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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 26 at Western Kentucky 31

WKU
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:40 · Matthew Stephenson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jacquez Sloan at the WKent 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+13.8Home team on offense+2.0Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:44: Ty Storey run for 27 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +11.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:40: Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 64 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +9.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:43: Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 24 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +23.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:14: Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 3 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK) — WKU win probability +33.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:43: Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — MTSU win probability +18.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 9:27MTSU 4th & 6 at WKU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:29WKU 4th & 10 at MTSU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:16MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:50WKU 4th & 1 at MTSU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.2%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    72.4%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:13WKU 4th & 3 at MTSU 3, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:13MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:56WKU 4th & 18 at WKU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−2.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:38MTSU 4th & 13 at WKU 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:30MTSU 4th & 1 at WKU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−1.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−6.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:30MTSU 4th & 3 at WKU 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:40MTSU 4th & 12 at WKU 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    27.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:30WKU 4th & 6 at MTSU 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    65.9%−8.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:29WKU 4th & 6 at MTSU 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−9.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MTSU 4th & 2 at WKU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    29.0%−1.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    21.7%−9.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:38WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−1.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:00MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.0%−0.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:56MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.7%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 14:02MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:44WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:40WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:43MTSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:14WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:28WKU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:43MTSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:3322% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
77.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 28 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
77.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+8
77.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 8 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
77.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+3
77.7%
Jayy McDonald run for 3 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+9
77.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
77.7%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
77.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 9 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
77.7%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
77.7%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
77.7%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
77.7%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
75.9%
Crews Holt 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 1:5376% → 75%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
75.9%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
75.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
75.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 26 yds to the WESTERNKY 44 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
76.4%
Gaej Walker run for no gain to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
76.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
76.1%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
75.3%
John Haggerty punt for 43 yds, downed at the MTnSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
75.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
75.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
75.7%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 10
OWN 1
+2
75.9%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 44 yds , Roger Cray returns for 2 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 5:3776% → 75%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
75.9%
Ty Storey run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
76.2%
Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
76.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 2 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+6
75.8%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+4
75.6%
Ty Storey run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
76.2%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+5
76.2%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
76.2%
Ty Storey run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
76.2%
Ty Storey run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
75.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 3 yds to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q1 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
75.2%
Cory Munson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
73.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 5 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
73.7%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin PierceSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
74.2%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 32 yds , Roger Cray returns for no gain to the WKent 37 Roger Cray fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Yusuf AliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:5828% → 34%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
72.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 13 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
71.7%
Chaton Mobley run for 7 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+17
66.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Isiah Upton for 17 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
68.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 13Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+8
68.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+19
67.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 19 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
69.3%
Ty Storey sacked by Brett Shepherd and Tyshun Render for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 16
OWN 34
-5
68.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 21
OWN 29
+7
68.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 7 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 13:56
3RD & 14
OWN 36
-4
67.8%
Ty Storey sacked by DQ Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 13:56
4TH & 18
OWN 32
0
67.6%
John Haggerty punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
64.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+22
64.2%
Asher O'Hara run for 22 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
63.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 7 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+1
63.0%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
63.2%
Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
62.8%
Jayy McDonald run for 2 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
62.8%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce, broken up by Trae MeadowsSimilar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+5
63.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Asher O'Hara , return for 5 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 13
OPP 35
0
65.1%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 31 yds, downed at the WKent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
3 plays · 96 yds · 1:2560% → 75%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+47
60.4%
Gaej Walker run for 47 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
63.4%
Gaej Walker run for 22 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
74.5%
Ty Storey run for 27 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:1432% → 40%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
68.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 54 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
65.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 8 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
65.0%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the WKent 13Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
65.8%
Jayy McDonald run for 1 yd to the WKent 12Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+10
64.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 10 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
61.4%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 3Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
61.4%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Trae MeadowsSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
62.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall, broken up by Clay DavisSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
59.8%
Crews Holt 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11END OF HALF
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:0762% → 67%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.4%
Ty Storey run for 8 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
63.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 9 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
64.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+19
64.8%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 19 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
66.9%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2063% → 74%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.2%
Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
64.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 5 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
74.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 64 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
72.8%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+9
73.2%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 9 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
73.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 10 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
71.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 5 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+22
70.2%
Asher O'Hara run for 22 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
68.7%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+2
68.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 6
OPP 31
-6
69.9%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Clay Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 13:40
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
73.2%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jacquez Sloan at the WKent 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14MISSED FG
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:5575% → 76%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
74.6%
Gaej Walker run for 8 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 2
OWN 14
0
74.7%
Ty Storey run for no gain to the WKent 14Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+14
73.6%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 14 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
75.1%
Ty Storey run for 5 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+17
75.9%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
50
+32
77.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 32 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
78.2%
Ty Storey pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
78.2%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Raheme FullerSimilar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+1
77.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 1 yd to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
75.5%
Cory Munson 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
72.4%
Ty Lee run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
72.6%
Asher O'Hara pass intercepted Roger Cray return for 5 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2679% → 75%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
78.5%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
78.5%
Ty Storey pass complete to Joshua Simon for 1 yd to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
77.4%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
75.4%
Cory Munson 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:4628% → 58%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
72.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+6
71.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 6 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
71.6%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+33
72.2%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 33 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
67.8%
Jayy McDonald run for 3 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-2
65.4%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+7
68.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+2
69.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
65.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+24
41.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 24 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
49.3%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WKent 23Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+3
49.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Gaej Walker for 3 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
47.6%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
46.2%
John Haggerty punt for 57 yds, downed at the MTnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
44.2%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+3
44.6%
Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+6
46.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
43.8%
Jayy McDonald run for no gain to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
44.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Marquel TinsleySimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+7
46.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+2
45.5%
Chaton Mobley run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 36 yds · 0:4050% → 83%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+33
50.0%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 33 yds to the MTnSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
83.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 3 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0029% → 35%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.4%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
71.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 21 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
66.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 6
50
+11
65.1%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 11 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
65.1%
Chaton Mobley run for no gain to the WKent 44 Chaton Mobley fumbled, forced by Clay Davis, recovered by WKent Damon LoweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:0483% → 96%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+31
83.1%
Ty Storey pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 16 yds to the WESTERNKY 40 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marcus LaFrance) to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
85.1%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
85.1%
Ty Storey pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+16
83.6%
Ty Storey run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
85.1%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 5Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.1%
Gaej Walker run for 5 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 2:414% → 23%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
95.8%
DJ England-Chisolm run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-8
95.8%
Asher O'Hara sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 8 yards to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 19
OWN 13
+16
96.1%
Asher O'Hara run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+3
95.9%
Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.2%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jarrin Pierce, broken up by Dionte RuffinSimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
95.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 15 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.0%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Tyrese JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+10
95.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 10 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
94.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+27
95.5%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jimmy Marshall for 27 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
95.1%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Jimmy Marshall, broken up by Antwon KincadeSimilar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
77.1%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:14
Ty Storey pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 3 yds for a TD (Cory Munson KICK)
+33.1
TD · Q4 12:43
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jarrin Pierce for 24 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
-23.6
TD · Q4 0:43
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com