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COLG

Colgate 7 at Air Force 48

AF
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Falcon Stadium
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Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadCOLG aheadconfidence bandkey playAF scoreCOLG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:55 · Barney Amor punt for 41 yds , Ben Peterson returns for no gain to the AFA 28 Ben Peterson fumbled, recovered by AFA Ben Peterson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+42.9Home team on offense+0.7Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:55: Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK) — COLG win probability +0.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:11: Donald Hammond III run for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK) — AF win probability +1.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:46: Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK) — AF win probability +2.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:08: Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK) — AF win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:57: Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK) — AF win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AF made the numbers' call on 2 of 3COLG made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:55COLG 4th & 4 at COLG 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:44AF 4th & 2 at AF 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:57COLG 4th & 12 at AF 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:11COLG 4th & 1 at COLG 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:46COLG 4th & 20 at COLG 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:12COLG 4th & 12 at COLG 18, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 15:00AF 4th & 9 at AF 42, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:11COLG 4th & 3 at COLG 44, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:22COLG 4th & 7 at AF 32, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:38AF 4th & 2 at AF 36, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7COLG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:55AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:11AF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:46AF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:08AF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:57AF Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:23AF Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:53AF Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:09COLG Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLGDrive 1INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.6%
Malik Twyman run for 2 yds to the Colg 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
94.6%
Grant Breneman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.6%
Grant Breneman pass intercepted Milton Bugg III return for 7 yds to the Colg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:4294% → 94%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
94.4%
Taven Birdow run for 12 yds to the Colg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
94.4%
Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 23Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+8
94.4%
Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the Colg 15Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+12
94.4%
Kadin Remsberg run for 12 yds to the Colg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.4%
Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the Colg 2Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.2%
Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.0%
Myles Bradley run for no gain to the Colg 25Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.0%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Malik Twyman for 1 yd to the Colg 26Similar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
94.1%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Myles Bradley for 5 yds to the Colg 31Similar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
94.1%
Barney Amor punt for 41 yds , Ben Peterson returns for no gain to the AFA 28 Ben Peterson fumbled, recovered by AFA Ben PetersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
93.8%
Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
93.8%
Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-3
93.8%
Kadin Remsberg run for 7 yds to the AFA 43 AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 33Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+3
93.7%
Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
93.7%
Charlie Scott punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 5:157% → 8%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
93.3%
Malik Twyman run for 2 yds to the Colg 29Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+26
93.3%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Diaco for 26 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
93.1%
Malik Twyman run for 6 yds to the AFA 39Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+12
93.1%
Malik Twyman run for 12 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
92.9%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Diaco for 3 yds to the AFA 24Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+9
92.9%
Alex Mathews run for 9 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
92.9%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Mike Bevino for 4 yds to the AFA 11Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-6
92.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 17Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
93.1%
Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick DraughtSimilar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+34
92.3%
Chris Puzzi 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:4692% → 94%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
92.4%
Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the AFA 25Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+5
92.4%
COLGATE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the AFA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
92.4%
Joshua Stoner run for 19 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
92.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the Colg 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
92.6%
Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the Colg 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+1
92.5%
Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the Colg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
92.6%
Donald Hammond III run for 8 yds to the Colg 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+11
92.6%
Joshua Stoner run for 11 yds to the Colg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
92.6%
Timothy Jackson run for 5 yds to the Colg 17Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
94.2%
Donald Hammond III run for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.4%
Malik Twyman run for 2 yds to the Colg 27Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
93.4%
Malik Twyman run for 5 yds to the Colg 32Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
93.3%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Gill for 5 yds to the Colg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
93.3%
Malik Twyman run for 2 yds to the Colg 39Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
93.3%
Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick DraughtSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+7
93.3%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Gill for 7 yds to the Colg 46Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
93.3%
Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick Draught, broken up by Zane LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 1:0094% → 97%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+41
94.1%
Taven Birdow run for 41 yds to the Colg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
94.1%
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the Colg 2Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.9%
Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
96.3%
Grant Breneman sacked by Demonte Meeks and Mosese Fifita for a loss of 3 yards to the Colg 22Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
96.4%
Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick Gill, broken up by Zane LewisSimilar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-7
96.4%
Grant Breneman sacked by Jordan Jackson and Jeremy Fejedelem for a loss of 7 yards to the Colg 15Similar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
96.4%
Barney Amor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 10TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:0697% → 99%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
97.1%
Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the AFA 49Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+13
97.1%
Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the Colg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
97.1%
Joshua Stoner run for 11 yds to the Colg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
97.1%
Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds to the Colg 10Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+4
97.1%
Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the Colg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+6
97.1%
Taven Birdow run for 6 yds to the Colg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.1%
Timothy Jackson run for 4 yds to the Colg 41Similar
Q2 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · -24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colg 1 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AFA Lakota WillsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 12TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Malik Twyman run for 3 yds to the Colg 28Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.3%
Grant Breneman run for 6 yds to the Colg 34Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.3%
Malik Twyman run for 3 yds to the Colg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.3%
Alex Mathews run for 3 yds to the Colg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3799% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
Timothy Jackson run for 6 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
99.3%
Timothy Jackson run for 7 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.4%
Joshua Stoner run for 1 yd to the AFA 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
99.4%
Timothy Jackson run for 2 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+41
99.4%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 41 yds to the Colg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.4%
Timothy Jackson run for 3 yds to the Colg 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+14
99.4%
Joshua Stoner run for 14 yds to the Colg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Timothy Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.6%
Malik Twyman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 18Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+8
99.7%
Grant Breneman run for 8 yds to the Colg 26Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-8
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Colg 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Colg Grant BrenemanSimilar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
99.7%
Barney Amor punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Ben Peterson at the AFA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 16TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 5:09100% → 100%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
99.7%
Christian Mallard run for 14 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.7%
Christian Mallard run for 6 yds to the AFA 46Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+9
99.7%
Nolan Eriksen run for 9 yds to the Colg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
99.7%
Christian Mallard run for 11 yds to the Colg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.7%
Christian Mallard run for 1 yd to the Colg 33Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
99.7%
Nolan Eriksen run for 4 yds to the Colg 29Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+19
99.7%
Christian Mallard run for 19 yds to the Colg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.7%
Christian Mallard run for 2 yds to the Colg 8Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Nolan Eriksen run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 17TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:370% → 0%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.8%
Garrett Oakey run for 8 yds to the Colg 31Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+4
99.8%
Alex Mathews run for 4 yds to the Colg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.8%
Alex Mathews run for 3 yds to the Colg 38Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+17
99.8%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 17 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
99.8%
AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the AFA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
99.8%
Alex Mathews run for 15 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.8%
Malik Twyman run for 2 yds to the AFA 13Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick GillSimilar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
Grant Breneman pass complete to Nick Gill for 13 yds for a TD, (Chris Puzzi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:09100% → 100%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Matthew Murla run for 8 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
99.8%
Matthew Murla run for 8 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Dane Kinamon run for no gain to the AFA 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-3
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 37 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+5
99.8%
Matthew Murla run for 5 yds to the AFA 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+4
99.8%
Joseph Carlson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colg 24 , Abu Daramy-Swaray returns for 4 yds to the Colg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Malik Twyman run for 4 yds to the Colg 28Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Grant Breneman run for 9 yds to the Colg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Malik Twyman run for 4 yds to the Colg 41Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Malik Twyman run for 3 yds to the Colg 44Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Grant Breneman pass incomplete to Nick Draught, broken up by Eric WardSimilar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Barney Amor punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Colton Parton run for 3 yds to the AFA 35 Colton Parton fumbled, forced by Milton Braasch II, recovered by Colg Colin TroupSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
99.9%
Mathews, Alex rush for 3 yards to the AF32 (EURE, David;BUSH, Noah), PENALTY COLGATE holding 10 yards to the AF45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Jake Froschauer run for 7 yds to the AFA 38Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Jake Froschauer run for 5 yds to the AFA 33Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+1
99.9%
Jake Froschauer pass complete to Michael Kane for 1 yd to the AFA 32Similar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
Jake Froschauer pass complete to Myles Bradley for 4 yds to the AFA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 22END OF GAME
12 plays · 55 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Omar Fattah run for 8 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-3
99.9%
Zachar Larrier run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 33Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Omar Fattah run for 3 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Omar Fattah run for 4 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.9%
C Stevenson run for 7 yds to the AFA 47Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Jake Smith run for 11 yds to the Colg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Qawi Ntsasa run for 4 yds to the Colg 38Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Colton Parton run for 9 yds to the Colg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.9%
L Leviston run for 8 yds to the Colg 21Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+4
99.9%
C Stevenson run for 4 yds to the Colg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.9%
Robert Gross run for 2 yds to the Colg 15Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:46
Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q2 2:08
Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 12:11
Donald Hammond III run for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com