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IDST

Idaho State 10 at BYU 42

BYU
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Jake Oldroyd 38 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense+24.6Pregame prior+12.3Score differential+7.4Blowout margin+6.4Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:59: Micah Simon run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +5.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:46: Kevin Ryan 27 yd FG GOOD — IDST win probability +1.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: IDST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:45: Sione Finau run for 16 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +5.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:00: Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 26 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +6.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:18: Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7IDST made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 39, tied
    Close callWent for it · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00BYU 4th & 16 at BYU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:14IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:22BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 9:06IDST 4th & 5 at IDST 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:26BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:48IDST 4th & 23 at IDST 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:59IDST 4th & 3 at BYU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:46IDST 4th & 2 at BYU 9, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.3%−1.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−7.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:45IDST 4th & 2 at IDST 33, down 18
    Close callPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:00IDST 4th & 1 at BYU 33, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.5%−2.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−3.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00BYU 4th & 21 at IDST 21, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−2.0
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−4.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:52IDST 4th & 2 at IDST 41, down 25
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:30BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 34, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:50IDST 4th & 6 at BYU 45, down 32
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:54BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 8, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00IDST 4th & 4 at BYU 35, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:36IDST 4th & 2 at IDST 46, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6IDST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:12BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:59BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:45BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:00BYU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:18BYU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:14BYU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:37IDST Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 6 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
74.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 1 yd to the BYU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
74.2%
IDAHO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (1 Yards) to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
74.2%
Micah Simon run for 2 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
74.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+8
74.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 8 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
74.2%
BYU Penalty, IL (-5 Yards) to the BYU 42Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 42
0
74.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Kainoa FuiavaSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+5
74.2%
Sione Finau run for 5 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
-6
74.2%
Zach Wilson sacked by Kainoa Fuiava for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 41
0
74.2%
Danny Jones punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Malakai Rango at the IdaSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
73.6%
Malakai Rango run for no gain to the IdaSt 12Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
73.6%
Matt Struck pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 5 yds to the IdaSt 17Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
73.7%
Matt Struck pass incomplete to Mitch Gueller, broken up by Isaiah KaufusiSimilar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+3
73.8%
Kevin Ryan punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 46 , Dax Milne returns for 3 yds to the BYU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
73.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 5 yds to the IdaSt 49Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
73.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 4 yds to the IdaSt 45Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-5
73.8%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 6
50
-2
73.7%
Zach Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
73.4%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Malakai Rango at the IdaSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 4INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+26
74.7%
Matt Struck pass intercepted for a TD Austin Lee return for 26 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
74.6%
Malakai Rango run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 32Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
74.5%
Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+8
74.7%
Matt Struck pass complete to Michael Dean for 8 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
74.4%
Malakai Rango run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
74.5%
Matt Struck pass complete to Michael Dean for 6 yds to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
74.4%
Matt Struck pass incomplete to Malakai RangoSimilar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+5
74.7%
Kevin Ryan punt for 44 yds , Dax Milne returns for 5 yds to the BYU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
74.9%
Sione Finau run for 5 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+13
74.9%
Sione Finau run for 13 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
75.0%
WILSON, Zach pass complete to SIMON, Micah for 42 yards to the ISU25 (IRVINE, Jay), PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the BYU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+11
74.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 11 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
75.0%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-4
74.8%
Zach Wilson sacked by Anthony Parker for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 30Similar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+2
74.4%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 46 yds , Malakai Rango returns for 2 yds to the IdaSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
74.9%
Malakai Rango run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+13
74.9%
Matt Struck pass complete to Michael Dean for 13 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
74.5%
Malakai Rango run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 44Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-16
74.3%
STRUCK, Matt pass incomplete to GUELLER, Mitch (GHANWOLOKU, D.), PENALTY ISU pass interference 16 yards to the ISU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 23
OWN 28
0
75.1%
Matt Struck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 23
OWN 28
0
75.4%
Matt Struck pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 23
OWN 28
+1
75.6%
Kevin Ryan punt for 50 yds , Dax Milne returns for 1 yd to the BYU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 4:1275% → 82%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
75.1%
FINAU, Sione rush for 9 yards to the BYU32 (IRVINE, Jay), PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the BYU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+20
75.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 6 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST down IDAHO ST Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
75.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 4 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+6
75.6%
Jackson McChesney run for 6 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
75.8%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Micah SimonSimilar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
75.5%
Zach Wilson run for 12 yds to the IdaSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
75.9%
Sione Finau run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
-5
76.2%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IdaSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+5
76.2%
Sione Finau run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+5
75.9%
Zach Wilson run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
76.3%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IdaSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+10
75.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 10 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+16
76.3%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 4 yds to the IdaSt 24 for a 1ST down IDAHO ST Penalty, face mask (12 yards) (12 Yards) to the IdaSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
81.7%
Micah Simon run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 9FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:1320% → 23%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
79.7%
Matt Struck pass complete to Michael Dean for 40 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
78.5%
Malakai Rango run for no gain to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
78.5%
Malakai Rango run for 6 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+1
78.7%
Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+11
79.3%
Matt Struck pass complete to Nate Shubert for 11 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
78.2%
Malakai Rango run for 2 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+1
78.2%
Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the BYU 14Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+5
78.7%
Malakai Rango run for 5 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+27
77.2%
Kevin Ryan 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0179% → 87%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
78.9%
Sione Finau run for 7 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
79.2%
Sione Finau run for 5 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
79.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 3 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+20
79.7%
Micah Simon run for 20 yds to the IdaSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
79.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Talon Shumway, broken up by Colton BennionSimilar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
79.8%
Sione Finau run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 35Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+19
79.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 19 yds to the IdaSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
86.9%
Sione Finau run for 16 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.3%
Malakai Rango run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
85.1%
STRUCK, Matt pass incomplete to GUELLER, Mitch (GHANWOLOKU, D.), PENALTY BYU offside 5 yards to the ISU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
84.4%
Matt Struck pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
84.9%
Matt Struck pass incomplete to Michael Dean, broken up by Beau TannerSimilar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
85.2%
Kevin Ryan punt blocked by Kyle Griffitts blocked by Kyle GriffittsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:5487% → 94%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
87.3%
Dax Milne run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+26
94.0%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 26 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:0012% → 14%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.7%
Malakai Rango run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 27Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+31
87.6%
Malakai Rango run for 31 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
86.1%
Malakai Rango run for 4 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+4
85.8%
Soujah Gasu run for 4 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
85.9%
Soujah Gasu run for 1 yd to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
-1
86.1%
Soujah Gasu run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 2:3994% → 95%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
94.1%
Sione Finau run for 2 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+15
94.2%
WILSON, Zach pass incomplete to ROMNEY, Gunner, PENALTY ISU pass interference 15 yards to the ISU49, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
94.9%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 18 yds to the IdaSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
94.9%
Sione Finau run for 9 yds to the IdaSt 22Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+13
93.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Sione Finau for 13 yds to the IdaSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
93.2%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Micah SimonSimilar
Q2 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-7
94.3%
Zach Wilson sacked by Darian Green for a loss of 7 yards to the IdaSt 16Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
-5
95.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for a loss of 5 yards to the IdaSt 21Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+38
95.0%
Jake Oldroyd 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
94.8%
Malakai Rango run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+2
94.6%
Malakai Rango run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+5
94.7%
BYU Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the IdaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
94.6%
Malakai Rango run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-1
94.4%
Malakai Rango run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+2
94.6%
Matt Struck pass complete to Soujah Gasu for 2 yds to the IdaSt 41Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+31
94.7%
Kevin Ryan punt for 50 yds , Dax Milne returns for 31 yds to the BYU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:2397% → 99%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
97.4%
Sione Finau run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
50
+15
97.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 15 yds to the IdaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
97.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 25 yds to the IdaSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
97.5%
Sione Finau run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 6Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
97.4%
Sione Finau run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 3Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.9%
Matt Struck pass intercepted Dayan Ghanwoloku return for 8 yds to the IdaSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:5399% → 100%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
99.3%
Zach Wilson run for 21 yds to the IdaSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.2%
TONGA, Khyiris rush for 2 yards to the ISU3 (TEAM), PENALTY ISU offside 2 yards to the ISU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Khyiris Tonga run for 3 yds for a TD BYU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-77 Yards) to the BYU 20 (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 19TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:301% → 2%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.4%
Matt Struck pass complete to Michael Dean for 11 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
98.5%
Malakai Rango run for 54 yds for a TD (Kevin Ryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.4%
Gunner Romney run for 6 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
99.4%
Jackson McChesney run for 3 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-5
99.4%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Malakai Rango at the IdaSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
98.6%
Matt Struck pass complete to Tanner Conner for 6 yds to the IdaSt 32Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+1
98.2%
Soujah Gasu run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+4
98.3%
Matt Struck pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 4 yds to the IdaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
98.5%
Malakai Rango run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+9
98.2%
Malakai Rango run for 9 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
98.3%
Soujah Gasu run for 1 yd to the BYU 48Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+3
98.3%
Soujah Gasu run for 3 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
98.2%
Matt Struck pass incomplete to Malakai RangoSimilar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
98.3%
Kevin Ryan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
99.6%
Sione Finau run for 4 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 6
OWN 8
0
99.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 8
0
99.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Rasheed WilliamsSimilar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 6
OWN 8
+14
99.6%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 47 yds , Malakai Rango returns for 14 yds to the BYU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.7%
Soujah Gasu run for 4 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
99.7%
Soujah Gasu run for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Malakai Rango run for no gain to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Matt Struck pass incomplete to Austin Campbell, broken up by Tyler AllgeierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24INT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Sione FinauSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
99.7%
Jackson McChesney run for 10 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
99.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Keanu Hill for 17 yds to the IdaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.7%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Moroni Laulu-PututauSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.7%
Jackson McChesney run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+8
99.7%
Zach Wilson pass intercepted Kody Graves return for 8 yds to the IdaSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Matt Struck pass incomplete to Tanner Conner, broken up by Shamon WillisSimilar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Matt Struck pass incomplete to Michael DeanSimilar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.8%
Matt Struck pass complete to Malakai Rango for 8 yds to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+17
99.8%
Kevin Ryan punt for 41 yds , Dax Milne returns for 17 yds to the BYU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26END OF GAME
19 plays · 63 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
Jackson McChesney run for 5 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Jackson McChesney run for 4 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
99.8%
Sione Finau run for 2 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.8%
Tevita Ika run for 3 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
99.8%
Jackson McChesney run for 5 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 2
OWN 49
-10
99.8%
FINAU, Sione rush for 12 yards to the ISU39 (GREEN, Darian), PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the BYU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+15
99.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Keanu Hill for 15 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.8%
Jackson McChesney run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 40Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+18
99.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Tevita Ika for 18 yds to the IdaSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
99.8%
Tevita Ika run for a loss of 4 yards to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+8
99.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Carter Wheat for 8 yds to the IdaSt 20Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+9
99.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Sione Finau for 9 yds to the IdaSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.8%
Jackson McChesney run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 9Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+8
99.8%
Joe Critchlow pass complete to Keanu Hill for 8 yds to the IdaSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
99.8%
Jackson McChesney run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 37Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-5
99.8%
CRITCHLOW, Joe pass complete to HILL, Keanu for 32 yards to the ISU5, out-of-bounds, PENALTY BYU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the ISU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 3Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 5Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:00
Zach Wilson pass complete to Talon Shumway for 26 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 12:59
Micah Simon run for 12 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q2 6:45
Sione Finau run for 16 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com