Try the model
CONN

UConn 56 at Massachusetts 35

MASS
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:52 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:23: Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +7.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:41: Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 57 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +7.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:25: Bilal Ally run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +11.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:49: Quayvon Skanes pass complete to Jay Rose for 15 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +11.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:11: Kevin Mensah run for 14 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK) — CONN win probability +7.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 13:16CONN 4th & 9 at MASS 29, tied
    Close callWent for it · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.3%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    71.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:28CONN 4th & 7 at MASS 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:07MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:23MASS 4th & 5 at CONN 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    23.1%−0.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 32, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:49MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:11MASS 4th & 12 at CONN 43, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    3.5%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:26MASS 4th & 19 at MASS 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:38CONN 4th & 9 at MASS 29, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:54CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:31MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:39CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:53MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:07CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:23CONN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:41CONN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 1:04MASS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 11:25MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 7:49CONN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 14:11CONN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 8:26CONN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 0:52MASS Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
27.4%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Zak Simon for 9 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+6
27.4%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Kyle Horn for 6 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
27.4%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 2 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+6
27.4%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
50
-5
27.4%
Andrew Brito run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 45 Andrew Brito fumbled, recovered by UConn Ian SwensonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:2272% → 72%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
28.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 9 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+6
28.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Matt Drayton for 6 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
28.0%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
28.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Ardell BrownSimilar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+2
28.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 2 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+11
28.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 11 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
28.0%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the UMass 17Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
27.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 17 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4MISSED FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:2672% → 72%
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
27.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 4 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+15
27.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 15 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
27.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UMass 7Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
27.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
27.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
28.1%
Clayton Harris 25 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Isaiah Rodgers N/A return for 11 yds to the UMass 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
28.5%
Andrew Brito pass intercepted Oneil Robinson return for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
27.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted Isaiah Rodgers return for no gain to the UMass 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:4329% → 34%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
29.0%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
28.8%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+36
28.6%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 36 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
29.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Dalton Tomlison) to the UConn 25Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+2
29.4%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+20
29.4%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Kyle Horn for 20 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
29.6%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.6%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 2:5268% → 73%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
32.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+45
31.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 45 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
30.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 9 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+14
30.8%
Art Thompkins run for 14 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
27.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:4629% → 36%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
29.1%
Bilal Ally run for 8 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+6
29.9%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
29.8%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
29.4%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Zak Simon for 9 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+7
30.1%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Zak Simon for 7 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
36.4%
Jermaine Johnson Jr. 40 Yd pass from Andrew Brito (Cooper Garcia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:4668% → 72%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
32.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 16 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
31.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron RossSimilar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
32.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+25
27.8%
Art Thompkins run for 25 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
29.6%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
29.5%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Melvin Hill for 5 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q2 13:07
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
29.9%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Kyle Horn, broken up by Omar ForttSimilar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
29.1%
George Georgopoulos punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 4:0272% → 80%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
28.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 18 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
27.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+6
27.7%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 6 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+13
27.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 13 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
27.5%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
27.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Cameron Hairston, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+13
27.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 13 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0022% → 23%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
22.4%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
22.7%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 31Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+23
22.3%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 8 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, roughing passer (Kevon Jones) to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
23.7%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
23.7%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
23.6%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Zak Simon, broken up by Myles BellSimilar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
23.3%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:5280% → 87%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
20.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+57
12.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 57 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 4:3715% → 22%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
14.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Tanner Davis) to the UMass 12Similar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
14.5%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+22
14.5%
Cam Roberson run for 22 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
15.5%
Andrew Brito run for 5 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+5
15.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Kyle Horn for 5 yds to the UConn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
16.0%
Andrew Brito run for no gain to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
15.8%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Tyler CoyleSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
14.5%
Cam Roberson run for 4 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+6
14.5%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
14.9%
BRITO, Andrew pass incomplete to ALLY, Bilal, PENALTY UCONN face mask (JONES, Kevon) 15 yards to the UCONN31, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
15.7%
Bilal Ally run for 8 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
15.8%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus, broken up by Robert King IIISimilar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
15.5%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
15.8%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+2
15.8%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UConn 14Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
21.9%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 14 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
18.8%
Art Thompkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+1
18.9%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the UConn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
18.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
18.4%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
18.8%
Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Jay Rose, broken up by Jake ByczkoSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 27
+5
19.3%
MAGLIOZZI, Luke punt 39 yards to the UMASS34, fair catch by RODGERS, Isaiah, PENALTY UMASS offside defense 5 yards to the UCONN32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 32
-5
19.2%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 48 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 2:1719% → 33%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
18.8%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 3 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+63
18.9%
Bilal Ally run for 63 yds to the UConn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
21.4%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UConn 16Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+9
21.4%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 9 yds to the UConn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
21.4%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the UConn 1Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.0%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3673% → 87%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
26.9%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 9 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
25.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
25.4%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+13
25.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 13 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
24.6%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the UMass 44Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+29
24.6%
Art Thompkins run for 29 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
12.8%
Quayvon Skanes pass complete to Jay Rose for 15 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
15.9%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
15.9%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+10
15.6%
BRITO, Andrew pass incomplete to HILL, Melvin, PENALTY UCONN holding (PAUL, Keyshawn) 10 yards to the UMASS41, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
17.2%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-2
17.1%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 7:49
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
16.3%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Kyle Horn, broken up by Tyler CoyleSimilar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+1
15.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 39 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 1 yd to the UConn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 6:5087% → 98%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
13.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+5
13.1%
Jack Zergiotis run for 5 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+17
13.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 17 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
12.1%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Art Thompkins for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 5
50
0
12.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 5
50
+12
12.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Elijah Jeffreys for 12 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
12.0%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 5 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+12
11.5%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Hairston for 12 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
11.6%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+8
11.6%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 8 yds to the UMass 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
9.2%
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
2.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 14 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
3.1%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+10
3.1%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 10 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
3.2%
Andrew Brito run for 7 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
3.4%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+15
3.3%
BRITO, Andrew pass incomplete to EMILUS, Samuel, PENALTY UCONN pass interference (LUCIEN, Jeremy) 15 yards to the UMASS46, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
3.4%
Andrew Brito pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
3.4%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 43Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+16
3.2%
Bilal Ally run for 16 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
3.6%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Melvin HillSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-2
3.6%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 12
OPP 43
0
3.4%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
3.3%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 2:1598% → 100%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+42
1.7%
Art Thompkins run for 42 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
1.6%
Art Thompkins run for 8 yds to the UMass 7Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+4
1.6%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.2%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.3%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
0.3%
Bilal Ally run for 8 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.3%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-9
0.3%
Andrew Brito sacked by Travis Jones for a loss of 9 yards to the UMass 26Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 19
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Taylor EdwardsSimilar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 19
OWN 26
0
0.2%
George Georgopoulos punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
0.2%
Dante Black run for 12 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+28
0.2%
Dante Black run for 13 yds to the UMASS 45 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Dennis Osagiede) to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
0.2%
Dante Black run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+5
0.2%
Donevin O'Reilly run for 5 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-1
0.2%
Donevin O'Reilly run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 9
OPP 29
-1
0.3%
Donevin O'Reilly run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:090% → 1%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
0.1%
Cam Roberson run for 6 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-5
0.1%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 31Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+29
0.1%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 29 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
0.2%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Melvin Hill for 8 yds to the UConn 32Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+7
0.2%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 7 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
0.2%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Melvin Hill, broken up by Keyshawn PaulSimilar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
0.2%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 6 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
1.1%
Gilberto Torres run for 19 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UConn 20Similar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-2
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:49
Quayvon Skanes pass complete to Jay Rose for 15 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)
-11.8
TD · Q3 11:25
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)
+11.6
TD · Q2 5:41
Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Cameron Ross for 57 yds for a TD, (Clayton Harris KICK)
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com