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NEV

Nevada 10 at Utah State 36

USU
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadNEV aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreNEV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDSAFETYFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:12 · Quinton Conaway punt for 50 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 20 yds to the Nevad 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior+33.5Home team on offense+2.6Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:45: Brandon Talton 23 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +1.6 pts (now 10%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 9:33: Julian Diaz kickoff for 65 yds , Savon Scarver return for 100 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +0.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 5:33: Jordan Love pass complete to Caleb Repp for 13 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +4.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 2:07: Dominik Eberle 32 yd FG GOOD — USU win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:27: Gerold Bright run for 67 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10NEV made the numbers' call on 8 of 13
  1. Q1 9:45NEV 4th & 6 at USU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:27NEV 4th & 6 at NEV 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:58USU 4th & 10 at USU 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:24NEV 4th & 9 at NEV 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:00NEV 4th & 12 at NEV 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:40USU 4th & 4 at USU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:55NEV 4th & 1 at NEV 30, down 4
    Close callPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:20USU 4th & 6 at NEV 42, up 4
    Close callPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:43USU 4th & 7 at NEV 39, up 6
    Close callPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    88.5%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 14:12NEV 4th & 19 at NEV 5, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:58USU 4th & 6 at NEV 12, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 10:53NEV 4th & 7 at NEV 32, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 10:03USU 4th & 2 at USU 38, up 9
    Close callPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q2 5:28NEV 4th & 3 at NEV 35, down 16
    Close callPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q2 2:07USU 4th & 9 at NEV 15, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    90.9%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q2 2:01NEV 4th & 5 at NEV 38, down 19
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 13:08NEV 4th & 14 at USU 42, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 8:51USU 4th & 20 at NEV 30, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q3 4:23NEV 4th & 8 at USU 34, down 19
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.4%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q3 4:23USU 4th & 9 at USU 35, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  21. Q3 2:41NEV 4th & 14 at NEV 8, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  22. Q3 1:12USU 4th & 7 at NEV 38, up 19
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 15:00NEV 4th & 16 at USU 32, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NEV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:33USU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:33USU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:27USU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:03USU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:48NEV Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:109% → 10%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
91.5%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+8
91.5%
Malik Henry pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 8 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+1
91.5%
Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
91.4%
Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+29
91.4%
Malik Henry pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 29 yds to the UTAHST 36 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+28
91.4%
Malik Henry pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 28 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
91.4%
HENRY, Malik pass incomplete, QB hurry by BAKER, Dalton, PENALTY NEV holding (FROST, Aaron) 10 yards to the USU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 18
+4
91.4%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+13
91.4%
Malik Henry run for 13 yds to the UthSt 1Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
91.4%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 6Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
91.4%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by Andre GraysonSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
89.8%
Brandon Talton 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.3%
Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-3
90.1%
Malik Henry sacked by Tipa Galeai for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 29Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
90.3%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Kaleb FossumSimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
90.4%
Quinton Conaway punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
89.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 11 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.1%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
90.0%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the UthSt 43Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
89.9%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins, broken up by Tyson WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
89.8%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 38 yds, downed at the Nevad 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4110% → 10%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
89.7%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
89.7%
Malik Henry pass incomplete, broken up by David WoodwardSimilar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
89.6%
Malik Henry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
89.7%
Quinton Conaway punt for 38 yds, downed at the UthSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6FUMBLE
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
89.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 6 yds to the UthSt 49 Jaylen Warren fumbled, forced by Gabriel Sewell, recovered by Nevad Berdale Robins , return for 4 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
88.9%
Malik Henry pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAHST 47 NEVADA Penalty, false start ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+2
89.2%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the Nevad 49Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
89.2%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by Shaq BondSimilar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
89.4%
Quinton Conaway punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
89.0%
Jordan Love run for 6 yds to the UthSt 26Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
89.0%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Deven ThompkinsSimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
88.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Deven ThompkinsSimilar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
88.6%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 53 yds, downed at the Nevad 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
88.7%
HENRY, Malik pass complete to FOSSUM, Kaleb for 20 yards to the NEV41 (MEITZENHEIMER,), PENALTY NEV ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the NEV16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+5
88.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, offside defense (Devon Anderson) to the Nevad 21Similar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
88.7%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 24Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+2
88.7%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
88.8%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by David WoodwardSimilar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+4
89.0%
CONAWAY, Q. punt (blocked by SCARVER, Savon), PENALTY USU offside defense 4 yards to the NEV30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
88.9%
Quinton Conaway punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
88.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 13 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
88.4%
Jordan Love run for 11 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
88.5%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
88.5%
Jordan Love pass incomplete, broken up by Giovanni MirandaSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
88.3%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
88.0%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 41 yds, downed at the Nevad 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
88.3%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:1889% → 89%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
89.1%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
89.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 11 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.2%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins, broken up by EJ MuhammadSimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
89.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
89.1%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
88.7%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
88.7%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs, broken up by DJ WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
88.8%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 16Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 8
OWN 16
-10
89.0%
Malik Henry sacked by Andre Grayson for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 5 Malik Henry fumbled, recovered by Nevad Toa Taua , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 19
OWN 5
+20
89.2%
Quinton Conaway punt for 50 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 20 yds to the Nevad 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:4389% → 89%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
89.2%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the Nevad 34Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+18
89.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 18 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
89.1%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the Nevad 15Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+3
89.1%
Jordan Love run for 3 yds to the Nevad 12Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
88.9%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:58
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
88.8%
Dominik Eberle 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
88.9%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
88.8%
Malik Henry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
89.1%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Romeo DoubsSimilar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
89.3%
Quinton Conaway punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Deven Thompkins at the UthSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
88.7%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
88.6%
Jordan Love run for 7 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+1
88.8%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+23
88.4%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the UTAHST 24 UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Taylor Compton) to the Nevad 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 17INT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0712% → 10%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
88.4%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+2
88.4%
Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-5
89.3%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+34
89.8%
Malik Henry pass intercepted Shaq Bond return for 34 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:5090% → 94%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.0%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Caleb Repp, broken up by Tyson WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
89.9%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+10
89.7%
Jordan Love run for 10 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
90.2%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the Nevad 26Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+5
90.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 5 yds to the Nevad 21Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+8
89.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 8 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
94.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Caleb Repp for 13 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
92.2%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 33Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
92.0%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-2
91.8%
Devonte Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 35Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+37
92.2%
Quinton Conaway punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTAHST 38 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (DJ Williams) to the UthSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 1:3994% → 96%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
94.0%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+15
94.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 15 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
94.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 25 yds to the Nevad 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
94.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 14 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
94.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 1 yd to the Nevad 15Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
94.3%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 9
OWN 0
0
93.8%
LOVE, Jordan pass intercepted by ROBINS, Berdale at the NEV0, ROBINS, Berdale return to the NEV0, PENALTY USU illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY NEV pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
94.1%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
95.5%
Dominik Eberle 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
93.7%
Malik Henry pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 5 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
93.7%
Malik Henry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
93.8%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Kaleb Fossum, broken up by Andre GraysonSimilar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
93.9%
Quinton Conaway punt for 60 yds, downed at the UthSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22END OF HALF
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:2996% → 96%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
95.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the UthSt 5Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+11
95.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 11 yds to the UthSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
95.8%
Jordan Love run for 4 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+15
95.8%
NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (Gabriel Sewell) to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.8%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Deven ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-12
95.8%
Jordan Love sacked by Maliek Broady for a loss of 12 yards to the UthSt 21 Jordan Love fumbled, recovered by UthSt Jordan Love , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 24
OWN 21
-1
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 23INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan NathanSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.9%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
95.8%
Jordan Love pass intercepted Berdale Robins return for 5 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:187% → 6%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
93.3%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
93.4%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Toa TauaSimilar
Q3 14:26
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-6
93.5%
Malik Henry sacked by Devon Anderson for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 42Similar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
93.8%
Quinton Conaway punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 25MISSED FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:1296% → 96%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
95.6%
Gerold Bright run for 19 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
95.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 2 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, roughing passer (Dom Peterson) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
50
+2
96.0%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds to the Nevad 48Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
96.0%
Jordan Love run for 7 yds to the Nevad 41Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+6
95.8%
Gerold Bright run for 6 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.0%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the Nevad 35Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
96.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 15 yds to the Nevad 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 25Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 15
OPP 25
+5
96.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 5 yds to the Nevad 20Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-10
95.9%
Jordan Love sacked by Maliek Broady for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 20
OPP 30
+47
96.0%
Dominik Eberle 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 26MISSED FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:286% → 5%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
94.2%
Malik Henry pass complete to Dominic Christian for 22 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
93.7%
Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+4
93.4%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
93.5%
Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
93.7%
Malik Henry pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 9 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 1
OPP 27
-5
93.0%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
93.0%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the UthSt 32Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+3
93.6%
Malik Henry pass complete to Toa Taua for 3 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 3
OPP 29
-5
94.7%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Aaron Frost) to the UthSt 34Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+51
94.7%
Brandon Talton 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
97.9%
Gerold Bright run for 1 yd to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-5
97.9%
Jordan Love sacked by Dom Peterson for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 30Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 14
OWN 30
+5
97.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 5 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
97.7%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 53 yds, downed at the Nevad 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
95.5%
HENRY, Malik pass complete to CHRISTIAN, D. for 12 yards to the NEV24 (WOODWARD, David), PENALTY NEV personal foul 6 yards to the NEV6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 16
OWN 6
+2
95.6%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 8Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 14
OWN 8
0
95.6%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 14
OWN 8
0
95.7%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Kaleb FossumSimilar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 14
OWN 8
0
95.7%
Quinton Conaway punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
98.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the Nevad 38Similar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
98.6%
Jaylen Warren run for no gain to the Nevad 38Similar
Q3 1:12
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
98.5%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Siaosi MarinerSimilar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
98.3%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 33 yds, downed at the Nevad 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 30DOWNS
10 plays · 75 yds · 0:194% → 4%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
96.2%
Malik Henry pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 11 yds Elijah Cooks fumbled, forced by Andre Grayson, recovered by Nevad Elijah Cooks for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+20
96.1%
Malik Henry pass complete to Dominic Christian for 20 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
95.8%
Malik Henry pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 10 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
95.8%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Miles Beach) to the Nevad 41Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+33
96.1%
Malik Henry pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 33 yds to the UthSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-15
95.1%
HENRY, Malik pass incomplete to O'LEARY-ORANGE (BOND, Shaq), PENALTY NEV pass interference (O'LEARY-ORANGE) 15 yards to the USU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 25
OPP 41
+5
95.7%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 36
0
95.7%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Kaleb FossumSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 36
+4
96.1%
Malik Henry pass complete to Toa Taua for 4 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 32
+12
96.0%
Toa Taua run for 12 yds to the UthSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 31TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:3899% → 100%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.1%
Gerold Bright run for 9 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
99.1%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
99.7%
Gerold Bright run for 67 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 32INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.8%
Malik Henry pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 16 yds to the Nevad 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.7%
Malik Henry pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 3 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
99.7%
Malik Henry pass intercepted Kevin Meitzenheimer return for 4 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 33TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:23100% → 100%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+48
99.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 48 yds to the Nevad 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Gerold Bright run for 9 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 34TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:150% → 0%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Nevad 25Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Malik Henry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
HENRY, Malik pass incomplete to LEE, Devonte, PENALTY USU pass interference 3 yards to the NEV28, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Maliek Broady run for 9 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-4
99.9%
HENRY, Malik pass incomplete to HUMPHREY, John (ADAMS, Terin), PENALTY NEV ineligible downfield on pass 4 yards to the NEV33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks, broken up by Dominic TatumSimilar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+15
99.9%
HENRY, Malik pass intercepted by LAMPKIN, Cam at the 50 yardline, LAMPKIN, Cam return to the NEV30, out-of-bounds (BEACH, Miles), PENALTY USU pass interference (GRAYSON, Andre) 15 yards to the NEV48, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Devonte Lee run for 4 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+13
99.9%
Malik Henry pass complete to Devonte Lee for 13 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Malik Henry pass complete to Devonte Lee for 3 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+7
99.9%
Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Kaleb FossumSimilar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Malik Henry pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks, broken up by Andre GraysonSimilar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Toa Taua run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 35END OF GAME
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.8%
Riley Burt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Taylor Compton for 4 yds to the UthSt 39Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Riley Burt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Taylor Compton for 1 yd to the UthSt 43Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+21
99.9%
Riley Burt run for 21 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Riley Burt run for 6 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-1
99.9%
Henry Colombi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:33
Jordan Love pass complete to Caleb Repp for 13 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+4.2
FG · Q1 9:45
Brandon Talton 23 yd FG GOOD
-1.6
FG · Q2 2:07
Dominik Eberle 32 yd FG GOOD
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com