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SJSU

San José State 34 at Army 29

ARMY
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadSJSU aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreSJSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:47 · Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+6.2Home team on offense−21.3Score differential−10.8Garbage-time factor−8.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:09: Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK) — ARMY win probability +9.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  2. TD · Q4 14:53: Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 21 yds for a TD ARMY Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Josh Love pass to Tre Walker for Two-Point Conversion) — SJSU win probability +22.3 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:42: Christian Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (TEAM fumbled) — ARMY win probability +15.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 3:48: Matt Mercurio 28 yd FG GOOD — SJSU win probability +8.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:31: Christian Anderson run for 33 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ARMY win probability +15.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SJSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q2 14:42SJSU 4th & 11 at ARMY 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−2.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:36ARMY 4th & 6 at SJSU 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.7%−0.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:37SJSU 4th & 4 at ARMY 6, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    41.8%−4.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:52ARMY 4th & 16 at SJSU 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00ARMY 4th & 1 at SJSU 33, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.0%−2.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:02SJSU 4th & 8 at ARMY 48, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:31ARMY 4th & 10 at ARMY 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−3.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:47ARMY 4th & 2 at ARMY 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.9%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:48SJSU 4th & 4 at ARMY 10, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−7.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:41ARMY 4th & 21 at ARMY 38, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:46SJSU 4th & 1 at ARMY 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:44SJSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:59ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:36SJSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:09ARMY Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:53SJSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:31ARMY Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.6%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:1626% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
74.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 23 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
74.4%
Isaiah Holiness run for no gain to the SJSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
74.4%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+20
74.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 20 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
74.4%
Josh Love pass complete to JaQuan Blackwell for 12 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
74.4%
ROBINSON, Kaire rush for 1 yard to the ARMY21 (Christiansen, C), PENALTY SJSU holding (STEVENS, Tyler) 10 yards to the ARMY32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 32
0
74.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah Holiness, broken up by Elijah RileySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+13
74.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Billy Humphreys for 13 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+19
72.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 19 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
17 plays · 87 yds · 9:4573% → 72%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
72.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the Army 14Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+12
72.8%
Jabari Laws run for 12 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
72.8%
Jabari Laws run for 6 yds to the Army 32Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
72.9%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
72.9%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Army 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
72.9%
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the Army 37Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+12
72.9%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 12 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
73.1%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+11
73.1%
Jabari Laws run for 11 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
73.1%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the SJSt 34Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
73.2%
Jabari Laws run for 5 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+4
73.1%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
73.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+1
73.2%
Jabari Laws run for 1 yd to the SJSt 26Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 11
OPP 26
-5
73.0%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Artice Hobbs IV) to the SJSt 31Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 16
OPP 31
+31
71.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Camden Harrison for 31 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:0929% → 32%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
70.8%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
70.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for no gain to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+50
71.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 50 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
69.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 19 yds to the Army 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
69.2%
DeJon Packer run for 4 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-5
68.4%
SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Isaiah Hamilton) to the Army 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 13
0
68.6%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
69.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Javhari BourdeauSimilar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
68.5%
Matt Mercurio 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0069% → 70%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
69.0%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 20Similar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
68.9%
Jabari Laws run for 9 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
69.2%
Kell Walker run for 9 yds to the Army 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
69.6%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Camden Harrison for 6 yds Camden Harrison fumbled, recovered by SJSt Kyle HarmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:4333% → 40%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
66.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 14 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
66.3%
Isaiah Hamilton run for 10 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
66.2%
Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the Army 18Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
60.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
60.3%
Kell Walker run for 18 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
61.2%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
61.3%
Jabari Laws run for 7 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
61.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
61.9%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the SJSt 44Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
61.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the SJSt 42Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
61.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass incomplete to Artice Hobbs IVSimilar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 6
OPP 42
-10
60.5%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. sacked by Jesse Osuna for a loss of 10 yards to the Army 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 7FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:0145% → 49%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+23
54.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 23 yds to the Army 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
54.6%
LOVE, Josh pass incomplete to WALKER, Tre (Bourdeau, J.), PENALTY ARMY roughing passer (Patterson, E.) 13 yards to the ARMY12, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
54.6%
Isaiah Hamilton run for 5 yds to the Army 7Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+1
54.6%
Josh Love run for 1 yd to the Army 6Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
55.0%
Josh Love pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
51.4%
Matt Mercurio 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8FG
20 plays · 51 yds · 4:4552% → 48%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.5%
Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
51.9%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
51.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
52.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
52.7%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
52.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
53.0%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-5
53.3%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Camden Harrison) to the Army 46Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+25
52.2%
Jabari Laws pass complete to Brandon Walters for 25 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
54.7%
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+10
54.7%
Kell Walker run for 10 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-9
54.7%
Walker, Kell rush for 1 yard to the SJSU17, out-of-bounds (DARDEN, Hadari), PENALTY ARMY holding (Deaton, Jaxson) 9 yards to the SJSU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 19
OPP 27
-8
54.1%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. sacked by Jesse Osuna for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 35Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 27
OPP 35
+2
48.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 2 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 25
OPP 33
+9
46.3%
Kell Walker run for 9 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 16
OPP 24
+41
48.1%
Cole Talley 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 9FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:3855% → 64%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
45.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 16 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
45.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
45.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 2 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+38
36.3%
Matt Mercurio 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:5144% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.2%
Kell Walker run for 5 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
44.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 9 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+19
45.2%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. pass complete to Artice Hobbs IV for 19 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
46.5%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the SJSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+3
46.4%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+4
46.0%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 4 yds to the SJSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
45.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 3 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
47.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the SJSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
47.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the SJSt 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+4
46.3%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the SJSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
47.8%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the SJSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+10
47.8%
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. run for 10 yds to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
56.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Talley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
46.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Brett Foley for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
50
+2
43.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 2 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
43.4%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
43.9%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
46.2%
Alex Galland punt for 45 yds, downed at the Army 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
48.0%
Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the Army 8Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 5
OWN 8
+3
47.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+4
46.7%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
48.4%
Christian Anderson run for 3 yds to the Army 18Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+2
48.5%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the Army 20Similar
Q3 6:31
3RD & 5
OWN 20
-5
47.0%
Christian Anderson sacked by Kyle Harmon for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 15 Christian Anderson fumbled, recovered by Army Christian Anderson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
46.1%
David Cooper punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:4962% → 86%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
38.0%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+5
37.7%
Josh Love pass complete to DeJon Packer for 5 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+11
37.5%
DeJon Packer run for 11 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
36.8%
DeJon Packer run for 4 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+10
36.6%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 10 yds to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
14.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 21 yds for a TD ARMY Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Josh Love pass to Tre Walker for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14TD
16 plays · 69 yds · 6:0519% → 32%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
19.3%
ARMY Penalty, delay of game (Christian Anderson) to the Army 26Similar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+5
18.7%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Kjetil Cline for 5 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+7
18.8%
Christian Anderson run for 7 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+1
20.3%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the Army 39Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+4
20.0%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
21.0%
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the Army 44Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
20.9%
Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+7
20.8%
Christian Anderson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
21.9%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Artice Hobbs IVSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
21.5%
Kell Walker run for no gain to the SJSt 45Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+15
14.0%
Christian Anderson run for 15 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+29
16.4%
Malik Hancock run for 28 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, targeting (Jesse Osuna) to the SJSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.7%
Connor Slomka run for no gain to the SJSt 1Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.2%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (TEAM fumbled)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 15FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:5480% → 92%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.4%
Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 29Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
20.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Kairee RobinsonSimilar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+22
20.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Walker for 22 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
17.5%
DeJon Packer run for 19 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
16.9%
DeJon Packer run for 14 yds to the Army 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
16.7%
DeJon Packer run for 2 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
16.7%
Kairee Robinson run for no gain to the Army 14Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+4
17.3%
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 4 yds to the Army 10Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
8.5%
Matt Mercurio 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0010% → 8%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
10.3%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 44Similar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 15
OWN 44
-2
9.4%
Christian Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 40 Christian Anderson fumbled, forced by E.J. Ane, recovered by Army Jack SidesSimilar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 19
OWN 40
-5
9.3%
Christian Anderson sacked by Rico Tolefree for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 35Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 24
OWN 35
+3
8.4%
Christian Anderson sacked by Rico Tolefree for 0 yards to the Army 38 Christian Anderson fumbled, recovered by Army Peyton Reeder , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 21
OWN 38
0
8.4%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Brandon WaltersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:5795% → 97%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
5.2%
DeJon Packer run for 8 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+1
4.6%
DeJon Packer run for 1 yd to the Army 29Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
4.4%
DeJon Packer run for no gain to the Army 29Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
2.7%
Josh Love pass incomplete to DeJon PackerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 1:134% → 21%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
3.9%
Christian Anderson run for 9 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+4
4.4%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Camden Harrison for 4 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
4.1%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Camden HarrisonSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
4.1%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Camden Harrison, broken up by Nehemiah SheltonSimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+12
3.9%
Christian Anderson run for 12 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
4.6%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Camden Harrison for 13 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
5.8%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Kell WalkerSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
21.4%
Christian Anderson run for 33 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:53
Josh Love pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 21 yds for a TD ARMY Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Josh Love pass to Tre Walker for Two-Point Conversion)
-22.3
TD · Q4 0:31
Christian Anderson run for 33 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+15.6
TD · Q4 8:42
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (TEAM fumbled)
+15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com