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LIB

Liberty 14 at Louisiana 35

UL
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:17 · Trey Ragas run for 10 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Pregame prior+14.6Home team on offense+15.6Score differential+6.6Garbage-time factor+5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:18: Frankie Hickson run for 66 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK) — LIB win probability +7.9 pts (now 33%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:52: Trey Ragas run for 75 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +7.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:21: Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 2 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +7.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:37: Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 58 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +7.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:50: Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +7.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 7:34UL 4th & 5 at LIB 25, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:06UL 4th & 5 at LIB 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:06LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00LIB 4th & 10 at UL 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:41LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:19UL 4th & 3 at LIB 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.6%−0.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:19LIB 4th & 13 at LIB 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:37LIB 4th & 21 at LIB 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:17UL 4th & 2 at LIB 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    88.6%−1.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:50LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:03LIB 4th & 10 at UL 32, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:03LIB 4th & 3 at UL 3, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:39UL 4th & 10 at UL 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:04LIB 4th & 6 at LIB 37, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:42UL 4th & 1 at LIB 1, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5LIB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:54LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:36UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:18LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:52UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:21UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:37UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:50UL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0618% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
82.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 11 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
82.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 6 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
82.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
82.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 11 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
82.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+7
82.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
82.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 17 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
79.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 3:2080% → 78%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
79.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
80.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 11 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
80.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 11 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
80.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+7
80.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 7 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
80.3%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
80.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jarrod JacksonSimilar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
80.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
78.2%
Stevie Artigue 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0022% → 23%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.7%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Frankie Hickson for 8 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
77.5%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
77.4%
Stephen Calvert pass intercepted Michael Jacquet III return for 5 yds to the Liber 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0178% → 76%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
78.1%
Calais, Raymond rush for 5 yards to the LIBERTY27 (BOYD, Frank), PENALTY LIBERTY delay of game 5 yards to the LIBERTY27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 5
OPP 27
+4
78.1%
Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the Liber 23Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 1
OPP 23
-7
78.1%
Levi Lewis sacked by Ceneca Espinoza Jr. and Jessie Lemonier for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 30Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+3
77.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 3 yds to the Liber 27Similar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+44
76.2%
Stevie Artigue 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
75.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
75.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
75.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
76.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 2:3276% → 79%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
75.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
75.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 8 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+31
76.0%
Trey Ragas run for 31 yds to the Liber 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
76.6%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 21Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+2
76.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 2 yds to the Liber 19Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+19
78.6%
Levi Lewis run for 19 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:3623% → 23%
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the Liber 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
76.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
76.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
76.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 26 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
75.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
75.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
76.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Damian KingSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
76.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 81 yds · 0:0077% → 79%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+68
76.7%
Raymond Calais run for 68 yds to the Liber 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
78.5%
Raymond Calais run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 28Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+5
77.9%
Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Bradley, Ja'Marcus, PENALTY LIBERTY offside defense (COZAD, Waylen) 5 yards to the LIBERTY23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+5
78.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Liber 18Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+5
78.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Liber 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
78.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jamal Bell for 2 yds Jamal Bell fumbled, forced by Ceneca Espinoza Jr., recovered by Liber Ceneca Espinoza Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9TD
3 plays · 89 yds · 1:1525% → 33%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+18
75.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 18 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
74.8%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 5 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+66
66.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 66 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2668% → 76%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams, broken up by Bejour WilsonSimilar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
75.5%
Trey Ragas run for 75 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
74.3%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
74.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 12Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
74.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 6
OWN 12
-34
75.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 42 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 34 yards to the LaLaf 0 LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal block (Kamar Greenhouse) to the LaLaf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12MISSED FG
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:0776% → 76%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+36
75.5%
Chris Smith run for 36 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
77.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jarrod Jackson, broken up by Austin LewisSimilar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
77.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+2
76.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
75.8%
Stevie Artigue 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
72.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 13 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
71.8%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
70.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 6 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
70.3%
Joshua Mack run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-6
69.9%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Joe Dillon for a loss of 6 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE 47 LIBERTY Penalty, intentional grounding (Stephen Calvert) to the Liber 47Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+1
71.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 1 yd to the Liber 48Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 8
OWN 48
-5
72.5%
LIBERTY Penalty, delay of game (Aidan Alves) to the Liber 43Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
72.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 41 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 1:3674% → 84%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
73.5%
Raymond Calais run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+5
73.9%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
73.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 12 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
74.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 19 yds to the Liber 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
75.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 10 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
76.8%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+26
76.7%
Raymond Calais run for 26 yds to the Liber 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 2 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
82.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2381% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
81.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
80.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
81.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Hunter Bergeron, broken up by Chris MegginsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
81.6%
Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+58
88.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 58 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 7 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
87.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.7%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
87.8%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Frankie HicksonSimilar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-11
88.4%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 11 yards to the Liber 25Similar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 21
OWN 25
+5
88.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 38 yds , Eric Garror returns for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30 LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the LaLaf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:2790% → 97%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
89.5%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 27 Trey Ragas fumbled, forced by Austin Lewis, recovered by LaLaf Levi LewisSimilar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+8
89.3%
Trey Ragas run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+17
89.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 17 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
90.0%
Levi Lewis run for 11 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
90.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jarrod JacksonSimilar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
89.9%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+5
89.6%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+10
89.1%
Trey Ragas run for 10 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
90.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter Leblanc for 8 yds to the Liber 11Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+9
90.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Cassius Allen for 9 yds to the Liber 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
90.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Liber 1Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 5 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
97.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 2 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
97.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 33Similar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
97.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Levi Lewis pass intercepted, touchback. Bejour Wilson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 68 yds · 3:413% → 2%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 8 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
97.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 8 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
97.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
97.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the Liber 43Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+25
97.3%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 25 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
96.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 5 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
97.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete, broken up by Percy ButlerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-5
98.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 14:03
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+22
98.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 22 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
98.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.4%
Frankie Hickson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q4 14:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.5%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Michael Jacquet IIISimilar
Q4 14:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-9
98.5%
Stephen Calvert sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
98.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+3
99.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+5
99.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.0%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
99.0%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-8
99.0%
Levi Lewis sacked by Jessie Lemonier for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 38 LOUISIANA Penalty, intentional grounding (Levi Lewis) to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds, fair catch by DJ Stubbs at the Liber 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.1%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 3 yds to the Liber 26Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+7
99.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Damian King for 7 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.0%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
99.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kevin ShaaSimilar
Q4 8:04
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
99.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs, broken up by Kam PedescleauxSimilar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
99.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-Golden, broken up by Jacques BoudreauxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24DOWNS
12 plays · 35 yds · 4:3299% → 100%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.4%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
99.4%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+4
99.4%
LIBERTY Penalty, encroachment (4 Yards) to the Liber 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
99.4%
Jai'ave Magalei pass complete to Devon Pauley for 7 yds to the Liber 17Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-8
99.4%
T.J. Wisham run for 7 yds to the Liber 10 LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal block (Cassius Allen) to the Liber 25Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+12
99.4%
T.J. Wisham run for 12 yds to the Liber 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
99.4%
Magalei, Jaiave pass incomplete to Allen, Cassius, PENALTY LIBERTY roughing passer (AJAYI, Solomon) 7 yards to the LIBERTY6, 1ST DOWN LA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.4%
Jai'ave Magalei pass incomplete to Cassius AllenSimilar
Q4 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.4%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the Liber 1Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the Liber 1Similar
Q4 1:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.7%
T.J. Wisham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
99.5%
LIBERTY Penalty, delay of game (-1 Yards) to the Liber 1Similar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+12
99.5%
Michael Bollinger run for 12 yds to the Liber 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
99.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Khaleb Coleman for 7 yds to the Liber 20Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+3
99.5%
Michael Bollinger run for 3 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete to Shedro LouisSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.5%
Michael Bollinger run for 3 yds to the Liber 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:18
Frankie Hickson run for 66 yds for a TD, (Alex Probert KICK)
-7.9
TD · Q2 8:52
Trey Ragas run for 75 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q3 12:37
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 58 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com