Try the model
WYO

Wyoming 21 at Tulsa 24

TLSA
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Chapman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:25 · Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 17 yds to the TULSA 33 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 191Pregame prior+1.5Home team on offense−5.8Garbage-time factor−4.9Score differential−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Blowout margin−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:49: Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 56 yds for a TD, (Jacob Rainey KICK) — TLSA win probability +11.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:03: Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 53 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +19.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:25: Sean Chambers run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +42.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:26: Shamari Brooks run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jacob Rainey KICK) — TLSA win probability +46.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:50: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 2 — TLSA win probability +25.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 11 of 13WYO made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00TLSA 4th & 29 at TLSA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:46TLSA 4th & 13 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:39WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:39TLSA 4th & 8 at WYO 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:12WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:35TLSA 4th & 9 at WYO 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:37WYO 4th & 7 at TLSA 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:37TLSA 4th & 1 at WYO 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−3.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:37TLSA 4th & 12 at WYO 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    52.1%−1.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:19WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:30WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 12 at WYO 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:22TLSA 4th & 13 at WYO 32, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.8%−1.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:26TLSA 4th & 10 at WYO 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−6.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:26WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:22TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:54WYO 4th & 11 at WYO 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−2.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 4:49TLSA 4th & 7 at WYO 29, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−5.4
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:14WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00WYO 4th & 6 at TLSA 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−1.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−1.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 15:00TLSA 4th & 17 at TLSA 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−2.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:51TLSA 4th & 4 at WYO 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−4.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−2.9
    average punt
  23. Q4 5:25TLSA 4th & 5 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.5%−3.3
    average punt
  24. Q4 3:21WYO 4th & 9 at TLSA 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−0.9
    27% to make
    Punt
    22.5%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WYO made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 7:46WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:49TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:10TLSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:03WYO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:25WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:26TLSA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TLSADrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.7%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr., broken up by TEAMSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
66.7%
Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 11 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
66.7%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 29 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
66.7%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-7
66.7%
Zach Smith sacked by Alijah Halliburton for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 41
-8
66.7%
Zach Smith sacked by Chad Muma for a loss of 8 yards to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 24
OPP 49
-5
66.7%
TULSA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 29
OWN 46
0
66.7%
Thomas Bennett punt for 28 yds, downed at the Wyom 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 4:4334% → 38%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
66.4%
Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+13
66.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Austin Conway for 13 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
66.2%
Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
66.2%
Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+5
66.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to John Okwoli for 5 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
66.2%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Austin Conway for 10 yds to the Tulsa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
66.1%
Trey Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+4
66.3%
Trey Smith run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+33
62.5%
Sean Chambers run for 33 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
63.3%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+13
63.2%
Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 13 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
63.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
63.9%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+13
63.5%
Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 13 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
64.1%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
64.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-5
63.9%
Zach Smith sacked by Javaree Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 13
50
0
63.1%
Thomas Bennett punt for 36 yds, downed at the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0338% → 38%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
61.6%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
62.0%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
62.1%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 7
OWN 17
+11
62.5%
Ryan Galovich punt for 58 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 11 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
61.9%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
61.8%
Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+11
62.0%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 11 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
62.9%
Keylon Stokes run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
62.9%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen Johnson, broken up by Cole GodboutSimilar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
62.4%
Zach Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
61.7%
Thomas Bennett punt for 33 yds, downed at the Wyom 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
60.7%
Trey Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 12Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 11
OWN 12
0
60.7%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 11
OWN 12
0
61.0%
Sean Chambers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 11
OWN 12
0
61.3%
Ryan Galovich punt for 56 yds, downed at the Tulsa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:5461% → 59%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
60.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+7
60.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+2
61.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
60.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+20
60.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 20 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
61.2%
Shamari Brooks run for 17 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
62.0%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+3
61.9%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
61.1%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
59.1%
Jacob Rainey 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:5842% → 45%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
58.1%
TULSA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+6
57.4%
Titus Swen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
57.6%
Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+28
57.5%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Austin Conway for 28 yds to the Tulsa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
56.3%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+13
56.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Gunner Gentry for 13 yds to the Tulsa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
56.1%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+1
56.1%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
56.4%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr., broken up by Cristian WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
54.9%
Cooper Rothe 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Reggie Robinson II Allie Green IV return for no gain to the Tulsa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.2%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr., broken up by Garrett CrallSimilar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
56.2%
Shamari Brooks run for no gain to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+12
55.1%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 12 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
57.7%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 4 yds to the Wyom 49Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
58.2%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 5 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
58.3%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
57.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
58.3%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
58.3%
Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-9
58.4%
Zach Smith sacked by Solomon Byrd and Victor Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
55.5%
Thomas Bennett punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
52.1%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
52.1%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 15Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
52.6%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
53.5%
Ryan Galovich punt for 41 yds, downed at the Tulsa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 11TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 0:1654% → 65%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
54.2%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
53.4%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon StokesSimilar
Q2 2:49
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+56
65.3%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 56 yds for a TD, (Jacob Rainey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:1939% → 38%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.5%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Rome WeberSimilar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
61.6%
Brett Brenton run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
62.1%
Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
61.8%
Ryan Galovich punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 13TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:1364% → 77%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
64.1%
Zach Smith pass complete to Shamari Brooks for 18 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
66.5%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 9 yds to the Wyom 39Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-1
66.6%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 40Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
65.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
76.9%
Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 37 yds for a TD, (Jacob Rainey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.5%
Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
74.6%
Brett Brenton run for 2 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.8%
TULSA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
-2
71.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
72.5%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
73.0%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Austin Conway WYOMING Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
74.0%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Ayden EberhardtSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
74.5%
Ryan Galovich punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16FG
16 plays · 42 yds · 4:1576% → 81%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
76.0%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
75.0%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+13
74.0%
Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 13 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
76.2%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Shamari BrooksSimilar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
76.1%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr., broken up by Logan WilsonSimilar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+13
75.1%
Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 13 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
76.4%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 32Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 13
OPP 32
0
76.0%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes, broken up by Keyon BlankenbakerSimilar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 13
OPP 32
0
74.5%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+20
75.3%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 20 yds to the Wyom 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
79.0%
TULSA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 17Similar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
78.8%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
78.5%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 15
OPP 17
+5
76.6%
Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 5 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
81.2%
Jacob Rainey 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.3%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Austin Conway, broken up by Zaven CollinsSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.5%
Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
81.9%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to John OkwoliSimilar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+8
82.5%
Ryan Galovich punt for 46 yds , Joseph Anderson returns for 8 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
81.7%
Zach Smith run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-2
82.8%
Shamari Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 41Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
81.9%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+1
81.2%
Thomas Bennett punt for 48 yds , Austin Conway returns for 1 yd to the Wyom 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
82.6%
Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
82.6%
Sean Chambers run for no gain to the Wyom 16Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 6
OWN 16
-5
83.2%
Sean Chambers sacked by Trevis Gipson for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 11Similar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
83.8%
Ryan Galovich punt for 44 yds, downed at the Tulsa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
85.0%
Zach Smith pass complete to Josh Johnson for 13 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
85.2%
Corey Taylor II run for 10 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
85.8%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
85.5%
Shamari Brooks run for 5 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-2
85.0%
Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 7
OPP 29
0
83.7%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:2716% → 15%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
83.8%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-10
84.2%
VANDER WAAL, T. pass complete to ISMAIL JR, R. for 18 yards to the WYO47 (BUNCH, M.), PENALTY WYO holding 10 yards to the WYO19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 20
OWN 19
0
84.6%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin Conway, broken up by Cannon MontgomerySimilar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 20
OWN 19
-5
85.2%
WYOMING Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 14Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 25
OWN 14
+21
85.2%
Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 21 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
84.9%
Ryan Galovich punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joseph Anderson at the Tulsa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0085% → 86%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
85.0%
Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 19 yds to the Tulsa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
86.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-5
86.4%
Zach Smith sacked by Solomon Byrd for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulsa 44 Zach Smith fumbled, recovered by Wyom Solomon Byrd , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0817% → 15%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
83.4%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr.Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
83.7%
Tyler Vander Waal run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
83.9%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt, broken up by Allie Green IVSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
85.0%
Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Austin Conway WYOMING Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
87.0%
Shamari Brooks run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+10
87.0%
SMITH, Z. pass incomplete to JOHNSON, K., PENALTY WYO pass interference 10 yards to the WYO47, 1ST DOWN TLS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
87.2%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson, broken up by Keyon BlankenbakerSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
87.2%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson, broken up by Logan WilsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-7
86.2%
Zach Smith sacked by Solomon Byrd for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
84.9%
Thomas Bennett punt for 46 yds, downed at the Wyom 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25TD
7 plays · 92 yds · 2:1012% → 35%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
87.6%
CHAMBERS, Sean pass incomplete to OKWOLI, John, PENALTY TLS holding 10 yards to the WYO18, 1ST DOWN WYO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
86.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+4
85.3%
Brett Brenton run for 4 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
85.7%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Gunner GentrySimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+16
86.7%
Sean Chambers run for 16 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
84.5%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr., broken up by Manny BunchSimilar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+53
65.4%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 53 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:1271% → 76%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.3%
Keylon Stokes run for no gain to the Tulsa 25Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.9%
Zach Smith pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 8 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
75.6%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
76.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 16 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
78.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
78.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
78.1%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Shamari Brooks, broken up by Solomon ByrdSimilar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 4
OPP 41
-9
76.4%
Zach Smith sacked by Teagan Liufau for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:2433% → 79%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
50
0
67.0%
Austin Conway pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt, broken up by Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 10
50
+5
69.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-7
67.8%
Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 42 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 48Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+22
72.7%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Raghib Ismail Jr. for 22 yds to the Tulsa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
64.3%
Sean Chambers pass complete to John Okwoli for 15 yds to the Tulsa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
21.5%
Sean Chambers run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 28TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5939% → 87%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.0%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Keenen JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
38.3%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 20 yds to the Tulsa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
43.2%
Zach Smith pass complete to Shamari Brooks for no gain to the Tulsa 45Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
41.2%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 5
50
0
43.7%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh Johnson, broken up by Rome WeberSimilar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 5
50
+31
41.4%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keenen Johnson for 17 yds to the TULSA 33 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
87.4%
Shamari Brooks run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jacob Rainey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 29FUMBLE
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0029% → 34%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
70.7%
CHAMBERS, Sean pass incomplete to BLANKENBAKER,K., PENALTY TLS holding 10 yards to the TLS45, 1ST DOWN WYO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
67.7%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Gunner GentrySimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
68.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-5
67.9%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulsa 44Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
70.7%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Raghib Ismail Jr.Similar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 9
OPP 44
+34
73.8%
Sean Chambers pass complete to Rome Weber for 34 yds to the Tulsa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
64.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Tulsa 10Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
64.1%
Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 0
OPP 10
+7
66.0%
Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 3 Sean Chambers fumbled, forced by Cooper Edmiston, recovered by Tulsa Reggie Robinson IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
91.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 2Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 11
OWN 2
-1
91.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:26
Shamari Brooks run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jacob Rainey KICK)
+46
TD · Q4 5:25
Sean Chambers run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
-42.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:50
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 2
+25.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com