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PRST

Portland State 10 at Boise State 45

BOIS
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:30 · Seth Vernon punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior+16.2Home team on offense+35.3Score differential+29.3Blowout margin+15.3Garbage-time factor+9.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:25: Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 52 yds for a TD, (Cody Williams KICK) — PRST win probability +1.0 pts (now 5%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:18: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 23 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:29: Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 9 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:53: Chase Cord pass complete to CT Thomas for 33 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK) — BOIS win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 5:56: Eric Sachse 33 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6PRST made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 10:27PRST 4th & 9 at BOIS 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12PRST 4th & 2 at PRST 33, down 4
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:21BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:02BOIS 4th & 16 at PRST 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    92.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:02PRST 4th & 10 at PRST 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:18PRST 4th & 6 at PRST 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:30PRST 4th & 23 at PRST 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00BOIS 4th & 21 at BOIS 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:45PRST 4th & 15 at PRST 16, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:56BOIS 4th & 10 at PRST 16, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:16PRST 4th & 19 at BOIS 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:30PRST 4th & 10 at PRST 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:29BOIS 4th & 9 at BOIS 30, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:41PRST 4th & 3 at BOIS 46, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:28BOIS 4th & 3 at PRST 35, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:24PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 40, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6PRST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:12BOIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:13BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:25PRST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:18BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:29BOIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:53BOIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:30BOIS Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:333% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
97.3%
Carlos Martin run for 8 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
-6
97.3%
Davis Alexander sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 6 yards to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+8
97.3%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 8 yds to the PrtSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+52
97.3%
Beau Kelly run for 52 yds to the BoiSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
97.3%
MARTIN,Carlos rush up middle for 4 yards to the BSU4 (WEAVER, Curtis;MOA, David), PENALTY PSU false start 5 yards to the BSU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
97.3%
Davis Alexander run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
96.7%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+2
96.7%
Emmanuel Daigbe run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Beau KellySimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
96.6%
Cody Williams 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Emmanuel Daigbe run for no gain to the PrtSt 25Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.7%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 20Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+13
96.7%
Davis Alexander run for 13 yds to the PrtSt 33Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
96.7%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for no gain to the PrtSt 33Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
96.7%
Seth Vernon punt for 53 yds, downed at the BoiSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 4TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 3:1696% → 97%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
96.3%
BACHMEIER, Hank pass incomplete to HIGHTOWER, John, PENALTY PSU holding (HOWELL,Maxwell) 10 yards to the BSU24, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+25
96.3%
Robert Mahone run for 25 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
96.3%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+7
96.3%
Hank Bachmeier run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+28
96.4%
Robert Mahone run for 28 yds to the PrtSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
96.4%
Hank Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 7Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
96.5%
Chase Cord run for 7 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:484% → 5%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.4%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Sirgeo Hoffman for 11 yds to the PrtSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.3%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Beau KellySimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
96.4%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Sirgeo HoffmanSimilar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+12
96.4%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Beau Kelly for 12 yds to the PrtSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.3%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for no gain to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
96.3%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+52
95.3%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 52 yds for a TD, (Cody Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
95.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 5 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-1
95.5%
Robert Mahone run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 6
OWN 48
-4
95.4%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Nicolas Ah Sam and Shawn Richard for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q1 2:21
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+34
95.2%
Joel Velazquez punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BOISEST 32 PORTLAND ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Emmanuel Daigbe) to the PrtSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:235% → 5%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
94.9%
ALEXANDER,Davis pass complete to MARTIN,Carlos for loss of 1 yard to the PSU21 (NAWAHINE, Kekoa), PENALTY BSU illegal block (WHIMPEY, Riley) 15 yards to the PSU37, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.8%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
94.8%
Davis Alexander run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-4
94.6%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for a loss of 4 yards to the PrtSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
94.9%
Seth Vernon punt for 52 yds, downed at the BoiSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:1594% → 93%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
94.3%
George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+44
94.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 44 yds to the PrtSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
94.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 8 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+10
94.6%
George Holani run for 10 yds to the PrtSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-7
94.8%
Hank Bachmeier run for a loss of 7 yards to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 17
OPP 35
+7
94.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 7 yds to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-6
94.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 9 yds to the PrtSt 19 BOISE ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Andrew Van Buren) to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 16
OPP 34
0
93.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 16
OPP 34
+51
92.8%
Joel Velazquez 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
93.0%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Beau KellySimilar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
93.1%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Mataio Talalemotu PORTLAND ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
93.5%
Seth Vernon punt for 43 yds, downed at the BoiSt 23Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
93.4%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 2:1593% → 95%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
93.0%
Robert Mahone run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
93.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Robert Mahone for 4 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+25
92.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 25 yds to the PrtSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
93.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 22 yds to the PrtSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
95.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 23 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.9%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 11 yds to the PrtSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
94.7%
Davis Alexander run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 37Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
94.7%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Emmanuel DaigbeSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+3
94.9%
Davis Alexander run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 40 PORTLAND ST Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+2
94.9%
Seth Vernon punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 26 , Avery Williams returns for 2 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 12INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
94.5%
Andrew Van Buren run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+7
94.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Ryan Lesch return for 7 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 1:276% → 5%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
94.3%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 2 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-15
94.3%
ALEXANDER,Davis pass complete to KELLY,Beau for 43 yards to the BSU0, clock 03:14, PENALTY PSU pass interference (DAIGBE,Emmanuel) 15 yards to the PSU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 23
OWN 42
+6
94.7%
Davis Alexander run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 17
OWN 48
-6
95.3%
Davis Alexander sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 6 yards to the PrtSt 42Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 23
OWN 42
+28
95.5%
Seth Vernon punt for 42 yds , Avery Williams returns for 28 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14TD
14 plays · 56 yds · 1:4595% → 97%
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
95.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:14
2ND & 4
50
0
95.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 4
50
+16
95.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 16 yds to the PrtSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
95.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Garrett Collingham for 7 yds to the PrtSt 27Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 3
OPP 27
-9
95.6%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Shawn Richard for a loss of 9 yards to the PrtSt 36 Hank Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Andrew Van Buren , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+20
95.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Akilian Butler for 20 yds to the PrtSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
95.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
95.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+12
95.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 12 yds to the PrtSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
95.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
95.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 9Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 9 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
97.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.4%
Robert Mahone run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
96.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Garrett Curran) to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+21
96.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 21 yds to the PrtSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to John HightowerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-5
96.5%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 47
-6
96.4%
Hank Bachmeier sacked by Anthony Del Toro for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 41
0
96.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Robert MahoneSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 41
0
96.0%
Joel Velazquez punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Beau Kelly at the PrtSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
96.4%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 22Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-2
96.4%
Emmanuel Daigbe run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 20Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 11
OWN 20
-4
96.5%
Davis Alexander sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 4 yards to the PrtSt 16Similar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 15
OWN 16
+3
96.5%
Seth Vernon punt for 50 yds , Avery Williams returns for 3 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:4598% → 99%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.5%
Khalil Shakir run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+14
97.6%
George Holani run for 14 yds to the PrtSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
97.6%
Chase Cord pass complete to George Holani for 12 yds to the PrtSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.3%
Chase Cord pass complete to CT Thomas for 33 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
HOFFMAN,Sirgeo rush up middle for 2 yards to the PSU27 (HATADA, Chase), PENALTY PSU illegal shift 5 yards to the PSU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
98.6%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
98.5%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
98.7%
Seth Vernon punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PrtSt 45Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-6
98.5%
Davis Alexander sacked by Tyreque Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the PrtSt 14 PORTLAND ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Davis Alexander) to the PrtSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:1099% → 100%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
99.3%
George Holani run for a loss of 3 yards to the PrtSt 48Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+3
99.3%
Chase Cord pass complete to George Holani for 3 yds to the PrtSt 45Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+29
99.2%
Chase Cord run for 29 yds to the PrtSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.3%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir, broken up by Anthony AdamsSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.3%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to Andrew Van BurenSimilar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
99.3%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to Octavius EvansSimilar
Q3 5:56
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
99.8%
Eric Sachse 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 21MISSED FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 6:400% → 0%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Carlos Martin run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
99.7%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 10 yds to the PrtSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 4 yds to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
99.7%
Carlos Martin run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+20
99.7%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Davis Koetter for 20 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.7%
Carlos Martin run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.7%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 3 yds to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+11
99.7%
Davis Alexander run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Evyn Holtz run for no gain to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-7
99.7%
Davis Alexander sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 17
OPP 25
-5
99.7%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, false start (Brady Brick) to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Carlos Martin run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 19
OPP 27
+44
99.9%
Cody Williams 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
George Holani run for 15 yds to the PrtSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+11
99.8%
Chase Cord pass complete to CT Thomas for 11 yds to the BoiSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.9%
Chase Cord pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 44 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 27Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.9%
EASON,Jalani rush left for 4 yards to the PSU31 (WASHINGTON, D.), PENALTY PSU illegal formation 5 yards to the PSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Jalani Eason run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 25Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to George McCorleySimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Seth Vernon punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Avery Williams at the BoiSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Danny Smith run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to Stefan CobbsSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Chase Cord pass incomplete to Danny SmithSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Joel Velazquez punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Beau Kelly at the PrtSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
99.9%
Jalani Eason sacked by Brandon Hawkins for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jalani Eason run for no gain to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+21
99.9%
Jalani Eason run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 32 for a 1ST down BOISE ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the PrtSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Evyn Holtz run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 7
50
+2
99.9%
Evyn Holtz run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Evyn Holtz run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 3
OPP 46
-1
99.9%
Evyn Holtz run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Jaylon Henderson run for 11 yds to the PrtSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Danny Smith run for no gain to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Jaylon Henderson run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Dante Chachere run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Dante Chachere run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Evyn Holtz run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 3
OWN 40
-1
99.9%
Evyn Holtz run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 41Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 14
OPP 43
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:29
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to CT Thomas for 9 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q3 8:53
Chase Cord pass complete to CT Thomas for 33 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 6:18
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to John Hightower for 23 yds for a TD, (Eric Sachse KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com