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STBK

Stony Brook 7 at Utah State 62

USU
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadSTBK aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreSTBK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Mitchell Wright punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+47.7Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 12:06: Dominik Eberle 35 yd FG GOOD — STBK win probability +0.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:27: Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 29 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 14:09: Dominik Eberle 37 yd FG GOOD — USU win probability +0.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:29: Jaylen Warren run for 28 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:08: Gerold Bright run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK) — USU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4STBK made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00STBK 4th & 5 at STBK 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:06USU 4th & 8 at STBK 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:06STBK 4th & 7 at STBK 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:26STBK 4th & 8 at STBK 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:26STBK 4th & 4 at STBK 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:27STBK 4th & 6 at STBK 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:09USU 4th & 7 at STBK 20, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:29STBK 4th & 5 at STBK 41, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:08STBK 4th & 6 at STBK 29, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:04USU 4th & 7 at USU 16, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:08STBK 4th & 4 at USU 42, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00STBK 4th & 3 at STBK 42, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:45STBK 4th & 4 at STBK 42, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:17STBK 4th & 8 at USU 47, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:11USU 4th & 7 at USU 23, up 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:32STBK 4th & 1 at USU 22, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7STBK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:27USU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:29USU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:08USU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:26USU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:17STBK Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:13USU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:45USU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:17USU Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STBKDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Tyquell Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.7%
Tyquell Fields pass complete to Jean Constant for 5 yds to the StBrk 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.7%
Tyquell Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.7%
Mitchell Wright punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:0498% → 97%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
97.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 4 yds to the UthSt 32Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+7
97.6%
Gerold Bright run for 7 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
97.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 26 yds to the StBrk 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
97.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 8 yds to the StBrk 27Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
97.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Jordan Nathan, broken up by Gavin HeslopSimilar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+7
97.6%
Gerold Bright run for 7 yds to the StBrk 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
97.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 2 yds to the StBrk 18Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
97.6%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Deven ThompkinsSimilar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
97.6%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
97.3%
Dominik Eberle 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.3%
Tyquell Fields pass complete to Nick Anderson for 5 yds to the StBrk 30Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
97.3%
Isaiah White run for 3 yds to the StBrk 33Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
97.3%
STONY BROOK Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the StBrk 28Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.3%
Tyquell Fields pass incomplete to Jean ConstantSimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.3%
Mitchell Wright punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 71 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
97.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 3 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
97.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+7
97.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Caleb Repp for 7 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
97.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 10 yds to the StBrk 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
97.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Caleb Repp for 12 yds to the StBrk 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
97.1%
Jordan Love run for 22 yds to the StBrk 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
97.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 9 yds to the StBrk 5Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+4
97.1%
Jaylen Warren run for 4 yds to the StBrk 1 Jaylen Warren fumbled, forced by Elijah Duff, recovered by StBrk Justin BurnsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:123% → 3%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
96.8%
Tyquell Fields run for 5 yds to the StBrk 6Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
96.8%
Tyquell Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 5
OWN 6
-3
96.9%
Tyquell Fields pass complete to Delante Hellams for 9 yards to the SBU15 (LAMPKIN, Cam), PENALTY SBU ineligible downfield on pass (TEAM) 3 yards to the SBU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 8
OWN 3
0
96.9%
Tyquell Fields pass incomplete, broken up by DJ WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+45
97.0%
Mitchell Wright punt for 42 yds , Deven Thompkins returns for 45 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.9%
Isaiah White run for 1 yd to the StBrk 26Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.9%
Tyquell Fields pass incomplete to Nick AndersonSimilar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
96.9%
Tyquell Fields pass complete to Nick Anderson for 5 yds to the StBrk 31Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.9%
Mitchell Wright punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 2:4497% → 97%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
96.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 20Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
96.7%
Jordan Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+15
96.7%
STONY BROOK Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
96.8%
STONY BROOK Penalty, offside defense (Sam Kamara) to the UthSt 40Similar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 5
OWN 40
-1
96.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jordan Nathan for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
96.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Caleb Repp for 7 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
96.8%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 6 yds to the StBrk 48Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+3
96.8%
Jordan Love run for 3 yds to the StBrk 45Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+6
96.8%
Gerold Bright run for 6 yds to the StBrk 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
96.9%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 6 yds to the StBrk 33Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+4
96.9%
Gerold Bright run for 4 yds to the StBrk 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
97.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 29 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
97.2%
Tyquell Fields run for 7 yds to the StBrk 37Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 3
OWN 37
-5
97.1%
STONY BROOK Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the StBrk 32Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
97.2%
Isaiah White run for 2 yds to the StBrk 34Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
97.2%
Tyquell Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
97.2%
Mitchell Wright punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 9FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 2:4597% → 98%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
97.3%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
97.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 2 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+11
97.2%
Jordan Love pass complete to Savon Scarver for 11 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
97.3%
Jordan Love run for 6 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
97.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Savon ScarverSimilar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+18
97.3%
Jordan Love pass complete to Taylor Compton for 18 yds to the StBrk 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
97.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Taylor Compton for 17 yds to the StBrk 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.4%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Deven ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
97.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 3 yds to the StBrk 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
97.3%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Savon Scarver, broken up by TJ MorrisonSimilar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
97.8%
Dominik Eberle 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 10INT
12 plays · 53 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Isaiah White run for no gain to the StBrk 25Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.9%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Nick Anderson for 12 yds to the StBrk 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
97.9%
Isaiah White run for 7 yds to the StBrk 44Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
97.8%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete to Nick Anderson, broken up by DJ WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+8
97.8%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Nick Anderson for 8 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
97.8%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete to Isaiah White, broken up by Kevin MeitzenheimerSimilar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
97.9%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Brandon Benson for 11 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
97.8%
Seba Nekhet run for 3 yds to the UthSt 34Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+11
97.7%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Brandon Benson for 11 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
97.7%
Seba Nekhet run for 1 yd to the UthSt 22Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
97.7%
Jack Cassidy pass intercepted Andre Grayson return for no gain to the UthSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 2:5098% → 99%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
98.0%
Gerold Bright run for 8 yds to the UthSt 10Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+3
98.1%
Gerold Bright run for 3 yds to the UthSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+17
98.0%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 17 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Jordan Love pass incomplete, broken up by Peterson OctavienSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
98.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 11 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Caleb Repp for 4 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-1
98.1%
Jaylen Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 44Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+28
98.1%
Jordan Love pass complete to Caleb Repp for 28 yds to the StBrk 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.2%
Jaylen Warren run for 28 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.1%
Tyquell Fields pass complete to Nick Anderson for 7 yds to the StBrk 32Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.0%
Isaiah White run for 4 yds to the StBrk 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.1%
Tyquell Fields pass complete to Peter McKenzie for 4 yds to the StBrk 40Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
99.0%
Tyquell Fields pass incomplete to Nick Anderson, broken up by DJ WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-5
99.1%
STONY BROOK Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the StBrk 35Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+6
99.1%
Tyquell Fields run for 6 yds to the StBrk 41Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Mitchell Wright punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 1:3699% → 100%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.3%
Riley Burt run for 3 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.3%
Jordan Love pass incomplete to Savon ScarverSimilar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-5
99.4%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 18Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+45
99.4%
Jordan Love pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 45 yds to the StBrk 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+30
99.4%
Gerold Bright run for 30 yds to the StBrk 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.4%
Gerold Bright run for no gain to the StBrk 7Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.4%
LOVE, Jordan pass incomplete, PENALTY SBU pass interference (Synceir Malone) 5 yards to the SBU2, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Gerold Bright run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Seba Nekhet run for 6 yds to the StBrk 31Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
99.6%
Seba Nekhet run for a loss of 2 yards to the StBrk 29Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Tyquell Fields pass incomplete to Sam Kamara, broken up by Cam LampkinSimilar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.6%
Mitchell Wright punt for 41 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 6 yds to the UthSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 32Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 14
OWN 32
-9
99.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Gerold Bright for 1 yd to the UthSt 33 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Caleb Repp) to the UthSt 23Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 23
OWN 23
+2
99.6%
Jaylen Warren run for 2 yds to the UthSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 0:28100% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+25
99.6%
Jordan Love pass complete to Jaylen Warren for 25 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.7%
Jaylen Warren run for 54 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 17TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:090% → 0%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Isaiah White run for 5 yds to the StBrk 30Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.6%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Peter McKenzie for 6 yds to the StBrk 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.6%
Isaiah White run for 4 yds to the StBrk 40Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
99.6%
Jack Cassidy run for 2 yds to the StBrk 42Similar
Q3 14:26
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+11
99.6%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Brandon Benson for 11 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.6%
Isaiah White run for 1 yd to the UthSt 46Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete to Isaiah WhiteSimilar
Q3 14:26
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+15
99.6%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Andrew Trent for 15 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
99.6%
Isaiah White run for 10 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
99.6%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Nick Anderson for 7 yds to the UthSt 14Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+9
99.5%
Seba Nekhet run for 9 yds to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.5%
Isaiah White run for 2 yds to the UthSt 3Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.5%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete to Andrew TrentSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Isaiah White for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Courtney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.8%
Riley Burt run for 2 yds to the UthSt 15Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Henry Colombi run for no gain to the UthSt 15Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+6
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Carson Terrell for 6 yds to the UthSt 21Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 2
OWN 21
-5
99.7%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Elijah Shelton) to the UthSt 16Similar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 7
OWN 16
+19
99.7%
Christopher Bartolic punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 48 , Jean Constant returns for 19 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.8%
Seba Nekhet run for 4 yds to the UthSt 44Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
99.8%
Seba Nekhet run for 2 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete to Seba NekhetSimilar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Mitchell Wright punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:30100% → 100%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Riley Burt run for no gain to the UthSt 20Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+17
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 17 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Riley Burt for 11 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.8%
Riley Burt run for 3 yds to the StBrk 49Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Boman for 2 yds to the StBrk 47Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+11
99.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ajani Carter for 11 yds to the StBrk 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
99.8%
Henry Colombi run for 9 yds to the StBrk 27Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+4
99.8%
Enoch Nawahine run for 4 yds to the StBrk 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, false start (Demytrick Ali'ifua) to the StBrk 28Similar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 15
OPP 28
-2
99.8%
Enoch Nawahine run for a loss of 2 yards to the StBrk 30Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 17
OPP 30
+30
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Derek Wright for 30 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:130% → 0%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Jean Constant for 10 yds to the StBrk 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Seba Nekhet run for 3 yds to the StBrk 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete to Brandon BensonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete to Jean Constant, broken up by Troy Lefeged Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
UTAH ST Penalty, substitution infraction (4 Yards) to the StBrk 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+16
99.9%
Mitchell Wright punt for 31 yds, downed at the UTAHST 27 STONY BROOK Penalty, personal foul (Peterson Octavien) to the UthSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:31100% → 100%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.9%
Riley Burt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 41Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+59
99.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 59 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Jack Cassidy run for 11 yds to the StBrk 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Jack Cassidy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Jahquel Webb for 6 yds to the StBrk 42Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete to Jahquel WebbSimilar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+21
99.9%
Mitchell Wright punt for 42 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 21 yds to the UthSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Travis Boman for 5 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+15
99.9%
Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for no gain to the StBrk 42 for a 1ST down STONY BROOK Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jabari Reddock) to the StBrk 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 3 yds to the StBrk 40Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+21
99.9%
Andrew Peasley run for 21 yds to the StBrk 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
99.9%
Enoch Nawahine run for 7 yds to the StBrk 12Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Enoch Nawahine run for 2 yds to the StBrk 10Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 10 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Seba Nekhet run for 1 yd to the StBrk 26Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
100.0%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Delante Hellams Jr. for 12 yds to the StBrk 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Seba Nekhet run for 2 yds to the StBrk 40Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete, broken up by Dalton BakerSimilar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+11
100.0%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to JP Roane for 11 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
100.0%
Seba Nekhet run for 2 yds to the UthSt 47Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete to Seba NekhetSimilar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete, broken up by Dominic TatumSimilar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Mitchell Wright punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
100.0%
Riley Burt run for 8 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-5
100.0%
Henry Colombi sacked by Peterson Octavien for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Pierce Callister punt for 35 yds, downed at the StBrk 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STBKDrive 27DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Jack Cassidy pass complete to Jahquel Webb for 6 yds to the StBrk 48Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+6
100.0%
Seba Nekhet run for 6 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
100.0%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete to JP Roane, PENALTY USU personal foul (PITCHER, Jake) 15 yards to the USU31, 1ST DOWN SBU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
100.0%
Seba Nekhet run for 8 yds to the UthSt 23Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Jack Cassidy pass incomplete, broken up by Jaylin BannermanSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
100.0%
Seba Nekhet run for 1 yd to the UthSt 22Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
99.9%
Jack Cassidy run for 2 yds to the UthSt 30 Jack Cassidy fumbled, forced by Cash Gilliam,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Enoch Nawahine run for 5 yds to the UthSt 35Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Enoch Nawahine run for 1 yd to the UthSt 36Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+6
100.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Logan Lee for 6 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Enoch Nawahine run for 3 yds to the UthSt 45Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
Enoch Nawahine run for 4 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:29
Jaylen Warren run for 28 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q1 3:27
Jordan Love pass complete to Siaosi Mariner for 29 yds for a TD, (Dominik Eberle KICK)
+0.5
FG · Q2 14:09
Dominik Eberle 37 yd FG GOOD
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com