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SIU

Southern Illinois 45 at Massachusetts 20

MASS
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadSIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreSIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:19 · Jack Colquhoun punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Home team on offense−1.9Pregame prior+13.1Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:34: Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 85 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK) — SIU win probability +5.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:26: Kevin Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +8.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:08: Stone Labanowitz pass complete to D.J. Davis for 32 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK) — SIU win probability +13.4 pts (now 48%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:47: Javon Williams Jr. run for 64 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK) — SIU win probability +12.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:25: Javon Williams Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK) — SIU win probability +16.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 8 of 9SIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00MASS 4th & 3 at SIU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:01SIU 4th & 13 at SIU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:01MASS 4th & 2 at SIU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:38SIU 4th & 3 at MASS 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 33, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:34MASS 4th & 6 at MASS 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:49SIU 4th & 5 at SIU 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:23MASS 4th & 15 at MASS 38, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:19SIU 4th & 7 at SIU 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:04MASS 4th & 24 at MASS 3, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−3.8
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:19SIU 4th & 10 at MASS 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:47MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 49, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:24SIU 4th & 2 at MASS 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−3.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:19MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.8%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:16MASS 4th & 18 at MASS 12, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−1.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:38MASS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:34SIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:26MASS Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:08SIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:47SIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:25SIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:16SIU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:35SIU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:44MASS Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 55 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
70.4%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
70.4%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
70.4%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
70.4%
Randall West pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 11 yds to the SoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
70.4%
Bilal Ally run for 7 yds to the SoIll 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+18
70.4%
Bilal Ally run for 18 yds to the SoIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
70.4%
Randall West pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
70.4%
Randall West pass complete to Jessie Britt for 2 yds to the SoIll 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+5
70.4%
Cam Roberson run for 5 yds to the SoIll 11Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+1
70.4%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the SoIll 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
69.9%
D.J. Davis run for no gain to the SoIll 10Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-8
69.9%
Stone Labanowitz sacked by Dennis Osagiede for a loss of 8 yards to the SoIll 2Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 18
OWN 2
+5
70.2%
D.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the SoIll 7Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 13
OWN 7
0
70.2%
Jack Colquhoun punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoIll 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:2370% → 71%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
70.3%
Cam Roberson run for 8 yds to the SoIll 17Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 2
OPP 17
0
70.3%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
70.1%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the SoIll 17Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+4
69.9%
Cam Roberson run for 4 yds to the SoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
70.3%
Randall West pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 12 yds to the SoIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.3%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the SoIll 1Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
70.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Brian Abosi) to the SoIll 6Similar
Q1 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
70.3%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the SoIll 4Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
71.4%
Randall West run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 4DOWNS
14 plays · 65 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
71.0%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the SoIll 11Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+2
71.0%
Avante Cox run for 2 yds to the SoIll 13Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+9
71.2%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 9 yds to the SoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
70.9%
D.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the SoIll 24Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+9
70.9%
D.J. Davis run for 9 yds to the SoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
70.7%
D.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the SoIll 38Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+17
70.4%
D.J. Davis run for 17 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
70.2%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+9
70.2%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 9 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
69.9%
Stone Labanowitz pass incomplete to Avante CoxSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
69.9%
D.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+3
70.2%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
70.6%
Stone Labanowitz pass incomplete to Je'Quan Burton, broken up by Joseph NorwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:4772% → 71%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
71.6%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-4
71.5%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Ray Thomas-Ishman) to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+7
71.4%
Randall West pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 7 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-5
71.2%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Kyle Horn) to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-5
71.0%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 20Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+13
71.0%
Bilal Ally run for 13 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
71.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 52 yds, downed at the SoIll 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 6TD
1 play · 85 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+85
65.9%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 85 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
66.6%
Randall West pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson, broken up by Tre' StrongSimilar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
66.5%
Randall West pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 14:34
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
66.3%
Randall West pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:34
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
65.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, fair catch by D.J. Davis at the SoIll 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.6%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the SoIll 28Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
65.4%
D.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the SoIll 30Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
65.7%
Stone Labanowitz pass incomplete to D.J. Davis, broken up by Cole McCubreySimilar
Q2 13:49
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+9
66.6%
Jack Colquhoun punt for 53 yds , Isaiah Rodgers returns for 9 yds to the UMass 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
66.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Brian Abosi) to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+22
65.8%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 22 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
67.3%
Randall West pass incomplete to Kyle HornSimilar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
66.7%
Randall West pass incomplete to Kyle HornSimilar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-5
65.9%
Randall West sacked by Chucky Sullivan for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
65.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, fair catch by D.J. Davis at the SoIll 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:4435% → 36%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
64.7%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 9 yds to the SoIll 26Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+2
64.0%
Romeir Elliott run for 2 yds to the SoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
64.5%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Avante Cox for 18 yds to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
63.3%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Romeir Elliott for a loss of 3 yards to the SoIll 43Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+6
64.3%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Romeir Elliott for 6 yds to the SoIll 49Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
62.9%
Stone Labanowitz pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
64.4%
Jack Colquhoun punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
64.9%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the UMass 18Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 9
OWN 18
-16
64.8%
Randall West sacked for a loss of 16 yards to the UMass 2 Randall West fumbled, recovered by UMass Cam Roberson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 25
OWN 2
+1
63.7%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the UMass 3Similar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 24
OWN 3
+7
63.4%
George Georgopoulos punt for 37 yds , D.J. Davis returns for 7 yds to the UMass 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 12FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4241% → 42%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
59.5%
Stone Labanowitz run for 5 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
59.4%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
60.2%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
59.4%
D.J. Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+3
59.8%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
60.4%
Stone Labanowitz pass incomplete to Nigel KilbySimilar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
57.6%
Griffin Cerra 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:5360% → 73%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
60.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Larnel Coleman) to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+6
59.9%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
60.6%
Bilal Ally run for no gain to the UMass 36Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+23
59.7%
Randall West pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 23 yds to the SoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+38
63.1%
Randall West pass complete to Zak Simon for 38 yds to the SoIll 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
64.4%
Kevin Brown run for 1 yd to the SoIll 2Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.6%
Kevin Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:1831% → 48%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.6%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to D.J. Davis for 3 yds to the SoIll 28Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
68.5%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 7 yds to the SoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
68.2%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to D.J. Davis for 7 yds to the SoIll 42Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+10
66.1%
Stone Labanowitz run for 10 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
65.4%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 18 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
63.0%
Stone Labanowitz run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+32
52.1%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to D.J. Davis for 32 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
61.1%
Randall West pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 6 yds to the SoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
55.8%
Avante Cox run for 5 yds to the SoIll 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+3
55.9%
D.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the SoIll 20 D.J. Davis fumbled, forced by Cole McCubrey, recovered by UMass Billy WoodenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17INT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:0059% → 62%
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+33
58.5%
Randall West pass intercepted Jeremy Chinn return for 33 yds to the SoIll 41Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
62.3%
Bilal Ally run for 9 yds to the SoIll 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+6
62.3%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the SoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
62.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Josiah Johnson) to the SoIll 20Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
62.3%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the SoIll 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+4
62.3%
Bilal Ally run for 4 yds to the SoIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
62.3%
Bilal Ally run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoIll 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-4
62.1%
Brennon Dingle run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoIll 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:1448% → 61%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
51.9%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (ZeVeyon Furcron) to the SoIll 36Similar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+64
39.5%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 64 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
39.6%
Cam Roberson run for 5 yds to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-1
39.8%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 19Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+3
38.5%
Andrew Brito pass intercepted Madre Harper return for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 20TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 3:0264% → 85%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
35.6%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 6 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 4
OPP 19
-1
35.6%
Sam Bonansinga run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+17
36.0%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Romeir Elliott for 17 yds to the UMass 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
35.1%
Javon Williams Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 9Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
35.3%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to D.J. Davis for 6 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
15.3%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:3821% → 19%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
21.0%
Kevin Brown run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
21.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, false start (Brian Abosi) to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
20.8%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 21 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
22.7%
Andrew Brito run for 1 yd to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
22.5%
Kevin Brown run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 6
50
-1
22.3%
Brennon Dingle run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 49Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
19.1%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus, broken up by Qua BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1688% → 91%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
11.6%
Stone Labanowitz pass incomplete to Landon LenoirSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
11.7%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to D.J. Davis for 9 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 1
OPP 40
-1
11.3%
D.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 41Similar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
9.3%
Stone Labanowitz pass incomplete to Landon LenoirSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
18.6%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 40Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
17.2%
Bilal Ally run for 6 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+3
18.3%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+1
18.4%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:4993% → 99%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
50
+3
7.5%
Romeir Elliott run for 3 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+16
7.6%
Romeir Elliott run for 16 yds to the UMass 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
7.1%
Romeir Elliott run for 17 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
5.1%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
0.8%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Nigel Kilby for 13 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
0.7%
Andrew Brito sacked by Anthony Knighton for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 12Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 18
OWN 12
0
0.6%
Andrew Brito run for no gain to the UMass 12Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 18
OWN 12
0
0.6%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
0.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 46 yds , D.J. Davis returns for no gain to the SoIll 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 5:3399% → 100%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
0.8%
D.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoIll 41Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+17
0.8%
Je'Quan Burton run for 17 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
0.8%
D.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the UMass 41Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+11
0.8%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 11 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
0.7%
D.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+17
0.7%
D.J. Davis run for 17 yds to the UMass 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
0.7%
Romeir Elliott run for 1 yd to the UMass 7Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
0.6%
Javon Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the UMass 3Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.4%
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to Romeir Elliott for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 4:510% → 0%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
0.1%
Kevin Brown run for 5 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
0.1%
Kevin Brown run for 3 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+2
0.1%
Kevin Brown run for 2 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
0.1%
Kevin Brown run for 1 yd to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-1
0.1%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+14
0.1%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 14 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.1%
Andrew Brito pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
0.1%
Kevin Brown run for 10 yds to the SoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
0.1%
Kevin Brown run for 5 yds to the SoIll 42Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
0.1%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Zak Simon for no gain to the SoIll 42Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+32
0.1%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Jessie Britt for 32 yds to the SoIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
0.2%
Andrew Brito run for 3 yds to the SoIll 7Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.2%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Taylor Edwards for 7 yds for a TD, (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
Romeir Elliott run for 2 yds to the SoIll 27Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
0.2%
Romeir Elliott run for 16 yds to the SoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
0.2%
Tremayne Lee run for 2 yds to the SoIll 45Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-3
0.2%
Tremayne Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoIll 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:25
Javon Williams Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK)
-16.6
TD · Q2 0:08
Stone Labanowitz pass complete to D.J. Davis for 32 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK)
-13.4
TD · Q3 11:47
Javon Williams Jr. run for 64 yds for a TD, (Griffin Cerra KICK)
-12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com