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ARMY

Army 7 at Navy 31

NAVY
2019 · Week 15 · Dec 14, 2019 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:13 · Owen White punt for 33 yds , Akyah Miranda returns for 2 yds to the Army 22 Akyah Miranda fumbled, recovered by Army Akyah Miranda
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+2.9Home team on offense+27.1Score differential+14.2Garbage-time factor+13.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:27: Christian Anderson 5 Yd Run (David Cooper Kick) — ARMY win probability +4.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:34: Malcolm Perry 55 Yd Run (Bijan Nichols Kick) — NAVY win probability +6.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:13: Timeout ARMY, clock 00:13 — NAVY win probability +4.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:06: Jamale Carothers 1 Yd pass from Chance Warren (Bijan Nichols Kick) — NAVY win probability +7.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:53: Jamale Carothers 5 Yd Run (Bijan Nichols Kick) — NAVY win probability +7.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 0 of 5ARMY made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:24ARMY 4th & 15 at ARMY 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:46ARMY 4th & 1 at NAVY 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:24ARMY 4th & 3 at ARMY 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:22NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:42ARMY 4th & 8 at NAVY 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:08NAVY 4th & 4 at ARMY 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.3%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    73.9%−5.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:46ARMY 4th & 23 at ARMY 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−3.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:15ARMY 4th & 16 at ARMY 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:48NAVY 4th & 4 at ARMY 20, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    89.4%−4.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:06ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:31ARMY 4th & 3 at NAVY 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:13NAVY 4th & 3 at NAVY 47, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ARMY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:27ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:34NAVY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:06NAVY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:53NAVY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:42NAVY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARMYDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3124% → 24%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
76.3%
Sandon McCoy run for no gain to the Army 24Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-1
76.2%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 23Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 11
OWN 23
-4
76.1%
Christian Anderson sacked by Jacob Springer for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 19Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
76.0%
Zach Harding punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1676% → 75%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
76.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
75.8%
Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Navy 39Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+2
75.7%
Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Navy 41Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
75.4%
Owen White punt for 37 yds, downed at the Army 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3TD
18 plays · 78 yds · 10:4125% → 34%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
75.3%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+21
75.3%
Christian Anderson run for 21 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
74.7%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+3
74.4%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Navy 48Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+2
74.2%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Navy 46Similar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+1
74.1%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the Navy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
73.8%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 47Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+10
73.7%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Camden Harrison for 10 yds to the Navy 37Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+4
73.4%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
72.9%
Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the Navy 30Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+3
72.5%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+4
72.6%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
71.9%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Navy 20Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
71.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the Navy 15Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+5
71.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
70.9%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Navy 7Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
70.7%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Navy 5Similar
Q1 0:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.1%
Christian Anderson 5 Yd Run (David Cooper Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2667% → 74%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
67.2%
Malcolm Perry sacked by Cole Christiansen for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
67.2%
Malcolm Perry run for 15 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
67.5%
Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+55
73.5%
Malcolm Perry 55 Yd Run (Bijan Nichols Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:1029% → 30%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
71.3%
Christian Anderson run for 7 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
70.4%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
70.6%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the Army 36Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
70.4%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+2
69.8%
Brandon Walters run for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q2 10:24
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
70.2%
Zach Harding punt for 55 yds, downed at the Navy 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 4:0271% → 68%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
71.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Navy 6Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+4
71.1%
Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 10Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+3
70.2%
Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
70.9%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Navy 16Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+5
70.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Navy 21Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+1
69.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 22Similar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+7
68.3%
Owen White punt for 36 yds , Akyah Miranda returns for 7 yds to the Army 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4035% → 34%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
65.0%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Navy 49Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
64.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-2
64.6%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 49Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
66.4%
Zach Potter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Garrett Winn at the Navy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8TD
15 plays · 91 yds · 4:3669% → 80%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
68.8%
Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Navy 11Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+5
69.0%
Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Navy 16Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+8
67.8%
Jamale Carothers run for 8 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
69.1%
Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
69.5%
Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 3 yds to the Navy 32Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+7
68.2%
Malcolm Perry run for 7 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
69.3%
Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 39Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+44
68.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 44 yds to the Army 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
71.6%
Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+2
71.5%
Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+11
68.7%
Malcolm Perry run for 11 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.9%
Jamale Carothers 1 Yd pass from Chance Warren (Bijan Nichols Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:5178% → 79%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.2%
ARMY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Edriece Patterson) to the Navy 30Similar
Q3 14:58
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+9
79.0%
Jamale Carothers run for 9 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
79.2%
Malcolm Perry run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
50
+32
79.9%
Malcolm Perry run for 32 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
80.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+1
80.1%
Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Army 13Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+1
79.8%
Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Army 12Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
78.7%
Bijan Nichols 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Elijah RileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 2:2223% → 20%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
77.4%
ARMY Penalty, False Start (Sandon McCoy) to the Army 15Similar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+2
77.6%
Malik Hancock run for 2 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-8
77.8%
Anderson, Christian rush for 2 yards to the ARMY19, PENALTY ARMY holding (McCoy, Sandon) 8 yards to the ARMY9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 21
OWN 9
+5
78.2%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-7
78.9%
Christian Anderson sacked by Diego Fagot for a loss of 7 yards to the Army 7Similar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 23
OWN 7
+7
79.7%
Zach Harding punt for 45 yds , Garrett Winn returns for 7 yds to the Army 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:5382% → 91%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
82.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+14
82.1%
Jamale Carothers run for 14 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
83.3%
Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Army 25Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+1
83.4%
Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Army 24Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+18
82.5%
Malcolm Perry run for 18 yds to the Army 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
83.6%
Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Army 5Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.4%
Jamale Carothers 5 Yd Run (Bijan Nichols Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3711% → 10%
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.9%
Christian Anderson run for no gain to the Army 25Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
89.2%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Army 19 Christian Anderson fumbled, recovered by Army Brandon WaltersSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
90.2%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Brandon Walters ARMY Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:15
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
90.4%
Zach Harding punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 14FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 5:2792% → 96%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
91.7%
Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 39Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+22
93.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 22 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
93.4%
Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Army 38Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+7
93.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 7 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+5
94.1%
Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
94.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Army 25Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+1
94.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Army 24Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+4
94.2%
Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+37
95.9%
Bijan Nichols 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:165% → 4%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
95.4%
Kell Walker run for 2 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+6
95.4%
Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
95.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the Army 39Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+4
96.0%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
96.1%
Christian Anderson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 3
50
+4
95.9%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
96.1%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Artice Hobbs IVSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+8
96.1%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Camden Harrison for 8 yds to the Navy 38Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-1
96.0%
Sandon McCoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 39Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 3
OPP 39
-1
96.4%
Sandon McCoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:1897% → 97%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.9%
Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 42Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
97.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 46Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
97.2%
Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 47Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+2
97.4%
Owen White punt for 33 yds , Akyah Miranda returns for 2 yds to the Army 22 Akyah Miranda fumbled, recovered by Army Akyah MirandaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:143% → 2%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
97.1%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 6 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+7
96.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kjetil Cline for 7 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
97.6%
Connor Slomka run for 5 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
97.7%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 47 Connor Slomka fumbled, forced by J'arius Warren, recovered by Navy J'arius WarrenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 18TD
8 plays · 47 yds · 3:1798% → 100%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
97.8%
Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
98.0%
Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
98.3%
Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
98.5%
Malcolm Perry run for 15 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
98.7%
Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
99.8%
Malcolm Perry 15 Yd Run (Bijan Nichols Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.5%
Kell Walker run for 6 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+1
99.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the Army 30Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+21
99.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass intercepted Tyler Pistorio return for 6 yds to the Navy 36 NAVY Penalty, Personal Foul (Tony Brown) to the Navy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:53
Jamale Carothers 5 Yd Run (Bijan Nichols Kick)
+7.7
TD · Q2 0:06
Jamale Carothers 1 Yd pass from Chance Warren (Bijan Nichols Kick)
+7.1
TD · Q2 13:34
Malcolm Perry 55 Yd Run (Bijan Nichols Kick)
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com