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LIB

Liberty 63 at Massachusetts 21

MASS
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
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Win probability · MASS
modelMASS aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playMASS scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:47 · Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:36: Stephen Calvert pass complete to Demario Douglas for 31 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +1.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:02: Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 60 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +2.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:59: Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 3 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK) — MASS win probability +2.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:35: Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 38 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +2.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:32: Stephen Calvert pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MASS made the numbers' call on 11 of 13LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:22MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:22MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:13MASS 4th & 2 at LIB 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:23LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 20, up 7
    Close callPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:23MASS 4th & 2 at LIB 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:36MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:35MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:39LIB 4th & 11 at LIB 37, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:42MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:23MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 30, down 28
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 27, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:43MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:15LIB 4th & 2 at MASS 47, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:18LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 28, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:55MASS 4th & 18 at MASS 12, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:16MASS 4th & 14 at MASS 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:29LIB 4th & 1 at MASS 47, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:28MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 22, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:47LIB 4th & 1 at MASS 44, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MASS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LIB made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:22LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:22MASS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:13LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:36LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:02LIB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:59MASS Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 9:35LIB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 3:23LIB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:32LIB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 12:43LIB Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 8:18MASS Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 3:16LIB Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:3895% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
5.2%
Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+23
5.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Noah Frith for 23 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
5.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 16 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
5.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 16 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
5.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.6%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
5.6%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 8 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
5.6%
Bilal Ally run for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
5.6%
Bilal Ally run for 2 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
5.6%
JOHNSON, Je. rush for 2 yards to the UMASS38, out-of-bounds (FAULKS, J.), PENALTY UMASS illegal formation 5 yards to the UMASS31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+3
5.6%
Bilal Ally run for 3 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+3
5.6%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 3 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
5.6%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
5.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 47 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for no gain to the Liber 16 DJ Stubbs fumbled, recovered by UMass Isaiah RodgersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3TD
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:137% → 7%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
6.6%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
7.3%
Cam Roberson run for 16 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:0993% → 94%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
7.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 3 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+62
7.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Joshua Mack for 62 yds to the UMass 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
6.5%
Brandon Robinson pass complete to Troy Henderson for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 61 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
6.7%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Cam RobersonSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
6.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 6 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+7
6.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 7 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
6.8%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+40
6.8%
Cam Roberson run for 40 yds to the Liber 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
7.0%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Zak SimonSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-2
7.0%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 22Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+10
6.9%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Zak Simon for 10 yds to the Liber 12Similar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 2
OPP 12
0
6.8%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the Liber 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
7.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 14Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
7.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Zac Foutz, broken up by Cole McCubreySimilar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+6
7.5%
Stephen Calvert run for 6 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 2
OWN 20
+19
7.5%
Aidan Alves punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 40 , Isaiah Rodgers returns for 19 yds to the Liber 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-16
7.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul (Brennon Dingle) to the UMass 44Similar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 26
OWN 44
+3
7.5%
Cam Roberson run for 3 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
7.6%
George Georgopoulos punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 10Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
7.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
7.7%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:1892% → 93%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
8.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 15 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
8.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Demario Douglas for 45 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
7.6%
Joshua Mack run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+31
6.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Demario Douglas for 31 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
6.9%
Cam Roberson run for 4 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+1
7.0%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
6.9%
Andrew Brito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
6.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 49 yds, downed at the Liber 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:2493% → 95%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
6.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Noah Frith for 12 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
4.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 60 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:015% → 8%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+29
5.1%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 29 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
5.4%
Gilberto Torres run for 3 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
5.4%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+6
5.5%
Gilberto Torres run for 6 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
5.5%
Gilberto Torres run for 8 yds to the Liber 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+6
5.5%
Gilberto Torres run for 6 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
5.5%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 3 yds to the Liber 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+13
5.5%
BRITO, Andrew pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Je., PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (LAND, T.) 13 yards to the LIBERTY2, 1ST DOWN UMASS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
5.6%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 3Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
7.9%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 3 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:2493% → 96%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
7.2%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+16
7.2%
Joshua Mack run for 16 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
7.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
7.0%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+16
7.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 16 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
4.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 38 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
5.1%
Cam Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
5.0%
Cam Roberson run for no gain to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
5.0%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+7
5.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for 7 yds to the Liber 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
4.3%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
4.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
4.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 6
OWN 42
-5
4.5%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Troy Henderson) to the Liber 37Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
4.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Rodgers at the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
5.2%
Cam Roberson run for 1 yd to the UMass 29Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-1
5.2%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 28Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-1
5.1%
Andrew Brito run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
5.1%
George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, downed at the Liber 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:4196% → 96%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
4.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Noah Frith for 7 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
4.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
50
+3
4.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
4.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UMass 42Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
4.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
4.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Zac Foutz for 28 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
4.3%
CALVERT, S. pass incomplete to GANDY-GOLDEN,A., PENALTY UMASS pass interference (RODGERS, Isaiah) 8 yards to the UMASS2, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
4.3%
Frankie Hickson run for no gain to the UMass 2Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.1%
Brandon Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
4.1%
Gilberto Torres run for no gain to the UMass 21Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+9
4.0%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 9 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
3.9%
Gilberto Torres run for no gain to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
3.8%
George Georgopoulos punt for 49 yds, downed at the Liber 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 1:0396% → 99%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
3.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
3.8%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Liber 26Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
3.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+13
4.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 13 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
3.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Peytton Pickett for 14 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
3.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 11 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+27
3.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 27 yds to the UMass 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
3.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, offside defense (Chinedu Ogbonna) to the UMass 4Similar
Q2 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
3.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
1.9%
Cam Roberson run for 6 yds to the UMass 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.8%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Sadiq Palmer, broken up by Kei'Trel ClarkSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.7%
Cam Roberson run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-2
1.7%
Andrew Brito sacked by Jessie Lemonier for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
1.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 32 yds, downed at the Liber 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:5599% → 99%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
1.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 11 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+33
1.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 33 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
1.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.0%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Brennon DingleSimilar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.9%
Gilberto Torres run for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q3 12:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
0.9%
Andrew Brito sacked by Brandon Tillmon and Elisha Mitchell for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.9%
George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 45 , DJ Stubbs returns for 6 yds to the Liber 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
0.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Liber 45Similar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
0.9%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 5
50
0
0.9%
Landon Brown pass incomplete to Demario Douglas, broken up by Isaiah RodgersSimilar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 5
50
+3
0.9%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+1
1.2%
Landon Brown run for 1 yd to the Liber 46 Landon Brown fumbled, forced by Logan Darby, recovered by UMass Tyshaun IngramSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 1:141% → 1%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
0.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 48Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+3
0.7%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Javon Turner for 3 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+45
0.9%
Andrew Brito pass complete to Sadiq Palmer for 45 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
0.8%
Landon Brown pass complete to Demario Douglas for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 21Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
0.8%
Brandon Robinson run for no gain to the Liber 21Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+12
0.9%
Brandon Robinson run for 12 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 3
OWN 33
-5
1.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
1.1%
Aidan Alves punt for 72 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-13
0.7%
Andrew Brito sacked by Tyren Dupree for a loss of 13 yards to the UMass 10 Andrew Brito fumbled, recovered by UMass Mike Yerardi , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+2
0.7%
Gilberto Torres run for 2 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 18
OWN 12
0
0.7%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Gilberto TorresSimilar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
0.7%
George Georgopoulos punt for 44 yds, downed at the Liber 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 27TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:0399% → 100%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
0.6%
Brandon Robinson pass complete to Demario Douglas for 14 yds to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+32
0.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 32 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
0.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 9 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.3%
LIBERTY Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
0.3%
Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
0.3%
Andrew Brito pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle, broken up by Rion DavisSimilar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-6
0.3%
Andrew Brito sacked by Jayod Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 26Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
0.3%
George Georgopoulos punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 29FUMBLE
15 plays · 69 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
0.5%
Brandon Robinson run for 4 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
0.5%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Liber 39Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
0.4%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
0.4%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
0.4%
Brandon Robinson run for 4 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 2
OPP 48
-5
0.3%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+6
0.3%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+13
0.3%
Joshua Mack run for 13 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
0.3%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
0.3%
Brandon Robinson run for 3 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+6
0.3%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
0.3%
Joshua Mack run for 10 yds to the UMass 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
0.3%
Joshua Mack run for 7 yds to the UMass 6Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+5
0.3%
Brandon Robinson run for 5 yds to the UMass 1 Brandon Robinson fumbled, forced by Claudin Cherrelus, recovered by UMass Mike RuaneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
0.1%
Gilberto Torres run for 4 yds to the UMass 5Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+5
0.1%
Gilberto Torres run for 5 yds to the UMass 10Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+6
0.1%
Gilberto Torres run for 6 yds to the UMass 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-7
0.1%
Andrew Brito sacked by Mason Wolk and Aubrey Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 9Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 17
OWN 9
+4
0.1%
Victor Santiago run for 4 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 13
OWN 13
+9
0.1%
Gilberto Torres run for 9 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
0.1%
George Georgopoulos punt for 43 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 31END OF GAME
11 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
0.1%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Landon Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
0.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 10 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
0.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 9
OPP 0
0
0.1%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
0.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+5
0.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+14
0.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 14 yds to the UMass 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
0.1%
LIBERTY Penalty, delay of game (Landon Brown) to the UMass 35Similar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 15
OPP 35
-2
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 17
OPP 37
-2
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:35
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 38 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)
-2.7
TD · Q2 11:59
Andrew Brito pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 3 yds for a TD (Cooper Garcia KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 0:32
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Probert KICK)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com