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MORG

Morgan State 21 at Army 52

ARMY
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadMORG aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreMORG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:34 · DeAndre Harris pass complete to Wesley Wolfolk for 7 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+35.8Home team on offense+14.5Score differential+5.7Garbage-time factor+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Blowout margin+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:17: David Cooper 35 yd FG GOOD — MORG win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:34: Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK) — ARMY win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:47: DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 23 yds for a TD, (Nicholas O'Shea KICK) — MORG win probability +3.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MORG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:56: Cade Barnard run for 3 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK) — ARMY win probability +2.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:11: Rashaad Bolton run for 1 yd for a TD, (David Cooper KICK) — ARMY win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MORG made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00MORG 4th & 20 at MORG 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:49MORG 4th & 8 at MORG 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:54ARMY 4th & 1 at MORG 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:17ARMY 4th & 11 at MORG 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:17MORG 4th & 13 at ARMY 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:26MORG 4th & 5 at MORG 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:38ARMY 4th & 8 at midfield, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:00MORG 4th & 5 at MORG 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:34MORG 4th & 3 at ARMY 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:21MORG 4th & 1 at MORG 34, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:21MORG 4th & 2 at MORG 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:25ARMY 4th & 1 at MORG 21, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:48ARMY 4th & 1 at MORG 1, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:22MORG 4th & 13 at MORG 22, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MORG made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:50ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:32MORG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:29MORG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:54ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:26ARMY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:34ARMY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:47MORG Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:56ARMY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:11ARMY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:48ARMY Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MORGDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
99.5%
MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 14Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+1
99.5%
Jabriel Johnson run for 1 yd to the MorgS 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 15
-9
99.5%
DeAndre Harris run for a loss of 9 yards to the MorgS 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 6
+3
99.5%
Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the MorgS 9Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 9
0
99.5%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 33 yds , Akyah Miranda returns for no gain to the MorgS 38 Akyah Miranda fumbled, recovered by MorgS Simeon GatlingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
DeAndre Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
99.4%
MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 33Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
99.4%
DeAndre Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+7
99.4%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Daniel Velez for 7 yds to the MorgS 40Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Akyah Miranda at the Army 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 3TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:5899% → 99%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.4%
MORGAN ST Penalty, offside defense (Adeola Sulaiman) to the Army 28Similar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 5
OWN 28
+6
99.4%
Connor Slomka run for 6 yds to the Army 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.4%
Connor Slomka run for 7 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Jabari Laws run for no gain to the Army 41Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+4
99.4%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
99.4%
Laws, Jabari pass incomplete to Hobbs IV, A., PENALTY MSU pass interference (GARNES,Carl) 12 yards to the MSU43, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.4%
Jabari Laws run for 6 yds to the MorgS 37Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+9
99.4%
Sandon McCoy run for 9 yds to the MorgS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
99.4%
Connor Slomka run for 18 yds to the MorgS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 0
OPP 10
-5
99.4%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 15Similar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+6
99.4%
Cade Barnard run for 6 yds to the MorgS 9Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.2%
Artice Hobbs IV run for 9 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 4TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:181% → 1%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.1%
Andrew Howell run for 1 yd to the MorgS 36Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-5
99.1%
MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 31Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
99.1%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Manasseh BaileySimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+69
98.9%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 69 yds for a TD, (Nicholas O'Shea KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
98.9%
Connor Slomka run for 14 yds to the Army 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
98.9%
Jabari Laws sacked by Merinio Dendoe and Rico Kennedy for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 39Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 13
OWN 39
-5
98.9%
Laws, Jabari rush for 2 yards to the ARMY41, Catoe, Wilson for 14 yards to the MSU47, out-of-bounds (GATLING,Simeon), PENALTY ARMY illegal forward pass (Laws, Jabari) 5 yards to the ARMY34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+4
98.9%
Jabari Laws sacked by Rico Kennedy for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 25 Jabari Laws fumbled, recovered by MorgS Malachi Washington , return for 0 yards , return for 4 yds to the Army 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 6TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
98.4%
Jabriel Johnson run for 25 yds for a TD, (Nicholas O'Shea KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2899% → 98%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
98.5%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds to the Army 29Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+7
98.5%
Cade Barnard run for 7 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the Army 41Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
98.5%
Kell Walker run for 10 yds to the MorgS 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
98.5%
Cade Barnard run for 11 yds to the MorgS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
98.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 10 yds to the MorgS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
98.6%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the MorgS 26Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+15
98.6%
Jabari Laws run for 5 yds to the MorgS 21 for a 1ST down MORGAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Johnson) to the MorgS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
98.4%
Sandon McCoy run for 11 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 8INT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.2%
Jabriel Johnson run for 1 yd to the MorgS 26Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
98.2%
MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 21Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
98.2%
DeAndre Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+11
98.3%
DeAndre Harris pass intercepted Elijah Riley return for 11 yds to the MorgS 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9FG
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:3798% → 98%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
98.3%
Slomka, Connor rush for 9 yards to the MSU22 (KENNEDY,Rico), PENALTY ARMY false start 5 yards to the MSU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+1
98.2%
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the MorgS 35Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+3
98.3%
Kell Walker run for 3 yds to the MorgS 32Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+10
98.2%
Christian Anderson run for 10 yds to the MorgS 22Similar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+5
98.2%
Cade Barnard run for 5 yds to the MorgS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
98.3%
Cade Barnard run for 5 yds to the MorgS 12Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-6
98.3%
Kell Walker run for a loss of 6 yards to the MorgS 18 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 11
OPP 18
0
98.3%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+35
97.7%
David Cooper 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Jabriel Johnson run for no gain to the MorgS 25Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.7%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 6 yds to the MorgS 31Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+33
97.7%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Jabriel Johnson for 33 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
97.5%
MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 41Similar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 15
OPP 41
0
97.6%
DeAndre Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+2
97.6%
Andrew Howell run for 2 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 13
OPP 39
0
97.7%
DeAndre Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 13
OPP 39
+6
97.8%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 20 , Akyah Miranda returns for 6 yds to the Army 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
98.0%
Christian Anderson pass complete to Artice Hobbs IV for 80 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 12INT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.0%
Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the MorgS 28Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
98.0%
HARRIS,DeAndre pass incomplete to BAILEY,Manasseh, PENALTY ARMY pass interference (Jones, Cam) 15 yards to the MSU43, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
97.9%
MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 38Similar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+5
98.0%
Jabriel Johnson run for 5 yds to the MorgS 43Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
97.9%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Idahota Akojie for 5 yds to the MorgS 48Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
97.9%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Jabriel JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 5
OWN 48
+6
98.0%
DeAndre Harris pass intercepted Cam Jones return for 6 yds to the Army 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Artice Hobbs IVSimilar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
97.9%
Connor Slomka run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 8
50
0
97.8%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 8
50
0
97.7%
Zach Potter punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MorgS 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 1:312% → 3%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
97.6%
DeAndre Harris run for 5 yds to the MorgS 18Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+2
97.6%
Andrew Howell run for 2 yds to the MorgS 20Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+8
97.7%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 8 yds to the MorgS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
97.6%
Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the MorgS 31Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-5
97.3%
MORGAN ST Penalty, false start (Idahota Akojie) to the MorgS 26Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+3
97.4%
DeAndre Harris run for 3 yds to the MorgS 29Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+4
97.4%
DeAndre Harris run for 4 yds to the MorgS 33Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
97.4%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 30 yds, downed at the Army 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15END OF HALF
13 plays · 31 yds · 2:2598% → 97%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.0%
Connor Slomka run for 6 yds to the Army 43Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+7
98.0%
Connor Slomka run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
50
+6
98.1%
Connor Slomka run for 6 yds to the MorgS 44Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+1
98.0%
Kell Walker run for 1 yd to the MorgS 43Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+4
97.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the MorgS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
98.1%
Sandon McCoy run for 3 yds to the MorgS 36Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+9
98.1%
Kell Walker run for 9 yds to the MorgS 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
98.1%
Anderson, C. rush for 3 yards to the MSU24, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ARMY holding (Herndon, Alex) 10 yards to the MSU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 20
OPP 37
0
97.6%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 20
OPP 37
0
97.6%
Christian Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 20
OPP 37
-5
97.5%
ARMY Penalty, false start (Christian Anderson) to the MorgS 42Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 25
OPP 42
+10
97.4%
Christian Anderson run for 10 yds to the MorgS 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:1797% → 99%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
97.1%
Connor Slomka run for 1 yd to the Army 36Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+11
97.2%
Christian Anderson run for 11 yds to the Army 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
97.3%
Connor Slomka run for 9 yds to the MorgS 44Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+1
97.3%
Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the MorgS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
97.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the MorgS 39Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
97.3%
Christian Anderson pass incomplete to Christian HayesSimilar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+10
97.2%
Christian Anderson run for 10 yds to the MorgS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
97.4%
Connor Slomka run for 12 yds to the MorgS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
97.4%
Malik Hancock run for 14 yds to the MorgS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.6%
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 17TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:472% → 6%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.2%
Jabriel Johnson run for 5 yds to the MorgS 30Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
98.1%
Andrew Howell run for 1 yd to the MorgS 31Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.1%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Deontaye White for 10 yds to the MorgS 41 MORGAN ST Penalty, illegal block (Wesley Wolfolk) to the MorgS 31Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
98.1%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Andrew Howell for 7 yds to the MorgS 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.0%
Andrew Howell run for no gain to the MorgS 38Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.1%
Andrew Howell run for 2 yds to the MorgS 40Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+10
98.1%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
50
+10
97.9%
Andrew Howell run for 10 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.9%
Andrew Howell run for no gain to the Army 40Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
97.9%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to D Goodwin for 4 yds to the Army 36Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+3
98.0%
DeAndre Harris run for 3 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q3 10:34
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+7
98.0%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Wesley Wolfolk for 7 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
97.7%
Andrew Howell run for 1 yd to the Army 25Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+2
97.8%
Andrew Howell run for 2 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+23
94.2%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 23 yds for a TD, (Nicholas O'Shea KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:4195% → 98%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
95.3%
Christian Anderson run for 12 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
95.6%
Christian Anderson run for 1 yd to the Army 42Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+7
95.6%
Christian Anderson run for 7 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
95.4%
Connor Slomka run for 4 yds to the MorgS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
95.7%
Sandon McCoy run for 15 yds to the MorgS 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
95.8%
Connor Slomka run for 5 yds to the MorgS 27Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+24
95.8%
Cade Barnard run for 24 yds to the MorgS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.3%
Cade Barnard run for 3 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 19INT
10 plays · 18 yds · 1:352% → 2%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Jabriel Johnson run for no gain to the MorgS 25Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Manasseh BaileySimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.1%
DeAndre Harris run for 9 yds to the MorgS 34Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.1%
Jabriel Johnson run for 1 yd to the MorgS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.1%
DeAndre Harris run for 8 yds to the MorgS 43Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
98.0%
Andrew Howell run for no gain to the MorgS 43Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Andrew Howell run for no gain to the MorgS 43Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+54
98.1%
DeAndre Harris pass intercepted Ryan Velez return for 54 yds to the MorgS 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 20TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:2999% → 100%
Q4 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
98.6%
Rashaad Bolton run for 4 yds to the MorgS 1Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Rashaad Bolton run for 1 yd for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 36 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Deontaye WhiteSimilar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
99.5%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Wesley Wolfolk for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
50
0
99.5%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Deontaye WhiteSimilar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
50
+11
99.5%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Andrew Howell for 11 yds Andrew Howell fumbled, forced by Elijah Riley, recovered by Army Nolan CockrillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 22TD
14 plays · 61 yds · 7:37100% → 100%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.6%
Anthony Adkins run for 8 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+8
99.6%
Christian Anderson run for 8 yds to the MorgS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.6%
Anthony Adkins run for 5 yds to the MorgS 40Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+10
99.6%
Kaelin Byrd run for 10 yds to the MorgS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.6%
Kaelin Byrd run for 1 yd to the MorgS 29Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+6
99.6%
Christian Anderson run for 6 yds to the MorgS 23Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
99.6%
Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the MorgS 21Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+6
99.5%
Anthony Adkins run for 6 yds to the MorgS 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.6%
Malik Hancock run for 5 yds to the MorgS 10Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+6
99.6%
Anthony Adkins run for 6 yds to the MorgS 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.6%
Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the MorgS 4Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.6%
Kaelin Byrd run for 3 yds to the MorgS 1Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.6%
Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the MorgS 1Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Anthony Adkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Bagley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MORGDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
DeAndre Harris run for no gain to the MorgS 12 DeAndre Harris fumbled, recovered by MorgS DeAndre HarrisSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 23
OWN 12
0
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass incomplete to Jabriel JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 23
OWN 12
+5
100.0%
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 5 yds to the MorgS 17Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+5
100.0%
O'SHEA,Nicholas punt 30 yards to the MSU47, downed, PENALTY ARMY substitution infraction 5 yards to the MSU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Nicholas O'Shea punt for 40 yds, downed at the Army 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:47
DeAndre Harris pass complete to Manasseh Bailey for 23 yds for a TD, (Nicholas O'Shea KICK)
-3.6
TD · Q4 14:56
Cade Barnard run for 3 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q3 10:34
Connor Slomka run for 3 yds for a TD, (David Cooper KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com