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WEB

Weber State 0 at San Diego State 6

SDSU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Qualcomm Stadium
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Win probability · SDSU
modelSDSU aheadWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playSDSU scoreWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGEnd of GameFG+7.5SDSU 87.5%Matt Araiza 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 6 · Q4 10:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:51 · Matt Araiza 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 124Pregame prior+7.2Home team on offense+14.6Garbage-time factor+9.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Score differential+2.0Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 10:51: Matt Araiza 29 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +7.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:42: Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Isiah Jackson — WEB win probability +7.8 pts (now 20%) (top driver: WEB has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:00: Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 6 — SDSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:52: Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 36 — SDSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:24: Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 29 — SDSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SDSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 14WEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00SDSU 4th & 9 at SDSU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:26WEB 4th & 7 at WEB 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:32SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:02WEB 4th & 16 at WEB 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:06SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:08WEB 4th & 3 at WEB 16, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:04SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00WEB 4th & 15 at WEB 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:39SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:34WEB 4th & 1 at WEB 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:00SDSU 4th & 3 at WEB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    76.5%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:41SDSU 4th & 9 at WEB 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−3.9
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:25WEB 4th & 2 at WEB 31, down 3
    Close callPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:51SDSU 4th & 10 at WEB 17, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.4%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−4.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 15:00WEB 4th & 5 at WEB 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:50SDSU 4th & 1 at WEB 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.0%−2.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−3.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:06WEB 4th & 1 at SDSU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%−4.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−3.2
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:31SDSU 4th & 10 at SDSU 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  19. Q3 5:33WEB 4th & 7 at WEB 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:51SDSU 4th & 9 at WEB 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−2.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−15.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:42WEB 4th & 4 at WEB 45, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%−1.8
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:52SDSU 4th & 5 at SDSU 16, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  23. Q4 8:18WEB 4th & 2 at WEB 41, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%−2.4
    average punt
  24. Q4 6:00SDSU 4th & 6 at SDSU 21, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−3.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  25. Q4 2:07SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 41, up 6
    Close callPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%−0.6
    average punt
  26. Q4 2:00WEB 4th & 4 at WEB 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.0%−5.0
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 4 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-7
84.8%
Ryan Agnew run for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+4
84.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 4 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
84.8%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
84.3%
Rashid Shaheed run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 32Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+8
84.3%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Devon Cooley for 8 yds to the WebSt 40Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 3
OWN 40
-4
84.3%
Josh Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the WebSt 36Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
84.4%
Doug Lloyd punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
83.8%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
83.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Juwan Washington for 6 yds to the SDSt 42Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-2
83.9%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 40 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
83.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Rashid Shaheed at the WebSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
83.3%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 9Similar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+3
83.3%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Josh Davis for 3 yds to the WebSt 12Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+2
83.3%
Jake Constantine run for 2 yds to the WebSt 14Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+31
83.4%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Devon Cooley for 31 yds to the WebSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
83.1%
Josh Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 43Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+1
83.2%
Josh Davis run for 1 yd to the WebSt 44Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-5
83.3%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 39Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 16
OWN 39
0
83.3%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Rashid Shaheed, broken up by Kyree WoodsSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 16
OWN 39
+6
83.5%
Doug Lloyd punt for 49 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 6 yds to the SDSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
82.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 11 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
82.0%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
82.0%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to BJ Busbee for 7 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 3
OWN 36
-5
82.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 31Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+2
81.8%
Ryan Agnew run for 2 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
81.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 58 yds , Rashid Shaheed returns for no gain to the WebSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
81.3%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Kevin Smith for 1 yd to the WebSt 10Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+1
81.3%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Justin Malone for 1 yd to the WebSt 11Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+5
81.5%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Kris Jackson for 5 yds to the WebSt 16Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 3
OWN 16
+8
81.7%
Doug Lloyd punt for 49 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 8 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
81.4%
Chance Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 43Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
81.2%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe Smith, broken up by Eddie HeckardSimilar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+2
80.8%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 2 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q1 2:04
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
80.5%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:4620% → 20%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
79.6%
Jake Constantine run for 10 yds to the WebSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
79.5%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 2 yds to the WebSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-2
79.1%
Josh Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-5
79.7%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Justin MaloneSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
80.1%
Doug Lloyd punt for 44 yds, downed at the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
79.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Parker Houston for 5 yds to the SDSt 36Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
80.3%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Chance BellSimilar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+3
79.5%
Ryan Agnew run for 3 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q2 13:39
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+10
79.3%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 50 yds , Rashid Shaheed returns for 10 yds to the WebSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:3922% → 21%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
78.2%
Kevin Smith run for 5 yds to the WebSt 26Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
78.0%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Kevin Smith for 4 yds to the WebSt 30Similar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
77.9%
Kaden Jenks run for no gain to the WebSt 30Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+3
78.8%
Doug Lloyd punt for 43 yds , Tariq Thompson returns for 3 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 11FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:1979% → 80%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
79.1%
Jordan Byrd run for 13 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
79.9%
Jordan Byrd run for 15 yds to the WebSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
80.3%
Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the WebSt 42Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+8
80.3%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 8 yds to the WebSt 34Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-1
80.2%
Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 35Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+6
79.4%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 6 yds to the WebSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
80.7%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe SmithSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+11
80.7%
Chance Bell run for 11 yds to the WebSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
80.7%
Ryan Agnew run for 2 yds to the WebSt 16Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 16
-8
80.7%
Ryan Agnew sacked by McKade Mitton for a loss of 8 yards to the WebSt 24Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 16
OPP 24
+7
79.4%
Chance Bell run for 7 yds to the WebSt 17Similar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
79.5%
Matt Araiza 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
78.6%
Josh Davis run for 12 yds to the WebSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
78.5%
Kevin Smith run for no gain to the WebSt 23Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
78.5%
Jake Constantine pass complete to David Ames for 3 yds to the WebSt 26Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+5
79.0%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 5 yds to the WebSt 31Similar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
79.1%
Doug Lloyd punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13FUMBLE
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
78.6%
Jordan Byrd run for 23 yds to the WebSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
79.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 11 yds to the WebSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
80.6%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 8 yds to the WebSt 20Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+3
80.6%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the WebSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
80.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Jesse MatthewsSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
80.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Elijah Kothe, broken up by Maxwell AndersonSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
79.7%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Juwan WashingtonSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 10
OPP 17
-8
78.3%
Brandon Heicklen run for a loss of 8 yards to the WebSt 19 Brandon Heicklen fumbled, recovered by WebSt Jonah WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
77.1%
Josh Davis run for 2 yds to the WebSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
76.2%
Josh Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
76.4%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Josh Davis for no gain to the WebSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
77.3%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Kevin Smith for 6 yds to the WebSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
77.7%
Doug Lloyd punt for 46 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 3 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0077% → 78%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
76.9%
Juwan Washington run for 18 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
78.4%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 46Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+5
78.2%
Juwan Washington run for 5 yds to the WebSt 49Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+5
78.3%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 5 yds to the WebSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
79.0%
Ryan Agnew run for 4 yds to the WebSt 40Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+3
79.0%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the WebSt 37Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+2
78.5%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the WebSt 35Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
77.5%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the WebSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0026% → 27%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
73.7%
Kevin Smith run for 2 yds to the WebSt 37Similar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+11
74.5%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Justin Malone for 11 yds to the WebSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
73.5%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Rashid Shaheed, broken up by Tariq ThompsonSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
71.6%
Josh Davis run for 1 yd to the WebSt 49Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
71.8%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Devon Cooley, broken up by Tariq ThompsonSimilar
Q3 9:06
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+8
72.9%
Jake Constantine pass complete to David Ames for 8 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
73.1%
David Ames pass incomplete to Rashid ShaheedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 74%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
77.0%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 43Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
76.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to BJ Busbee, broken up by Eddie HeckardSimilar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
75.0%
Ryan Agnew pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
73.8%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 55 yds, downed at the WebSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
73.8%
Kris Jackson run for 7 yds to the WebSt 9Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+2
74.1%
Kris Jackson run for 2 yds to the WebSt 11Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+4
74.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Rashid Shaheed for 4 yds to the WebSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
73.3%
WEBER ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WebSt 10Similar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+5
73.3%
Kris Jackson run for 5 yds to the WebSt 15Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
73.6%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Justin Malone for 3 yds to the WebSt 18Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
74.6%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Kevin SmithSimilar
Q3 5:33
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+8
75.6%
Doug Lloyd punt for 42 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 8 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 5:5876% → 88%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
76.0%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 49Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
75.7%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Isaiah RichardsonSimilar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+14
73.9%
Ryan Agnew run for 14 yds to the WebSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
76.7%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the WebSt 35Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
77.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Juwan WashingtonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+12
75.7%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 12 yds to the WebSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
77.2%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the WebSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+3
77.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to BJ Busbee for 3 yds to the WebSt 19Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+6
79.9%
Ryan Agnew run for 6 yds to the WebSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
81.3%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the WebSt 13Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
81.3%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the WebSt 9Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-3
79.9%
Ryan Agnew run for a loss of 3 yards to the WebSt 12 Ryan Agnew fumbled, recovered by SDSt Ryan AgnewSimilar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
87.5%
Matt Araiza 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
80.4%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Isiah JacksonSimilar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
80.8%
Jake Constantine pass complete to David Ames for 6 yds to the WebSt 45Similar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
79.4%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete, broken up by Myles CheatumSimilar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
81.7%
Doug Lloyd punt for 44 yds, downed at the SDSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
87.3%
Juwan Washington run for 2 yds to the SDSt 13Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-5
87.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 8Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+8
86.9%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 8 yds to the SDSt 16Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
86.6%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete, broken up by Jonah WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
85.7%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Josh Davis at the WebSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
83.1%
Jake Constantine run for a loss of 4 yards to the WebSt 29Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+10
84.2%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Isiah Jackson for 10 yds to the WebSt 39Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+2
82.4%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Justin Malone for 2 yds to the WebSt 41Similar
Q4 8:18
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
83.5%
Doug Lloyd punt for 53 yds, downed at the SDSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
89.3%
Juwan Washington run for no gain to the SDSt 6Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+8
89.2%
Ryan Agnew pass complete to Kobe Smith for 8 yds to the SDSt 14Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+3
89.0%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.7%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete to Kobe SmithSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
89.4%
Ryan Agnew pass incomplete, broken up by Jayden PalauniSimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+4
88.8%
Juwan Washington run for 4 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
88.4%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Davis at the WebSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 25INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.8%
Jake Constantine pass intercepted Tariq Thompson return for no gain to the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:4594% → 94%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.6%
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 36Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
94.7%
Juwan Washington run for 8 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-3
94.7%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 41Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+3
94.1%
Brandon Heicklen punt for 41 yds , Rashid Shaheed returns for 3 yds to the WebSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WEBDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
89.7%
Jake Constantine pass complete to Kevin Smith for 6 yds to the WebSt 27Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
88.8%
Jake Constantine pass complete to David Ames for no gain to the WebSt 27Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
89.3%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Rashid ShaheedSimilar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
90.4%
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to David Ames, broken up by Tariq ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
96.3%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 29Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
96.2%
Team run for no gain to the WebSt 29Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 12
OPP 29
-2
95.8%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:52
Juwan Washington run for 1 yd to the SDSt 36
+8.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:42
Jake Constantine pass incomplete to Isiah Jackson
-7.8
FG · Q4 10:51
Matt Araiza 29 yd FG GOOD
+7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com