yds to the FrsSt 26 Josh Hokit fumbled, forced by Rayshad Jackson, recovered by FrsSt Josh HokitSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
78.5%
Ronnie Rivers run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
79.1%
Jorge Reyna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
78.9%
Jalen Cropper run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
79.2%
Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
50
+11
79.6%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 11 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
79.8%
Josh Hokit run for 6 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
80.0%
Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Ronnie RiversSimilar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
79.6%
Jorge Reyna pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+50
78.4%
Cesar Silva 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
77.1%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+4
77.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 4 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
77.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+19
78.3%
Hayes Hicken punt for 41 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 19 yds to the FrsSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12TD
3 plays · 58 yds · 1:2079% → 85%
Q2 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
78.8%
Jorge Reyna run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+40
79.1%
Jorge Reyna run for 40 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
85.1%
Ronnie Rivers 11 Yd Run (Cesar Silva Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:4216% → 24%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
84.3%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
84.3%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+9
84.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 9 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
83.9%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-5
83.6%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 40Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+60
75.8%
Noah Bean 60 Yd pass from Kenyon Oblad (Daniel Gutierrez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:0377% → 87%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
76.8%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 12 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
77.4%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 3 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+37
77.9%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 37 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
79.1%
REYNA, Jorge pass incomplete to GLASPIE, Jamal, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (FLOWERS, J.) 15 yards to the UNLV8, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
79.1%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 5 yds to the UNLV 3Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.5%
Jorge Reyna 3 Yd Run (Cesar Silva Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:1817% → 15%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
83.4%
OBLAD, Kenyon pass incomplete to FAUOLO SR., Gio, PENALTY FS holding (JORDAN, Randy) 10 yards to the FS43, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
82.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
83.1%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 40Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
84.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
85.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 26 yds, downed at the FrsSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
85.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
85.6%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the FrsSt 27Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
85.5%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Ronnie Rivers for 1 yd to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
84.9%
Jorge Reyna pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
84.3%
Blake Cusick punt for 47 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:0715% → 19%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
85.1%
Tyleek Collins run for 23 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
84.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 6 yds to the FrsSt 46Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+4
83.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 4 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
83.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete, broken up by Mykal WalkerSimilar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+13
83.8%
Chad Magyar run for 13 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
82.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 19 yds to the FrsSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
82.6%
Chad Magyar run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
82.6%
Chad Magyar run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 4Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
83.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q3 9:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
81.5%
Daniel Gutierrez 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19MISSED FG
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:5784% → 86%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
83.8%
Jorge Reyna run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+2
83.4%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+22
82.8%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 22 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
85.2%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Erik Brooks for 7 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+13
85.5%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 13 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
85.7%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Cam Sutton for 25 yds to the UNLV 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
85.7%
UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Jericho Flowers) to the UNLV 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.7%
Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the UNLV 5Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
85.7%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 2 yds to the UNLV 3Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
87.2%
Jorge Reyna pass incomplete, broken up by Evan AustrieSimilar
Q3 3:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
86.2%
Cesar Silva 20 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20FUMBLE TD
1 play · -2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
90.8%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 4 yards Charles Williams fumbled, forced by Keiti Iakopo, recovered by FrsSt Justin Rice , return for 18 yds, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 33 yds · 3:4210% → 7%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
89.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 15 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
89.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+5
88.4%
Chad Magyar run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
88.8%
Kenyon Oblad run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
88.4%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
88.6%
Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 31Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 1
OPP 31
-5
88.8%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Matt Brayton) to the FrsSt 36Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+8
89.5%
Kenyon Oblad run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
90.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-11
90.8%
MAGYAR, Chad rush for 1 yard to the FS27 (JOHNSON, Isaiah), PENALTY UNLV holding 11 yards to the FS39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 39
+6
91.6%
Chad Magyar run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 33
0
91.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 33
0
92.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by Randy JordanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 22TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 1:2295% → 99%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+53
94.8%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 53 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
95.2%
Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
99.2%
Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jared Rice for 12 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal Grimes, broken up by Jaron BryantSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass intercepted Arron Mosby return for 16 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 24TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Josh Hokit run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 25INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+32
99.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass intercepted Juju Hughes return for 32 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 26TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.8%
Ronnie Rivers run for 11 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.8%
Josh Hokit run for 6 yds to the UNLV 6Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Josh Hokit run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 27TD
14 plays · 72 yds · 4:420% → 0%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Chad Magyar run for 6 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+11
99.9%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Charles Williams for 19 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 8 yds to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the FrsSt 28Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Jacob GasserSimilar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Charles Williams for 6 yds to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 4
OPP 17
-5
99.9%
OBLAD, Kenyon pass complete to WOODS JR., D. for 5 yards to the FS12, PENALTY UNLV ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the FS22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
FRESNO ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the FrsSt 17Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+3
99.9%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 14Similar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+2
99.8%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 12 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 28DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for 9 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+17
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for 17 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.9%
Ben Wooldridge run for 8 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Kyvin Carroll run for 3 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for no gain to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Saevion Johnson run for no gain to the UNLV 18Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Kyvin Carroll run for 3 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 7
OPP 15
-1
99.9%
Kyvin Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-6
100.0%
Jericho Flowers run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:44
Noah Bean 60 Yd pass from Kenyon Oblad (Daniel Gutierrez Kick)
-7.8
TD · Q2 0:41
Jorge Reyna 3 Yd Run (Cesar Silva Kick)
+7.4
TD · Q2 4:33
Ronnie Rivers 11 Yd Run (Cesar Silva Kick)
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com