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UNCO

Northern Colorado 18 at San José State 35

SJSU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2019 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadUNCO aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreUNCO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDSAFETYFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:45 · Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:33: Josh Love run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:56: Jacob Knipp pass complete to Dontay Warren for 7 yds for a TD, (Collin Root KICK) — UNCO win probability +7.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UNCO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:05: Josh Love pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:30: Collin Root 36 yd FG GOOD — UNCO win probability +3.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UNCO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:21: Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK) — SJSU win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UNCO made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 7:41UNCO 4th & 5 at SJSU 34, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:41SJSU 4th & 2 at UNCO 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:45UNCO 4th & 15 at SJSU 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:29UNCO 4th & 1 at UNCO 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:29UNCO 4th & 10 at SJSU 43, down 15
    Close callPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:51SJSU 4th & 6 at UNCO 46, up 15
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UNCO 4th & 1 at midfield, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:05UNCO 4th & 17 at SJSU 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:30UNCO 4th & 2 at SJSU 19, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%−0.5
    77% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:30SJSU 4th & 15 at SJSU 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−1.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:53UNCO 4th & 9 at UNCO 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:55SJSU 4th & 2 at UNCO 44, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    87.2%−1.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:17UNCO 4th & 26 at UNCO 3, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−2.2
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:18SJSU 4th & 7 at UNCO 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:10UNCO 4th & 1 at UNCO 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:56UNCO 4th & 4 at SJSU 4, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNCO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:09SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:51SJSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:33SJSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:56UNCO Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:05SJSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:21SJSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5189% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for no gain to the SJSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.1%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
89.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 15 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
89.1%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 3 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
89.1%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+32
89.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 32 yds to the NoCol 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
89.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for no gain to the NoCol 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-1
89.1%
DeJon Packer run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+5
89.1%
LOVE, Josh rush for 4 yards to the NC17 (Jace Bobo), PENALTY NC offside (Brandon Biggs) 5 yards to the NC16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+15
89.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 15 yds to the NoCol 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.1%
Tyler Nevens run for no gain to the NoCol 1Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.7%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 2FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:2012% → 13%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
88.3%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Willie Fairman for 4 yds to the NoCol 40Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
88.2%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Dontay Warren for 5 yds to the NoCol 45Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+16
88.2%
Milo Hall run for 16 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
88.1%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Dontay Warren for 6 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-1
88.0%
Milo Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
88.2%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Dontay WarrenSimilar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+52
87.3%
Collin Root 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5087% → 89%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
87.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
50
+4
87.6%
DeJon Packer run for 4 yds to the NoCol 46Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
87.7%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 7 yds to the NoCol 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Michael WalkerSimilar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
87.6%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the NoCol 36Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+5
87.6%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 5 yds to the NoCol 31Similar
Q1 7:41
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+3
87.5%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the NoCol 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
87.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the NoCol 21Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+12
87.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 12 yds to the NoCol 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
87.7%
Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the NoCol 7Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
88.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 4FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 4:0012% → 12%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
87.6%
Jacob Knipp run for no gain to the NoCol 41Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+14
87.6%
Milo Hall run for 14 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
87.4%
Milo Hall run for 4 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
87.3%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete, broken up by Brandon EzellSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+8
87.4%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Jaren Mitchell for 8 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
87.1%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Willie Fairman for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 35Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+6
87.3%
Jacob Knipp run for 6 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+15
87.4%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Milo Hall for 1 yard to the SJSU28, out-of-bounds (ZIGLER, Zamore), PENALTY SJSU roughing passer (HALL, Cade) 15 yards to the SJSU14, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
87.1%
Jacob Knipp sacked by Demanuel Talauati for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 19
0
87.0%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Dontay WarrenSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 19
0
87.4%
Jacob Knipp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+36
87.7%
Collin Root 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 79 yds · 0:0087% → 88%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
87.1%
Nick Nash run for 10 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
87.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+49
87.5%
Nick Nash run for 49 yds to the NoCol 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
87.8%
Nick Nash run for no gain to the NoCol 15Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
87.8%
Nick Nash run for 6 yds to the NoCol 9Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+7
87.5%
DeJon Packer run for 7 yds to the NoCol 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.8%
Nick Nash run for 1 yd Nick Nash fumbled, forced by Justice Littrell, recovered by NoCol Brandon BiggsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 6INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
87.0%
Jullen Ison run for 3 yds to the NoCol 23Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
87.0%
Jullen Ison run for 6 yds to the NoCol 29Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
87.0%
Jullen Ison run for 2 yds to the NoCol 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
86.9%
Milo Hall run for 2 yds to the NoCol 33Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
86.8%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Jaren MitchellSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+1
87.2%
Jacob Knipp pass intercepted Nehemiah Shelton return for 1 yd to the NoCol 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:4887% → 91%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+14
87.2%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 14 yds to the NoCol 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
87.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Andre Crump for 10 yds to the NoCol 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
87.3%
DeJon Packer run for 6 yds to the NoCol 10Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+7
87.3%
DeJon Packer run for 7 yds to the NoCol 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.7%
Josh Love run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 8PUNT
16 plays · 32 yds · 2:0410% → 10%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.6%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Milo Hall for 5 yds to the NoCol 30Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
89.4%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Willie Fairman for no gain to the NoCol 30Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
89.6%
Jacob Knipp run for 6 yds to the NoCol 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
89.5%
Milo Hall run for 6 yds to the NoCol 42Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
89.1%
Jacob Knipp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+3
90.0%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Dontay Warren for 3 yds to the NoCol 45Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
90.1%
Jullen Ison run for 2 yds to the NoCol 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
89.9%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete, PENALTY SJSU holding (SHELTON, Nehemi) 10 yards to the SJSU43, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
89.6%
Jacob Knipp run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line Jacob Knipp fumbled, recovered by NoCol Jacob Knipp , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 17
50
+6
90.3%
Jacob Knipp run for 6 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+5
90.3%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Demanuel Talauati) to the SJSt 39Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+1
89.8%
Milo Hall run for 1 yd to the SJSt 38Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 5
OPP 38
-5
89.9%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, false start (Willie Fairman) to the SJSt 43Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
90.4%
Collin Root punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:5593% → 92%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
92.5%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to GAITHER, Bailey, PENALTY NC pass interference (Greg Laday) 15 yards to the SJSU35, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
92.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
50
+6
92.8%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 6 yds to the NoCol 44Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
92.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Jermaine BraddockSimilar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-2
92.5%
DeJon Packer run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoCol 46Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
92.3%
Alex Galland punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jullen Ison at the NoCol 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
91.4%
Milo Hall run for 1 yd to the NoCol 11Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+3
91.4%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Willie Fairman for 3 yds to the NoCol 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 11TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:049% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.9%
Milo Hall run for 3 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
90.5%
Milo Hall run for 6 yds to the NoCol 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
90.4%
Milo Hall run for 7 yds to the NoCol 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
90.3%
Milo Hall run for 2 yds to the NoCol 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-2
90.3%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Willie Fairman for a loss of 2 yards to the NoCol 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+9
90.6%
Jacob Knipp run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
50
+3
90.2%
Jullen Ison run for 3 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
89.8%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Dontay Warren for 5 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+11
89.6%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Jaren Mitchell for 11 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
89.4%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Jaren Mitchell, broken up by Brandon EzellSimilar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
89.8%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Dontay Warren for 15 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
89.4%
Milo Hall run for 4 yds to the SJSt 12Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+4
89.4%
Milo Hall run for 4 yds to the SJSt 8Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+2
90.0%
Milo Hall run for 2 yds to the SJSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
89.4%
Milo Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 7Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
81.8%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Dontay Warren for 7 yds for a TD, (Collin Root KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:4487% → 93%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
86.8%
Isaiah Hamilton run for 7 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+15
87.9%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to GAITHER, Bailey (Greg Laday), PENALTY NC pass interference (Greg Laday) 15 yards to the NC43, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
88.1%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 10 yds to the NoCol 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
88.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 15 yds to the NoCol 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
88.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 4 yds to the NoCol 14Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
88.3%
Josh Love pass incomplete to JaQuan Blackwell, broken up by Nic VinsonSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
93.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.2%
Jullen Ison run for 3 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+39
91.9%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Willie Fairman for 39 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
90.5%
Jullen Ison run for 2 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
90.5%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Jaren MitchellSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-9
91.3%
Jacob Knipp sacked by Jesse Osuna for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
92.4%
Collin Root punt for 39 yds, downed at the SJSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14SF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:4195% → 93%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
94.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+4
94.6%
DeJon Packer run for 4 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 6
OWN 5
-5
92.5%
Isaiah Iton SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 15FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:259% → 13%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
90.7%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Willie Fairman for 1 yd to the NoCol 31Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-5
90.9%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, illegal procedure (Max Bruner) to the NoCol 26Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+32
91.5%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Milo Hall for 32 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
89.7%
Milo Hall run for 2 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
89.8%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Jaren Mitchell for 5 yds to the SJSt 35Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+8
89.6%
Jullen Ison run for 8 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
88.8%
Jullen Ison run for 4 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+2
89.8%
Milo Hall run for 2 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+2
90.6%
Milo Hall run for 2 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
87.3%
Collin Root 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
88.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 10 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
89.1%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-10
89.8%
PACKER, DeJon rush for 19 yards to the NC41, out-of-bounds (Jerone Jackson), PENALTY SJSU holding (DEESE, Derrick) 10 yards to the SJSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
88.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
88.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tyler NevensSimilar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
87.5%
Alex Galland punt for 40 yds , Jullen Ison returns for no gain to the NoCol 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0012% → 10%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
88.0%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Willie Fairman for 1 yd to the NoCol 31Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
88.2%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Jaren MitchellSimilar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
89.5%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Dontay WarrenSimilar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
89.9%
Noah Sol punt for 34 yds, downed at the SJSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
89.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 9 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
90.3%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
90.2%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 6 yds to the NoCol 46Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
90.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the NoCol 44Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
89.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to DeJon PackerSimilar
Q4 10:55
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
89.1%
Alex Galland punt for 25 yds, downed at the NoCol 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -16 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
91.0%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Milo Hall for 1 yd to the NoCol 20Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-8
91.2%
Jacob Knipp sacked by Tysyn Parker for a loss of 8 yards to the NoCol 12Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 17
OWN 12
-9
91.9%
Jacob Knipp sacked by Ethan Aguayo for a loss of 9 yards to the NoCol 3Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 26
OWN 3
+25
92.3%
Collin Root punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoCol 28 , Brandon Ezell returns for 25 yds to the NoCol 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4993% → 92%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
92.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to DeJon PackerSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
92.8%
DeJon Packer run for 3 yds to the NoCol 25Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
92.6%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Jermaine BraddockSimilar
Q4 6:18
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
92.1%
Matt Mercurio 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.8%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Noah SolSimilar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
92.8%
Jacob Knipp pass intercepted Bobby Ii Brown return for 14 yds to the NoCol 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:4593% → 98%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
93.2%
Tyler Nevens run for 5 yds to the NoCol 8Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
97.9%
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCODrive 23DOWNS
18 plays · 62 yds · 3:252% → 2%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
97.8%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Dontay Warren for 4 yds to the NoCol 38Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
97.8%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Willie Fairman for 5 yds to the NoCol 43Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
97.8%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Willie FairmanSimilar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+11
98.0%
Jacob Knipp run for 11 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
97.9%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Milo Hall for 5 yds to the SJSt 41Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+7
97.7%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Dontay Warren for 7 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
97.6%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Darren DeLaCroix for 5 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
97.4%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Dontay WarrenSimilar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-5
97.8%
NORTHERN COLO Penalty, false start (Grant Stephens) to the SJSt 34Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
97.9%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Jaren Mitchell, broken up by Nehemiah SheltonSimilar
Q4 2:26
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+15
98.0%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Jacob Knipp (WEBB, Tre), PENALTY SJSU pass interference (WEBB, Tre) 15 yards to the SJSU19, 1ST DOWN NC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.5%
Jacob Knipp run for no gain to the SJSt 19Similar
Q4 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
97.6%
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Willie Fairman for 4 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.6%
Milo Hall run for 1 yd to the SJSt 4Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.8%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Darren DeLaCroixSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.9%
Jacob Knipp pass incomplete to Noah SolSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
98.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 3Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 11
OWN 3
-1
98.8%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:56
Jacob Knipp pass complete to Dontay Warren for 7 yds for a TD, (Collin Root KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q3 6:05
Josh Love pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)
+5
TD · Q4 5:21
Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com