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VMI

VMI 6 at Army 47

ARMY
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadVMI aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreVMI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:44 · Reed King punt for 37 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense+35.3Pregame prior+4.5Score differential+29.6Garbage-time factor+10.2Blowout margin+15.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:34: Grant Clemons 37 yd FG GOOD — VMI win probability +1.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 3:08: Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK) — ARMY win probability +6.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:46: Kell Walker run for 59 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK) — ARMY win probability +9.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:07: Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD (David Cooper PAT MISSED) — ARMY win probability +6.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:30: Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 63 yds for a TD (Zach Potter PAT MISSED) ARMY Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined — ARMY win probability +2.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VMI made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00VMI 4th & 1 at ARMY 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    49.8%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44VMI 4th & 4 at ARMY 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.5%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:08VMI 4th & 8 at VMI 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:31ARMY 4th & 6 at VMI 9, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:34VMI 4th & 8 at ARMY 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:35VMI 4th & 17 at ARMY 48, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:52VMI 4th & 7 at VMI 48, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:07ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    69.0%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:46VMI 4th & 8 at VMI 27, down 15
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:59VMI 4th & 7 at ARMY 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:44VMI 4th & 5 at ARMY 47, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:41VMI 4th & 3 at VMI 32, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:17ARMY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:08ARMY Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:46ARMY Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:07ARMY Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:30ARMY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:23ARMY Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:17ARMY Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VMIDrive 1FG
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:1629% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
71.2%
Alex Ramsey run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
50
+7
71.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 7 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
71.2%
Alex Ramsey run for no gain to the Army 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+7
71.2%
Alex Ramsey run for 7 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
71.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Alex Ramsey for 7 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 29
-1
71.2%
Alex Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
71.2%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
70.4%
Grant Clemons 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2770% → 72%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.4%
Jabari Laws run for 7 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
70.6%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
70.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
70.7%
Connor Slomka run for 5 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
70.7%
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+14
70.7%
Connor Slomka run for 14 yds to the VMI 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+27
70.8%
Jabari Laws run for 27 yds to the VMI 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
70.8%
Connor Slomka run for 6 yds to the VMI 4Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
71.6%
Jabari Laws run for 4 yds for a TD (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
70.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Alex Ramsey, PENALTY ARMY personal foul (Morrison, M.) 15 yards to the VMI29, 1ST DOWN VMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
70.8%
Alex Ramsey run for 3 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+15
70.7%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 15 yds to the VMI 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
70.2%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon Lara, PENALTY VMI holding (Brad Davis) 10 yards to the VMI37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+7
70.8%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 7 yds to the VMI 44Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 13
OWN 44
0
70.6%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jakob HerresSimilar
Q1 7:08
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+5
70.8%
Reece Udinski run for 5 yds to the VMI 49Similar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
70.8%
Reece Udinski punt for 44 yds, downed at the Army 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 84 yds · 6:4770% → 70%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
70.4%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+2
70.4%
Jabari Laws run for 2 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+9
70.1%
Jabari Laws run for 9 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
70.6%
Jabari Laws run for 11 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
70.7%
Jabari Laws run for 26 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
71.5%
Connor Slomka run for 7 yds to the VMI 35Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+9
71.7%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 9 yds to the VMI 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
71.7%
Jabari Laws run for 9 yds to the VMI 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+4
71.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the VMI 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
71.5%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+4
71.5%
Malik Hancock run for 4 yds to the VMI 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+1
71.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Kell Walker for 1 yd to the VMI 9Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
70.1%
Cole Talley 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 5FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 5:5730% → 32%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
69.7%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 2 yds to the VMI 22Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
69.8%
Alex Ramsey run for 4 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+12
70.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 12 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
68.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Alex Ramsey for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 37Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
69.5%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Alex RamseySimilar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+12
70.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Colby Rider for 12 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
68.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 6 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
67.9%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jakob HerresSimilar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+6
68.3%
Alex Ramsey run for 6 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
68.1%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
68.1%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 7 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+10
68.0%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 10 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
67.4%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jakob HerresSimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-11
67.6%
Reece Udinski sacked by Malkelm Morrison and Edriece Patterson for a loss of 11 yards to the Army 33Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 21
OPP 33
+13
69.2%
Jakob Herres pass complete to Rohan Martin for 13 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
67.7%
Grant Clemons 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:1770% → 78%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
70.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
70.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+7
70.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
50
0
71.3%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
50
+42
70.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 42 yds to the VMI 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
71.9%
Connor Slomka run for 5 yds to the VMI 3Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.4%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:2524% → 23%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
76.2%
Alex Ramsey run for 3 yds to the VMI 40Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+19
75.7%
Alex Ramsey run for 19 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
74.8%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 9 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 1
OPP 32
-7
73.5%
Reece Udinski sacked by Kwabena Bonsu for a loss of 7 yards to the Army 39Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
-9
75.1%
Reece Udinski sacked by Kwabena Bonsu for a loss of 9 yards to the Army 48Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
77.2%
Reed King punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8INT
10 plays · 70 yds · 1:0077% → 79%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
76.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 17Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+6
76.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 6 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
77.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+9
76.7%
Hopkins Jr., K. pass intercepted by E. Brewster at the ARMY31, E. Brewster return to the ARMY31, PENALTY VMI pass interference (Stone Snyder) 9 yards to the ARMY32, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
77.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 12 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+35
78.6%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 35 yds to the VMI 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
79.3%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VMI 26Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+7
79.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 7 yds to the VMI 19Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+10
79.4%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass intercepted for a 1ST down Warren Dabney return for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 24 for a 1ST down VMI Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the VMI 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
75.9%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 3 yds to the VMI 40Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
75.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Alex Ramsey for 1 yd to the VMI 41Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+30
75.6%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Max Brimigion for 30 yds to the Army 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
77.6%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Alex Ramsey for 21 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
76.1%
Alex Ramsey run for no gain to the VMI 45Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
76.6%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 3 yds to the VMI 48Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
76.6%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jakob HerresSimilar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
77.8%
Reed King punt for 51 yds, downed at the Army 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
10 plays · 99 yds · 5:2179% → 90%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
79.0%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 4Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+6
78.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+2
78.1%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
79.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+6
79.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 21Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 1
OWN 21
0
78.6%
Sandon McCoy run for no gain to the Army 21Similar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+2
77.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
79.4%
Kell Walker run for 9 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+9
80.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 9 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
89.8%
Kell Walker run for 59 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Alex Ramsey run for no gain to the VMI 25Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.8%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Rohan Martin for 2 yds to the VMI 27Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
88.0%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jakob HerresSimilar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
88.1%
Reed King pass incomplete to Ryan ClarkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 1:2491% → 97%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
90.5%
Connor Slomka run for 8 yds to the VMI 19Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+16
90.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 16 yds to the VMI 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.7%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD (David Cooper PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
96.5%
Alex Ramsey run for 4 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+14
96.3%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 14 yds to the VMI 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
96.3%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Javeon Lara for 7 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+15
96.2%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 15 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.3%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jakob Herres, broken up by Malkelm MorrisonSimilar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
96.3%
Alex Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
96.3%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
96.3%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:5497% → 100%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.4%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+63
99.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 63 yds for a TD (Zach Potter PAT MISSED) ARMY Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.7%
Zach Potter pass incomplete ARMY Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
99.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 15 yds to the VMI 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
99.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 7 yds to the VMI 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+9
99.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 9 yds to the VMI 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
99.8%
VMI Penalty, false start (Jakob Herres) to the VMI 19Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+29
99.8%
Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 29 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
Reece Udinski run for 5 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Alex Ramsey run for no gain to the Army 47Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Javeon LaraSimilar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Reed King punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 7:20100% → 100%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+48
99.9%
Christian Anderson run for 48 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
Rashaad Bolton run for 6 yds to the VMI 36Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
Rashaad Bolton run for 5 yds to the VMI 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the VMI 28Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
Rashaad Bolton run for 5 yds to the VMI 23Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Rashaad Bolton run for 3 yds to the VMI 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
99.9%
Christian Anderson run for 8 yds to the VMI 12Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Rashaad Bolton run for 1 yd to the VMI 11Similar
Q4 12:37
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+3
99.9%
Rashaad Bolton run for 3 yds to the VMI 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.9%
Rashaad Bolton run for 3 yds to the VMI 5Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.9%
Rashaad Bolton run for 1 yd to the VMI 4Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Korey Bridy run for no gain to the VMI 25Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Chance Newman pass incomplete to Rohan MartinSimilar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Korey Bridy run for 7 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Reed King punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21Uncategorized
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
100.0%
Christian Anderson run for 9 yds to the Army 44Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+8
100.0%
A.J. Howard run for 8 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the VMI 46Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+3
100.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+8
100.0%
Christian Anderson run for 8 yds to the VMI 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
100.0%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the VMI 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:46
Kell Walker run for 59 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)
+9.8
TD · Q2 3:08
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD (David Cooper KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q3 5:07
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD (David Cooper PAT MISSED)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com