Try the model
UAB

UAB 26 at North Texas 21

UNT
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · DATCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:57 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:38: DeAndre Torrey run for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +15.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:33: Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +14.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:24: Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +18.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:20: Mason Fine pass intercepted for a TD TD Marshall return for 76 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UAB win probability +24.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q3 0:20: Timeout UAB, clock 00:20 — UAB win probability +25.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:38UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 15, up 7
    Close callPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:04UAB 4th & 9 at UNT 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:56UNT 4th & 16 at UNT 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:23UAB 4th & 19 at UAB 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UNT 4th & 2 at UAB 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−1.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:47UNT 4th & 14 at UAB 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:15UNT 4th & 9 at UAB 32, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    43.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:33UNT 4th & 22 at UNT 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.9%−5.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:42UAB 4th & 5 at UNT 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−8.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:40UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:20UNT 4th & 1 at UAB 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.4%−5.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−15.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UNT 4th & 12 at UAB 42, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    19.0%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:47UAB 4th & 15 at UAB 30, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−3.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:44UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 38, down 12
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:08UAB 4th & 24 at UAB 32, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−3.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:15UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 42, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.0%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:53UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:15UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:38UNT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:33UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:24UNT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:20UAB Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0746% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
46.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 56 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
46.0%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 12
0
46.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence, broken up by Dy'jonn TurnerSimilar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
46.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 12 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:1553% → 53%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
46.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
46.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
47.3%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+61
47.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 55 yds, downed at the NORTHTEXAS 12 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (6 Yards) to the NoTex 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
47.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Deonte SimpsonSimilar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
47.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+9
47.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 9 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
47.6%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 47 yds, downed at the UAB 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 5:4052% → 50%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
48.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 8 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+8
48.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 8 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
48.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the NoTex 45Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+11
48.0%
Kendall Parham run for 11 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
47.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 5 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+3
47.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+11
48.0%
Dylan Hopkins run for 11 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
47.7%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
47.7%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the NoTex 9Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-5
48.0%
UAB Penalty, false start (Noah Wilder) to the NoTex 14Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
48.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q1 5:04
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
49.2%
Nick Vogel 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-15
49.6%
UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
50.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 3 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+15
50.5%
UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
50.9%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the UAB 44Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
50.8%
Tre Siggers run for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 7
OPP 42
-9
50.4%
Mason Fine sacked by Fitzgerald Mofor for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 16
OWN 49
0
49.2%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 45 yds, downed at the UAB 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 2:0950% → 47%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
50.3%
Lucious Stanley run for 7 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+4
50.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
50.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
51.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 15Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 12
OWN 15
-7
52.3%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Mike Linehan and LaDarius Hamilton for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 8Similar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 19
OWN 8
0
53.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaelon Darden at the NoTex 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:3053% → 52%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
53.0%
Tre Siggers run for 7 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+1
53.3%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
52.8%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+11
52.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 11 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
54.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-3
54.4%
Mason Fine sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 14
OPP 39
0
53.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
52.2%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 34 yds, downed at the UAB 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 6:0345% → 58%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
55.3%
UAB Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the UAB 3Similar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+5
55.3%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+11
55.6%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
55.0%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+6
54.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 6 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
54.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 5
OWN 36
+1
53.7%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+10
53.8%
Spencer Brown run for 10 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
53.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kendall Parham for 24 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
51.6%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 12:18
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+24
51.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Thair Blakes for 24 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
42.4%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3746% → 62%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
46.0%
Tre Siggers run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
46.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 14 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
48.1%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the NoTex 42Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
46.9%
UAB Penalty, roughing passer (Noah Wilder) to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
48.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+1
48.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+8
48.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 8 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
50.0%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
49.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Nick HarveySimilar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+2
48.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+18
46.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 18 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
62.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 14 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:0540% → 61%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
60.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Kendall Parham for 36 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
54.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+15
54.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Nick Harvey) to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
54.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cam Johnson) to the NoTex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
39.4%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
44.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
45.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jyaire Shorter, broken up by Starling Thomas VSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-14
44.4%
Mason Fine sacked by Jordan Smith for a loss of 14 yards to the NoTex 13 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by NoTex Mason Fine , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
42.9%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
43.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:1856% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
44.1%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
43.1%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-2
42.3%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+11
44.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 11 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
42.0%
Lucious Stanley run for 10 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
41.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 15 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
40.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
40.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+3
42.1%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
36.6%
Nick Vogel 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:1840% → 64%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
39.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 35 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
43.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the UAB 40Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
43.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+5
43.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 5 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
45.0%
Mason Fine run for 6 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+10
45.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 10 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
45.0%
Mason Fine run for 3 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+9
45.0%
UAB Penalty, Defensive pass interference (9 Yards) to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.1%
Tre Siggers run for no gain to the UAB 2Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16INT
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
63.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 9 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+18
63.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 18 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
63.5%
Tre Siggers run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 8Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
63.5%
Mason Fine pass intercepted, touchback. Starling Thomas V return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
57.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 6 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
58.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
60.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18INT TD
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:3959% → 39%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
59.2%
Mason Fine run for 2 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+5
59.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+10
60.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 10 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
62.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Deonte Simpson for 8 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+3
63.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
63.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 9 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
64.2%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
62.5%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+76
38.6%
Mason Fine pass intercepted for a TD TD Marshall return for 76 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:2022% → 20%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
50
+10
22.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 10 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
22.4%
Mason Fine sacked by Jordan Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+1
21.2%
Tre Siggers run for 1 yd to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
20.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Garrett MarinoSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
19.5%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
15.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 8 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+4
15.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
15.6%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+7
15.5%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
15.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Austin Watkins for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 11
OWN 34
-4
15.9%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Dayton LeBlanc and KD Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
16.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds, downed at the NoTex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
14.8%
Mason Fine run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+8
13.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 8 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
14.4%
UAB Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Starling Thomas V) to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
14.9%
Mason Fine sacked by Fish McWilliams for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 28Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 17
OWN 28
0
13.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+10
13.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Tre Siggers for 10 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
14.4%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 52 yds, downed at the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 2:4493% → 97%
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
7.4%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+32
7.3%
Spencer Brown run for 32 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
6.7%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
6.7%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 4
OPP 48
-5
4.3%
UAB Penalty, false start (Noah Wilder) to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-10
2.5%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by LaDarius Hamilton for a loss of 10 yards to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 19
OWN 37
-5
2.6%
UAB Penalty, false start (TD Marshall) to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 24
OWN 32
0
2.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaelon Darden at the NoTex 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
5.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+4
5.9%
Tre Siggers run for 4 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
5.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Tre Siggers for 3 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-10
5.9%
Mason Fine sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 36Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+6
5.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 6 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 11
OWN 42
-8
5.3%
Mason Fine sacked by Will Boler and Alex Wright for a loss of 8 yards to the NoTex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:1599% → 99%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
1.3%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+5
1.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
1.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
1.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 24Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 11
OPP 24
-1
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:20
Timeout UAB, clock 00:20
-25.3
TD · Q3 0:20
Mason Fine pass intercepted for a TD TD Marshall return for 76 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-24
TD · Q3 6:24
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds for a TD (Ethan Mooney KICK)
+18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com