Try the model
HAMP

Hampton 27 at Liberty 62

LIB
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Williams Stadium (VA)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadHAMP aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreHAMP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:58 · Ivan Oraha punt for 46 yds , Shedro Louis returns for 1 yd to the Liber 22 LIBERTY Penalty, illegal block (Kei'Trel Clark) to the Liber 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+19.9Home team on offense+33.1Score differential+28.3Blowout margin+14.1Garbage-time factor+9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:50: Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +1.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:33: Deondre Francois pass intercepted for a TD Ceneca Espinoza Jr. return for 45 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +2.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: HAMP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:04: Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 29 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:57: Deondre Francois pass complete to Alec Dana for 25 yds for a TD, (Deondre Francois pass to Shai McKenzie for Two-Point Conversion) — HAMP win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: HAMP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:58: Joshua Mack run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4HAMP made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:35HAMP 4th & 1 at HAMP 20, down 6
    Close callPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:20LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:29HAMP 4th & 8 at HAMP 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:26HAMP 4th & 1 at HAMP 34, down 13
    Close callPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:50HAMP 4th & 1 at LIB 32, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00LIB 4th & 15 at HAMP 40, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    93.7%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:33HAMP 4th & 6 at HAMP 29, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:17LIB 4th & 14 at LIB 26, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:17HAMP 4th & 10 at HAMP 1, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:58HAMP 4th & 5 at HAMP 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:42LIB 4th & 14 at HAMP 35, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:58HAMP 4th & 5 at HAMP 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:53HAMP 4th & 19 at LIB 43, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 9 of 9HAMP made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 13:46LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:01LIB Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:02LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:18HAMP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 1:50LIB Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:33LIB Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:04LIB Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:57HAMP Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:58LIB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:02LIB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 10:05HAMP Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 7:53LIB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:1495% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
95.1%
Frankie Hickson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+19
95.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 19 yds to the Hampt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+47
95.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 47 yds to the Hampt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
94.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 3 yds to the Hampt 14Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 14
-2
94.9%
Shai McKenzie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Hampt 12Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+8
94.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Alec Dana for 8 yds to the Hampt 20Similar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 20
+5
94.9%
Ivan Oraha punt for 44 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for 5 yds to the Liber 25 LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Liber 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
94.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Christian AnguloSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
94.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
94.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
94.6%
Aidan Alves punt for 48 yds, fair catch by KeyRon Catlett at the Hampt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
94.4%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Ronald Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the Hampt 19Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
94.5%
Shai McKenzie run for 3 yds to the Hampt 22Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
94.5%
Deondre Francois pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
94.5%
Ivan Oraha punt for 58 yds, downed at the Liber 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:4794% → 95%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
94.2%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 21Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+19
94.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 19 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+26
94.3%
Joshua Mack run for 11 yds to the LIBERTY 49 for a 1ST down HAMPTON Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (DeAndre Faulk) to the Hampt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
94.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 9 yds to the Hampt 25Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+23
94.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 23 yds to the Hampt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.0%
Brandon Robinson 2 Yd Run (Alex Probert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:355% → 6%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.7%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Alec Dana for 4 yds to the Hampt 29Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-6
94.6%
Ronald Bell run for 4 yds to the Hampt 33 HAMPTON Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Hampt 23Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
94.7%
Will Eason run for 11 yds to the Hampt 34Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
94.6%
Will Eason run for no gain to the Hampt 34Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.0%
Ivan Oraha punt for 46 yds , Kei'Trel Clark returns for no gain for a TD Kei'Trel Clark fumbled, recovered by Hampt Damon Woodcock for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
95.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 73 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:445% → 7%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.7%
Shai McKenzie run for 3 yds to the Hampt 28Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+46
94.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to KeyRon Catlett for 46 yds to the Liber 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
94.3%
Shai McKenzie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 28Similar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+28
93.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jadakis Bonds for 28 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:2094% → 95%
Q1 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
93.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Hampt 2 for a 1ST down HAMPTON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (1 Yards) to the Hampt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.1%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Ronald Bell for 11 yds to the Hampt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
94.6%
Deondre Francois pass complete to James Stanley for 23 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
94.4%
Will Eason run for 9 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
94.2%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Alec DanaSimilar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
94.3%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Will EasonSimilar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
94.4%
Will Eason run for no gain to the Liber 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:1095% → 95%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
94.8%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+4
94.8%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+27
94.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 27 yds to the Hampt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-5
95.0%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hampt 40 Shedro Louis fumbled, recovered by Liber Shedro LouisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 40
0
94.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
94.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 30 yds , KeyRon Catlett returns for no gain to the Hampt 11 KeyRon Catlett fumbled, recovered by Hampt KeyRon CatlettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 12INT TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 3:246% → 3%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
94.5%
Shai McKenzie run for no gain to the Hampt 11Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+14
94.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jadakis Bonds for 14 yds to the Hampt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
94.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jadakis Bonds for 15 yds to the Hampt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
94.4%
Ronald Bell run for 2 yds to the Hampt 42Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
94.4%
Ronald Bell run for 3 yds to the Hampt 45Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+45
96.9%
Deondre Francois pass intercepted for a TD Ceneca Espinoza Jr. return for 45 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.0%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jadakis Bonds for a loss of 1 yard to the Hampt 24Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
97.0%
HAMPTON Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Hampt 19Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+4
97.0%
Ronald Bell run for 4 yds to the Hampt 23Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
97.0%
William Robinson run for 6 yds to the Hampt 29Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+8
97.0%
Ivan Oraha punt for 49 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for 8 yds to the Liber 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
97.5%
Frankie Hickson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 28Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 12
OWN 28
-8
97.4%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Devin Thurmond and Shug Frazier for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 20Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 20
OWN 20
+6
97.4%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Liber 26Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
97.2%
Aidan Alves punt for 73 yds, downed at the Hampt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
97.3%
Deondre Francois run for 5 yds to the Hampt 6Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 5
OWN 6
-5
97.3%
Deondre Francois sacked by Ceneca Espinoza Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Hampt 1Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
97.3%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to KeyRon Catlett, broken up by Ceneca Espinoza Jr.Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 10
OWN 1
+5
97.3%
Ivan Oraha punt for 47 yds , DJ Stubbs returns for 5 yds to the Hampt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:2298% → 99%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
97.9%
CALVERT, S. sideline pass complete to KING, D. for 26 yards to the HAM17, out-of-bounds, PENALTY LIBERTY holding (ISAACSON, S.) 10 yards to the LIBERTY47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+8
97.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the Hampt 45Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+13
97.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 13 yds to the Hampt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa, broken up by Donald SmithSimilar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
97.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Hampt 29Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+29
99.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 29 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.5%
Shai McKenzie run for 13 yds to the Hampt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.5%
Ronald Bell run for 2 yds to the Hampt 40Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Deondre Francois run for no gain to the Hampt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 18TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:561% → 3%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
99.3%
Deondre Francois sacked by Jayod Sanders for a loss of 10 yards to the Hampt 10Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+10
99.3%
Ronald Bell run for 10 yds to the Hampt 20Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+23
99.3%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jadakis Bonds for 23 yds to the Hampt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.2%
FRANCOIS, Deond deep pass incomplete to Dana, Alec, PENALTY LIBERTY pass interference (CLARK, K.) 15 yards to the LIBERTY42, 1ST DOWN HAM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
99.2%
William Robinson run for 14 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.1%
William Robinson run for 3 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
96.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Alec Dana for 25 yds for a TD, (Deondre Francois pass to Shai McKenzie for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5998% → 100%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.9%
Joshua Mack run for 12 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+60
98.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 60 yds to the Hampt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.5%
Ronald Bell run for a loss of 4 yards to the Hampt 21Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
99.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to William Robinson for 5 yds to the Hampt 26Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.5%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jadakis Bonds for 4 yds to the Hampt 30Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Ivan Oraha punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.7%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+4
99.7%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.8%
Joshua Mack run for 9 yds to the Hampt 49Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+4
99.7%
Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Hampt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
99.8%
Brandon Robinson run for 14 yds to the Hampt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.8%
Brandon Robinson run for 4 yds to the Hampt 27Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 6
OPP 27
-1
99.8%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hampt 28Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-7
99.8%
Brandon Robinson sacked by Kentrelle Groom for a loss of 7 yards to the Hampt 35Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 14
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 31 yds, downed at the Hampt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Marcel Paul for 7 yds to the Hampt 11Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 3
OWN 11
-1
99.8%
Raeshad Herriott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hampt 10Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+6
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Alec Dana for 6 yds to the Hampt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
99.8%
Ronald Bell run for a loss of 5 yards to the Hampt 11Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 15
OWN 11
0
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass incomplete to Ronald BellSimilar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+10
99.8%
Deondre Francois pass complete to James Stanley for 10 yds to the Hampt 21Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+1
99.8%
Ivan Oraha punt for 46 yds , Shedro Louis returns for 1 yd to the Liber 22 LIBERTY Penalty, illegal block (Kei'Trel Clark) to the Liber 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Brandon Robinson run for 10 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Brandon Robinson pass incomplete to Brody BrummSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
ROBINSON, B. slant pass complete to BRUMM, B. for 15 yards to the LIBERTY45 (TAYLOR, Ryan), PENALTY LIBERTY ineligible downfield on pass (YOST, M.) 5 yards to the LIBERTY25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+75
99.9%
Brandon Robinson 75 Yd Run (Aaron Peart Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 24TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
William Robinson run for 2 yds to the Hampt 27Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jadakis Bonds for 8 yds to the Hampt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.9%
William Robinson run for 9 yds to the Hampt 44Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 3 yds to the Hampt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
99.9%
Deondre Francois pass complete to Jadakis Bonds for 53 yds for a TD, (Evan Lomax KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 6 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 3 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Brandon Robinson run for 7 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
99.9%
Troy Henderson run for 59 yds for a TD, (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HAMPDrive 26PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Ronald Bell run for 16 yds to the Hampt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Austin Bradley run for 2 yds to the Hampt 43Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+8
99.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 8 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Austin Bradley pass complete to Cortez Lewis for 4 yds to the Liber 45Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+11
99.9%
Austin Bradley run for 11 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the Liber 49Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 25
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Antonio Graham run for 2 yds to the Liber 47 HAMPTON Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 23
OPP 47
+9
100.0%
Will Eason run for 9 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 14
OPP 38
-5
99.9%
HAMPTON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Liber 43Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Ivan Oraha punt for 42 yds, downed at the Liber 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+13
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for 13 yds to the Liber 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for 1 yd to the Liber 15Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+4
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for 4 yds to the Liber 19Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for 3 yds to the Liber 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:33
Deondre Francois pass intercepted for a TD Ceneca Espinoza Jr. return for 45 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q3 11:57
Deondre Francois pass complete to Alec Dana for 25 yds for a TD, (Deondre Francois pass to Shai McKenzie for Two-Point Conversion)
-2.2
TD · Q3 10:58
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com