Try the model
CCU

Coastal Carolina 62 at Massachusetts 28

MASS
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:15 · CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Home team on offense−3.8Pregame prior−33.3Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:52: Bilal Ally run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +2.4 pts (now 18%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:21: Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Reese White for 24 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +3.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:28: Bilal Ally run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +6.0 pts (now 20%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:40: Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +4.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:22: Jacqez Hairston run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +5.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 9CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:11MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 49, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:11MASS 4th & 21 at CCU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    16.0%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.3%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:21MASS 4th & 1 at CCU 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%−1.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:35MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 41, down 21
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 3 at MASS 36, down 28
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:01MASS 4th & 11 at CCU 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:35MASS 4th & 1 at CCU 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:43CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 35, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:33MASS 4th & 16 at CCU 46, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:39CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 46, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 10:11CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:52MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:55CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:21CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:28MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:40CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:22CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:20CCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:25CCU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:35CCU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 0:00MASS Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 8:33CCU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 91 yds · 4:4989% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
11.3%
Jacqez Hairston run for 3 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+2
11.3%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+14
11.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 14 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
11.3%
CJ Marable run for 15 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
11.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Shadell Bell for 12 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
11.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 7 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
11.3%
Jacqez Hairston run for 3 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
11.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 21 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
11.3%
Fred Payton run for 4 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
12.3%
CJ Marable run for 10 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
12.9%
Andrew Brito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 15
OWN 49
+28
12.5%
Josiah Johnson run for 28 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-9
12.9%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 9 yards to the CCaro 32Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 19
OPP 32
-10
12.8%
BRITO, Andrew pass complete to DINGLE, Brennon for 7 yards to the CCU25 (Spillum, A.), PENALTY UMASS holding (YERARDI, Mike) 10 yards to the CCU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 29
OPP 42
0
12.7%
Andrew Brito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 29
OPP 42
+8
12.7%
Bilal Ally run for 8 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 21
OPP 34
0
12.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 32 yds, downed at the CCaro 2Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
12.8%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 1 yd to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 9
OPP 45
-6
12.8%
Andrew Brito sacked by Sterling Johnson and Tarron Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
13.6%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+4
13.5%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
13.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for no gain to the CCaro 14Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
13.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to T'Qele Holmes for 1 yd to the CCaro 15Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+13
13.7%
Fred Payton pass intercepted Tyris Lebeau return for 13 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:2715% → 18%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
15.1%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Bilal Ally for 7 yds to the CCaro 5Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
17.5%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:5784% → 86%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
16.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 19 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
15.8%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
15.8%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
15.7%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Larry Collins Jr., broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
15.7%
Fred Payton run for 11 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
15.6%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+18
14.2%
CJ Marable run for 18 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:5515% → 15%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.2%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Cam RobersonSimilar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
15.2%
Cam Roberson run for 10 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
15.6%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-2
16.3%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
15.8%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Derick BushSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
15.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 4:5485% → 89%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
15.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 6 yds to the CCaro 21Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+9
15.2%
CJ Marable run for 9 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
15.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for 9 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
14.8%
Reese White run for no gain to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
14.9%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+3
15.2%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
14.8%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+32
14.8%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to CJ Marable for 32 yds to the UMass 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
11.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Reese White for 24 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8TD
13 plays · 46 yds · 2:5313% → 20%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
13.3%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 9 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
13.3%
Andrew Brito pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
13.3%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+3
13.1%
Cam Roberson run for 3 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
13.5%
Andrew Brito pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-4
13.5%
Andrew Brito run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 38Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 14
OPP 38
+20
12.9%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 20 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
13.6%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 6 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 4
OPP 12
-1
13.6%
Andrew Brito run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 13Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+6
13.3%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Teddy Gallagher) to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
13.6%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the CCaro 5Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
19.6%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4883% → 89%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
16.7%
Fred Payton pass complete to T'Qele Holmes for 23 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
15.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 19 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+31
15.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 31 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
11.4%
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0012% → 13%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
12.3%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+4
12.3%
Cam Roberson run for 4 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+15
12.2%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+11
13.3%
Andrew Brito pass intercepted Cincir Evans return for 11 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
13.0%
Cam Roberson run for 7 yds to the UMass 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:3189% → 94%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
11.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 14 yds to the UMass 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
11.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 2 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+17
11.5%
CJ Marable run for 17 yds to the UMass 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.4%
Jacqez Hairston run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:478% → 9%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
7.8%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
8.2%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
8.3%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the UMass 41Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
9.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:0893% → 96%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
7.4%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 10 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
7.2%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 22 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
6.6%
Fred Payton run for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+11
6.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to Fred Payton for 11 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
6.5%
Fred Payton sacked by Jarvis Miller for 0 yards to the UMass 28Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+23
5.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to T'Qele Holmes for 23 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
3.7%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 5 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
5.0%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the UMass 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
3.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 12 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
3.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for no gain to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
3.6%
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+2
3.4%
Andrew Brito run for 2 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
3.5%
George Georgopoulos punt for 30 yds, downed at the CCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:3597% → 99%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
3.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 8 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 2
OWN 42
-2
2.9%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 40Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+45
3.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 45 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
3.1%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
1.3%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 13 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:242% → 1%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-7
1.6%
Andrew Brito sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 17
OPP 30
+6
1.6%
Cam Roberson run for 6 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
1.5%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Alex SpillumSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+42
1.3%
Cooper Garcia 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:2699% → 99%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
1.2%
T'Qele Holmes run for 10 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
1.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Xavier Steele) to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
1.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 9 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+4
1.1%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 4 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
1.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+35
0.9%
Reese White run for 35 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.7%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.7%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+18
0.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Zak Simon for 18 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
0.8%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 8 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+6
0.8%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Zak Simon for 6 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
0.9%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 3 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
0.8%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson, broken up by Kameron BurtonSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+6
0.8%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
0.8%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the CCaro 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
0.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Jeremiah MillerSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
0.7%
Bryce Carpenter run for 8 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
0.7%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Aaron Bedgood for 1 yd to the CCaro 35Similar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
0.8%
Myles Prosser punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josiah Johnson at the UMass 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Andrew Brito run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Michael Makins) to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
0.4%
Randall West pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 6 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
0.4%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
0.4%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
0.4%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 19 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
0.4%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 30 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:27100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 8 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
0.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
0.5%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
0.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
0.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 5 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
0.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+22
0.5%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 22 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
0.5%
Reese White run for 7 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
0.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
0.5%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
0.5%
Carpenter, B. pass incomplete to McAfee, A., PENALTY UMASS roughing passer (RUANE, Mike) 9 yards to the UMASS8, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.2%
Anthony McAfee run for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 2:480% → 0%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
0.2%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 8
50
+7
0.2%
Randall West pass complete to Melvin Hill for 7 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
0.2%
Cam Roberson run for 3 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
0.2%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
0.2%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
0.2%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson, broken up by Shi'heem WatkinsSimilar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 11
OPP 41
-5
0.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Josiah Johnson) to the CCaro 46Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 16
OPP 46
+23
0.2%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 23 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.2%
Randall West pass incomplete to Samuel EmilusSimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
0.2%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 23 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
50
-5
0.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jai Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 45Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+6
0.2%
Anthony McAfee run for 6 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-5
0.2%
Greg Latushko run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 46Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 14
OWN 46
+43
0.2%
Myles Prosser punt for 43 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25Uncategorized
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
0.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Zak Simon) to the UMass 5Similar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+7
0.1%
Cam Roberson run for 7 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+3
0.1%
Cam Roberson run for 3 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
0.1%
Gilberto Torres run for 5 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+1
0.1%
Gilberto Torres run for 1 yd to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+4
0.1%
Randall West pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.1%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 8 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
0.1%
Gilberto Torres run for 6 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
0.1%
Gilberto Torres run for 2 yds to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
0.1%
Gilberto Torres run for 3 yds to the UMass 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:28
Bilal Ally run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)
+6
TD · Q2 2:22
Jacqez Hairston run for 1 yd for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-5.1
TD · Q2 4:40
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com