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BGSU

Bowling Green 0 at Notre Dame 52

ND
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:30 · Matt Naranjo punt for 51 yds, downed at the NDame 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior+9.0Home team on offense+36.2Score differential+31.6Blowout margin+19.7Garbage-time factor+9.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:51: Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 21 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:44: Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 34 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:49: Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 3BGSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:11ND 4th & 4 at ND 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:50BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:04BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:22ND 4th & 6 at ND 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:16BGSU 4th & 1 at ND 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:27BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:01BGSU 4th & 7 at ND 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:54BGSU 4th & 4 at ND 23, down 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:12ND 4th & 4 at BGSU 9, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:11BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 41, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:46BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 42, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:30BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 28, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:32ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:51ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:44ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:49ND Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:24ND Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:23ND Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:56ND Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:41100% → 99%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 6 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
99.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Young for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 29Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.5%
Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.4%
Jay Bramblett punt for 42 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 29 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
99.4%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 11
OWN 18
-1
99.4%
Darius Wade pass complete to Bryson Denley for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+5
99.4%
Darius Wade pass complete to Quintin Morris for 5 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 7
OWN 22
-6
99.4%
Matt Naranjo punt for 52 yds , Chris Finke returns for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:4999% → 99%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
99.4%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 13 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
99.3%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.3%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
99.3%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+23
99.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 23 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 17 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
99.3%
RB Marlow III run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.2%
Darius Wade sacked by Jamir Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+25
99.2%
Matt Naranjo punt for 50 yds , Chris Finke returns for 25 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.2%
Avery Davis run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+19
99.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 19 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 21 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:221% → 1%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
99.3%
Davon Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 11
OWN 16
0
99.3%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 11
OWN 16
0
99.3%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Davon JonesSimilar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 11
OWN 16
+15
99.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 49 yds , Chris Finke returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:1199% → 99%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.3%
Avery Davis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
99.3%
Braden Lenzy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+10
99.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 10 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 34 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
18 plays · 27 yds · 6:081% → 1%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
99.4%
Grant Loy run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.4%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 2 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.4%
Grant Loy run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.3%
Grant Loy run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
99.3%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.3%
Grant Loy run for 8 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+9
99.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 9 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.3%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
99.3%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-JonesSimilar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+9
99.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 9 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.3%
Davon Jones run for no gain to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Davon Jones for no gain to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-5
99.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 27Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 15
OPP 48
-21
99.3%
Grant Loy sacked by Julian Okwara for a loss of 21 yards to the NDame 48 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 36
OPP 48
0
99.3%
Matt Naranjo punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:5999% → 99%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
99.3%
C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+4
99.3%
C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+9
99.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 9 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.3%
C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Michael YoungSimilar
Q2 11:33
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
99.3%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+2
99.3%
Jay Bramblett punt for 49 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 2 yds to the BwGrn 18, BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the BwGrn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:551% → 1%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
99.3%
Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+6
99.3%
Bryson Denley run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
99.3%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 24 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.2%
Bryson Denley run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
99.2%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
99.2%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the NDame 47Similar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
99.2%
Grant Loy run for no gain to the NDame 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:1299% → 100%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
99.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 24 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
99.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 21 yds to the BwGrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.4%
Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.7%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Julian Ortega-JonesSimilar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
99.7%
Bryson Denley run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.7%
Davon Jones run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-1
99.7%
Davon Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Matt Naranjo punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:48100% → 100%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+24
99.7%
Jahmir Smith run for 24 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.7%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Robert Hainsey) to the NDame 41Similar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for no gain to the NDame 41Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+40
99.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Brock Wright for 40 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-9
99.8%
Avery Davis run for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 19
OPP 28
+3
99.8%
Ian Book run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 16
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 25 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14INT
10 plays · 41 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.8%
Davon Jones run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.8%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+16
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for 16 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Austin DorrisSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.8%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 3 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Quintin MorrisSimilar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 7
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Grant Loy pass intercepted, touchback. Jalen Elliott return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15MISSED FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 5:510% → 0%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
99.8%
Grant Loy pass complete to Bryson Denley for 12 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.8%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Grant Loy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+15
99.8%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 15 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Davon Jones run for 1 yd to the NDame 44Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Austin DorrisSimilar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+15
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 15 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.8%
Bryson Denley run for 1 yd to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Grant Loy run for no gain to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 5 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
99.8%
Nate Needham 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Julian OkwaraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16FG
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+36
99.9%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 36 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+26
99.9%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 26 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole KmetSimilar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
99.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 6 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinleySimilar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
99.9%
Jonathan Doerer 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
Grant Loy run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 20 Grant Loy fumbled, recovered by BwGrnSimilar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 8 yds Quintin Morris fumbled, recovered by BwGrnSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Grant Loy pass incomplete to Davon JonesSimilar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Quintin Morris for 2 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 4:11
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 36 yds , Joe Wilkins returns for 2 yds to the NDame 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Javon McKinley for 26 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
Jahmir Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Joe WilkinsSimilar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+32
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Avery Davis for 32 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Avery Davis for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Leonard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 4:150% → 0%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Davon Jones run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.9%
Bryson Denley run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to Christian Sims for 2 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Grant Loy pass complete to RB Marlow III for 5 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Matt Naranjo punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Joe Wilkins at the NDame 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:32100% → 100%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 5 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+16
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Javon McKinley for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 19 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+3
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
100.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
100.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 5 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+6
100.0%
Jahmir Smith run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Leonard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Nigel Sealey run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
100.0%
Nigel Sealey run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Nigel Sealey run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 4:30
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Matt Naranjo punt for 51 yds, downed at the NDame 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 22 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
100.0%
Mick Assaf run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 20Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Mick Assaf run for no gain to the NDame 20Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+13
100.0%
Mick Assaf run for 13 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Mick Assaf run for 3 yds to the NDame 36Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+9
100.0%
Brendon Clark run for 9 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:49
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 8 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 6:51
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 21 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
+0.1
TD · Q1 4:44
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 34 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com