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UNM

New Mexico 14 at Notre Dame 66

ND
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadUNM aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreUNM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:41 · Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds , De'John Rogers returns for no gain to the NMex 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+43.6Home team on offense+3.0Score differential+0.5Blowout margin−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:09: Kyle Hamilton 34 Yd Interception Return (Jonathan Doerer Kick) — ND win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:47: Ian Book 1 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick) — ND win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:34: Avery Davis 59 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick) — ND win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:21: Javon McKinley 65 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick) — ND win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:50: Chase Claypool 37 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick) — ND win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UNM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:24ND 4th & 1 at UNM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24ND 4th & 9 at UNM 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:51UNM 4th & 6 at ND 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:41ND 4th & 14 at ND 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:46UNM 4th & 6 at UNM 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:47ND 4th & 1 at UNM 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:39UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:23ND 4th & 9 at ND 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:49UNM 4th & 10 at UNM 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:03UNM 4th & 8 at UNM 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:15UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 34, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:17UNM 4th & 5 at ND 35, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:08ND 4th & 1 at ND 44, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:26UNM 4th & 5 at ND 5, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:25ND 4th & 1 at UNM 1, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:03UNM 4th & 5 at UNM 47, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:44ND 4th & 1 at UNM 36, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:18ND 4th & 2 at ND 33, up 52
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UNM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:09ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:47ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:34ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:21ND Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:50ND Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:29UNM Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:24ND Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:19ND Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:25ND Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:14ND Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:26UNM Touchdown, down 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 3:2098% → 98%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Brock Wright for 5 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
98.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 3 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
98.1%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the NMex 40Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
98.1%
Ian Book run for 1 yd to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-7
98.0%
Ian Book sacked by Alex Hart for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 17
OPP 46
+8
98.0%
Ian Book run for 8 yds to the NMex 38Similar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
97.9%
Jay Bramblett punt for 36 yds, downed at the NMex 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2INT TD
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:122% → 2%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+15
97.9%
Jones, Sheriron pass incomplete to Umeh, Anselem, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Pride Jr., Troy) 15 yards to the NEWMEXICO17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.Similar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
97.8%
Javohn Jones run for 11 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.8%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
97.8%
Javohn Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+34
97.8%
Kyle Hamilton 34 Yd Interception Return (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3PUNT
13 plays · 39 yds · 6:062% → 3%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
97.8%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 12 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
97.8%
Ahmari Davis run for 6 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+2
97.7%
Ahmari Davis run for 2 yds to the NMex 37Similar
Q1 8:17
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+4
97.6%
Ahmari Davis run for 4 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
97.5%
Sheriron Jones run for 7 yds to the NMex 48Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-2
97.4%
Ahmari Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 46Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+6
97.4%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Javohn Jones for 6 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
97.4%
Javohn Jones run for 7 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-4
97.3%
Javohn Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 45Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+1
97.3%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 1 yd to the NDame 44Similar
Q1 3:51
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
97.3%
Tyson Dyer punt for 40 yds, downed at the NDame 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:0497% → 97%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
97.3%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the NDame 8Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 6
OWN 8
0
97.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Tommy TrembleSimilar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+15
97.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 15 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
97.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 5 yds to the NDame 28 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Patrick Peek) to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-4
97.1%
Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 39Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 14
OWN 39
0
97.0%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q1 1:41
4TH & 14
OWN 39
0
96.9%
Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds , De'John Rogers returns for no gain to the NMex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:473% → 3%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
97.0%
Sheriron Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 21Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
96.9%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Anu SomoyeSimilar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
97.0%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Marcus Williams, broken up by Jalen ElliottSimilar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 6
OWN 21
+17
97.0%
Tyson Dyer punt for 45 yds , Chris Finke returns for 17 yds to the NMex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6TD
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:5197% → 97%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
97.0%
Ian Book run for 7 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 0:18
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+7
96.9%
Lawrence Keys III run for 7 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+20
96.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 20 yds to the NMex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
96.9%
Ian Book run for 4 yds to the NMex 11Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+8
96.8%
Ian Book run for 8 yds to the NMex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.8%
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the NMex 2Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.7%
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the NMex 1Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.5%
Ian Book run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q2 11:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
Ian Book 1 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:023% → 3%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.2%
Sheriron Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
97.1%
Sheriron Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.1%
Javohn Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
97.1%
Tyson Dyer punt for 63 yds, downed at the NDame 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0897% → 97%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
97.2%
Kyren Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 11Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+3
97.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 3 yds to the NDame 14Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
97.1%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris FinkeSimilar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
97.0%
Jay Bramblett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by De'John Rogers at the NMex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 9INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:313% → 3%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
96.9%
Ahmari Davis run for 3 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
96.8%
Jones, Sheriron pass incomplete to Williams, Marcus, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Owusu-Koramoah, Jeremiah) 3 yards to the NEWMEXICO44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.Similar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.8%
Q' Drennan pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly, broken up by Jalen ElliottSimilar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
96.8%
Jones, Sheriron pass incomplete to Williams, Marcus, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Vaughn, Donte) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.Similar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.6%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Aaron MolinaSimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-3
96.6%
Sheriron Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 44Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+2
96.8%
Sheriron Jones pass intercepted Jalen Elliott return for 2 yds to the NDame 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10TD
1 play · 59 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
98.7%
Avery Davis 59 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:282% → 2%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
98.3%
Jay Griffin IV run for 8 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 2
OWN 24
0
98.2%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Aaron MolinaSimilar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+4
98.3%
Daevon Vigilant run for 4 yds to the NMex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
98.3%
Daevon Vigilant run for 15 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.2%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
98.2%
Daevon Vigilant run for no gain to the NMex 43Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
98.3%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Elijah LillySimilar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
98.4%
Tyson Dyer punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:2099% → 100%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
98.7%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Claypool, Chase, PENALTY NEWMEXICO pass interference (Rogers, De'John) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.7%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Tony Jones Jr.Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+65
99.5%
Javon McKinley 65 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.6%
Sheriron Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Daevon Vigilant for no gain to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Sheriron Jones pass intercepted Shaun Crawford return for no gain to the NDame 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:06100% → 100%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
99.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 17 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.6%
Chase Claypool 37 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Sheriron Jones run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Bryson Carroll run for 11 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
99.7%
Sheriron Jones run for 17 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Sheriron Jones pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly, broken up by Alohi GilmanSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+47
99.6%
Bryson Carroll 47 Yd Run (Andrew Shelley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16END OF HALF
6 plays · 46 yds · 0:17100% → 100%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+24
99.6%
Ian Book run for 24 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+22
99.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 22 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+36
99.6%
Jonathan Doerer 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Ahmari Davis run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Tyson Dyer punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:31100% → 100%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 6 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+54
99.7%
Chris Finke 54 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:590% → 0%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Bryson Carroll run for 2 yds to the NMex 27Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Bryson Carroll for 7 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.7%
Tyson Dyer run for 2 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Elijah Lilly for 24 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti run for 5 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan KressSimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Elijah LillySimilar
Q3 9:17
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Elijah Lilly, broken up by Shaun CrawfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.8%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 9 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the NDame 44Similar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+7
99.8%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 7 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+29
99.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 29 yds to the NMex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Javon McKinley 20 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:440% → 0%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jay Griffin IV for 14 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Ahmari Davis run for 2 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+8
99.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jeffrey Jones Jr. for 8 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+41
99.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Aaron Molina for 41 yds to the NDame 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jay Griffin IVSimilar
Q3 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
99.9%
Ahmari Davis run for 7 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
99.8%
Ahmari Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 5Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+9
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 28 yards to the NDame 42 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NDame TaRiq Bracy , return for 9 yds to the NDame 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22TD
16 plays · 58 yds · 3:54100% → 100%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+52
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 52 yds to the NMex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
99.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Micah Jones) to the NMex 15Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the NMex 12Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
99.9%
Jurkovec, Phil pass incomplete to Davis, Avery, PENALTY NEWMEXICO unsportsmanlike conduct (Sellers, Trent) 6 yards to the NEWMEXICO6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 3 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the NMex 3Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Jurkovec, Phil pass incomplete to Wilkins, Joe, PENALTY NEWMEXICO holding (Hunt, Antonio) 2 yards to the NEWMEXICO1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Colin Grunhard) to the NMex 6Similar
Q3 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-9
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
-5
99.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (C'Bo Flemister) to the NMex 24Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 24
+23
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 23 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
C'Bo Flemister 1 Yd Run (Harrison Leonard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:160% → 0%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the NMex 25Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Bryson Carroll run for 9 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+8
100.0%
Kentrail Moran run for 8 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Kentrail Moran run for no gain to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
Kentrail Moran run for 5 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Elijah LillySimilar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Tyson Dyer punt for 41 yds , Joe Wilkins returns for no gain to the NDame 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 3:41100% → 100%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
99.9%
Braden Lenzy run for 14 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
99.9%
Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Brendon Clark run for 1 yd to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+14
100.0%
Kyren Williams run for 14 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
100.0%
Brendon Clark run for 5 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Brendon Clark pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
100.0%
Brendon Clark run for 4 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q4 7:44
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+14
100.0%
Brendon Clark run for 14 yds to the NMex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
100.0%
Braden Lenzy 22 Yd pass from Brendon Clark (Harrison Leonard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
100.0%
Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Aaron Molina for 38 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
100.0%
Bobby Cole 37 Yd Run (Andrew Shelley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Mick Assaf run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 24Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
100.0%
Mick Assaf run for 8 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Mick Assaf run for 1 yd to the NDame 33Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Jay Bramblett punt for 35 yds , De'John Rogers returns for 2 yds to the NMex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 27END OF GAME
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:510% → 0%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
100.0%
Trae Hall run for 11 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Lawrence Johnson run for 2 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Lawrence Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 5
50
+4
100.0%
Trae Hall run for 4 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+5
100.0%
Hall, Trae pass incomplete to Patterson III, Cedric (Griffith, Houston), PENALTY NOTREDAME offside (Spears, Hunter) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEWMEXICO.Similar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
100.0%
Lawrence Johnson run for 4 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-3
100.0%
Kentrail Moran run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 40Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
Kentrail Moran run for 6 yds to the NDame 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:34
Avery Davis 59 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)
+1.9
TD · Q2 11:47
Ian Book 1 Yd Run (Jonathan Doerer Kick)
+0.9
TD · Q2 3:21
Javon McKinley 65 Yd pass from Ian Book (Jonathan Doerer Kick)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com