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AF

Air Force 19 at Boise State 30

BOIS
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2019 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:01: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 36 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +6.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Jake Koehnke 30 yd FG GOOD — AF win probability +8.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:34: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 28 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +18.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:30: Robert Mahone run for 10 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse PAT BLOCKED) — BOIS win probability +15.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:27: Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 31 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke PAT BLOCKED) — AF win probability +5.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 13:20BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35AF 4th & 9 at AF 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:48BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:16AF 4th & 3 at BOIS 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:06BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:04AF 4th & 7 at AF 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:53BOIS 4th & 7 at AF 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00AF 4th & 10 at BOIS 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−7.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:02AF 4th & 3 at BOIS 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:24BOIS 4th & 5 at BOIS 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:29AF 4th & 3 at BOIS 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.3%−0.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−11.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:05BOIS 4th & 10 at AF 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:54AF 4th & 1 at BOIS 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.2%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4AF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:55AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:01BOIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:34BOIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:30BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:35BOIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:27AF Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:3069% → 69%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
69.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 15 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
69.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John BatesSimilar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
69.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 8 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
69.1%
Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
69.0%
Joel Velazquez punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:3531% → 32%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
68.9%
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the AFA 26Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
68.8%
Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+5
68.8%
Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
68.7%
Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 40Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+8
68.1%
Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
67.9%
Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the AFA 49Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
67.8%
Donald Hammond III run for no gain to the AFA 49Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
67.8%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud SandersSimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
68.2%
Charlie Scott punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3568% → 68%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
68.1%
Robert Mahone run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
68.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
67.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
67.5%
Joel Velazquez punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:0733% → 33%
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
67.3%
Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
67.1%
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 2
50
+2
66.8%
Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
66.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
66.5%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud SandersSimilar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+4
66.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
66.9%
Charlie Scott punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5867% → 66%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
67.4%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
67.2%
Khalil Shakir run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
66.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
66.4%
Joel Velazquez punt for 20 yds, downed at the BoiSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 3:0134% → 41%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
65.9%
Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+14
65.1%
Kadin Remsberg run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
64.5%
Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+8
64.3%
Donald Hammond III run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
64.1%
Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 8Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
59.0%
Donald Hammond III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:3761% → 68%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
60.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Robert Mahone for 3 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
60.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 12 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
60.6%
Bachmeier, Hank pass complete to Hightower, John for 7 yards to the BOISEST42, PENALTY BOISEST ineligible downfield on kick 5 yards to the BOISEST30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+12
60.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 12 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
61.4%
Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
61.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 12 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
61.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
61.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 5 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+36
68.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 36 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:4135% → 35%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
65.1%
Kadin Remsberg run for 11 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
63.9%
AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (Kadin Remsberg) to the AFA 36Similar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+6
65.0%
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
63.7%
Benjamin Waters run for 5 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-3
63.0%
Donald Hammond III sacked by Ezekiel Noa for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 44Similar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
64.8%
Charlie Scott punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:5766% → 69%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
66.1%
Robert Mahone run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
66.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Robert MahoneSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+19
65.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 19 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
67.2%
Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+29
67.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 29 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
68.4%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Lakota Wills for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 27Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 11
OPP 27
-2
68.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 29Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 13
OPP 29
+6
66.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 6 yds to the AFA 23Similar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
68.6%
Eric Sachse 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 10END OF HALF
19 plays · 52 yds · 5:3033% → 41%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
67.1%
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+13
65.6%
Taven Birdow run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
65.0%
Donald Hammond III run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
64.7%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud SandersSimilar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
64.8%
Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
64.0%
Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
63.6%
Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+3
62.5%
Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
61.3%
Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+8
61.1%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Ben Peterson for 8 yds to the BoiSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
61.1%
Kadin Remsberg run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 12Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-3
62.0%
Benjamin Waters run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 15 Benjamin Waters fumbled, forced by Chase Hatada, recovered by AFA Benjamin WatersSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+2
63.9%
Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
59.3%
Jake Koehnke 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:4339% → 41%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
60.7%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 19 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
58.2%
AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (Scott Hattok) to the AFA 39Similar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 15
OWN 39
-1
59.7%
Isaiah Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 38Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+11
59.8%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 11 yds to the AFA 49Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+2
57.6%
Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
59.0%
Charlie Scott punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:1763% → 61%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
62.9%
Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
62.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 3 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
61.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
60.9%
Joel Velazquez punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 4:4543% → 50%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
57.5%
Timothy Jackson run for 20 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
56.4%
Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+1
54.8%
Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+9
56.0%
Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
54.2%
Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+2
53.9%
Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
55.1%
Kadin Remsberg run for no gain to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
50.3%
Jake Koehnke 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 5:3353% → 76%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
53.4%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+4
52.9%
Robert Mahone run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+23
51.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 23 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
56.8%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
56.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 11 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
56.8%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the AFA 37Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-1
56.5%
George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 38Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+2
54.8%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Kyle Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 38 Hank Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Robert Mahone , return for 0 yards , return for 2 yds to the AFA 38Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+13
50.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 13 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
57.9%
Khalil Shakir run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 28Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+28
75.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 28 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:3130% → 33%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.6%
Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the AFA 27Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
69.2%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 16 yds to the AFA 43Similar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
66.6%
Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the AFA 49Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
64.9%
Taven Birdow run for no gain to the AFA 49Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+3
65.4%
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
66.9%
Taven Birdow run for no gain to the BoiSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 4:0876% → 91%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
75.5%
Robert Mahone run for 5 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+5
76.3%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
76.4%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the AFA 39Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+16
76.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 16 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
77.5%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the AFA 21Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 21
-3
77.4%
Chase Cord pass complete to Khalil Shakir for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 24Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+14
76.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 14 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
91.0%
Robert Mahone run for 10 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:5511% → 11%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.5%
Taven Birdow run for 5 yds to the AFA 30Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
88.3%
Donald Hammond III run for 14 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+50
88.8%
Donald Hammond III pass intercepted Kekaula Kaniho return for 50 yds to the AFA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:0392% → 98%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
91.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the AFA 24Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+7
92.3%
Robert Mahone run for 7 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
92.4%
Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the AFA 15Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+5
92.8%
Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the AFA 10Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
98.1%
Robert Mahone run for 10 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:562% → 8%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.6%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 9 yds to the AFA 34Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+11
97.5%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 11 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.5%
Donald Hammond III pass incomplete to Geraud SandersSimilar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
97.6%
Joshua Stoner run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+7
97.4%
Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
97.5%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 8 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+31
91.7%
Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 31 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:5296% → 97%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
96.4%
Robert Mahone run for 9 yds to the AFA 40Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+8
96.6%
Robert Mahone run for 8 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
96.7%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:34
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Bates for 28 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)
+18
TD · Q4 8:30
Robert Mahone run for 10 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse PAT BLOCKED)
+15
FG · Q2 0:00
Jake Koehnke 30 yd FG GOOD
-8.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com