Try the model
RICE

Rice 30 at UTEP 16

UTEP
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Sun Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFUMBLETDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:00 · JoVoni Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:02: Aston Walter run for 30 yds for a TD (Chris Barnes KICK) — RICE win probability +5.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:38: Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 12 yds for a TD RICE Penalty, roughing passer (Blaze Alldredge) to the Rice 0 UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 6 (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +7.8 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Gavin Baechle 45 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +11.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:16: Chris Barnes 21 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +5.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:44: JoVoni Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD (Chris Barnes KICK) — RICE win probability +17.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 9RICE made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 20 at UTEP 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48UTEP 4th & 18 at RICE 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    34.8%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:31RICE 4th & 13 at RICE 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:13UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:57RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 42, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:12UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 26, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−2.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:16RICE 4th & 2 at UTEP 2, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.6%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−12.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:12UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 19, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:36UTEP 4th & 15 at RICE 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:57UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 35, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.9%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:57UTEP 4th & 7 at RICE 44, down 8
    Close callPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    20.4%−2.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:27UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 48, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:48RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:02RICE Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:38UTEP Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:44RICE Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:27RICE Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
33.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
33.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Treyvon Hughes for 2 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-11
33.2%
Kai Locksley sacked by Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 11 yards to the UTEP 15Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+8
33.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 21 yds , Jordan Myers returns for 8 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:0766% → 67%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
33.8%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 8 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+17
33.8%
Zane Knipe run for 17 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
33.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 34 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
33.5%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 21 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
33.7%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
33.7%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 6 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
33.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
33.8%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-5
33.8%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
33.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 7 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+3
33.8%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
33.9%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
33.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 9
OPP 32
-15
33.8%
LOCKSLEY, Kai sideline pass complete to THOMPSON, Trent for 11 yards to the RICE21, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (COWING, Jacob) 15 yards to the RICE47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 24
OPP 47
+6
33.5%
Kai Locksley run for 6 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
33.4%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 39 yds, downed at the Rice 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:4466% → 62%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
33.7%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 4Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 8
OWN 4
-1
33.8%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 3Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 9
OWN 3
0
38.3%
Tom Stewart run for a loss of 3 yards Tom Stewart fumbled, recovered by UTEP Praise Amaewhule for a TD (Brady Viles PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:5763% → 69%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
37.3%
Charlie Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
37.6%
JoVoni Johnson pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+14
38.0%
Tom Stewart run for 14 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
36.5%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+15
36.5%
STEWART, Tom sideline pass incomplete to ROZNER, Brad, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (ROSS, Ykili) 15 yards to the UTEP36, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
36.4%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 6 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 0:02
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+30
31.2%
Aston Walter run for 30 yds for a TD (Chris Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2432% → 42%
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.2%
Kai Locksley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+25
32.4%
Kai Locksley run for 25 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
33.8%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 15 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
34.4%
Josh Fields run for 5 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+19
34.4%
Kai Locksley run for 19 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
34.4%
UTEP Penalty, delay of game (Kai Locksley) to the Rice 12Similar
Q2 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
42.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 12 yds for a TD RICE Penalty, roughing passer (Blaze Alldredge) to the Rice 0 UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 6 (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
38.5%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
38.5%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+17
38.5%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 17 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
37.1%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
37.0%
Tom Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-5
37.5%
Tom Stewart sacked by Sione Tupou for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 44 RICE Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 13
OWN 44
+1
39.4%
Chris Barnes punt for 46 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
40.1%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 10Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+2
40.0%
Josh Fields run for 2 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+11
39.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 11 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
40.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
40.8%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Jacob Cowing, broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+15
39.9%
LOCKSLEY, Kai deep pass incomplete to WOLF, Tre'shon, PENALTY RICE pass interference (NYAKWOL, George) 15 yards to the UTEP44, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
42.2%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Tre'Shon WolfSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
41.3%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+1
41.8%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 4
50
-5
41.1%
UTEP Penalty, delay of game (Mitchell Crawford) to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
39.7%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
38.9%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
38.9%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Brad RoznerSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
39.9%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
40.8%
Chris Barnes punt for 52 yds, downed at the UTEP 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 3:5141% → 51%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
41.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
41.7%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 4 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
42.1%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
42.0%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+29
41.7%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Trent Thompson for 29 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
45.3%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-2
45.3%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+9
44.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 9 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
46.3%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 13
OPP 25
-2
45.7%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+45
50.6%
Gavin Baechle 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.1%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
47.8%
Zane Knipe run for 8 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
47.1%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Brad Rozner for 5 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
45.5%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
45.8%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Chris RichardsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+4
48.3%
Chris Barnes punt for 35 yds , Justin Garrett returns for 4 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
50.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Alan Busey, broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-1
50.1%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
48.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
48.0%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13FG
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:0650% → 59%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
50.0%
JoVoni Johnson run for 7 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+9
48.1%
JoVoni Johnson run for 9 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
47.6%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+20
47.0%
Aston Walter run for 20 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
45.2%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 24 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
44.9%
Tom Stewart pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
44.9%
Tom Stewart pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
46.8%
Tom Stewart run for 8 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q3 7:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+21
41.0%
Chris Barnes 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0044% → 41%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
44.1%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
43.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tre'Shon Wolf, broken up by Tyrae ThorntonSimilar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 12
OWN 19
0
42.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 12
OWN 19
+3
41.4%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 51 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 3 yds to the Rice 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 3:2958% → 80%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
41.8%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
41.0%
JoVoni Johnson run for 4 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+7
40.3%
JoVoni Johnson run for 7 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+42
39.6%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Zane Knipe for 42 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
37.6%
Charlie Booker run for 2 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
20.1%
JoVoni Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD (Chris Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16MISSED FG
11 plays · 37 yds · 2:0424% → 21%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
24.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 13 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
25.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 14 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
27.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
27.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kavika Johnson for 15 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
28.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tre'Shon WolfSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-5
28.8%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Jeremiah Byers) to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 15
OPP 32
0
26.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 15
OPP 32
0
23.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 15
OPP 32
+50
20.5%
Gavin Baechle 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:3680% → 82%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
19.8%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+5
19.9%
JoVoni Johnson run for 5 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
18.6%
Charlie Booker run for 5 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
18.3%
Tom Stewart pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
17.7%
Tom Stewart pass intercepted Justin Rogers return for no gain to the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
19.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
19.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+5
18.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
19.7%
Reynaldo Flores run for 8 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
21.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
20.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+2
18.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
20.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 16 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
23.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 3 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
23.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tre'Shon WolfSimilar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
22.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin GarrettSimilar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
20.4%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 24 yds, downed at the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 2:3689% → 97%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+64
10.8%
Aston Walter run for 64 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
8.4%
JoVoni Johnson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+3
8.4%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+11
3.5%
JoVoni Johnson run for 11 yds for a TD (Chris Barnes PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
3.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Josh Fields UTEP Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+20
3.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 20 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-11
3.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 4 yds to the RICE 49 UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Darta Lee) to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 21
OWN 36
+12
3.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Justin Garrett for 12 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
3.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Alan BuseySimilar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
3.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Justin Garrett, broken up by Adrian BickhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:2298% → 98%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
2.5%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
1.9%
JoVoni Johnson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
1.9%
JoVoni Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:44
JoVoni Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD (Chris Barnes KICK)
-17.5
FG · Q2 0:00
Gavin Baechle 45 yd FG GOOD
+11.1
TD · Q2 11:38
Kai Locksley pass complete to Justin Garrett for 12 yds for a TD RICE Penalty, roughing passer (Blaze Alldredge) to the Rice 0 UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 6 (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com