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AKR

Akron 29 at Massachusetts 37

MASS
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:52 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:12: Kato Nelson pass intercepted for a TD Isaiah Rodgers return for 58 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +6.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:12: Michael Curtis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 8 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +19.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:47: Michael Curtis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +20.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:48: Michiah Burton run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK) — AKR win probability +15.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:24: Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 17 yds for a TD, (Nate Stewart pass to Zach Gibson for Two-Point Conversion) — AKR win probability +13.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 6 of 8AKR made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:43AKR 4th & 3 at MASS 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    69.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:30MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:03AKR 4th & 15 at AKR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:12AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:22MASS 4th & 12 at AKR 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:27MASS 4th & 4 at AKR 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−1.0
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00AKR 4th & 8 at midfield, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:12MASS 4th & 3 at AKR 8, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%−1.4
    90% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−12.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:47AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 13, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:17MASS 4th & 2 at AKR 33, up 20
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.6%−1.1
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:15MASS 4th & 2 at AKR 17, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%−1.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−9.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:20AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 38, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.2%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:37MASS 4th & 12 at AKR 40, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 8:43AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:57MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:12MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:02AKR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:12MASS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:47MASS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:48AKR Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:24AKR Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    10.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1INT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
21.2%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 9 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 26
-1
21.2%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+3
21.2%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+29
21.2%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 29 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
21.2%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+1
21.2%
Michael Curtis pass intercepted DeMarkus Glover return for 1 yd to the Akron 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 3:2278% → 78%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
22.5%
Brandon Lee run for 2 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
22.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 4 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+47
22.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 47 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
22.3%
Nate Stewart pass incomplete to Kato NelsonSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
22.3%
Deltron Sands run for 5 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
22.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michael Mathison for no gain to the UMass 3Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
22.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Julian Hicks for 3 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4623% → 26%
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
22.5%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Jessie Britt for 8 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+20
22.8%
Michael Curtis run for 20 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+34
23.0%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Jessie Britt for 21 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
23.2%
Kevin Brown run for 7 yds to the Akron 6Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+6
26.0%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 6 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
24.5%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Deltron Sands for 8 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
24.3%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Knight, broken up by Xavier SteeleSimilar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
24.5%
Jeremiah Knight run for 3 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+31
24.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 31 yds to the UMass 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
24.2%
Deltron Sands run for 2 yds to the UMass 8 Deltron Sands fumbled, forced by Xavier Steele, recovered by UMass Martin MangramSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
25.9%
CURTIS, Michael pass incomplete to EMILUS, Samuel, PENALTY UMASS holding off-setting, PENALTY AKRON pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
25.8%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the UMass 8Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+3
25.8%
Michael Curtis run for 3 yds to the UMass 11Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+16
25.5%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 16 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
26.0%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 6 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
26.3%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
26.3%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson, broken up by A.J. WattsSimilar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
26.2%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Bilal AllySimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
25.9%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+62
25.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 47 yds, downed at the UMASS 15 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Defensive holding (15 Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
27.1%
Brandon Lee run for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+8
27.4%
Kato Nelson run for 8 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-3
27.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Deltron Sands for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 10
OWN 30
-5
28.0%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Jaquavis Dixon) to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
28.1%
Jonah Wieland punt for 50 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for no gain to the UMass 25 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (Josh Wallace) to the UMass 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
29.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Dalton Tomlison) to the UMass 10Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+4
29.1%
Michael Curtis run for 4 yds to the UMass 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+2
29.1%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
28.5%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Bilal AllySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
28.2%
George Georgopoulos punt for 44 yds, downed at the Akron 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8INT TD
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:0172% → 66%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
27.9%
Brandon Lee run for 7 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+7
27.6%
Brandon Lee run for 7 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+58
33.6%
Kato Nelson pass intercepted for a TD Isaiah Rodgers return for 58 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
35.2%
Brandon Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
35.3%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
36.0%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:12
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
36.3%
Jonah Wieland punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 3:5038% → 42%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
37.9%
Michael Curtis run for 2 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+4
37.9%
Kevin Brown run for 4 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
37.4%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Zak Simon for 7 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
38.2%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Zak Simon for 8 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+2
38.2%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
38.4%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 21 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
38.4%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Taylor EdwardsSimilar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+12
38.4%
CURTIS, Michael pass incomplete to BRITT, Jessie, PENALTY AKRON pass interference (WATTS, A.J.) 12 yards to the AKRON2, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.4%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Jessie BrittSimilar
Q2 12:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.4%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
37.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Helber Fagundes) to the Akron 7Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
37.8%
CURTIS, Michael pass incomplete to EMILUS, Samuel, PENALTY UMASS intentional grounding (CURTIS, Michael) 5 yards to the AKRON12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
41.7%
Cooper Garcia 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2057% → 64%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
42.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 19 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
41.5%
Brandon Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+3
42.3%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+10
42.3%
Michiah Burton run for 10 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
40.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 11 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
40.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 8 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+1
39.7%
Michiah Burton run for 1 yd to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
40.6%
Michiah Burton run for 2 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
39.7%
Kato Nelson run for 1 yd to the UMass 22Similar
Q2 8:22
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+6
39.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 6 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+9
40.7%
Kato Nelson run for 9 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
39.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 4 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
35.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Dustin Burkhart for 3 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12FG
12 plays · 37 yds · 1:3542% → 51%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
42.0%
Kevin Brown run for 5 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
42.5%
Kevin Brown run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 2
50
+11
43.9%
Bilal Ally run for 11 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
44.9%
Michael Curtis run for 5 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
46.0%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+7
44.7%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 7 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
46.0%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 6 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 4
OPP 21
0
46.0%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Cam RobersonSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
44.7%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
50.7%
Cooper Garcia 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
49.1%
Kato Nelson sacked by Uchenna Ezewike for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.3%
Brandon Lee run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
45.9%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Julian Hicks for 9 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
45.2%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Brandon Lee for 8 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
43.4%
Brandon Lee run for 3 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
43.5%
Brandon Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 46
0
45.2%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Jeremiah Knight, broken up by James Bowe Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+4
46.4%
Robbie Kelley pass complete to Michael Mathison for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
50
+10
46.4%
Jonah Wieland punt for 32 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for 10 yds to the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:0453% → 75%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
52.9%
Michael Curtis run for 8 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-1
54.9%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+15
53.0%
Michael Curtis run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
50
0
55.7%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Zak Simon, broken up by Jalen HooksSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
50
+8
55.2%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Melvin Hill for 8 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+4
55.0%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Bilal Ally for 4 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
55.9%
Michael Curtis run for 5 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+18
56.4%
Kevin Brown run for 18 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
56.4%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
56.4%
Kevin Brown run for 4 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+3
55.2%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 3 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+8
74.9%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 8 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+47
72.3%
Robbie Kelley pass intercepted for a 1ST down Jordan Adams return for 45 yds to the UMASS 18 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.6%
Michael Curtis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
91.0%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
91.1%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
91.2%
Robbie Kelley pass incomplete to Jeremiah KnightSimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
91.2%
Jonah Wieland punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
92.9%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
92.9%
Cam Roberson run for 3 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+5
92.7%
Michael Curtis run for 5 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
92.1%
George Georgopoulos punt for 33 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:558% → 24%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
92.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Brandon Lee for 7 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+29
92.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 29 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
92.1%
Michiah Burton run for 3 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
92.1%
Michiah Burton run for 3 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+8
92.1%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 8 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+28
91.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Timothy Scippio for 28 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.6%
Michiah Burton run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:3384% → 91%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
84.1%
Kevin Brown run for 8 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 2
OWN 42
-1
84.9%
Kevin Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+34
84.1%
Mike Fallon pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 34 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
88.8%
Kevin Brown run for 2 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+6
88.8%
Mike Fallon pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 6 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
88.4%
Kevin Brown run for no gain to the Akron 17 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
90.9%
Cooper Garcia 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:5511% → 8%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
88.7%
Zach Gibson run for 12 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
87.9%
Michiah Burton run for 2 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-7
87.8%
Zach Gibson sacked by Claudin Cherrelus for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 11:20
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+9
92.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michael Mathison for 9 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
91.8%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
94.7%
ALLY, Bilal rush for 13 yards to the AKRON25 (ARSLANIAN, B.), PENALTY UMASS holding 10 yards to the AKRON48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+2
94.5%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 18
OPP 46
+6
94.5%
Michael Curtis pass complete to Cam Roberson for 6 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
94.4%
Michael Curtis pass incomplete to Zak Simon, broken up by Jordyn RileySimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
94.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 38 yds, downed at the Akron 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24TD
14 plays · 98 yds · 3:155% → 20%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
94.6%
AKRON Penalty, false start (Michiah Burton) to the Akron 1Similar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+5
94.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense (Grant Laws) to the Akron 6Similar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 6
OWN 6
0
94.6%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Timothy ScippioSimilar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+5
94.6%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 5 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+2
94.4%
Michiah Burton run for 2 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
94.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 11 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
94.2%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
94.3%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 2 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+14
95.4%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 14 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+33
94.9%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 33 yds to the UMass 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
93.7%
Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Nate StewartSimilar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+10
94.2%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Michiah Burton for 10 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
80.5%
Zach Gibson pass complete to Nate Stewart for 17 yds for a TD, (Nate Stewart pass to Zach Gibson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25END OF GAME
14 plays · 71 yds · 3:3292% → 97%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.6%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
91.8%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+26
91.6%
Bilal Ally run for 26 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
92.8%
Bilal Ally run for 13 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
93.0%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-5
93.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Dalton Tomlison) to the Akron 29Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
93.0%
Bilal Ally run for 17 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
96.5%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+2
96.8%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the Akron 8Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+6
96.6%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
96.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:47
Michael Curtis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)
+20.2
TD · Q3 7:12
Michael Curtis pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 8 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)
+19.7
TD · Q3 1:48
Michiah Burton run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cory Smigel KICK)
-15.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com