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BOIS

Boise State 38 at UNLV 13

UNLV
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:52 · Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Pregame prior−31.4Home team on offense−10.8Score differential−6.1Garbage-time factor−3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:38: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 76 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Joel Velazquez 52 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:40: Akilian Butler 23 Yd Run (Eric Sachse Kick) — BOIS win probability +4.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:33: Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 11 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +6.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:31: Chase Cord pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 24 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 10 of 15BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:33UNLV 4th & 2 at BOIS 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:07BOIS 4th & 1 at BOIS 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:07BOIS 4th & 15 at BOIS 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:22UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00BOIS 4th & 1 at UNLV 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:58UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:38UNLV 4th & 7 at UNLV 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:10UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:57BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:36UNLV 4th & 1 at BOIS 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:52UNLV 4th & 4 at BOIS 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:49BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 46, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q2 2:13UNLV 4th & 8 at BOIS 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 14:47BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 13:14UNLV 4th & 16 at UNLV 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00BOIS 4th & 11 at BOIS 36, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:53UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:29BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 39, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:06UNLV 4th & 20 at UNLV 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:23BOIS 4th & 3 at BOIS 15, up 17
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:14UNLV 4th & 22 at UNLV 36, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%
    average punt
  23. Q4 5:31UNLV 4th & 8 at BOIS 8, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.6
    average punt
  24. Q4 2:53BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 11, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  25. Q4 1:07UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 42, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 2 of 2BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:33BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:38BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:40BOIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:33UNLV Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:31BOIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:23UNLV Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:07BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
7.6%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
7.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
7.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 2 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
7.6%
Hayes Hicken punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:0492% → 92%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
8.1%
Robert Mahone run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+14
8.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 14 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
8.0%
John Hightower run for 16 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+35
8.0%
John Hightower run for 35 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
8.6%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass incomplete to EVANS, Octavius, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (FLOWERS, J.) 5 yards to the UNLV2, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
8.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 2 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
8.4%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+22
8.4%
Steve Jenkins run for 7 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
8.5%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
8.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Chad Magyar for 5 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
8.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete, broken up by Kekaula KanihoSimilar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+11
8.5%
Hayes Hicken punt for 35 yds , Avery Williams returns for 11 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 18 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
9.0%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
9.0%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
9.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 7 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
8.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
8.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 9 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
8.8%
Robert Mahone run for no gain to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
8.9%
Robert Mahone run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
8.8%
MAHONE, Robert rush for 4 yards to the BSU47 (HESTER II, F.), PENALTY BSU personal foul (PISTONE, Matt) 15 yards to the BSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 25
OWN 28
0
9.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John Hightower, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 25
OWN 28
+10
9.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 10 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 15
OWN 38
0
9.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
9.1%
Joel Velazquez punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
10.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 5 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
10.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 4 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-2
10.4%
Kenyon Oblad run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 37 Kenyon Oblad fumbled, recovered by UNLV Kenyon ObladSimilar
Q1 4:22
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+15
10.1%
Hayes Hicken punt for 50 yds , Avery Williams returns for 15 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:2590% → 89%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
10.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 21 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
10.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Robert Mahone for 20 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
10.1%
Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+3
10.0%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
10.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the UNLV 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
10.8%
Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the UNLV 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
11.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
11.2%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
11.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.Similar
Q2 14:58
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
10.9%
Hayes Hicken punt for 51 yds , Avery Williams returns for no gain to the BoiSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8TD
1 play · 76 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
9.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 76 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.3%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
9.3%
Kenyon Oblad run for 1 yd to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
9.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+8
9.2%
Hayes Hicken punt for 51 yds , Avery Williams returns for 8 yds to the BoiSt 36 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BoiSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 49 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
9.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 18 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
9.0%
Robert Mahone run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+16
8.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 16 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
8.8%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+6
8.8%
Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
8.8%
Robert Mahone run for no gain to the UNLV 32 Robert Mahone fumbled, forced by Rayshad Jackson, recovered by UNLV Kolo UasikeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:119% → 9%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
9.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
9.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
9.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins, broken up by Avery WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
9.2%
Hayes Hicken punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
9.0%
Hank Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
9.0%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
9.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
9.1%
Joel Velazquez punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:4410% → 10%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
9.5%
Chad Magyar run for 13 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
10.0%
Chad Magyar run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 4
50
+3
10.0%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
10.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
9.9%
Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
10.1%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
10.1%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-3
10.0%
Kenyon Oblad run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
10.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
9.0%
George Holani run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
9.0%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
9.1%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
9.5%
Joel Velazquez punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 47 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+29
9.5%
Charles Williams run for 29 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
9.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
50
0
10.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
50
+2
10.5%
Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
10.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 8
OPP 48
+1
10.1%
Hayes Hicken punt for 37 yds , Avery Williams returns for 1 yd to the BoiSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16FG
6 plays · 53 yds · 0:3291% → 93%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+21
9.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 21 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
9.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 6 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
9.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+26
9.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 26 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+52
6.6%
Joel Velazquez 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
7.8%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Javin White) to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
7.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 10 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
7.3%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
7.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John Hightower, broken up by Myles PlummerSimilar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
7.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q3 14:47
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+1
7.9%
Joel Velazquez punt for 46 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for 1 yd to the UNLV 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
8.2%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+6
8.3%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
8.3%
Jacob Gasser run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 21Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+8
8.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Chad Magyar for 8 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+8
8.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jacob Gasser for 8 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
8.7%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Sonatane Lui for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+8
8.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Patrick Ballard for 8 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-8
8.5%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Kekaula Kaniho for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+12
8.2%
Hayes Hicken punt for 40 yds , Avery Williams returns for 12 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:0593% → 98%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
6.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
6.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
7.0%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass incomplete to HIGHTOWER, John, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (FLOWERS, J.) 15 yards to the UNLV44, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
6.7%
Jaylon Henderson pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 6 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+15
6.5%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass incomplete to HIGHTOWER, John, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (WHITE, Javin) 15 yards to the UNLV23, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
2.3%
Akilian Butler 23 Yd Run (Eric Sachse Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:013% → 9%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
2.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
2.9%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+24
2.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 24 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
3.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jacob Gasser for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+15
3.1%
MAGYAR, Chad rush for no gain to the BSU44 (LUI, Sonatane), PENALTY BSU personal foul (WALKER, Jalen) 15 yards to the BSU29, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
3.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
3.3%
Chad Magyar run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 21 Chad Magyar fumbled, forced by Avery Williams, recovered by UNLV Julio GarciaSimilar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+10
3.3%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Curtis Weaver) to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
9.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 11 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:2695% → 95%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
5.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 8 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+6
5.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 6 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
5.3%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass complete to SHAKIR, Khalil for 7 yards to the BSU44, PENALTY BSU personal foul (HOLANI, George) 15 yards to the BSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 25
OWN 22
0
5.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Robert Mahone for no gain to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 25
OWN 22
-6
5.6%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Gabe McCoy for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 31
OWN 16
+20
5.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 20 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
5.4%
Joel Velazquez punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jacob Gasser at the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
7.1%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-3
7.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
6.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+11
6.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 50 yds , Avery Williams returns for 11 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
4.8%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
4.6%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
4.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
5.1%
Joel Velazquez punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
4.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 16 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
4.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 3 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+8
4.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 8 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
5.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
4.9%
OBLAD, Kenyon pass incomplete to JENKINS, Steve, PENALTY BSU pass interference (WILLIAMS, Avery) 15 yards to the UNLV49, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
5.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Noah BeanSimilar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
5.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-5
5.1%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Justice Oluwaseun) to the UNLV 44Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 15
OWN 44
-5
4.9%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 20
OWN 39
0
4.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 43 yds , Avery Williams returns for no gain to the BoiSt 39 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BoiSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
4.1%
Robert Mahone run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+9
4.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 9 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
4.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to CT Thomas, broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
4.3%
Joel Velazquez punt for 56 yds, downed at the UNLV 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26INT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:354% → 4%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
4.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 19 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-9
4.5%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 9 yards to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 19
OWN 39
0
4.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 19
OWN 39
-3
4.0%
Kenyon Oblad sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 36Similar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 22
OWN 36
0
3.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass intercepted Kekoa Nawahine return for no gain to the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 27TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:3797% → 100%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+46
2.6%
George Holani run for 46 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
0.5%
Chase Cord pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 24 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 28DOWNS
11 plays · 67 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
1.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 11 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
1.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 6 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
1.0%
Chad Magyar run for 5 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
1.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 15 yds Randal Grimes fumbled, forced by Markel Reed, recovered by UNLV Randal Grimes for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
1.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+30
1.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 30 yds to the BoiSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q4 5:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
1.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
0.5%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+7
0.6%
George Holani run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 3
OWN 15
-4
0.5%
Chase Cord pass complete to George Holani for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+37
0.5%
Joel Velazquez punt for 37 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 30TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:011% → 2%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
0.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
0.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 4 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+33
0.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 33 yds to the BoiSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
2.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 12 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 31TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.1%
Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 32DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Randal GrimesSimilar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
0.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 19 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
0.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
0.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-2
0.1%
Chad Magyar run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete, broken up by Khafari BuffaloSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:33
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 11 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q3 6:40
Akilian Butler 23 Yd Run (Eric Sachse Kick)
-4.2
FG · Q2 0:00
Joel Velazquez 52 yd FG GOOD
-2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com