Try the model
WEB

Weber State 13 at Nevada 19

NEV
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Mackay Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NEV
modelNEV aheadWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playNEV scoreWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:56 · Doug Lloyd punt for 35 yds, downed at the Nevad 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+5.0Home team on offense+3.9Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score differential+0.9Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:00: Kaden Jenks pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 11 yds for a TD, (Trey Tuttle KICK) — WEB win probability +6.6 pts (now 42%) (top driver: WEB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:34: Brandon Talton 30 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +2.5 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:09: Brandon Talton 25 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +3.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NEV down 3 timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 7:50: Jaxson Kincaide run for 33 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK) — NEV win probability +13.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:49: Brandon Talton 34 yd FG GOOD — NEV win probability +11.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NEV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEV made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 10:38NEV 4th & 15 at WEB 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    69.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:33WEB 4th & 7 at WEB 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47WEB 4th & 11 at WEB 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:27NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:56WEB 4th & 14 at NEV 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.9
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.6%
    64% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:52NEV 4th & 16 at NEV 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:34NEV 4th & 13 at WEB 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−6.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:34WEB 4th & 8 at WEB 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:09NEV 4th & 8 at WEB 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−5.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00WEB 4th & 11 at WEB 43, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−2.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:48WEB 4th & 15 at WEB 33, down 6
    Numbers favored punt by 4.0 ptsWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%−4.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:48WEB 4th & 2 at NEV 42, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−4.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:39NEV 4th & 10 at NEV 4, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−4.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:50WEB 4th & 8 at NEV 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−2.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:56WEB 4th & 10 at WEB 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−2.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:21NEV 4th & 18 at NEV 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−6.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:58WEB 4th & 7 at WEB 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:49NEV 4th & 3 at WEB 16, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.6%−2.0
    81% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−19.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:49WEB 4th & 8 at WEB 42, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:00WEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:50NEV Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEVDrive 1FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:2271% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
71.3%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
71.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Henry Ikahihifo for no gain to the Nevad 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
71.3%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 2 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+14
71.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 14 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+35
71.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 35 yds to the WebSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
71.3%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Miles Beach) to the WebSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 34
0
71.3%
Kelton Moore run for no gain to the WebSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+20
71.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 20 yds to the WebSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
71.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Dominic ChristianSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-5
71.3%
Kelton Moore run for a loss of 5 yards to the WebSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 19
0
71.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for no gain to the WebSt 19Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+36
70.8%
Brandon Talton 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
70.9%
Kaden Jenks pass complete to Josh Davis for 6 yds to the WebSt 27Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-2
70.8%
Josh Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 25Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-1
71.1%
Josh Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 24Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 7
OWN 24
+45
71.2%
Doug Lloyd punt for 45 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 3INT
10 plays · 57 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
70.7%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 13 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
71.1%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Nevad 44Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+18
71.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 18 yds to the WebSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
71.3%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 39Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
71.2%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+11
70.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 11 yds to the WebSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
71.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 4 yds to the WebSt 24Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
71.4%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the WebSt 20Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+7
71.2%
Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the WebSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
71.4%
Carson Strong pass intercepted Preston Smith return for no gain to the WebSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+21
70.7%
Josh Davis run for 21 yds to the WebSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.5%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Rashid Shaheed, broken up by EJ MuhammadSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
70.6%
Josh Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 29Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
71.0%
Kaden Jenks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
71.3%
Doug Lloyd punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the Nevad 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
70.2%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 22Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+6
70.0%
Carson Strong pass complete to Dominic Christian for 6 yds to the Nevad 28Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-4
69.8%
Carson Strong sacked by Jonah Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 24Similar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
69.4%
Quinton Conaway punt for 40 yds, downed at the WebSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 6FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:4330% → 32%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
69.6%
Kevin Smith run for 16 yds to the Nevad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
68.7%
Kevin Smith run for 1 yd to the Nevad 47Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+10
68.8%
Kaden Jenks pass complete to Kevin Smith for 10 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
68.7%
NEVADA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
68.2%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Rashid Shaheed, broken up by EJ MuhammadSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-6
68.0%
Kevin Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 28
+2
69.3%
Kaden Jenks run for 2 yds to the Nevad 26Similar
Q2 13:56
4TH & 14
OPP 26
+43
67.9%
Trey Tuttle 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
68.5%
NEVADA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Nevad 21Similar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 15
OWN 21
-4
68.3%
Carson Strong sacked by McKade Mitton for a loss of 4 yards to the Nevad 17Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 19
OWN 17
+5
68.2%
Carson Strong run for 5 yds to the Nevad 22Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 14
OWN 22
-2
67.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 20Similar
Q2 13:52
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
67.2%
Quinton Conaway punt blocked by Raoul Johnson, punt out-of-bounds at the Nevad 15 blocked by Raoul JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 8TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:5136% → 42%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
64.5%
Josh Davis run for 4 yds to the Nevad 11Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
57.9%
Kaden Jenks pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 11 yds for a TD, (Trey Tuttle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 9INT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
60.3%
Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
61.4%
TAUA, Toa rush for 2 yards to the NEV34 (SMITH, Preston), PENALTY NEV holding (LEDBETTER, J.) 10 yards to the NEV22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
60.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 8 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
60.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 10 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
61.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 3 yds to the Nevad 43Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
61.7%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+2
60.5%
Carson Strong pass intercepted Maxwell Anderson return for 2 yds to the WebSt 45 NEVADA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 10INT
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
56.3%
Kevin Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the WebSt 38Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+2
57.6%
Kaden Jenks pass intercepted Daniel Brown return for 2 yds to the WebSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 11FG
12 plays · 20 yds · 4:0760% → 59%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-11
60.4%
Carson Strong sacked by Jonah Williams for a loss of 11 yards to the WebSt 44Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 21
OPP 44
0
58.1%
Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for no gain to the WebSt 44Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 21
OPP 44
+27
55.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 27 yds to the WebSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
59.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the WebSt 13Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
59.0%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+7
57.8%
Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the WebSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
59.0%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Dominic ChristianSimilar
Q2 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
59.0%
TAUA, Toa rush for loss of 1 yard to the WSU7 (SMITH, Preston;SCHIESS, Jared), PENALTY NEV holding (FROST, Aaron) 10 yards to the WSU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
-4
58.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kelton Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the WebSt 20Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
+7
56.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 7 yds to the WebSt 13Similar
Q2 3:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
58.8%
Brandon Talton 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.2%
Josh Davis run for 2 yds to the WebSt 27Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
58.0%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Josh DavisSimilar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
59.4%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Rashid ShaheedSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
60.3%
Doug Lloyd punt for 52 yds, downed at the Nevad 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 13FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 2:3158% → 59%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
58.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 10 yds to the Nevad 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
58.9%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 6 yds to the Nevad 37Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+26
60.8%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 26 yds to the WebSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
62.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the WebSt 34Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
62.9%
Kelton Moore run for 2 yds to the WebSt 32Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+24
59.4%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 24 yds to the WebSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
61.3%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Dominic ChristianSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
61.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kelton Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 9Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
59.4%
Kelton Moore pass complete to Toa Taua for 1 yd to the WebSt 8Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
58.5%
Brandon Talton 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
58.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.7%
Josh Davis run for 2 yds to the WebSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
59.6%
Kaden Jenks pass complete to Kevin Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the WebSt 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+21
61.2%
Kaden Jenks pass complete to Devon Cooley for 21 yds to the WebSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
57.7%
Josh Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
58.4%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Rashid ShaheedSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
59.6%
Kaden Jenks sacked by Tristan Nichols and Sam Hammond for 0 yards to the WebSt 43 Kaden Jenks fumbled, recovered by WebSt Noah Atagi , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
61.2%
Doug Lloyd punt for 42 yds, downed at the Nevad 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 16TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:4060% → 78%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
60.1%
Jaxson Kincaide run for no gain to the Nevad 15Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+11
59.9%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kaleb Fossum for 11 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
60.6%
Carson Strong pass incomplete, broken up by Adam RodriguezSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
60.1%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 29Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+8
59.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
61.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Kelton Moore for 2 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+14
63.1%
Carson Strong run for 14 yds to the WebSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
64.2%
Carson Strong pass complete to Jaxson Kincaide for 14 yds to the WebSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
78.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 33 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 17PUNT
15 plays · 46 yds · 0:0027% → 29%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
72.9%
Kevin Smith run for 13 yds to the WebSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.7%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Devon CooleySimilar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
72.9%
Kaden Jenks pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 13 yds to the WebSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
71.4%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Devon CooleySimilar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
71.6%
Kevin Smith run for 5 yds to the WebSt 43Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
71.1%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Devon CooleySimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 5
OWN 43
-5
73.2%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 38Similar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 10
OWN 38
-5
74.1%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 33Similar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 15
OWN 33
+17
74.6%
Doug Lloyd run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
67.4%
PENALTY WSU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY NEV unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
50
+6
69.3%
Kevin Smith run for 6 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
68.8%
Kevin Smith run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
69.1%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Justin Malone, broken up by Austin ArnoldSimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
71.1%
Doug Lloyd punt for 38 yds, downed at the Nevad 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
75.2%
Kelton Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 3Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
75.0%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah CooksSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 11
OWN 3
+1
73.9%
Kelton Moore run for 1 yd to the Nevad 4Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 10
OWN 4
+2
72.8%
Quinton Conaway punt for 30 yds , Jon Christensen returns for 2 yds to the Nevad 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 19FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2933% → 34%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
66.9%
Kevin Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 35Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+5
68.7%
Kaden Jenks run for 5 yds to the Nevad 30Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
69.0%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to David AmesSimilar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
66.5%
Trey Tuttle 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 20FUMBLE
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:5069% → 73%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
68.8%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Dominic ChristianSimilar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
68.3%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 9 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+12
70.1%
Toa Taua run for 12 yds to the WebSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
72.2%
Carson Strong pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
71.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 10 yds to the WebSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
72.5%
Carson Strong pass complete to Ben Putman for 8 yds to the WebSt 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 31
-4
73.4%
Carson Strong run for a loss of 4 yards to the WebSt 35 Carson Strong fumbled, recovered by WebSt Jared SchiessSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
68.3%
Josh Davis run for 1 yd to the WebSt 36Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-1
68.2%
Kevin Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 35Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
70.6%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Josh DavisSimilar
Q4 13:56
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
71.4%
Doug Lloyd punt for 35 yds, downed at the Nevad 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
72.5%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Henry IkahihifoSimilar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
72.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the Nevad 39Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+11
73.8%
Kelton Moore run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
50
+3
75.5%
Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the WebSt 47Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
75.7%
Toa Taua run for no gain to the WebSt 47Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-11
74.5%
Carson Strong sacked by Jonah Williams for a loss of 11 yards to the Nevad 42Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 18
OWN 42
+1
69.6%
Quinton Conaway punt for 56 yds , Rashid Shaheed returns for 1 yd to the WebSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0030% → 27%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
69.6%
Kevin Smith run for 2 yds to the WebSt 5Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+1
70.0%
Kevin Smith run for 1 yd to the WebSt 6Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
71.6%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Devon CooleySimilar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+8
72.6%
Doug Lloyd punt for 43 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 8 yds to the WebSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 24FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:2077% → 88%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
76.7%
Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the WebSt 40Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+17
76.5%
Toa Taua run for 17 yds to the WebSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
77.7%
Toa Taua run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 24Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+8
77.6%
Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the WebSt 16Similar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
76.0%
Carson Strong pass incomplete to Henry IkahihifoSimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+34
87.9%
Brandon Talton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
79.7%
JENKS, Kaden pass incomplete to SHAHEED, Rashid, PENALTY NEV roughing passer (WEBER, Lucas) 15 yards to the WSU40, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
76.2%
Kevin Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the WebSt 36Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+6
79.8%
Kylan Weisser pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 6 yds to the WebSt 42Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
78.2%
Kaden Jenks pass incomplete to Devon CooleySimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
80.4%
Doug Lloyd punt for 33 yds, downed at the Nevad 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEVDrive 26END OF GAME
12 plays · 40 yds · 2:5490% → 97%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
89.7%
Toa Taua run for 13 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
90.6%
Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 42Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
90.9%
Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 44Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 4
OWN 44
-5
94.5%
NEVADA Penalty, false start (Reagan Roberson) to the Nevad 39Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+13
94.5%
Toa Taua run for 13 yds to the WebSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
94.9%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the WebSt 44Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+9
96.0%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 9 yds to the WebSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
96.1%
Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the WebSt 34Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:50
Jaxson Kincaide run for 33 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)
+13.8
FG · Q4 4:49
Brandon Talton 34 yd FG GOOD
+11.9
TD · Q2 11:00
Kaden Jenks pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 11 yds for a TD, (Trey Tuttle KICK)
-6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com