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SUU

Southern Utah 23 at UNLV 56

UNLV
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadSUU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreSUU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:05 · Tyler Skidmore sacked by Bryce Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Pregame prior+5.5Home team on offense+35.4Score differential+29.6Blowout margin+18.4Garbage-time factor+8.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:13: Charles Williams run for 8 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +1.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:34: Chris Helbig run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kekoa Sasaoka KICK) — SUU win probability +2.8 pts (now 10%) (top driver: SUU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:51: Armani Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +2.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:36: Armani Rogers pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 18 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — UNLV win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:40: Charles Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SUU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00SUU 4th & 21 at SUU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:48UNLV 4th & 9 at UNLV 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:51SUU 4th & 7 at SUU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:07SUU 4th & 9 at SUU 48, tied
    Close callWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:58SUU 4th & 10 at SUU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:44SUU 4th & 21 at SUU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:28SUU 4th & 10 at SUU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:46SUU 4th & 18 at SUU 17, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:54SUU 4th & 21 at SUU 10, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:21SUU 4th & 16 at SUU 44, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UNLV 4th & 5 at UNLV 21, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:31SUU 4th & 9 at UNLV 33, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:31UNLV 4th & 10 at UNLV 47, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:02UNLV 4th & 13 at UNLV 12, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:05SUU 4th & 3 at UNLV 33, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:33UNLV 4th & 14 at UNLV 39, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:32SUU 4th & 6 at SUU 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 8 of 8SUU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:58UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:13UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:34SUU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:51UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:36UNLV Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:40UNLV Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:46UNLV Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:00UNLV Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:21UNLV Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:08SUU Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:19SUU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SUUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
94.3%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Lance Lawson for 13 yds to the SoUth 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
94.3%
James Felila run for 3 yds to the SoUth 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-10
94.3%
HELBIG, Chris pass incomplete to DIEGO-WILLIAMS (PLUMMER, Myles), PENALTY SUU holding (GREGORY, Artese) 10 yards to the SUU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 31
-6
94.3%
James Felila run for a loss of 6 yards to the SoUth 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 25
+2
94.3%
James Felila run for 2 yds to the SoUth 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 27
0
94.3%
Manny Berz punt for 47 yds, downed at the UNLV 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
93.8%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 27Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
93.8%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
93.8%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+10
93.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 45 yds , Judd Cockett returns for 10 yds to the SoUth 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
93.5%
Chris Helbig run for 1 yd to the SoUth 39Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
93.5%
James Felila run for 2 yds to the SoUth 41Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
93.5%
Chris Helbig pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:51
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
93.6%
Manny Berz punt for 38 yds, downed at the UNLV 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4KICKOFF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
93.3%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 20Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
93.3%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+10
93.2%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 10 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
92.8%
James Felila run for 5 yds to the SoUth 39Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
92.7%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Isaiah Diego-Williams for 4 yds to the SoUth 43Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
92.7%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Isaiah Diego-Williams for 4 yds to the SoUth 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
92.7%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Isaiah Diego-Williams for 7 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 3
OPP 46
0
92.7%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Lance LawsonSimilar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-6
92.7%
Chris Helbig sacked by Evan Austrie for a loss of 6 yards to the SoUth 48Similar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 9
OWN 48
-13
92.9%
Manny Berz run for a loss of 13 yards to the SoUth 39 Manny Berz fumbled, forced by Malakai Salu, recovered by UNLV Daniel GodfreySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:0393% → 93%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
92.5%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the SoUth 37Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
92.5%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 4 yds to the SoUth 33Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+6
92.5%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the SoUth 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
92.6%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Tyleek CollinsSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
92.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 5 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+22
93.0%
Charles Williams run for 22 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.8%
James Felila run for 2 yds to the SoUth 27Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
92.7%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Lance Lawson for 7 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
92.7%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Lance Lawson for 10 yds to the SoUth 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.6%
Chris Helbig pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 0
0
92.3%
HELBIG, Chris sacked for loss of 5 yards to the SUU39 (WINDMON, Jacoby), PENALTY SUU illegal shift off-setting, PENALTY SUU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
92.6%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Judd CockettSimilar
Q1 4:58
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
92.7%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Lance LawsonSimilar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+44
92.9%
Manny Berz punt for 44 yds, downed at the UNLV 12 UNLV Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 4:0293% → 94%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+29
92.5%
Charles Williams run for 29 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
92.8%
Tyree Jackson run for 7 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
92.8%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 1
50
+2
92.7%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the SoUth 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+25
92.8%
Charles Williams run for 25 yds to the SoUth 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
92.9%
Tyree Jackson run for 8 yds to the SoUth 15Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+6
92.9%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the SoUth 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
92.3%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the SoUth 8Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.0%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:327% → 10%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
93.2%
James Felila run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoUth 19Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 14
OWN 19
+48
93.3%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Carlos Baker for 48 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
92.7%
Chris Helbig run for 7 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
92.6%
Chris Helbig run for 1 yd to the UNLV 25Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
92.8%
James Felila run for 5 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
92.6%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Nick Colson for 1 yd to the UNLV 19Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+3
92.6%
Chris Helbig run for 3 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+9
92.8%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Isaiah Diego-Williams for 9 yds to the UNLV 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
92.6%
Chris Helbig run for 6 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
92.6%
James Felila run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 2Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.8%
Chris Helbig run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kekoa Sasaoka KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4391% → 94%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.8%
Charles Williams run for 15 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
91.3%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Patrick Ballard for 8 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
91.4%
Tyree Jackson run for 3 yds to the SoUth 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
91.4%
Charles Williams run for 11 yds to the SoUth 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
91.4%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Patrick Ballard, broken up by Carlton JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
91.4%
Armani Rogers run for 2 yds to the SoUth 36Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+9
91.2%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Charles Williams for 9 yds to the SoUth 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
91.5%
Armani Rogers run for 8 yds to the SoUth 19Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+5
91.5%
Courtney Reese run for 5 yds to the SoUth 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
91.5%
Armani Rogers run for 13 yds to the SoUth 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.5%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
92.8%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Lance LawsonSimilar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-3
92.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to James Felila for a loss of 3 yards to the SoUth 21Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 13
OWN 21
-8
93.0%
Chris Helbig sacked by Soli Afalava and Rayshad Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the SoUth 13Similar
Q2 5:44
4TH & 21
OWN 13
+8
93.1%
Manny Berz punt for 39 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for 8 yds to the SoUth 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:3093% → 97%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
93.4%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the SoUth 36Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+7
93.4%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the SoUth 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
93.4%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 11 yds to the SoUth 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
97.4%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 18 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
96.8%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete, broken up by Jacoby WindmonSimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
96.8%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Lance LawsonSimilar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
96.8%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Isaiah Diego-WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
96.8%
Manny Berz punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jacob Gasser at the UNLV 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:2697% → 99%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.3%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Mekhi Stevenson, broken up by Carlton JohnsonSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
97.3%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
97.3%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
97.4%
Armani Rogers run for 6 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+49
97.7%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 49 yds to the SoUth 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:351% → 1%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
James Felila run for 3 yds to the SoUth 28Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
98.9%
James Felila run for 10 yds to the SoUth 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
99.1%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Lance Lawson for 17 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.2%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Lance Lawson, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0999% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
99.3%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Randal Grimes for 8 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+66
99.4%
Armani Rogers run for 66 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Lance Lawson for 1 yd to the SoUth 26Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-13
99.4%
HELBIG, Chris pass complete to DIEGO-WILLIAMS for 37 yards to the UNLV37 (HESTER II, F.), PENALTY SUU personal foul (JONES, Braxton) 13 yards to the SUU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+4
99.4%
James Felila run for 4 yds to the SoUth 17Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Judd CockettSimilar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-3
99.5%
Manny Berz punt for 41 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q3 12:10
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
99.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.6%
Tyree Jackson run for 5 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
50
+16
99.6%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 16 yds to the SoUth 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.6%
Tyree Jackson run for 3 yds to the SoUth 31Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+20
99.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 20 yds to the SoUth 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.7%
Courtney Reese run for 11 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
99.7%
HELBIG, Chris pass complete to COLSON, Nick for 4 yards to the SUU25 (JACKSON, R.), PENALTY SUU illegal shift 5 yards to the SUU16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+3
99.7%
James Felila run for 3 yds to the SoUth 19Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 12
OWN 19
-10
99.7%
HELBIG, Chris rush for 4 yards to the SUU23 (VIRAMONTES, V.), PENALTY SUU holding (PARRISH, Collin) 10 yards to the SUU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 22
OWN 9
0
99.7%
Chris Helbig pass incomplete to Isaiah Diego-Williams SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 22
OWN 9
+1
99.7%
James Felila run for 1 yd to the SoUth 10Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 21
OWN 10
0
99.7%
Manny Berz punt for 34 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for no gain to the SoUth 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
99.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 14 yds to the SoUth 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
99.8%
Darran Williams run for 13 yds to the SoUth 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
99.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 13 yds to the SoUth 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Darran Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Thomas Duckett run for no gain to the SoUth 25Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Thomas Duckett run for 2 yds to the SoUth 27Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
99.9%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Nick Colson for 13 yds to the SoUth 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
Thomas Duckett run for 3 yds to the SoUth 43Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+7
99.8%
Chris Helbig pass complete to Lance Lawson for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
50
-4
99.8%
Chris Helbig sacked by Bryce Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the SoUth 46Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Edward Vander run for 5 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-7
99.8%
Chris Helbig run for a loss of 7 yards to the SoUth 44 Chris Helbig fumbled, recovered by SoUth Chris HelbigSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 16
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Manny Berz punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
99.9%
Darran Williams run for 8 yds to the UNLV 12Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Darran Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
99.9%
Darran Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+6
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 6 yds to the UNLV 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+2
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 2 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Hayes Hicken punt , Judd Cockett returns for 5 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 23MISSED FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Thomas Duckett run for 7 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to Lance Lawson for 4 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Tyler Skidmore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Tyler Skidmore pass incomplete to Carlos BakerSimilar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Tyler Skidmore run for 1 yd to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
99.9%
Kekoa Sasaoka 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Andre Collins Jr. for 6 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
Darran Williams run for 8 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Darran Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad run for no gain to the UNLV 49Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-2
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jacob Gasser for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 47Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Hayes Hicken punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Judd Cockett at the SoUth 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
100.0%
Edward Vander run for 9 yds to the SoUth 17Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+5
100.0%
Edward Vander run for 5 yds to the SoUth 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
100.0%
Edward Vander run for 4 yds to the SoUth 26Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+31
100.0%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to Carlos Baker for 31 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+32
100.0%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to Zach Nelson for 32 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Tyler Skidmore pass incomplete to Zach Nelson, broken up by Jamal HollowaySimilar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to Cody Frampton for 4 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to Zach Nelson for 7 yds for a TD, (Kekoa Sasaoka KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
99.9%
Darran Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 12Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 13
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Shelton Zeon IIISimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 13
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Darran WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 13
OWN 12
+15
99.9%
Hayes Hicken punt for 43 yds , Judd Cockett returns for 15 yds to the UNLV 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Thomas Duckett run for 2 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 3 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Thomas Duckett run for 2 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 3
OPP 33
-10
99.9%
Tyler Skidmore sacked by Bryce Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
100.0%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+1
100.0%
Courtney Reese run for 1 yd to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 14
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Jacob Gasser, broken up by Khalid TaylorSimilar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 14
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Patrick BallardSimilar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 14
OWN 39
+10
99.9%
Hayes Hicken punt for 49 yds , Judd Cockett returns for 10 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Tyler Skidmore pass incomplete to Zach NelsonSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
100.0%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to Lance Lawson for 4 yds to the SoUth 26Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Tyler Skidmore pass incomplete to Lance LawsonSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Manny Berz punt for 48 yds , Jacob Gasser returns for 4 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 30FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-5
100.0%
Courtney Reese run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 28 Courtney Reese fumbled, forced by Quaid Murray, recovered by SoUth Roderick WardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 31TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:290% → 0%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
100.0%
Thomas Duckett run for 1 yd to the UNLV 27Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+22
100.0%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to John Mitchell for 22 yds to the UNLV 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to Zach Nelson for 5 yds for a TD, (Kekoa Sasaoka KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 32SF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 0
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 33Uncategorized
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
100.0%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 16 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+29
100.0%
Tyler Skidmore pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 29 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:36
Armani Rogers pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 18 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
+4
TD · Q2 9:34
Chris Helbig run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kekoa Sasaoka KICK)
-2.8
TD · Q2 5:51
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com